Keyera Corp.

Keyera Corp.

34.00
EUR
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0.94EPS
36.97P/E
10.21BMarket Cap
Nov 11Next Earn

Q2 FY2026 · Earnings Call TranscriptAugust 6, 2026

Operator

Good morning. My name is Jenny, and I will be your conference operator today.

At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to Keyera's 2026 second quarter conference call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise.

After the speakers' remarks, there will be a question-and-answer session. If you would like to ask a question during this time, simply press star, then the number one on your telephone keypad.

If you would like to withdraw your question, please press star, then the number two. Thank you.

I would now like to turn the conference call over to Dan Cuthbertson, General Manager of Investor Relations. You may begin.

Dan Cuthbertson

Thanks, and good morning. Joining me today will be Dean Setoguchi, President and CEO; Eileen Marikar, Senior Vice President and CFO; Jamie Urquhart, Senior Vice President, Liquids Business Unit; and Brad Slessor, Senior Vice President, G&P and NGL Pipeline Business Unit.

We'll begin with some prepared remarks from Dean and Eileen, after which we will open the call to questions. I'd like to remind listeners that some of the comments and answers that we will give today relate to future events.

These forward-looking statements are given as of today's date and reflect events or outcomes that management currently expects. In addition, we will refer to some non-GAAP financial measures.

For additional information on non-GAAP measures and forward-looking statements, please refer to Keyera's public filings available on SEDAR and our website. With that, I'll turn the call over to Dean.

Dean Setoguchi

Thanks, Dan, and good morning, everyone. This quarter, we successfully closed two strategic acquisitions: the Plains Canadian NGL business and the remaining 50% interest in KAPS.

These acquisitions are part of a strong foundation we have assembled for the next phase of disciplined growth and long-term value creation. Our focus now turns to integrating these investments, executing our growth projects, and delivering greater value to customers and shareholders.

Our team is working hard on integrating the Plains business and continues to make meaningful progress on identifying and delivering synergies. We will continue to provide updates as that work progresses.

After the quarter, Keyera also submitted its response to the Competition Tribunal regarding the Competition Bureau's notice of application. Because this is an ongoing litigation, we are limited in what we can say, but remain confident in the strength of our case and look forward to demonstrating the value creation that will result from this transaction.

Turning to our quarterly results. In Gathering and Processing, we delivered a new quarterly record for realized margin driven by strong contributions across the segment.

We also set a new quarterly realized margin record in Liquids Infrastructure, reflecting contributions from the Plains Canadian NGL business. We continue to deliver and advance our growth projects.

KFS Frac 2 debottleneck was brought into service in early June, more than one month ahead of schedule and 20% below its original budget. KFS North debottleneck, KFS Frac 3, KAPS Zone 4, and ACE rail terminal continue to progress well, all on time and on budget.

These projects are highly contracted and will contribute to growth in stable fee-for-service cash flow, supporting the strength of our balance sheet and long-term dividend sustainability. Yesterday, the board approved another 4% annual increase in the dividend.

Dividend increase reflects our confidence in the business and allows us to preserve our balance sheet strength and financial flexibility to invest in further fee-based growth. Now turning to AEF.

The facility was restarted at the beginning of June and has been performing well. We continue to view this asset as an important part of our integrated value chain and a meaningful contributor to Keyera's long-term value creation.

During the outage, we completed a comprehensive review of the facility and its associated operating plan and have identified opportunities to strengthen performance and reliability. Our objective is to maximize iso-octane production over the full four-year cycle while maintaining our focus on safe, reliable, and efficient operations.

With that, I'll turn the call over to Eileen to discuss financial results and outlook.

Eileen Marikar

Thanks, Dean, and good morning, everyone. Keyera's second quarter results reflect continued strength in our fee-for-service business, which was offset by lower marketing contributions.

Excluding transaction costs related to the Plains acquisition, adjusted EBITDA was $309 million, and distributable cash flow was $101 million, or 39 cents per share. Net earnings for the quarter were $308 million.

In our fee-for-service segments, Gathering and Processing delivered record quarterly realized margin of $128 million. In Liquids Infrastructure, we also delivered record realized margin of $222 million.

Results included contributions from the Plains Canadian NGL assets and the KAPS acquisition. Turning to the Marketing segment.

Realized margin was $36 million for the quarter. Decrease compared to last year was primarily attributable to the AEF outage and corresponding timing impacts related to risk management activities.

The risk management timing impacts are expected to partly offset over the second half of 2026 as physical volumes are sold. Looking ahead, we continue to expect Marketing to deliver strong contributions through the second half of the year, and we are reaffirming our 2026 realized margin guidance range of $360 million to $390 million.

We ended the quarter with net debt to adjusted EBITDA of 3.3 times, above our long-term target range. The increase reflects higher net debt related to recent acquisitions and lower marketing contributions in the first half of 2026.

We remain focused on deleveraging and returning to within our target range in 2028. We remain on track to deliver a 16% to 18% fee-based adjusted EBITDA per share CAGR from 2025 to 2027 and a 7% to 8% fee-based adjusted EBITDA per share CAGR from 2027 to 2029.

This growth outlook is underpinned by several clearly defined drivers, including our current synergy target of $120 million to $140 million, the continued filling of available system capacity, and our portfolio of sanctioned growth capital projects. Beyond those drivers, we continue to see meaningful potential upside from additional synergies, further capacity optimization of our condensate system, additional KAPS contracting, and capital-efficient investment opportunities across the entire asset base.

As our integration work progresses, we're encouraged by the additional value creation opportunities we've identified. We're also identifying opportunities to further enhance reliability across the acquired assets, which may modestly increase maintenance capital requirements over the next couple of years as we continue to apply Keyera's operating standards.

Lastly, Keyera's 2026 guidance for growth capital, maintenance capital, and cash taxes remain unchanged. With that, I'll turn it back to Dean for closing remarks.

Dean Setoguchi

Thanks, Eileen. Keyera continues to deliver its strategy to strengthen and extend our integrated value chain, building a more connected and efficient system that supports customer growth and improves access to key markets.

Looking ahead, we'll remain focused on disciplined integration, continued execution of our growth projects, and delivering long-term value for our customers and shareholders. On behalf of our board and management team, I want to thank our employees, customers, shareholders, Indigenous rights holders, and other stakeholders for their continued support.

With that, we'll open the line for questions. Operator, please go ahead.

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, we will now begin the question-and-answer session.

Should you have a question, please press the star followed by the one on your touchtone phone. If you wish to cancel your request, you may press star, two.

Once again, that is star, one, should you wish to ask a question. Your first question is from Rob Hope from Scotiabank.

Your line is now open.

Rob Hope

Morning, everyone. First question is on the Liquids Infrastructure segment.

The $78 million of incremental contribution from Plains was quite a bit higher than we were expecting, as well as commentary when the deal was first announced. Can you maybe speak to the specific drivers of that strength, whether that can be annualized, or where there, we'll call it, abnormally high volumes in Q2?

Dean Setoguchi

Hey, good morning, Rob, and thank you very much for the question. I think the general comment that we'd like to emphasize here is that the Plains Canadian NGL business has been performing better than the way we've originally modeled it and envisioned it.

That's right across the board from the Co-ed Pipeline, the frac business in Fort Saskatchewan, and also Empress. The volumes have been strong, and the extraction cuts there have been better than what we had modeled.

Overall, the assets are performing and the business is performing very well. We're still getting up to speed, obviously.

It's been less than three months since we've taken over the operatorship of those assets. We see a lot of great opportunities across the portfolio that we're getting more details on and trying to prioritize and get at them as soon as we can.

I'd also like to caution that this is a partial quarter, and I would say it's premature to try to extrapolate a whole year's EBITDA based on a partial quarter right now. Generally, I want to emphasize that the business has performed very well.

Rob Hope

Thanks. I appreciate that.

Then maybe moving over to your condensate assets. A key theme this quarter has been kind of the outlook for increasing condensate demand and supplies in Western Canada.

Can you speak to how your business is positioned to handle an increasing condensate demand and what opportunities are you seeing?

Dean Setoguchi

That's a great question, and first of all, I just like to comment that we are extremely excited with the developments that we've seen here and the cooperation that we've seen from the BC and Alberta government and also the federal government. With that, we feel a lot more optimistic that we're going to see a lot more pipeline egress out of the province, which is going to help more oil sands growth in the future.

As we have the hub for condensate, and roughly 2/3 of all the condensate that goes up to the oil sands for diluent originates off of our system. When we think about the growth in oil sands production over the last couple 2 to 3 years with Trans Mountain coming into service, we've seen that part of our business, our pipelines that receive the condensate in our storage business and also our interest in the Norlite Pipeline, those volumes have been increasing very well.

That part of our business has been very, very strong. We anticipate more growth in the future with, again, more pipeline egress.

We certainly envision more capital-efficient debottlenecks on that system to continue to provide that service. What I would say is that it is a tailwind for entire business because a lot of that condensate is also going to come from the liquids-rich Montney and also the Duvernay, for which we're very, very well-positioned both, I would say, in the deep basin and also up in the Montney fairway up to the north northwest in Alberta and also in BC.

I also like to emphasize, this is also part of the reason why we doubled down on KAPS because we believe this is going to be an essential service that will be required by the industry for the next decade. We're very pleased to have 100% of that pipeline to provide that service.

Incremental to that, we are looking at other solutions, which I think is premature right now. We have capabilities to rail in more condensate, but also looking at other solutions to provide more condensate or diluent as that demand increases.

Rob Hope

All right. Appreciate the color.

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Your next question is from Robert Catellier from CIBC.

Your line is now open.

Robert Catellier

Hey, good morning. I just wanted to follow up on the condensate discussion.

Maybe you can give us a little bit more color on your capabilities to deliver from Edmonton up to the oil sands. It looks like you're at near contractual capacity in the Fort.

Maybe some color on what you're looking at there to debottleneck. The timing of any potential opportunities.

The timing, in particular, I wanted to talk about just because as the oil sands gets going, it might take a while before production ramps to meet the pipeline or the other egress in service dates.

Dean Setoguchi

That's a great question, Rob. I'll turn that over to Jamie, and that's certainly part of his business and things that they're focusing on.

Jamie Urquhart

Thanks for the question, Robert. I think I alluded to this last quarter as well is that we have a very well-defined sort of capital execution plan to basically increase the capacity of both the Fort Saskatchewan condensate system, but also working with our partner Enbridge on the Norlite Pipeline.

Those things can either be fairly quickly implemented, like DRA, drag-reducing agent, or installing pump stations, or even looping pipe for a segment of the pipeline where we can increase capacity. We've identified all those.

We believe that they're all very capital-efficient, as Dean alluded to. Also I'd like to emphasize is that we are in conversations with all the oil sands players with respect to making sure that we're in their minds, and we're their solution as they think to expand maybe 2, 3, 5, 10 years out.

Robert Catellier

Lots going on, we'll wait and see there. I just want to touch on the frac spread.

You gave your proportion of hedging, and you've chosen not to disclose the price. Presumably, you're hedging at levels above your underwriting case.

I'm just curious about the '27 level, the 65% frac spread hedge. Is that all from the hedge level you had coming into the Plains deal, the levels that were in place at closing, or has there been incremental hedging since then?

Just pricing relative to your underwriting assumptions.

Dean Setoguchi

Rob, those are great questions, and we have layered in incremental hedges both this year and next year. As we had a 12-month hedge in place already with Plains.

It left us more exposed in the second half of 2027, and we've layered in a significant amount of hedges in the second half as well as topping up, again, the first half of '27 and the rest of this year. We think that's important for a number of reasons.

One is the frac spreads have been very strong, well above our deal thesis. Two is, as Eileen mentioned, we're beyond our stated range of where we'd like our balance sheet.

We're still in a very comfortable range, but we like to be in a more conservative range. This will ensure that we'll be able to deliver a balance sheet as Eileen described.

Robert Catellier

Last one for me is just you're going to give an update, I think, on the synergies later in the year, but with what you know now, what areas are most likely to generate additional opportunities? Is that going to come from the cost side or commercial side?

Haha.

Dean Setoguchi

I would say all the above. As we've already announced that we delivered 90 $90 million of synergies on day one.

We're still operating redundant systems and things like that. We weren't able to convert them all on day one.

We still have G&A savings, I would say, yet to come. We have operating savings yet to come, certainly synergies in maintenance and turnarounds as well.

We've talked about logistics opportunities for more optimization there. Generally, what we've seen across the board is there's been an underinvestment in the business, we just see a lot of opportunities both to integrate our existing Keyera business and the business we just acquired, but also more growth opportunities, commercial opportunities on the Plains assets that we acquired as well.

We're very optimistic about the upside we see. We also would also caution, too, that there'll likely be a little bit more maintenance costs in the first year, year and a half to two years, I would say.

There are a few things that we would like to accelerate to get it to the operating standard that we like and to get to a steady state after that. That initial maintenance costs that we might be exposed to, and we're still evaluating that, is very small relative to the upside prize that we see overall with the business.

Robert Catellier

Okay. Thank you and congratulations on closing those two acquisitions.

Dean Setoguchi

Yeah. Thanks a lot, Rob.

Operator

Thank you. Your next question is from Ben Thom from BMO.

Your line is now open.

Ben Thom

Hi, good morning. First question is on acquisitions.

You've now closed two major ones, the Plains and the remaining KAPS, and I'm curious as you think the next couple of years going forward, should investors view Keyera as more of a harvest, you mentioned deleveraging focus, or do you think of your footprint is any white space or further M&A opportunities that you see in the next few years?

Dean Setoguchi

Good morning, Ben. Those are great questions.

I really want to emphasize that our focus right now is 100% on capturing the opportunities that we see both in the KAPS acquisition and also the Plains NGL business. Those opportunities are very significant in our mind, and we can deliver a lot of value for our customers and our shareholders for the visible future.

Eileen described the upside that we talked about, the 16% to 18% from '25 to '27 fee-for-service EBITDA growth and then 7% to 8% out to '29. We see growth opportunities well beyond that, especially when you think about the macro environment that we're in.

I think that we're in a 10-year cycle of really great growth in our basin, for which we're very, very well-positioned. Will we consider future M&A?

Sure, we will, but I want to just emphasize that our primary focus is just delivering on the value of the acquisitions we've already made and our base business. We have a lot of big projects that we're also executing on, and we want to make sure that we do the best possible job on that as well.

Ben Thom

Got it. Thanks for that, Dean.

Maybe on the organic growth side, you had some good news on the KFS Frac 2 execution. I know it's a small project, big percentage benefit on the budget.

As you think about your remaining projects, you're advancing them forward, do you see maybe potential read-throughs on similar optimizations? Just on that topic, too, can you remind us with cost savings versus budget, is that a benefit to Keyera, customers, or is it a mix between the two?

Yeah.

Dean Setoguchi

Maybe I'll start answering the question and toss it over to Jamie, but on the cost-saving side, we're pursuing both. There are areas where it will accrue 100% to us, especially places like Empress, but some of the costs also at our KFS North location.

[cough] But we also want to pursue opportunities where we create more value for our customers. If we can reduce our costs, and those costs that flow through to our customer provide a better service to them and more value to them, we are equally as incentivized to pursue those as well.

In terms of our overall execution of our program, maybe I can just turn it over to Jamie.

Jamie Urquhart

Thanks, Dean. Thanks for the question, Ben.

I think the factors behind, ultimately, the success that we've seen in the KFS 2 debottleneck and how we've seen success to date in the projects that we're executing, the bigger projects, is multiple-fold. I think we've matured as an organization with respect to project execution.

We've hit the market at a good time with respect to the service providers, the constructors in the field, but also shop spaces available. That's benefited us in the short term, but it's also, we believe, going to benefit us in the long term because we've consciously developed partnerships with those service providers that are long-term in nature and for us giving them line of sight to long-term business.

We've reaped the benefits in the short term, but we also believe that we're going to reap the benefits in the long term because there will be a change in our environment. You can even see it unfolding right now in Western Canada with respect to more projects putting pressure on the skill set that's available, and we believe that that will give us a competitive advantage going forward as well.

Dean Setoguchi

Maybe just to add one more thing to Jamie's comments is that one thing that we've really put more focus on is just more oversight on all our contractors, like in terms of fabrication shops and things like that. We have our people right embedded in those shops to ensure that the quality of what gets delivered to site is in accordance to the spec that we set out to deliver.

Ben Thom

That's great color. Thank you.

Dean Setoguchi

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Your next question is from Maurice Choy from RBC Capital Markets.

Your line is now open.

Maurice Choy

Thank you, and good morning, everyone. Wanted to take a high-level overview about your cash flow profile.

I wonder if you could discuss between the three buckets of take-or-pay, fee-for-service that have volumetric exposure, and then marketing. Directionally, where do you see a split today, and where do you reckon you want to be by the end of your forecast period in 2029, and what gets you there?

Dean Setoguchi

Good morning, Maurice. I'll turn that question over to Eileen to answer.

Eileen Marikar

Thanks, Maurice. Great question.

I would refer you back to when we announced the Plains acquisition. At that time, we were 70% fee-for-service on a pro forma basis, 30% was marketing.

Of that 75%, 20 sorry, 45% was take-or-pay with average contract lengths around 12 years, again on a pro forma basis, which is very strong, and that is just an average from 2026 to 2028. As we continue to bring on these projects, and with more of the KAPS that we just acquired, 100% of KAPS where the contracts are long duration, well over 10 years, 75% take-or-pay, Frac 3, the ACE terminal, all of these projects, that just continues to grow that very, very strong cash flow.

We will provide an update, again, when we provide a greater update on some of the other items on what that revised cash flow looks like, but I can assure you it does continue to improve as we start to execute and bring on these projects.

Maurice Choy

Understood. If I could finish off with a question on the macro, and in this case, I'm going to request that you speak on behalf of the industry on this one.

You mentioned earlier that you believe on a macro side we're on a 10-year cycle of growth. What, if anything, do you think the industry still needs, be that from the government, from other indicators, for the cycle of growth to proceed?

Dean Setoguchi

That's a great question, Maurice. I do want to emphasize because sometimes I think our industry we complain about the things we don't have, and we don't maybe sometimes stop and give enough credit for the tremendous progress that's been made.

I want to give a lot of credit to our federal government, our Prime Minister is driving us in the right direction, working with Premier Smith and also Premier Eby, too, in BC. When I think back 2 years ago and the things I worried about, it was the top three things I worried about were all government-related, mainly the federal government.

That's much different now. Yes, we need more progress and more clarity in terms of policy and improvements in some regulations to streamline things, but I just want to say there's a tremendous amount of momentum that's carrying us in the right direction, and I have a high-level confidence that our governments are going to get to where we need to be to be that energy superpower and for our industry to thrive and continue to grow for the benefit of all Canadians.

Oh,

Maurice Choy

that's great to hear. Thank you very much.

Dean Setoguchi

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Your next question comes from Patrick Kenny from National Bank Capital Markets.

Your line is now open.

Patrick Kenny

Thank you. Good morning, everyone.

Maybe just back on the consolidation of KAPS and thinking outside of the financial accretion. Dean, maybe you can just expand on some of the other strategic benefits that you've alluded to, what other commercial opportunities either upstream or downstream of the pipe that you might now be able to accelerate as 100% owner?

Then I guess, with these opportunities in front of you, if you might consider further non-core asset sales as just a way to build some [cough] dry powder and also accelerate the timing back to 3 times? Yeah.

Dean Setoguchi

Those are great three questions, Pat. Maybe I'll start backwards on the asset sales.

I think we've been very disciplined about continue to high-grade our portfolio and making sure that our resources are focused on the things that matter most for the company, not just today, but for the long-term future. We have sold a number of facilities over the last three years, and we'll continue to high-grade our portfolio, especially the stuff that is not super core to our long-term strategy.

Having said that, I wouldn't expect anything super significant in terms of a dollar value sale that is going to meaningfully change our debt position in the next 18 months. As we mentioned, we've been very disciplined about locking in our hedges, especially on the frac spread, but also with our iso-octane business to make sure that we have the cash flow to drive that leverage just with the performance of the business.

With respect to KAPS, when you go back on KAPS, I would say, in my time, it's probably the biggest decision we've ever made at the time, but probably the best decision we ever made. KAPS connects our downstream and upstream business, and so for us to provide the best value-add service for our customers, KAPS is a core, core piece of that.

Again, when you think about the NGLs and condensate that is going to get produced in this space and with all the pipeline egress that's going to get built for crude oil and with more LNG facilities, that is going to be an essential asset that we're going to fill to capacity. We just think that it's a core part of our overall integrated service to make our business work better and more competitive.

I don't know if you guys want to add.

Jamie Urquhart

No, I think, as we think about our assets and the opportunity to integrate it with Plains, as Dean alluded to, I think we're very pleasantly surprised with respect to the quality of the people, he alluded to, the assets are foundational core assets for us going into the future. We may need to spend a few dollars, I think, here in the next year or two to get them up to our standard, as Dean said, but that will enable us to grow our collective business.

I think one of the short-term benefits is allowing to take the very talented people that we've brought into our organization to think more broadly around the system of assets that we've brought into the asset. They tended to look at things more on an asset-by-asset basis where they're highly integrated, and the decisions we make at one asset impact other assets as well.

That's one of the short-term benefits that we've been able to see in action very quickly. Then, as Dean alluded to, the long-term integration opportunities that we're extremely excited about.

That would be all I would add to the Plains acquisition element of it.

Patrick Kenny

That's great color. I appreciate that.

Then maybe just to follow up on the marketing outlook. I know you're well-hedged, but I guess just curious given the strong crack spread, refined product environment, if these market dynamics continue, might there be some further tailwinds here for the iso-octane margins going forward?

Maybe just confirm where any potential outsized marketing contributions would first be directed, namely balance sheet versus growth?

Eileen Marikar

Thanks, Pat. Great question.

[cough] So in terms of the marketing itself, I think, again, for this year, the $360 to $390 million, we feel is still very appropriate, weighted very much towards the second half of the year. Of course, it reflects the outage that we had in the first half of the year at AEF.

As you said, as we look forward, we're set up really well for 2027 from a marketing perspective. As you noted, those RBOB to WTI spreads, or what we refer to as RBOB cracks, have been incredibly strong, and we have been layering on RBOB hedges into next year as well as even into 2028 because the values are that strong.

I think that is a positive. As Dean mentioned earlier, on the frac spread side, more than 65% of the volumes are also hedged at better values than our deal thesis.

Then the propane business is also, in general, set up quite well, again our ability to export propane to Asia through AltaGas' export facility where demand remains strong. I think for next year, we're set up quite well.

In terms of cash flow, yes, back to capital allocation, our priority is to bring the balance sheet back within the target range. You asked about asset sales, but the good thing is our leverage, it's conservative, that 2.5 to 3 times, even though we're a bigger size, and we don't need to sell assets.

It's more just a matter of cleaning up the portfolio as part of normal course.

Patrick Kenny

That's great. Thanks, Eileen.

Thanks, everybody.

Dean Setoguchi

Thanks a lot.

Operator

Thank you. Once again, that is star, one, should you wish to ask a question.

Your next question is from Aaron MacNeil from TD Cowen. Your line is now open.

Aaron MacNeil

Hey, morning, all. Thanks for taking my questions.

Dean, one of the strategic rationales for the Plains transaction was increasing connectivity across the NGL value chain. Again, I'm not trying to get you to front-run a capital project or anything like that, but now that you've been operating the assets, I'm wondering if you could provide an example or an anecdote of something that would support that previous messaging that maybe you hadn't touched on in the past?

Dean Setoguchi

Good morning, Aaron. That's a great question.

We're just tremendously excited by the combination of the two asset bases because our business was more centered in the west and also getting molecules down into the US. When we've had our hands on this business now for 2.5 months, now we're getting more exposure out to the eastern markets and draw price off of Bellevue.

We just see tremendous opportunity to take those molecules to the east, but also to be able to distribute them in the Midcontinent, too, right from Empress down in the US and accessing also into Wisconsin and Michigan as well. We just like those markets.

We're a supply-based basin, a big part of value that we add is being able to access markets efficiently. While the Asian markets are very strong off the west coast and we're well-positioned there, continentally, the eastern markets are strong, too, especially in the wintertime, and we're very happy to have the assets that can serve those markets as well.

I don't know if there's anything else you guys want to add.

Jamie Urquhart

No, I I think [cough] just to add on the to something I I I shared with the last answer to the question was without getting into specifics, we we we certainly see opportunities to debottleneck the assets in a very capital-efficient way to, to facilitate some of the opportunities that perhaps the the previous owner just didn't have the commitment and the focus to to pursue. There there's no big projects that I think we're, in a position to be able to announce over the next little while.

It's kind of boring, but I I I, I had a boss once that said, "Bunts Bunts singles score runs." There there's just a lot of bunt singles that we're we're unearthing.

That's going to result in some some really im- impressive, I think, growth for for our organization over the next year or two.

Aaron MacNeil

You sensed my next question. I wanted to ask about bottlenecks.

I think that the KAPS volume ramp is well-documented, as are your fractionation and rail capacity additions. Where do you see the greatest bottlenecks across the expanded platform over the next 3 to 5 years?

Is it the Plains business? Is it something else?

Is it G&P? How would you rank sort of what's most urgent to not as urgent?

Dean Setoguchi

That's a great question. The great thing is that we have sanctioned projects in place to address some of the bigger ones.

With our frac projects, but we still have capacity on KAPS. Yes, we'll have to add more pumping stations and things like that, but we still have great capacity there to serve the Montney and Duvernay developments at that part of the basin.

We think that we can use our assets more effectively together. Like some of our storage assets, perhaps, to get better effective utilization out of the storage as an example.

I think that's positive. We talked about our oil sands assets.

The pipe connectivity and the capacity on that between Edmonton, Fort Saskatchewan, and storage is included as part of that, but also the Norlite Pipeline. There might be debottlenecks that are required on those assets over time.

As Jamie just described, there's debottlenecks that But these are all generally low-capital debottlenecks that I'm talking about now. I would envision that they're all very capital-efficient and are going to generate very high returns for us overall.

I'd say the [cough] biggest capital need over time is probably on our G&P front where to process all the incremental gas that's going to get developed, there's going to be likely more processing capacity. Brad, you want to add some comments?

Brad Slessor

Thanks, Aaron. Brad here.

Really appreciate the question. I think leveraging off what Dean said, as the oil sands continues to call for more condensate, we think that's going to come from the Montney and the Duvernay.

We think we're very well-positioned to capture our fair share of that growth coming down the KAPS pipeline. All that drilling for condensate brings the need for more gas processing and more NGLs to make it to market as well.

You've seen us talk in the past about a really capital-efficient debottleneck at Simonette, at our Wapiti gas plant, and we've also recently talked very very briefly about getting in front of the incremental need for gas processing we see out in the basin in the Montney, especially for sour gas processing, which is complex and is right in our area of expertise. That's some of the areas that our team is certainly focused on, and we look forward to chatting more about that in the coming quarters.

Aaron MacNeil

Yes, thanks to everyone. I'll turn it back.

Dean Setoguchi

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Your next question is from A.J.

O'Donnell from TPH. Your line is now open.

AJ O'Donnell

Hey, good morning, everyone. Just wanted to focus on some of the macro intrabasin, just thinking about some of the incremental progress that's been made on the data center development.

Particularly given your position of land in the Industrial Heartland corridor, could you maybe talk about your surplus of land or maybe potential gas supply capability that could potentially support a similar power generation project or something data center adjacent opportunity?

Dean Setoguchi

Good morning, A.J. Great question.

I think that we're going to see a lot of opportunity for many developments in the Industrial Heartland. As you mentioned, we have 1,300 acres of land there that is situated in a very good spot.

It has very good pipe connectivity right through those lands for pretty much every product. The pipes run right through the land, so that's a big advantage.

We do have the salt rights to build cavern storage. We have our ACE rail terminal that's getting built, which we can multi-purpose for other projects.

I also'd point out that Shell's carbon capture line cuts through the northeast corner of that land as well. If there's any projects that require carbon sequestration, we have a short tie-in to get into their line.

There's a lot of advantages there. I won't speak specifically to data centers.

That's always a possibility, and I think it's great to have more demand centers for our natural gas. I would just say that any developer that requires reliable supply of feedstock, they're going to look to Alberta.

This is a great, great place to do business. Again, I can't think of a better place to locate new opportunities in our lands and in that area.

We have a business development team that's working on opportunities. It's too early to talk about what those opportunities look like, but I think that for the long-term future growth of Keyera, you're going to see a lot more development on that land because it's so well-situated and has so many amenities that advantage it.

AJ O'Donnell

Thanks, Dean. Maybe just the last one is just thinking about your system and tying it back to the macro and just overall volume growth into the remainder of the year.

Just wondering if you could refresh us all and kind of how producer activity is tracking right now, kind of what you're expecting for the cadence of volume ramp through next year and or through the end of this year and into 2027. Thanks.

Dean Setoguchi

Yeah. Listen, as I mentioned before, we are very very excited about the macro future, the long-term future, both short, medium, long term.

Will there be some cycles and blips? Sure there will be, but generally, I think there's a very strong tailwind for our entire business.

That is good for Keyera. We have core basin infrastructure that helps to enable the basin to grow.

We provide services that add value to our customers, the producers, which incent them to continue to drill more because it's profitable for them. We've already published our guidance for our fee-for-service EBITDA growth, which again is I believe it's the very best out of all the midstream providers: 16% to 18% fee-for-service EBITDA growth from 2025 to 2027 and 7% to 8% from 2027 to '29.

That guidance is what we're locked in on delivering. As we said, we see a ton of opportunity that's going to carry our growth well beyond 2029.

We're very excited.

AJ O'Donnell

All right, thank you very much.

Dean Setoguchi

All right, thanks. Have a great day.

Operator

Thank you. There are no further questions at this time.

Please proceed with the closing remarks.

Dan Cuthbertson

This is Dan Cuthbertson with Investor Relations. Thanks, all, again for joining us today.

Please feel free to reach out to our IR team with any additional questions. With that, I hope everyone enjoys the rest of the summer.

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, that concludes the conference call for today.

Thank you all for joining. You may now disconnect your line.