Riyad Bank

Riyad Bank

TTADAWUL:1010
19.20
SAR
-0.30
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79.31BMarket Cap
Feb 15Next Earn

Q4 FY2025 · Earnings Call TranscriptFebruary 17, 2026

Operator

Welcome, everyone, to the Riyad Bank 4Q 2025 earnings call. My name is Lauren, and I will be your coordinator today.

If you wish to ask a question during the webinar and you are connected via Webex, then please use the raise hand icon on your screen. Alternatively, if you have joined us on the phone, then please press *1 on your telephone keypad.

I will now hand you over to Mohammed Faisal Potrik from Riyad Capital to begin. Please go ahead.

Mohammed Faisal Potrik

Thank you. Good afternoon and good morning, everyone.

On behalf of Riyad Capital, it's my pleasure to welcome you all to Riyad Bank's fourth quarter 2025 earnings call. I would now like to hand over the call to Mr.

Rayan Alshuaibi, Head of Investor Relations at Riyad Bank. Please go ahead, Rayan.

Rayan Alshuaibi

Thank you, Potrik. Good day, everyone, and thank you for joining the call.

With us on the call today, our CEO, Nadir Al-Koraya; CFO, Abdullah Al-Oraini. As always, our CEO will start with the performance highlights, followed by a new strategy, covering the new strategy for the bank, and then CFO will cover the financial performance in more details.

Now, I'll hand it over to our CEO to start the presentation.

Nadir Al-Koraya

Thank you, Rayan. Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining us today for the fourth quarter of 2025 earnings call.

I'm pleased to be here to share the highlights of another strong quarter and the continued momentum we have seen throughout the year. In today's call, I will walk you through our key financial results and present to you the new strategic direction of the bank under Strategy 2030.

Before we start the presentation, it's worth to highlight that the bank has announced the board of directors' recommendation to increase the bank's capital through issuance of bonus shares by capitalizing 10 billion Saudi riyals from the statutory reserve and retained earnings in equal proportion. The increase in the bank's capital is aimed to strengthen the bank's core capital structure, which will support us in achieving our new strategic directions and objectives.

Now, with that, let's now go to the presentation, please. In this slide, I'll just walk you through our 2025 highlights.

On the balance sheet side, we saw a solid growth. Our total assets hit 519 billion Saudi riyals.

That's up 15% year-on-year. This is mainly driven by a 53 billion increase in our loan book, which is 17% growth year-on-year.

On the funding side, customer deposits grew 8%, and our liabilities rose 16% year-on-year. When we look at the profitability, and thanks to a solid asset growth and cross-sell effort, we saw operating income rise 6% year-on-year, funded income up around 2%, and we had a standout 20% jump in fee and other income.

Our focus on efficiency is paying off. Cost-to-income improved to 29.6%, down 100 basis points.

As a result, net income hit 10.4 billion Saudi riyals, up 12% from the year before. Our ROE went up to 16.9%.

That's 44 basis points increase from last year. This shows we have maintained a healthy, resilient position, and even with this growth, our asset quality stayed solid.

NPL dropped 19 basis points to 0.79%, and coverage ratio as at a healthy 150 percent. Our capital position is solid with CAR ratio at 18.4%, and liquidity is strong too.

Our SAMA LDR is at 81.8. All are well within regulatory limits.

Next slide, please. On this slide, I'm proud to say we have accomplished what we set out to do.

We had four clear aspirations, and we delivered. First, in profitability, we strengthened it through disciplined growth, healthy margin, and better optimization.

On efficiency, we improved processes and speeded up the delivery. For being the bank of choice, we elevated customer experience and trust.

In innovation, we expanded the digital journeys and our ability to innovate. Next slide, please.

These strategic improvements directly impacted positively our financial performance. Now, let me walk you through what these results look like in numbers.

Our total assets grew from 310 billion Saudi riyals to 519 billion Saudi riyals. That's an 11% CAGR growth.

Loans grew even faster, 14%. Net income more than doubled from 4.7 billion Saudi riyals to 10.4 billion Saudi riyals.

That's a 17% CAGR growth. Our cost-to-income ratio dropped to 29.6%, making us one of the most efficient banks in the kingdom, and our ROE is up to 16.9%.

Next slide, please. As strong as we have been, we cannot stand still.

The world is changing fast, from economic shifts to digital transformation and evolving customer needs. Our next strategy tackles these shifts.

We have got four interconnected themes driving our transformation forward. First, hyperscale retail: we are going to grow our customer base through digital channels, partnering where customer already are, and building a long-term customer loyalty.

Second, from strength to strength in wholesale: we are already strong, but will further penetrate global transaction business solutions, which will help us increase fee income generation. Third, AI: so AI will be at the core.

This is not just a project; it's how we will operate. AI will power customer service, streamline operation, reduce risk, and cost.

That's how the bank will run. Lastly, a robust core technology foundation: we are rolling out a modern banking system that's flexible, cloud-native, and having tech and business working hand-in-hand.

The foundation will let us achieve everything else we are aiming for. In this slide, these four themes are the how.

Now, let me share with you the what. In the new strategy, we have five strategic pillars.

These pillars define where we are headed and how we will measure success. With our board guidance, we have set a bold vision for our 2030 strategy.

I will walk you through these pillars. First, we focus on strong shareholder value, delivering consistent, sustainable financial performance, with profitability and total shareholder returns as our guide.

Second, we are about delighting both customers and employees. It's all about creating meaningful experience measured by Net Promoter Score, NPS.

Third, digital-first: we will lead innovation with advanced digital solutions, measuring success by our digital transaction share. Fourth, building for the future: this is about long-term growth measured by new retail and MSME customer in NTB.

Fifth, being the most trusted, resilient, and sustainable bank: our focus is on ESG and operational efficiency. Together, these pillars form a solid framework, balancing our past achievement with a bold future and giving us clear ways to measure progress.

To sum it up, the next five years will not follow the same playbook. Growth will become more competitive.

Capital efficiency will matter more than balance sheet expansion alone. Fee income and the bank's franchise will increasingly differentiate performance, and the right balance between margin and market share will be critical.

In short, the next phase requires a smarter, lighter, more digital, and more capital-efficient operating model. That's precisely what Strategy 2030 is designed to deliver.

Let me anchor this in a clear financial ambition. By 2030, we aspire to achieve high-teens return on equity.

These ambitions are grounded in our historical performance and supported by clearly defined operational levers. This strategy actually positions us at the intersection of massive trends: Saudi Arabia economic transformation under Vision 2030; the digital revolution in financial services; the AI revolution reshaping every industry; and the growing demand for sustainable, responsible banking.

We have the aspiration, we have the strategy, we have the capability, and we have the commitment. I'm excited about what we are building, I'm confident in our ability to deliver, and I'm grateful for your partnership on this journey.

With that, I will now hand over to my colleague, Abdullah, to walk you through the financial performance in more details. Thank you.

Abdullah Al-Oraini

Thank you, Nadir. On page nine, the slide basically highlights the solid growth in the balance sheet footing and loans and advances portfolio by 15% and 17% respectively.

We also have seen a very decent and strong growth in the investments of 13%. Those were primarily funded by customer deposits as well as debt securities, including various sources of instruments, and that has set us in a very strong position to increase our and enhance our returns overall and registering a solid profitability with a 12% net income year-on-year and a return on average equity to reach 16.9%.

Despite the fact that margin has contracted by around 50 basis points year-on-year, and that has impacted the net special commission income to register a modest increase compared to the previous periods, however, these were very much supported by a very strong in fee and other income generations that have contributed to the operating income growth of 6.3% for the year. Not discounting the extra efforts that has been progressing on for our strategy 2025 journey, where our efficiencies has continued to drive values, where we register 29.6% as cost-income ratio, which is a record low for the bank, while the cost base has marginally increased by around 3% or 2.8% specifically, and that were on the back of a very disciplined cost management and controls.

Both cost of risk and NPL has descended to a very favorable levels, where a cost of risk registered to 39 basis points and NPL ratio to 79 basis points, respectively. With that, funding as well as liquidity and capitals remained at comfortable level and pretty much supports our future outlook.

On slide number 10, this just to give you the key movements of the balance sheet in terms of total assets. As you can see that, which already highlighted by my colleague, Nadir, 53% has been booked under the loans and advances, which equates to 16.6% or 17% growth year-over-year.

We have also opportunistically increased our investments portfolio to further support not only the diversifications, but also opportunistically to expand into more investments instruments. The remaining parts were more or less is a fair distributions of the asset mix.

The loans movements have been driven basically by the corporate and commercial loans book, where out of the 53 is around 50 billion have been recorded during the year. Retail has grown modestly by 3% or 3 billion for the whole 2025.

The growth that has been recorded by the corporate and commercial book have been widely spread across the different sectors, and those sectors are the key focus and are the relevant sectors and benefiting sectors from the ongoing economic development in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. While continuing our efforts and plans in executions on diversifying our funding sources through a different funding instruments and leveraging our funding franchise that we have established several years ago in the market, along with our approach and in approaching different customer deposits relatively cheaper sources of funding as well, I think the overall liability movements has grown very nicely by 16%, predominantly in the domains of the customer deposits, which are in the form of interest-bearing deposits, as well as the debt securities in issues, which includes a various instruments, including some capital instruments as well.

Customer movements, as I highlighted, 36 billion have been in the form of IBDs, which equates to 25% growth year-over-year, while we saw a contraction in non-interest-bearing deposits by 10.3 billion. I would like to call out this 10.3 billion on the last year full-year results for 2024, we did highlight that around 7 to 8 billion of non-interest-bearing deposits were in the transit-way space, and those were being reserved by the bank to pay them through interest-bearing deposits.

Net stable funding ratios remains very healthy at 109%, which increased 2.2% year-over-year, while headline LDR increased by 80 8.1% to reach 12 112.5%. We have seen stabilization on the CASA mix or the NIBs as a percentage of total deposits since the second quarter of this year, and we continue to focus on further penetrate that segment along with that sources of funds along with the relatively cheaper customer deposits.

The net special commission income increase were modest, but was probable by volume growth, which was offset by the higher funding cost that the whole industry has faced during the course of 2025. I think that translates to a 13.1 billion recording of net special commission income.

What we have seen also that a pickup on margin for Q4, and I would like to call out here what we have updated the industry and the market participants that we are ongoing a repricing wave across our addressable corporate book, and I think we have progressed very well in Q4, and we'll continue to be the theme for the year 2026. For the full year, we recorded 2.88 percentage point as a net special commission margin, and that is expected to stabilize in the foreseeable future.

I think the momentum in fee and other income continued to be driven by our strategic focus on the cross-sell activities with an objective to continue to diversify the revenue streams and support our business models and penetrate our customers across all business groups and entities. As you can see, the 20% increase year-on-year that my colleague Nadir has alluded to were significantly probable by the core banking services, as well as the complementary treasury solutions that we offer to our corporate business, as well as the deals that we participate in to ensure that we compensate for the margin compressions in case of competition.

The fee from banking services on the bottom left chart is just to highlight the key components of that, which has grown very nicely by 16%. At the same time, if we look at the trend of the fee and other income, we see that the trend has continued to be robust, although that Q3 was a very strong in terms of the quantum due to a successful completion of a couple of key transactions that we have undergone in Q3.

I think our journey on increasing our revenue in general and focusing on cross-sells, while at the same time derived efficiencies and productivity across the businesses, which we have highlighted at the beginning of 2024 as a strategic priorities for the next two years, have continued to serve us very well by registering a 3.6% positive jaws on the back of all the efforts from the efficiency improvements, while at the same time we continue to focus on directing our capital allocations to our people and infrastructure in general and penetrating our and integrating our digital capabilities. This is just to give you a waterfall on the key movements of the cost base.

As you can see that the employee-related has modestly grown around 2% to 3%, and the depreciation as an expense has increased as part the capitalizations has started to kick in from our previous investments. Quarterly expenses, if we look at the past three five quarters, we see an overall declining rate by 3%, which sets us in a very nice positions to achieve our strategic target of having below 30%, which is in this case 29.6%.

The strong recoveries that we have started to see during the course of 2025 and we continue to focus in has been a key areas of focus on making sure that we complement our risk management processes and sound assets quality processes by lowering our cost of risk to the level where we are comfortable with. In that case, we have registered 39%.

It's worth mentioning that recoveries were a record. What you see here is the 300 million equivalent, which is 51% growth year-over-year, but if we count the NPL recoveries that we have done, it is even much more than two folds of this figure.

NPL ratios registers a very low and healthy level of 79 basis points, and that were as a combination between both the provisioning, as well as the asset growth and write-off as well. Coverage ratio has reached again to the 150% level, which we believe that it is sufficient at this stage with an appropriate staging coverage across the whole three stages.

Putting it all together, I think that was the conclusion of registering record profits for the bank history, 10.4 billion, which equates to 11.7% or 12% year-on-year, and with a record total operating income of 18.4 billion, 6% year-on-year, were very much supported by a strong assets quality, a strong profitability metrics of 16.9% return on average equity and 2.14% on return on average assets. As highlighted by my colleague Nadir, capitalizations remains healthy, and they are above regulatory minima.

The regulatory capital grew by 11% on the back of a very strong internal capital generation velocity, as well as the risk-weighted assets continue to grow faster than the total regulatory capital. That on the back of a very strong balance sheet growth supported by a strong growth in our trade finance business, which typically are in the form of off-balance-sheet.

Capital ratios, Tier 1 stood at 16%. We see common equity Tier 1 inching up to 13.6%, and I think what my colleague Nadir mentions at the beginning on the internal capitalizations or the bonus share issuance proposed by the board of directors will continue to strengthen our common equity Tier 1, and that would set us in a very good positions to execute our strategic plan for 2030.

That leads me to the same promising outlook and our strategic journey that we have commenced for the next 5 year, and sharing with you the guidance for 2026. We are guiding for a high-single-digit in loans and advances, as well as on net special commission income.

We are also guiding below 30% for the cost-income ratio. It's worth highlighting that, although that we have recorded 29.6% for 2025, we are very vigilant around the first year of our strategic execution for our next horizon, where a lot of front-loaded investments are planned for.

That also would provide us above 16% for ROE for the first year of execution. Credit risk, we continue to maintain similar guidance around 30 to 40 basis point for 2026, while Tier 1 capital would remain above 15%.

Throughout, I think, the strategic horizons that we mentioned and highlighted by my colleague, Nadir, we aim for high teens as an ending journey for our next five years as a general guidance for the outlook. With that, I will hand over back to my colleague.

Operator, back to you for the Q&A session.

Operator

Thank you. We will now begin the Q&A session.

If you would like to ask a question and you have joined the call via Webex, then please use the raise hand icon on your screen. Alternatively, if you have joined on the telephone, then please press *1 on your telephone keypad.

We will pause for a moment to allow questions to be registered. Our first question today comes from John Peace.

Please state your company name and proceed with your question.

John Peace

Thank you. This is John Peace from UBS.

My first question, please, is on the 2030 goals. I apologize, the line cut out a little bit.

I heard you say that you were targeting a high-teens return on equity. I wondered if there are any other elements to financial guidance, for example, the loan growth or the dividend payout that you expected over the period.

Then could I ask a question, please, about asset quality? You continue to have that number one share in SME lending, yet your NPLs are still very low.

I noticed also your coverage historically has been a little bit lower than peers. Could you just remind us about why the asset quality of that book is so good?

Perhaps you can remind us the share of Kafalah loans, but also are you targeting larger MSMEs, which tend to be a little bit lower risk? Thank you.

Abdullah Al-Oraini

Thank you very much, Peace. If you allow me just to comment on the the first question, yes, our strategic plan targets a high-teens of the the high end of the high teens.

I think it's more importantly is that we recognize the the the volatility of the foreseeable future that we're in. I think we our plan is built is built on scenarios, and these scenarios have different assumptions.

I think might be a little bit immature at this stage to provide a solid CAGR on how the loans and the key metrics would look like, because the base year I think the first year would be a a very probable the next 18 to 24 months to establish how is the momentum is going to be. I think there are a lots of moving variables, but I think what we are focused on is how we are being more resilience through different scenarios whereby we land on our ultimate objectives and executions capacity.

I think down the road in the next periods, I think in the after the first or second year of execution, we would have more solid scenarios on the forming basis of the global trends particularly, as well as the key fundamentals evolutions that we are monitoring very closely. However, but we're very well positioned to capture this.

We think that we can create that value. We do have different tools and means, and we are also at the same times directing a significant investments on some choices, strategic choices, that will give us also some levers and leeways around different scenarios.

That's with respect to the first question. The second one, with respect to the asset quality, yes, we are market leader and probably I think we have more than two decades of experiences on that segment.

We have a lot of experiences with that segment. We have lived through different cycles with that segment.

Also we were the early mover to Kafalah, and and that translates our largest share with Kafalah. That segment has been very well tested over the past four years post-COVID.

I think what we are remaining with are those of better quality than what we have witnessed in the pre-COVID. The Kafalah are performing on a good basis.

I think the only difference that Kafalah would would require a further processes in order to have the recoverability amounts when those exposure goes to a level where they are not able to service their debts. I think we had been yani, I think, handling this accounts very diligently and delicately.

We have seen spikes in the past, but those spikes on the on the size of portfolio are pretty much manageable. I think whatever cost of credit that were incurring there on a risk-adjusted basis, still the returns are very attractive.

That explains what is our position on Kafalah. Kafalah, we have around roughly around 11 billion of worth of exposure, and and that's constitute roughly I would say around 12% of the total MSME portfolio.

I think our biggest exposures are in the middle and the upper ones, and I think that's what we do have really a an excellence position on. We continue to penetrate the micro as we go, and further penetrate the digital capabilities that we have been building, and we'll continue to build on the micro site.

That's with respect to the MSME and the asset quality. On the last part of the questions on the coverage, as we are we are we're a leading corporate bank.

We're a leading trade finance house for decades. Our loan book is roughly around 73% or more in the form of corporate and commercial, and around 27% on the form of retail.

That explains our coverage ratio is always hovering around these levels, because sometimes as a leading corporate bank, we need to deal with a certain accounts of exposures, and those exposures are not necessarily very widely spread like a retail, where you have a typical rate flow. I think what I want to say at the last part of this question is that we're pretty much comfortable around the level of coverage.

I think we continue to monitor the problem loans and watchlist very carefully. We do have the right governance around it, and we do have the right risk processes that we continue to focus ourselves on.

I would like also to reiterate what we have shared Nadir, my colleague Nadir, have have mentioned this in 2024, because we wanted to focus more on solving these problematic exposures and try to find appropriate solutions through appropriate structuring, as well as to increase our recoverability and the recoveries. That's why we established a very dedicated large team.

We called it inside the special assets teams whereby these have proven to be very effective, and we have seen the results actually in '24 and '25. Thank you.

John Peace

Very clear. Thank you very much.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question today comes from Naresh Bilandani.

Please state your company name and proceed with your question.

Naresh Bilandani

Yes, thank you. It's Naresh Bilandani from Jefferies.

Thanks a lot for the presentation. I have three questions, please.

One is given that we are halfway through the first quarter already, would you please give some indication on how the NIM has been progressing year-to-date? I'm just keen to gauge if the funding costs are still exceeding the yield decline led by the lower rates.

Any indication there would be very helpful. That's the first question.

Second is, could you just throw more light on the quantum to which the fee income could still remain pressured in the near term due to the regulatory pressure that still needs to be baked in on remittance fees, and perhaps the competitive pressure coming in on brokerage revenues? Any thoughts there would much help.

Third is, I wanted to kindly check on the sensitivity of the ECL assumptions that you are presenting in the note 34.3 of your financial statements. I am comparing these to those presented in the last year, and specifically, I see the impact to ECL from lower oil prices having declined notably by about 90% level year-on-year.

What has led to the build-up of this resilience to lower oil price? Would you please be able to share any reason behind that?

Thank you so much.

Nadir Al-Koraya

I will start by answering the first question regarding NIM. We expect NIM to stay flat or to improve a little as we are optimizing our balance sheet and asset allocation to improve returns.

We are also continue to execute on the repricing activities that we already started last year. We are doubling down on the cross-sell activities.

We had a record year last year on cross-sell income. We are improving efficiencies across the bank.

Also we are focusing on attracting lower cost deposits. I think although these initiatives, NIMs would stabilize or we expect it to improve, but not in a big margin.

For the rest of the two questions, I will leave it to Abdullah. All

Abdullah Al-Oraini

right, thanks, Nadir. Thanks, Naresh.

With regards to the quantum of the fees on the consumer and payments and that's one, I think the annual impact that we have assessed, it could be as high as 1% of the total, which, in our view, is very manageable through different means, including, but not limited with, is factoring really that impact into our pricing. I think the volume particularly that our retail growth over the past two years were not at a very high level, there are volumes lead that can be compensated.

More importantly, I think also the offsetting that through the enhancing the credit cards usages, for example, growing the ENRs through different means. In a nutshell, I think that is pretty much manageable.

Brokerage revenue, I think it's very early to tell. We saw that at least that I'm aware of one of the companies that they are offering it for free in lieu in that.

We have seen also we are vigilant around the market. I think it's very early to tell.

I think the brokerage haven't been doing really well over the past few periods, given the market sentiments and the value-added traded. Perhaps we see a lot of offering through different recoveries of that fees.

Our Riyad Capital is focusing more on growing their digital penetrations in that space. I think they have done considerably well over the past periods when it comes to the international as well.

I think that is, in my opinion, is still very, very early to comment on because, and more importantly, I think our brokerage income contributions to the fee and other income are pretty much limited in our case. On the last one, I think that this is part of the economic credit loss models scenarios where you have built some macro effects and etc.

I think the key part here is there are different scenarios that goes in into that one. I think there are scenarios that have already been incorporating using the latest different independent sources as well, including international institute, but also reflects the fact that volume growth or the oil productions and the export growth.

More importantly, and I think as the Saudi economy has been transforming over the past few years, the dependency that we see on the volatility in the oil price and the impact of that on the economic development has significantly diverted. I think that is a contributions of that.

There are multiple factors that implement that. I think the most important thing that I would like to highlight, these go through different iterations of an independent reviews, including, but not limited with, a completely professional company that is completely independent from the bank.

Thank you.

Naresh Bilandani

Got it. Got it.

Thank you. Just one very quick follow-up.

Abdullah, you mentioned the Q3 fee income was abnormally strong due to certain transactions. In light of the answer that you provided, is the Q4 fee income of 802 million that you reported in the fourth quarter, is that likely to be a much more normalized run rate, or there could still be pressure coming through in the second quarter as the lower remittance fees are still incorporated in this number?

Abdullah Al-Oraini

Thank you, Naresh. They we always work on a cut-off dates.

For example, what I meant by Q3, there were transactions should have concluded in Q1, at least one that I'm aware of sizable, but that has shifted towards the month of July. I think that has inflated that one.

When With With the second part of the question, is that a normalized one? I think it's it's a bit early to to to assume that, because I think, particularly this quarter, were having some seasonal positive effect and some seasonal negative effect in overall sales and other services activities.

More importantly, I think we have consistently, yani, being delivering that if we don't do it or we don't capture it for a reasons that is beyond us, we try to compensate it from elsewhere.

Naresh Bilandani

Got it. Thank you very much.

Abdullah Al-Oraini

You're welcome.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Murad Ansari.

Please state your company name and proceed with your question.

Murad Ansari

Yes, hi. Good afternoon.

This is Murad Ansari from EFG Hermes. Thank you for the presentation.

Three questions. Firstly, on loan growth, you're guiding towards a high single-digit growth.

I just wanted to put the 2025 growth in perspective as in that there was very little growth on the retail. Is that the blueprint we should expect for 2025?

Also, if you could comment on the mortgage book, it's been a slow year. SAMA data for December was relatively weak compared to last 2024 December despite all the activity that was there, just your thoughts on consumer and mortgages.

My second question is on the dividend for the second half. Typically over the last 4 5 years, your final year dividend for the year has been higher than your interim dividend.

This time, you've given a combination of cash and stock dividend. Just wanted to understand, obviously, this is to strengthen capital ratios, but is should we see this as kind of base going forward?

Or this cash dividend cut versus last year kind of covers the capital needs that you have? Related to that, just on the RWA intensity, at 91%, Riyad is relatively high compared to peer banks.

Is there more room for RWA optimization? Lastly, on the funding side of the equation.

Just want to get your sense, you've said you've been able to sustain CASA ratios over the last couple of quarters, liquidity situation apparently is or as we hear is slightly better. As we go into 2026 and over the 2030 strategy, how do you expect the funding mix to evolve?

Is there room for this CASA mix to improve? Are the best years behind us?

In terms of funding, will there be more issuances on senior debt or AT1 or Tier 2? Thank you.

Abdullah Al-Oraini

Thank you, Murad. Regarding your first question, although we are guiding lower on asset growth or loan growth, but we will be focusing going forward in high value and value-added assets and investment.

As I said earlier, we will optimize the asset allocation to improve returns this year, and we continue to execute on repricing activities. We will double down on this cross-sell activities, but more importantly, I think we will be focusing in more investment rather than asset growth.

Again, efficiencies will be focus for us in '26. Thank you.

Murad, I tried to write down all the questions, but in case if I miss one, please feel free to jump. I think like what my colleague Nadir mentions, exactly, I think we are coming from a high base.

There is a higher base have been formed. I think we have been seeing this over the past six months that we do expect the market in '26 to decelerate to high single-digit to at best low double-digit.

I think that says what we are expecting, and we will continue to drive the best value out of it as highlighted. When it comes to the mortgages, I think it follows the same point that Nadir has mentioned.

We will focus on whether if the more we see value on the current market mortgage outlook or the offering or the products and the yield out of it, and the collective given the from an assets allocation perspective, we'll continue to pursue because I think we look at the whole thing from a value perspective. I think that is the key determinant factors on how we are growing our book.

In terms of the you mentioned about the dividend, I think I would like to take the liberty to remind the investor community when the last time that Riyad Bank has issued bonus share for its shareholders, it was in 2014. Probably, I think we have seen over the last two cycles that the average durations that banks do that probably is around 4 to 5 years.

We have seen that is changing towards a shorter durations. I think the key message here is that we had been to a growth trajectory since to the first phase of transformation 2017, where we had a leapfrog for until 2020, and then this 2025 Strategy from 2020 2025.

I think we have been very consistent in delivering a very strong shareholders returns, and I think we have been very consistently and sustainably growing our also dividend streams over time. I think that the board of director thought, I think given the new horizons that we are embarking on, it might be, I think, the most options that we continue to provide this window of recapitalizations, while at the same time achieving for the year a very decent payout ratio.

I think going forward, this will continue to be guided in the same guiding principles that we have shared five years ago or more with the investor community. We need to have a sufficient capital to execute our strategic plan, and we need to have adequate capital reserves.

We need also to consider progressive dividends for our shareholders and total shareholders returns. The guiding principles on balancing these multiple objectives are still intact.

With respect to the market outlook on the mortgage, I think the mortgage has definitely slowed down over the last 2 3 years compared to the previous periods where we saw a very strong growth, and that is expected, and particularly also with a high interest rates environments, and after that, a very high inflationary environments that are being hitting the global geographies, which has also contaminated some of the inflations on the development cost. I think that sectors will continue to be under our monitoring, and it is an integral part of our book.

Just to highlight that our mortgage book now constitute 18% of our total loan mix, and it remains a strategic asset for us, but also we need to look at the value on overall value that from that particular products. Did I miss something, please?

Because that's

Murad Ansari

Yes, funding mix.

Abdullah Al-Oraini

The funding mix, I think if you look from 10 years or 15 years earlier, I think 97% or so, no more than 95% of the consolidated banking balance sheet are funded by purely customer deposits, out of which more than 70% of that are on non-interest-bearing deposits, which have been there for a while. I think what we have seen a strategic shift, particularly post-2018, and then we had the COVID-19 effect, and then we had started to see the funding gap between loans and deposits.

This where a more modernizations of the market funding comes into the play. As we speak, still the wholesale funding represents very, very conservative levels compared to the regional and global benchmark.

We do expect some development in that one, but I think what is very important from our perspective is to make sure that the funding risk, as well as the assets liability mismatch, and the diversifications, as well as the dependency on a single or a certain sources of funding, does not exceeds our threshold and our risk appetite. We do expect more liberalization, but also, I think, that might not change the mix percentage per se, but I think the relevance might be higher.

Murad Ansari

Thank you so much, and all the best for 2026.

Abdullah Al-Oraini

Thank you very much.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Abdullah Buraidi.

Please state your company name and proceed with your question.

Abdullah Al Buraidi

Am I audible?

Operator

Yes, you are.

Abdullah Al Buraidi

Yeah. Thank you very much for the great results and the great presentation.

This is Abdullah Buraidi from Emirates NBD. I have a couple of questions.

The first one regarding the sensitivity of the guidance of the net special commission income. We noticed when we look at the repricing table that the duration of assets continue to inch lower given by the high growth in corporate loan book which outpaced the growth in retail book significantly.

On the other hand, we notice that liabilities has increased in duration a little bit from being extremely short duration to slightly higher duration, which makes the bank in theoretical basis more sensitive to lower benchmark rates. How confident are you from having this NIM to be flat or slightly improving?

That's the first point. The second one, we notice some connecting points here and there regarding the mortgage growth not being that high in this year, and the decline maybe in CASA, and the duration as well.

Forgive my ignorance, and I think more growth in mortgage would bring with it more CASA and a higher duration, which is helpful in such declining interest rates environment. How do you look at this?

Abdullah Al-Oraini

Thank you very much. I think for the first question, I think we have been positioning the balance sheet very favorably for the falling rate cycle.

I think based on actual and based on the December positions of 31st positions, as well as based on the maturities and the sensitivities that we apply through our ALCO process, I wouldn't say one basis point positive for every 25 basis point cut, but I would caveat it to nearly zero. There could be some marginal benefits.

I think that's has been very well managed through our directional investments portfolio, as well as through also the repricing periods of our corporate book. That's one.

Thank you for bringing this up. The second one is yes, and on the face value, I think mortgage would serve in a better way for a falling rate cycles, provided that they are being priced reasonably well.

I think that's our focus. Don't get me wrong on that one.

I think the type of mortgages would have a different impacts on the different of CASA that they bring. If we go to the low buckets mortgage businesses, I think the level of CASA is almost not that great or negligible.

When we do our focus and we are geared towards the non-Redf, the affluent and the upper mass segments, I think that's what we are targeting. That has a positive implications.

Also I would like to bring a point here that mortgages also because of durations, it is a capital intensive when it comes to the interest rate risk in the banking book. I think we look at this from the whole balance sheet perspective, rather than just a product and a business by itself in isolations on others.

I think that's what my colleague Nadir was alluding to in terms of the value impact for the bank on the foreseeable future. Thank you.

Abdullah Al Buraidi

Thank you. Very, very informative.

One last question, if you allow me. There was a good amount of write-offs in the second half, mainly the third quarter, and even the fourth quarter.

Could you shed some light on this? Thank you very much, wafaqakum Allah.

Afwan.

Abdullah Al-Oraini

I think during the third quarter earnings calls, I did informed the investor community that we were trying to restructure one of a large exposure that we have. We had initiated the discussion during the course of the fourth quarter 2024, and we continued that discussion in Q1.

Unfortunately, the restructuring has collapsed at that time, and we had to recognize this as an NPL, and that was translating in our coverage dipping down. The legal process started, and we think that this is going to take long time, we decided to cover up the remaining because we had very prudently provided for, and we wrote it off.

We are talking about

Abdullah Al Buraidi

a

Abdullah Al-Oraini

1. something billion.

That's what has swung that movement. I think we updated the Q3 and Q4 on that basis.

Abdullah Al Buraidi

The fourth quarter as well, there was around a 1 billion?

Abdullah Al-Oraini

No, no, it is the same. Nothing more.

Abdullah Al Buraidi

Okay. Thank you very much.

Abdullah Al-Oraini

You're welcome.

Operator

Thank you. In the interest of time, that is now the end of the Q&A session.

If you have any further questions, then please direct these to the IR team. I will now hand back over to the management team for closing remarks.

Nadir Al-Koraya

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you all very much for joining us on today's call. We are pleased to have shared another set of strong and healthy results for the year 2025.

Our continued progress reflects the strength of our strategy and the discipline of our execution. We are excited about what lies ahead and look forward to sharing more updates with you in the future earnings calls.

Thank you again for your time, and have a good day. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you, everyone. This concludes today's webinar.

You may now disconnect from the call.