Saleh Alghamdi
Hello everyone, I'm Saleh Al-Ghamdi, Investor Relations Manager at Luberef. It is my pleasure to welcome you to today's audio webcast where we will be discussing our performance for the first quarter of 2026.
I'm also pleased to be joined today by our President and Chief Executive Officer, Mr. Samer Al-Hokail, and our Chief Financial Officer, Mr.
Saud Kamakhi. Our session will begin with a presentation highlighting Luberef's performance for Q1 2026, followed by a Q&A session.
Please note this webcast is being recorded for future reference. Before we dive into the presentation, I would like to draw your attention to our cautionary statement.
During today's presentation, we may make forward-looking statements that refer to estimates, plans, and expectations. Actual results and outcomes may differ materially due to factors stated on the slide.
With that out of the way, I will now hand over the call to our CEO, Mr. Samer Al-Hokail.
Samer Al-Hokail
Thank you, Saleh, and good day, everyone. Welcome to Luberef's first earning call for 2026, and thank you for joining.
We value your participation today and look forward to sharing an overview of our financial results and strategic progress. This quarter delivered strong performance for Luberef and marked a key milestone in our strategic expansion into high-value GCC markets, which offer attractive netbacks and reinforce our regional positioning.
Amid a challenging geopolitical environment that disrupted base oil supply chains, we demonstrated agility by working closely with our regional partners to bridge supply gaps across India, Asia, and Africa. Our ability to respond effectively was further supported by our contracts of affreightment, which provided a shelter against elevated shipping costs and ensured reliable delivery to our customers.
Building on this performance, we continue to uphold the highest standard of operational excellence and safety. We maintained a total recordable incident rate of zero and surpassed 43.9 million man-hours without a lost time injury.
These outcomes reflected the strength of our safety-first culture. We remain steadfast in our commitment to safeguarding our people and protecting our critical assets, ensuring the continuity and resilience of our operations in these challenging times.
Turning to our strategic initiatives, we continue to make meaningful progress across key priorities that support our long-term growth and positioning. Discussions around the feedstock supply agreement for Jeddah facility are progressing well and are now in their final stages.
This remains an important development as the role of Group I production continues to play a major role with supply tightening at a faster pace than demand, reinforcing the strategic relevance of the facility. In parallel, the slating program of Group III is advancing positively and is also approaching its final stages.
We are encouraged by the progress achieved to date, and we are currently in advanced discussions with leading additive companies to secure the necessary OEM approvals, which are critical to the commercial readiness of our Group III base oils. Turning to Growth II project, this project remains a cornerstone of our long-term strategy, strengthening our position in high-value segments and supporting our future growth ambitions.
During the first quarter, we incurred a capital expenditure of 77 million riyals, reflecting continued progress across key work streams in line with project budget. Major equipment deliveries remain on schedule, with arrival expected throughout the second quarter of 2026.
Construction activities are advancing steadily, bringing overall project completion to approximately 71%. We remain on track commissioning in the second half of 2026, and we are confident in the project ability to deliver attractive value upon completion.
During the quarter, rising feedstock costs driven by the geopolitical environment combined with more gradual adjustment in product prices resulted in a temporary pressure on our margins. Despite this pressure, Luberef was able to deliver strong performance, supported by favorable byproduct crack margins.
This underscores the resilience and flexibility of our business model across volatile market conditions. Our priority is clear: to maintain strong operational momentum, respond decisively to market shifts, and continue building a business that is more competitive, efficient, and future-ready.
With that, I would like to hand it over to our CFO, Mr. Saud Kamakhi, to walk you through the financial performance.
Thank you.
Saud Kamakhi
Thank you, Mr. Samer.
It's a pleasure to welcome you all today. I'm pleased to present our financial results for Q1 2026 and to highlight Luberef's key financial results this quarter.
Starting with our financial performance, Luberef delivered a strong set of results for the quarter, with net income of 258 million Saudi riyal, reflecting an increase of 16% year-on-year despite a 12% decline in sales volumes. During the period, base oil crack margins experienced a temporary compression of approximately 14% as a result of an increase in feedstock prices, reflecting the impact of evolving geopolitical conditions.
This was effectively offset by a significant improvement in byproduct margins, especially diesel, driven by the ongoing dynamic in global energy markets. Overall, these results highlight the strength and resilience of our portfolio, as well as our ability to adapt to changing market conditions and sustain profitability.
Turning to cash flow, free cash flow saw some compression during the quarter, primarily driven by higher capital expenditures associated with increased growth-related spendings, as well as remaining costs linked to the recently completed turnaround. This was further impacted by working capital build-up after start-up of Yanbu refinery.
Looking ahead, we expect cash flow generation to improve in the upcoming quarter, supported by a more favorable crack margin environment and normalization of the working capital cycle. Overall, we continue to maintain a strong financial position, with a return on average capital employed of 23%, reflecting the efficiency of our asset base in generating returns, and a negative gearing of 12%, underscoring our disciplined capital structure and financial flexibility.
Comparing our year-on-year performance, net income increased from 222 million Saudi riyal in Q1 2025 to 258 million Saudi riyal in Q1 2026, despite a 12% decline in base oil sales volume, highlighting the flexibility of our operating model in navigating changing market conditions. This performance was driven by a strong improvement in byproduct margins, and this was further supported by our contracts of affreightment, which contributed 21 million Saudi riyal in freight cost savings and reinforced our cost efficiency.
OPEX and other expenses saw an increase primarily due to higher depreciation of approximately 11 million Saudi riyal, in line with the continued expansion of our asset base under our growth strategy. Turning to our cash position, we began the year with a robust cash balance of 1,373 million Saudi riyal, providing a strong foundation to support our strategic priorities.
During the quarter, capital expenditures amounted to 153 million Saudi riyal, in line with our guidance and aligned with our growth ambitions, of which 50% was growth-related. We closed the period with a cash balance of 1,397 million Saudi riyal, reflecting strong cash generation.
Moving to the guidance, we have revised our full-year sales targets to approximately 1.15 million metric tons, reflecting the impact of the current geopolitical environment on market dynamics and trade flows in the first quarter. Remaining turnaround expenses to be paid this year are expected to be around 90 to 100 million Saudi riyal.
All other guidance remains unchanged. In summary, the quarter reflects the strength of our financial position and the disciplined execution of our strategy.
Despite a dynamic market environment, we have delivered solid profitability, maintained a robust balance sheet, and continued to invest in our growth priorities. We remain focused on operational efficiency, capital discipline, and value creation, and we are confident in our ability to navigate near-term uncertainties while positioning the company for sustainable long-term performance.
We will now move on to the Q&A session, which will be moderated by Saleh.
Saleh Alghamdi
Thank you, Mr. Saud.
Now, we will begin our session for today. As usual, please state your name, your company, and your question.
Mr. Taha Javed?
Hello, Mr. Taha?
Mr. Taha, do you hear us?
I will temporarily move to Ms. Silvia Richards from Morgan Stanley, then coming back to you, Taha.
Silvia, please step forward.
Silvia Richards
Hi, can you hear me?
Samer Al-Hokail
Yes, Silvia, loud and clear. Hello.
Silvia Richards
Hi, this is Silvia Richards from Morgan Stanley. Thank you for taking my question.
I have two questions. The first being, given that base oil crack margins were a little weaker than expected this quarter, can you please confirm whether this was because of a lag in the increase of base oil prices versus your feedstock costs?
If so, how do you see this evolving in Q2? Should we expect base oil prices to catch up and margins to be much stronger next quarter?
My second question is on byproduct margins, given that they were the key driver for performance this quarter. Can you please just elaborate on what they were for Q1, and if you have the breakdown to hand, what they were quarter-to-date?
Samer Al-Hokail
Silvia. Let me just repeat your questions to make sure I grasp the idea correctly.
The first one was related to the base oil crack margins, the performance in Q1 and the forecast in Q2. The second question was about the dynamics or the behavior of the byproduct crack margin.
Do I get you correctly?
Silvia Richards
Yes, that's correct.
Samer Al-Hokail
Thank you. Mr.
Saud? Tayeb,
Saud Kamakhi
thank you, Silvia, for this great question. I think, yes, we noticed that lower crack margin.
However, as you mentioned, the lag time between the increase in the feedstock and the time that the base oil market prices captured, that is there are two, three months lag period between these two changes in the prices. As you notice maybe in our website, we posted our prices in April, where we show that also April prices are higher than previous quarter, which indicates that in the upcoming quarter that there will be improvement in the crack margin.
That is for the first question and for the forecast for the next quarter. For the second part of your questions is the crack margin of byproduct.
Yes, we have saw an improvement on that, especially on products such as diesel, that impacted positively on our quarter one results. We can see that we can say around $70 per metric ton for our byproducts this quarter.
Samer Al-Hokail
If I may quickly add, Silvia, this is the CEO, Samer Al-Hokail. Crack margins of byproducts, such as diesel, others are highly correlated with the crude oil prices and the feed itself, which is highly correlated with the fuel oil itself.
It moves faster on a sudden movement and volatility of the markets when it comes to byproducts, whereas base oil is different. It takes longer time because it's a different market.
It has a different dynamics, in fact, and the customers are very different on that. The lag is there on that.
The forecast, of course, is going to be only a forecast for both byproducts and base oil. It depends on all the geopolitical situation and the supply demand within the region.
Saleh Alghamdi
Thanks to our President and our CFO. Moving now to Asset Management from Derayah, could you please step forward?
Hello. Am I audible?
Saleh Alghamdi
Yes, you are. Please.
Yes, yeah. Thank you very much for the call and also taking our questions.
I have several questions. The first one is with regards to your volumes.
This quarter, you have done around 240,000 tons. Still, it's sort of below your optimum level because in some quarters, you do close to 300,000, 325,000 tons.
Just wanted to know what the reason is, because if I'm not mistaken, there were no shutdowns in the first quarter. Why the volumes fell a little bit lower than the optimum level?
Also, since this crisis started, how has your markets, that is the geographical areas in which you sell most of your products, how has that changed? Are you selling to new markets?
The third one is with regards to the prices, is at very high levels currently, the base oil prices. Are you getting any pushback from your clients that they are not willing to purchase at these prices?
Those are my three questions.
Saleh Alghamdi
If I may repeat your questions, the first one was related to the capacity that is produced Q1. The second one was related to any new markets or what is the change in our
rate
Saleh Alghamdi
at the moment. The third one, if there is any pushback related to the prices, am I correct?
Yes. Yes, correct.
Samer Al-Hokail
Let me try to tackle a few of those good questions. On the first, in terms of the sales and production, it's related to production.
We have just came from the longest turnaround in Luberef history in December, and we started around end of December. Usually, the nature of the business itself and the kit, be it a refinery or a base oil, it does take time for it to produce on-spec product, because our operations are in batches.
You would probably lose from the quarter two weeks to 20 days, roughly two weeks of production, real production. That's probably the answer of that, and this will answer, of course, the free cash flow, of course, question that is probably anticipated, because the tanks are not full on that area, so that drops off.
On the prices, no, we haven't had any pushbacks from customers at all on recent changes in prices. It's all accepted, because I'm not sure why not, but the customers will probably pass through these increases to the market itself.
The last question, or at least the mid one was related to the market itself. We're able to deploy some of the tons to different markets, same markets we operate in, but India, Pakistan, and some in Africa as well, and also utilize our storages across the four corners of the world, be it in South Africa, or in Antwerp, or in the US as well, to deploy that base oil to customers.
Saleh Alghamdi
Also, if I may add something related to the operation, further highlighting what Mr. President mentioned, by batch operation, we mean that we are producing four different products from the same production train.
It takes some time to change conditions back and forth, given also that some of the catalysts have been changed for the first time since 2019. All of this was taking into consideration in stabilizing the refinery following the turnaround.
Moving next to Mr. Aakarsh Tomar, could you please step forward?
Aakarsh Tomar
Hi. Thank you very much.
This is Aakarsh Tomar from SICO Investment Bank, Bahrain. Congratulations on a good set of results.
My question is a follow-up to the previous question. I understand you gave a fairly good idea for us to why the volumes were low in the first quarter, but it's kind of a confirmation if the reason for revising down the guidance, earlier it was 1.25 million tons and now it's 1.15 million tons.
Is that purely have to do with the first quarter, or do you expect some kind of volumes loss in the next three quarters?
Saleh Alghamdi
You're absolutely correct, Mr. Tomar.
This is the main reason. We do not anticipate any change in the production going forward.
The change in guidance was mainly driven by the events of the first quarter.
Aakarsh Tomar
Thank you. Just the second question, thank you for that.
In terms of your operations, because you're based on the West Coast, I'm assuming you're not facing any issues with the logistics. Just wanted to get an idea, is there any kind of disruption that you are facing from the current ongoing geopolitical situation?
Any way it is impacting your business?
Samer Al-Hokail
I think, thanks for the question. On the geopolitical situation, from sales perspective, we're increasing our local sales a bit.
Our UAE tankage mainly are at low level, but we're utilizing Fujairah tanks, we're able to sell from there a quantitative amount as well. Then as well from the west region of Saudi Arabia, where we're selling to markets in Africa and in Europe alongside.
More of local sales a bit, not something that is very significant, but it does help.
Saud Kamakhi
If I may add to that, especially in that subject, I think all the plans and preparations and things that Luberef was done in previous period in order to have a mitigation plan to maneuver during any situation like this, that helped us by achieving new markets previously. Now that we can utilize different outlets for our products, so that was the time where we can test the agility of the company and that helped us during these conditions.
Aakarsh Tomar
Thank you very much, and all the best for the full future. Thank you.
Saleh Alghamdi
Thank you, Mr. Tomar.
Moving forward to Mr. Ildar Khaziev from HSBC, could you step forward?
Ildar Khaziev
Yes, thank you so much. This is Ildar from HSBC.
I have a few questions, please. First, on the export strategy, I know that in the past, a big chunk of your volumes used to go to UAE.
Obviously, these had to be rerouted. Did you have to find vessels for this, and was there any impact from the surge in the freight costs, especially as we go into the second quarter?
Do you expect any cost inflation because of that? Secondly, was there any impact on the domestic premium due to the disruption in the first quarter?
Lastly, my question is about a quality of the feedstock because there have been some profound changes in terms of how Aramco is moving its crude now from west to east. Was there any impact on the quality of the feedstock you're receiving at the moment?
Thank you.
Saleh Alghamdi
Ildar. I will repeat your questions for the sake of clarity.
Number one is related to exporting base oils to different markets, how well we did with others. The third question was related to the feedstock quality.
Could you repeat the second one again, sorry?
Ildar Khaziev
Did you observe any changes in the domestic premium during the quarter? Was it kind of moving in line with the previous periods?
By the way, on my first question, it was rather about the impact of very high freight costs, because you obviously did not have enough of vessels to target other locations. Did you have to search for vessels, and were you exposed or are you exposed at the moment to the very strong freight rates?
Thank you. Tayeb,
Samer Al-Hokail
Ildar, thanks for the questions. As usual.
For the vessels, Luberef was able to reduce spot shipping through securing three long-term shipping agreements with Singapore Shipping Company, Unitanker, and Bahri that kind of became like a hedge to what happened during that. That we've secured that long before the war has started.
As a result of these agreements, freight costs have been reduced by approximately 25% in terms of dollar per metric ton around Q1 in 2026 compared to the same period in 2025 following signing these freight area. Of course, the UAE was an important market for us, but as I mentioned, we now go through Fujairah as well, utilizing some of our partners.
We've also trucked to Oman in a way accordingly, and of course, we ship from Yanbu and Jeddah globally. The shipping spot market has increased.
Therefore, our freight agreements will serve as a shield, honestly, to what has taken place. On the local premiums, I will have the CFO to shed light on that.
Saud Kamakhi
For the premium as what we are sharing in Saudi in the guidance, it's stabilized the premium perspective side. However, the prices usually moves.
We do review from time to time to the prices. We need to look at that with the moving also of the prices of the export side for our external customers.
With that, we are moving on the same guidance of some premium perspective. However, we make sure that also we cover all the feed cost.
Samer Al-Hokail
With, of course, Ildar, with the mindset of customers, I know the hike took place in a parabolic fashion, and we're not going to move that fast as well. At the end, this is a relationship in a market that we value this.
We're not going to move prices swiftly on customers, but rather in a very agreed fashion. Because when the tide is short, things can move differently, and I'm sure we will ask for their assistance when this time comes maybe in five, six, seven years as well.
It's a moderate move, honestly. It's striking a balance.
Saleh Alghamdi
The last question, Ildar, was related to the feedstock quality, the RCO that we are currently receiving. Generally speaking, and historically also, there were times where feed quality changed temporarily for some time, either for technical reasons or change in composition in the past.
It does not upset or completely restrict the production of base oils, but certain changes could be observed over some time, mainly operational changes.
Ildar Khaziev
Thank you so much. May I ask one more question, please, about pricing of exports?
I know that the spot trade has nearly disappeared in Asia since March just because of the way prices reacted. How do you price your cargoes these days?
What kind of benchmarks are you using? I know it's different between the contracts, but have there been any sort of difficulties in terms of setting the prices and agreeing on prices with the customers?
Saud Kamakhi
If I may take that question, Ildar. Our prices are already contracted with those customers, we already signed supply agreements with those customers where they are located where depends on the index that we are using.
Difficulty in pricing those products with the customers, I can say that there is none from that perspective. However, we have already agreed with the customers with a formula that depends on the prices of those indices, and that is important for us at Luberef where we secured that these agreements beginning of each year so we can have
Samer Al-Hokail
that
Saud Kamakhi
already take care of without having any difficulty in pricing during these changing of circumstances.
Ildar Khaziev
That's great to hear. Lastly, is there any interest from customers maybe to engage in, sort of longer-term agreements whereby the price is set for the next few quarters rather than being linked to spot and short-term?
Saud Kamakhi
Far, we are working with a supply agreement with the spot prices. I think it's usually better for us and for customer.
Those base oil are market and the quantity is very smaller comparing to other fuel and other products where hedging is being done here and there. I think it's current operational requirements for those products and this market is important to have that flexibility and to be indexed on the spot market instead of fixing it for any reason.
Ildar Khaziev
Thank you very much.
Saud Kamakhi
Thank you.
Saleh Alghamdi
Next, Mr. Abdullah Alwehaibi, could you step forward, please?
Mr. Abdullah, do you hear us?
Abdullah Alwehaibi
Yes, hello. Am I audible?
Saleh Alghamdi
Yes, you are.
Abdullah Alwehaibi
Yes, this is Abdullah Alwehaibi from MEFIC Capital. I just have two questions on my side.
You mentioned that base oil volume has declined by 12%. I just want to know what was the volume of byproduct this quarter.
Has it declined by the same amount? The second, regarding the base oil prices, we see quite a hike in April prices.
I just want to hear your thoughts about the prices going forward and how is it as of May now? Thank you.
Tayeb,
Samer Al-Hokail
Abdullah. Thanks for the question.
Let me answer the second question and give maybe a framework on the way we think this through. Given the high crack margins of diesel, kerosene, and fuels, and given the fact that base oil producers are predominantly linked to refiners, they're only few, in fact, maybe I could only think of Luberef as a pure play, and the rest are all refiners.
Refiners will probably pivot to higher crack margins in fuels, as it's much liquid market, their collection will be faster and quicker. Therefore, on the expense of base oil volumes, and therefore, supply of base oil becomes less globally as a result of that.
Therefore, you would have a hike in the prices. That's the definition of the lag that takes place.
Some people say it's a month, some people two months, three, it depends how you model it in your models on that. That's the thinking on that.
Therefore, the prices are dependent on the refiners that are shifting from base oil to fuels, diesel and more. In your view on the geopolitical situation, if this is going to continue, then yes, crack margins will be higher and diesel and US gasoline as well, and therefore base oils will follow suit in a lagging fashion.
Saud Kamakhi
For the first question, if I may answer your question, yes, we have noticed a decline, as you mentioned, in our base oil during the first quarter. Typically, our byproduct quantities comes in almost double of what our base oil quantities in specific production period.
Typically, if our base oil production declined during that period, that would have the same impact of decline in byproduct. However, ratio still there, ratio has not been changed.
We have not noticed any unusual change in our byproducts production comparing it to base oil. As we are focused on base oil production, both base oil and byproducts are healthy during the first quarter.
Abdullah Alwehaibi
It's fair to assume that byproducts also declined by 12% this quarter?
Saud Kamakhi
We can have the same assumptions, and maybe we can give more details
Samer Al-Hokail
about. No, the ratio is different, ya Abdullah, not 12%.
If base oil is 12%, the byproduct would be something else. The ratio is maintained on both.
Saleh Alghamdi
Abdullah, if I may add, like Mr. Saud mentioned, and also Mr.
President, usually, a byproduct production during a quarter is twice as much base oil. In this quarter, we have 240,000 metric ton of base oil production.
It is safe to assume that twice as much, which is 480 or 500, that's a typical byproduct production during the quarter.
Abdullah Alwehaibi
That's clear. Thank you.
Saleh Alghamdi
This assumption could be carried on moving forward. There could be some minor changes or some specific changes on quarterly basis, but it's give or take twice as much base oil production.
That's the byproduct assumption.
Abdullah Alwehaibi
That's clear. Thank you.
Thank you, management.
Saleh Alghamdi
Okay. I will temporarily go to Mr.
Taha Javed, because he has been waiting for some time now. Mr.
Taha, are you audible? Do you hear us?
Assalamu alaikum.
Taha Javed
Can you hear me?
Saleh Alghamdi
Yes, Mr. Taha.
Taha Javed
Thank you so much. I think just picking up from the last question, you mentioned that the byproducts are roughly double the base oil production.
Roughly, just to understand if byproducts were roughly around 480,000, 500,000, what would be the constituents of the byproducts? Like I think diesel, asphalt.
How much, in terms of percentage of byproducts, how would you quantify the volumes?
Saleh Alghamdi
In a typical production year, the almost 50 or 60% from 50 to 60% of the byproduct pool mainly is represented by asphalt and and marine heavy fuel oil. If you are If you are focusing on the currently lucrative byproducts that are the diesel and naphtha, they represent close to 15 to 20%.
This is this is a good assumption to look at it this way. You can also verify the figures by the annual production reported in the 2025 annual report as well.
Taha Javed
Okay. Diesel and naphtha combined 15 to 20%, or each 15
Saleh Alghamdi
to 20%? No, combined.
Taha Javed
This would be 60% is asphalt and marine heavy fuel oil, 60 and 20, let's say, diesel and naphtha. What is the remaining 20%?
Saleh Alghamdi
The remaining consists of other byproducts, such as wax, extract, and aromatic stream we produce from Yanbu facility. There is also sulfur, both solid and liquid.
Heavy oil already mentioned. These are the typical byproducts produced from Luberef, from both facilities of Luberef.
Taha Javed
Got it. Thank you.
Obviously, as you mentioned, the ones that obviously carried this quarter mainly higher pricing from byproducts would be, I guess, diesel, naphtha, right?
Saleh Alghamdi
Not much
Taha Javed
change in asphalt and marine heavy fuel oil.
Saleh Alghamdi
Diesel, naphtha, and drilling oil, which we refer to them in our annual reports as the white products. Those are the ones to answer your questions that you put it in a good way, carried the quarter.
Samer Al-Hokail
If I may add to that, Javed, that you mention it very right in a way that where Luberef's operation is that also benefits from that perspective. In case it's like a hedge also for our byproducts that help us sometimes in the time where difficulty, for example, reduction in crack margin, and vice versa.
We are protected by our business operation model is good from that perspective.
Taha Javed
Certainly. Just my second question was around, I think, I felt that there was a bit of contradiction that you mentioned that there was no pushback from clients on the higher prices, but then there was certain statement that because of the parabolic rise, we'll pass on the pricing gradually.
Just wanted to confirm how do you think on those things?
Samer Al-Hokail
Taha, correction. I'm perceiving that the customers in the market are passing through the high prices to the consumer themselves, which is a typical area.
I don't know that for sure. I'm just perceiving that.
That's why there isn't a pushback highly. Also, now there isn't a huge pushback because we are approaching this from a balanced perspective.
We're not hiking the prices suddenly in a parabolic fashion or an accelerated fashion. No, we're doing it actually, we're putting a cap on some of them.
Therefore, just for continuing that relationship and the lifting. At the end, we don't want to have a demand destruction, of course.
Taha Javed
I think partially, but in the way that again, in terms of your ability to produce, you think you'll be able to sell this year even with a higher pricing? Can you
Samer Al-Hokail
clarify the question, Taha?
Taha Javed
Okay. Right now, you're obviously expecting 1.15 million base oil production.
Roughly, you think you'll be able to sell whatever you produce despite the higher pricing in a way?
Samer Al-Hokail
Of course. We're going to be able to sell.
Taha Javed
There's no demand destruction that you see that you'll have to give some discounts to make the sales?
Samer Al-Hokail
No discounts to make the sales. There are areas to explore markets.
There are agreements in the contracts that gives in a way people would lift even more depending on the prices. There isn't yet a push.
We don't foresee that. At 1.1, honestly, I don't think the crack margins also will sustain till Q2, Q3, Q4.
They will change. They'll need to stabilize.
Taha Javed
Definitely, obviously. If things normalize, then normalize, yeah.
Samer Al-Hokail
You'll have just a noise, a spike in one quarter or maybe a quarter and a half, then it should normalize.
Taha Javed
Got it. Thank you so much and best wishes for the remainder of the year.
Thank you.
Saleh Alghamdi
Thank you, Mr. Taha.
Moving to Mr. Fawad Khan.
Please step forward, Mr. Fawad.
Fawad Khan
Assalamu alaikum. Wa alaikum assalam wa rahmatullah wa barakatuh.
Saleh Alghamdi
Hi.
Fawad Khan
Thanks a lot for giving me the opportunity to ask the questions. I have four questions.
One is basically the question that I have carried on. The three are kind of follow-up.
A question that I have is basically on shutdown as was primarily planned for August, third quarter. With this even happening in first quarter and the second quarter, are we expecting any change in timeline for the shutdown for the link-up of the Growth II facility?
Saleh Alghamdi
Okay. Your first question is related to the shutdown in August, which we communicated in the guidance of the annual production.
Far, there is no change in plans. We expect it to take place as is, and we are monitoring the situation closely with our growth projects team.
Fawad Khan
Given the margins where they are, are you not looking to kind of delay the shutdown and benefit from the higher margin environment currently,
Saleh Alghamdi
or
Fawad Khan
you take decision once you reach there and to decide on the shutdown?
Saleh Alghamdi
Mr. Fawad.
Just let me maybe carry on from what Mr. President said a couple of minutes ago.
What is currently taking place in the market is quite the opposite. There is a shortage of supply that Luberef was able to benefit from due to being a pure play base oil producer.
However, if we look at the forecast, because it is the best judgment that we have on the table currently, Mr. President also highlighted this, it's being updated as we go, but the current forecast is expecting some sort of normalization after Q2.
That's another factor that we take into picture in maintaining our current plans for the shutdown.
Samer Al-Hokail
Of course, if the crack margins continue, we're not going to be married to this date, but at least we will be agile and flexible, try to create and capture value during these volatile market dynamics. We will make that decision maybe coming a month or two to really have a better understanding if August is go time, which is per the plan, or not.
Fawad Khan
If the company decide to basically delay the shutdown, in terms of the coordination with your parent company for the feedstock, would it be obviously the angle to look at, or would be the decision factor, or the company can decide on its own to just delay the shutdown and Aramco can take care of the whatever feedstock would be available to performed fine?
Samer Al-Hokail
If that's going to be the case, we'll update our guidance accordingly on that or give out a more of a clarification on the shutdown date going forward. In terms of the feed supply agreement with the parent company, a parent company is very flexible and as well has a lot of redundancy as well in their system, shouldn't be an issue for us.
Fawad Khan
The latest guidance with presentation suggests that the progress on the Growth II project is 71%. Is it possible to complete the remaining 30%, 29% of the project in the next four months or so, assuming that the guideline is based on from March 31st?
Samer Al-Hokail
If you're asking about the project completion percentage, I would say the project nature and the acceleration of the percentage as a project nature requires a shutdown. For example, we were able to execute during the past shutdown major project equipment, major components of the project in very high percentages in a month, which is unusual for a project's progress, but the nature of it is you require a shutdown for it to progress.
You would probably find us maybe 80%, and then we need a shutdown to do the remaining 20%. Something like that on that, but you would need a shutdown for it to progress heavily per the framework of the scheduling we have.
Fawad Khan
Okay. My second area to explore is basically the volume.
The guidance was 1.25 million ton at the start of the year. Now, we have 1.15 million ton as a guidance.
I'm just curious whether the cut down in the production guidance just based on the performance of the VDU or the overall facility post turnaround time, or it's also there are some more component like supply of the other, how do you call it, VDU or some other component, feedstock, which has impacted the overall guidance for the production for 2026?
Saleh Alghamdi
Mr. Fawad Khan, if I understand your question correctly, you're asking which unit, if possible, was the main contributor to this stabilization.
Fawad Khan
Long
Saleh Alghamdi
story short,
Fawad Khan
What has led to the drop in the production guidance for 2026, whether it's just the post turnaround issues, technical issues, or there are some other issues that we should be aware of?
Saleh Alghamdi
The main contributor was the first that you mentioned. We just came back from a turnaround, the biggest in the company's history, the first one since beginning of 2019, where major scope was carried to change different catalysts in different units, such as the isodewaxer, sulfur recovery, hydrogen manufacturing, et cetera.
That in addition to completing other scopes in different units. Typically, it took some time to get the refinery up and running again.
Usually, in such times, no one, from an operational perspective, can give a guarantee how long it will take to stabilize everything post turnaround. That was the observation that we received.
Coming to the second point, which is the change in quality, like I said to Mr. Ildar from HSBC, it's not a fixed stream in the sense that it's like a crystal clear.
We get some changes. We had some changes in the past due to different characteristics.
The most important thing is that we have a secured stream to produce base oil. Different changes are usually overcome and compensated by changing the refinery conditions internally, such as pressure, temperature, et cetera.
Such changes take time, depending on the change or the expected change in the feedstock quality. The main reason is the major one, which is coming from the turnaround.
Fawad Khan
Thank you. Thank you.
One last question is on the export prices, just kind of a follow-up question on the previous question. You mentioned on your website, the prices for the month of April were updated even before the close of the month of April.
There were still three, four days left before the prices were updated. I'm curious if the average prices used for the export are based on, let's say, 15 of last month to 15 of current month, or how do you actually price your export cargoes is based on some kind of average 15 days or average 30 days?
That would be my question.
Saud Kamakhi
Fuad, if I can take that question. That depends on the agreement between customer to customers, but in general, it's a mean of average of one of the month.
However, maybe some customer have different way of agreement, but this is the general idea. Yes, we take the mean of the average of certain indices as upon agreed with the customer on that.
It's not like the one day specifically. It's of the period of the sales.
Fawad Khan
What's the period? Period is past 30 days or out of 45 days, or just last for the month of, let's say, if you are pricing export cargo on the 1st May, the price would be based on the April average, or there would be some other agreement?
Again,
Saud Kamakhi
it depends on the agreement with customers. It's difficult to disclose that for every customers or now, but depends on the agreements.
A general statement, it's the average of the month of the sales.
Fawad Khan
Average. Thank you.
Many thanks for the answers.
Saleh Alghamdi
Thank you, Mr. Fawad Khan.
Moving to a written question by Mr. Faisal Al-Jraiyed.
I apologize if I mispronounce the name. The question goes: "Regarding the byproducts components, which was the main reason to have a good results in Q1 2026 year-on-year, where crack margin of base oil was declining, how much contribution of your byproducts sold at market price or at cost to Aramco, because the support from the byproduct was impressive?"
Saud Kamakhi
Again, as we mentioned earlier, if we compare our byproduct during the first quarter with the previous quarter or even with a similar quarter last year, or even with the total average of the byproducts last year, all of that we see an incremental and increase in our byproduct. Yes, it played a major role in our positive results during Q1.
We had comparing to around $70 per metric ton during first quarter, so that is helped much in that area. Most of our product, it depends on the nature of their product.
Each product have its own pricing. It is that the average byproduct that helped us during that quarter.
Samer Al-Hokail
Faisal, yes, we look at byproducts, but the whole thing, because it was impressive, because the sudden movement that took place in the oil market, and the diesel and the cracks are high, very high. They went quite substantial.
By the way, at times, we have negative crack margins on byproducts, such as I think it was a Q4 in 2025, it was negative. We've announced that.
12 months of 2025 is also around negative crack margins. That's why we don't rely on the byproducts tremendously.
We're a base oil company, and we focus on that. That's why our guidance stick to the base oil crack margins.
I think it's just better for the forecast. Of course, you would have to factor in if the sudden movement are frequent, and now geopolitically, of course, yes, you'd have to factor this into your models.
Saleh Alghamdi
By this, we conclude the written question. Back to Asset Management Derayah.
Asset Management Derayah?
Hello.
Saleh Alghamdi
Hello, yes, please.
Yes, if I may just have one follow-up question. This is just a further clarification on something you mentioned earlier.
You have said that you do not want to cause any demand destruction, and you are only going to pass down the increase moderately, and you even talked about putting a cap. Does it mean that perhaps you may not realize the realized prices as what is suggested by perhaps the indices against which your contracts are linked?
Samer Al-Hokail
No, that's not the case. The contracts have already been signed.
What I meant is this weekly thing, when we sit down and discuss and have a judgment on the prices, we don't want to go extremely high. When I say a cap, I say cap some of these products, because we know these dynamics of that product is for that month only or for that couple of weeks, two weeks only.
Then we would go and post a different price. As you can see, and you could look at our posting prices, they're all has been increasing.
It could have been, yes, you could argue saying, yeah, you could have increased more and more, and yes, that's true, we could have, or reduced less. I don't think that's the nature of the business.
It's a relationship business. Going forward, you need to maintain these relationships,
plus
Samer Al-Hokail
you don't want to go and hugely increase for any demand destruction going.
Okay. Basically, what we see on your website is a fairly good reflection of the actual prices that you are going to realize eventually?
Samer Al-Hokail
Oh yes. Yes.
Of course, that's part of the transparency we've done. That's why that's a good proxy or indicator is you look at the website.
If changes do take place, you could factor them in your model.
Saud Kamakhi
If I may add one thing here in this context, that also we have noticed that whatever we are producing, we are selling. The demands of our product are there.
We at Luberef, especially in Q1, we didn't see any pushback. We have managed to sell our production, which means and translates that also our pricing mechanism was correct pricing mechanism that do not push the customer for other markets or other products from other supplier.
That helped us also to continue our pricing for those products.
Thank you very much.
Saleh Alghamdi
Thank you. There are no further questions available at the table.
We thank you for your participation today, both verbally and in written terms. Please note that Investor Relations team at Luberef is available for this week.
Inshallah, we will upload all the documents to the website as usual, and we are available for any follow-up calls and meetings. Thank you.
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