Panoro Energy ASA

Panoro Energy ASA

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Nov 18Next Earn

Q2 FY2026 · Earnings Call TranscriptAugust 20, 2026

Andy Dymond

Good morning, and welcome to Panoro's half-one results presentation. I would first like to draw your attention to this disclaimer.

This presentation contains certain statements that are or may be deemed to be forward-looking statements, which include all statements other than statements of historical fact. Forward-looking statements involve making certain assumptions based on the company's experience and perception of historical trends, current conditions, expected future developments, and other factors that we believe are appropriate under the circumstances.

Although we believe that the expectations reflected in these forward-looking statements are reasonable, actual events or results may differ materially from those projected or implied in such forward-looking statements due to unknown or known risks, uncertainties, and other factors. Next slide, please.

There will be time for Q&A at the end of the presentation. If you would like to ask a question during Q&A, you can raise your hand and you'll be prompted to unmute your microphone, or you can submit written questions through the text box.

I would now like to hand you over to Julien Balkany, Panoro's Chairman, who will take you through some highlights of today's exciting news and our results.

Julien Balkany

Thank you Andy. Good morning everyone.

I'm joined today on the call by Eric d'Argentré, Panoro's COO and President, and Qazi Qadeer, our CFO. Before we move to our half-year results, trading, financial, and operation update, I would like to say a few key words on the new transformational and accretive acquisitions that we have announced yesterday evening.

By now, you will have all seen the exciting announcement we made yesterday after market close, whereby we have signed a definitive agreement with DNO to acquire an indirect 9.09% interest in the gas-producing Block CI-27, offshore Ivory Coast. Before we talk in more detail in the next slide about our latest acquisition, I want to take a moment to reflect on how our well-timed and strongly accretive M&A strategy that is part of our DNA has been a core driver of our growth in recent years.

Since 2018, we have successfully completed acquisitions of production assets in Tunisia, Equatorial Guinea, Gabon, and now Ivory Coast, establishing a robust and well-diversified production business across four jurisdictions in Africa. This latest acquisition, which will be our second this year, coming hot on the heels of our recent purchase of an additional 40% interest in Block G from Kosmos Energy, it will establish a fourth production leg to our business in a new first-class jurisdiction that has a very strong oil and gas sector and which we believe can position us for further follow-on growth opportunities at the right time.

When we look at the business back then compared to today, and following the numbers on this slide, they speak for themselves. Panoro is today a more resilient, better-diversified business that it has ever been at any point in its history.

If you look at it, we have rapidly scaled our production from virtually zero at the start of 2018 to a current pro forma rate of around 20,800 BOE per day, firmly positioning Panoro as a leading independent producer in Africa. We have increased our 2P reserves by a factor of more than four, with our overall 2P plus 2C resources have increased by almost eight times to 183 million BOE, illustrating the depth of organic growth reserves and resources opportunity we have within our portfolio today.

Over this time and up to yesterday close, we have seen around a 4.5-time appreciation to Panoro's share price in the same period. It is important to know that when we have issued equity to fund external growth, we have always done so at a progressively higher valuation each time than the time before, with today at 28.77 NOK we will issue shares to DNO.

Alongside this, we have responsibly used various forms of debt financing and been careful to preserve what we believe to be a prudent and disciplined leverage profile. It has also allowed us to return substantial amount to shareholders, which including the cash distribution announced today amount to a total of 950 million NOK so far, or roughly about 25% of our market cap as yesterday close.

Delivering enhanced shareholder return over the long run is our backbone and core to our strategy. Next slide, please.

Acquisition of indirect 9.09% interest in Block CI-27. Moving on this acquisition itself, Block CI-27 is operated by the privately held and excellent first-class and long-time established operator Foxtrot International, whose principal business is a 27.27% effective participating interest in the asset.

The DNO subsidiary which Panoro is acquiring hold an indirect 33.33% interest in Foxtrot, and therefore an indirect 9.09% interest in that asset. Other joint venture partners in the asset include Petroci, the national oil company, and SECI SA.

The consideration is $80 million, and the effective date of the transaction is January 1st, 2025. It is important to highlight that there is no regulatory approval pending or required, and there are no preemptive rights.

This transaction is therefore fully derisked, and we expect completion to occur by the end of Q3. I will let Eric to talk to you in further details about the asset, which holds the country largest non-associated gas and meeting over 70% of the country gas need.

Net production for our interest in the asset stand at approximately 3,334 BOE per day in the first half 2026, and net 2P and 2C resources at 14.4 million BOE. In term of funding, to finance the acquisition, Panoro will issue 7 million new shares to DNO, which would represent about 4.9% of outstanding Panoro's shares post-issuance of those shares.

The share price is based on the VWAP for the last five trading days preceding the announcement, coming at a price of 28.77 NOK per share. Additionally, to diversify our credit profile, Panoro has placed a $50 million senior unsecured bond carrying a 10.25% coupon with maturity in 2031.

The bond was fully placed and subscribed in the private domain by two long-standing strategic investors along primary insiders. In summary, this new acquisition will continue to transform the scale, geographical diversity, and longevity of Panoro portfolio, and strengthen our capital structure, enabling us to deliver enhanced shareholder return over the long run while also positioning us for further growth opportunities at the right time in Ivory Coast.

Next slide, please. Some of you may not be too familiar with Côte d'Ivoire, I think it is worth briefly touching on why the core country fundamentals are extremely supportive for the gas business supplying the domestic market here.

Natural gas sit at the heart of Côte d'Ivoire power system, accounting for around 65% of electricity generation, which makes reliable domestic gas supply a strategic priority rather than a marginal fuel source. The country has delivered consistently strong economic growth, with the World Bank highlighting average real GDP growth constantly above 6% for the last years.

Growth in Ivory Coast is not dependent on a single sector. Côte d'Ivoire has developed into one of West Africa most diversified and strong economy, with a BB- sovereign credit rating, underpinned by agriculture, mining, services, manufacturing, and a growing hydrocarbon sector.

Indeed, Côte d'Ivoire has a thriving oil and gas sector and has yielded some of the largest and most impactful oil and gas exploration discoveries in West Africa in recent years: Eni with Baleine and Calao South discoveries, more recently Murphy with Boubale discovery that was announced has been commercial in June. I will now hand over to Eric, our COO and President, who will take you through the next slides.

Thank you.

Eric d'Argentré

Thank you, Julien. Good morning, everyone.

I will take you through the presentation of CI-27 asset overview. That CI-27 is between 12 and 15 km offshore Ivory Coast in what we call shallow water, with platform territories.

This is the largest non-associated gas accumulation in the country, and as Julien mentioned, meeting more than 70% of the domestic gas need. The asset was developed back in 1999 with the first two fields, Foxtrot and Mahi, and installation of the first platform, PFA.

The production has then been increased and be very very good and steady over the years. In 2015, Foxtrot developed the Marlin and Manta accumulation that you can see on the right-hand side of the map, with installation of a second platform, Platform Bravo, PFB.

Today, we have 12 wells on production. Both platforms are equipped with all the required process to treat the gas and condensate, as well as gas compression, and I will come back on the compression.

There is a lot of upside potential in the CI-27 in those current fields and additional fields to be appraised. Foxtrot started a drilling campaign back 4 months ago on Foxtrot field with 5 wells to be drilled, infill wells.

The first two wells have reached a reservoir with higher pressure than expected, which is a very good news. It mean that the depletion assumed is lower than it is in reality, more volume to be produced.

Those volumes will be moved very shortly from 2P to PDPs, proved, developed, and producing volumes, and will help to extend the production plateau, and increase depending on gas demand. We are today producing an average of 200 million scf per day for the last 3 to 4 years.

If the demand grows, those wells will be available to match the demand if it does peak. To come back on the potential, there is a potential as well in surface facilities to upgrade.

There is the gas compression system, without entering too much in details, but the lower the pressure is on the gas well, the better and the longer it will deliver in life. The compression can be worked on, and there is some compression project to be able to produce longer and drain more volume at lower pressure in future.

Lots of potential way past the 2034 PSC terms. Next, please.

In term of gas and liquid sales agreement, we have a very strong partnership in Ivory Coast. The vast majority of our gas produced is sold to CI-ENERGIES, with CI-ENERGIES is a key partner in Ivory Coast.

CIE mission is to ensure that supply of energy meets the demand. They lead major structuring project in production, transport, and distribution of energy with rural electrification.

CIE is a key partner derisking the gas export sales to the local consumers. We have long-term contract to the PSC term 2034, with a take-or-pay of 140 million scf per day.

We are delivering average of 200, as mentioned earlier, and a gas price that is around the $6.5 per million BTU on the contract sales. Next, please.

One the group production update. Some of you will remember we communicated last quarter that Panoro was on the way to 20,000 barrel of oil per day net once we would have recovered the full potential of the Ceiba field in Equatorial Guinea and with the Mabomo Phase 2 drilling campaign in Gabon with the well onstream.

We are already today at 17,500 net, and that's a very strong performance in the last quarter. We clearly on track to the 20,000 barrel of oil per day in 2027.

Including the recently announced transaction from last night, that does accelerate the 20,000 milestone for the group, and on the pro forma basis, we would already be above the 20, and therefore Panoro net is more on the road to the 23,000 barrel of oil per day net in 2027 once all the mentioned work will have been completed. I would like to highlight our resilience in term of costs.

It's important to note that our operating cost per barrel is at $23 today, with $3 to $5 what we call the non-recurrent capex, meaning all the important integrity, FPSO life extension, class extension that needs to be done on a yearly basis. Between $26 and $28 per barrel, that makes Panoro very resilient in low-price environment, which is a very good discipline to have.

Next, please. On Equatorial Guinea, Block G updates.

As I said in my previous slide, very strong performance in production, especially in the last quarter, with some good results on Ceiba recovery from MPPs and subsea clusters, as well as in productive investments, well intervention, workover on the Okume Complex, that does illustrate the great potential of those two accumulations. The latest production net to Panoro today is above 11,000 barrel of oil per day, and we are working on the future project with our partner and operator, Trident Energy.

The recovery factor of the block is still low. Drilling campaign is being matured with our partner, and the objective is to take FID for the future campaign in Okume Complex with a conventional jackup rig, end of 2026 for the FID, so that we should be able to drill on Okume Complex by Q1/Q2 2028.

Recovery factor is low, any 1% additional recovery is 25 million barrel to be produced, and that's the objective on the short, mid, and long term of the partnership. Next, please.

In Gabon, updates on Dussafu cornerstone asset. Dussafu is a very very prolific area, and we continue to have a strong performance, good uptime, and good production in this very prolific block.

We are today drilling in Mabomo Phase 2, as it was announced previously. The rig is on location, drilling the first well, and we have a campaign of delineation and infill wells, four producing wells, maybe more depending on the results.

There is some optionality for more wells. This Mabomo Phase 2 drilling campaign will take us back to the nameplate capacity of the installation at 40,000 barrel of oil per day.

Another important milestone is the partnership took FID on the Bourdon discovery that was announced last year. We have now FID-ed the project.

Work is ongoing on the jackup conversion to become the MOPU, a little bit like the Mabomo development. We have three wells to be drilled and a pipeline to be installed to connect the Bourdon to the main pipeline.

First oil of Bourdon is expected for Q1 2028. Lots of things happening in Dussafu, as well as the reprocessing of the recently shot seismic in Niosi Marin that is as well covering the north part of the block and to mature the current and already recognized prospects.

Bear with us on Dussafu, lots of things happening in the near term. Next, please.

On Tunisia updates, TPS asset, very stable production above 3,000 barrel of oil per day. Project being matured on workover, well intervention, and additional development in our various concession.

We have managed in the last 6 to 9 months to offset the natural decline by some productive investments and work on our wells, it's encouraging for future project. Next, please.

I will take you through quickly on the Estrella and Rodo high-graded prospect in Block EG-23. We have discussed and presented this in the past.

It's very exciting prospects. We are now working on a commingled development.

As you can see on the map, the Estrella discovery in 2001, which is a gas-condensate field accumulation, and next to it the Rodo in green, the Rodo field, it's an oil accumulation. They are a few kilometers away, and our conceptual development plan is to install a drilling center in the middle and drill both accumulation in the same campaign and make what we call a commingled development.

Engineering is ongoing for the well architecture, platform specification, and pipeline design and installation. We will progress that and give some more news on this development next quarter.

Next, please.

Qazi Qadeer

Thank you very much, Eric, for the operational review. This is Qazi Qadeer.

I'm the CFO of Panoro, and I'll take you through the financial highlights. We have had a relatively stable quarter on an IFRS basis for the second quarter.

The half-year results, as we published this morning, with lesser liftings compared to the previous period in 2025. This is largely due to timing differences on how the parcels are spread out through the course of the year.

Other than that, there's no major difference which I would like to flag. However, the eventful thing that happened during the quarter, right at the very end, was the completion of our acquisition of the enhanced interest in Block G in Equatorial Guinea, which has been now integrated into our financial statements.

You would expect to see a increase in assets and liabilities, which was consolidated through a purchase price allocation exercise on a provisional basis as of 30th of June. Because the completion only happened around mid-June, there is very little reflected in the results, with no net sales and costs associated with the acquisition.

Henceforth, we have prepared details on a pro forma basis to facilitate analysis. On a pro forma basis, first-half results are strong, with revenue of $130 million and a pro forma EBITDA of $68 million based on accounting policies and assumptions consistently used by Panoro as a group.

We have been carrying a sizable amount of inventory as well at the end of the quarter, with about unsold 1.3 million barrels as of 30th of June. We continue to make distributions to our shareholders, and this morning we have announced a 50 million kroner distribution for this quarter, which is expected to be paid by 21st of September 2026.

Next slide, please. Again, just continuing on the theme for shareholder distributions, I think I will echo the points made by Julien that the company has consistently and returned cash to the shareholders, and we will continue to make it part of our philosophy going forward as well.

However, just to point out and repeat here, like we always do, is that the distributions are determined after taking into account various factors, including oil prices, operational performance, which is what we bring to the equation every time we make a decision to distribute. Our capacity to distribute is determined under the bond terms, which is basically 50% of full-year cash flow, which was determined to be about $21 million for the calendar year 2026.

We have basically followed the guidance that we gave at the start of the year and following in equal distributions throughout the year. Next slide, please.

We are going to talk a little bit about liftings. As mentioned earlier, the second quarter was a stable quarter with no enhanced barrels added on an IFRS basis from the acquisition.

Following the completion of the Block G acquisition, we will expect a more pronounced second half of 2026 with higher volumes and an improved frequency of liftings, which you would see that we are guiding about 1.3 to 1.5 million barrels for 3Q. Again, this is all coming from the inventory we are carrying at 30th of June, which I mentioned a few minutes ago.

The fourth quarter guidance, again, is of a similar nature with consistent volumes available to be lifted in the fourth quarter. Next slide, please.

This is a busy slide, but the key points here are to guide towards the capex. Capex guidance has remained unchanged at $55 million on a core basis.

Since we have now acquired Block G business, the $72 million guidance for the full calendar year on a pro forma basis is now confirmed. On an IFRS basis, up to end of June, we have spent only $12.5 million year-to-date, which is the current run rate at the moment, but expected to increase because of the higher percentage we are carrying in the assets we have just acquired.

We are not giving any guidance at the moment on our newly announced acquisition in Ivory Coast. We will include the refined pro forma-based guidance once we have made the completion of the acquisition, and hopefully we should be able to give all the details by the time of our third-quarter results later this year.

I will now leave Eric to conclude on the next slide and open up for questions.

Eric d'Argentré

Thank you, Qazi. As a conclusion, would like to come back on today's presentation on the strong operational performance, the disciplined financial management of Panoro, and the delivery of the growth strategy.

Panoro has three main pillars in its strategy: production and reserves in our asset portfolio. Group production today is at record level.

As I mentioned, at 17,500 barrel of oil per day without the additional announced transaction. We are above the 20,000 including CI-27 transaction.

We are drilling in Dussafu as we speak with two pilot wells and four production wells. That's a very exciting project that will increase even more our production and delivery.

We have material reserves and resources base with almost 170 million barrel of oil equivalent in 2P plus 2C. It's important to highlight that the very healthy position in our 2P base with more than 15 years of production in our 2P volumes.

That's a very good position to be in. That's the first pillar.

The second pillar of Panoro is to mature its asset portfolio and extend reserve life. We are doing this with the FID of Bourdon, as explained earlier in the presentation.

Estrella and Rodo in EG-23, a very exciting project. I have explained you the conceptual development plan we are working on.

We are targeting first oil and first gas on this commingled development by mid-2028. That's a very exciting part of the business.

The 3D seismic again, shot last year in south of Gabon, is explaining and demonstrating the maturing and the work done on exploration and asset portfolio. Lots of project on this pillar two.

The third one and very important one that Julien explained in his introductory slide on the corporate and external growth strategy. Panoro has strong track record and it's in its DNA accretive M&A transaction.

We have announced earlier the Block G with Kosmos Energy, today with the DNO indirect interest in CI-27, and that's a demonstration of our strategy on growing the Panoro business. Thank you.

Andy Dymond

Thank you very much. We will now move to Q&A.

If you have a question, please raise your hand and you'll be requested to unmute your microphone. The first question will come from Stephane Foucaud.

Stephane, if you can unmute your microphone and ask your question, please.

Thanks Andy, and morning everyone. I've got a few on Côte d'Ivoire.

The transaction has an effective date of early '25. There is a consideration of about $80 million.

Is it what you expect to pay on closing in 3Q? That's my first question.

Then I was wondering whether you could talk about payback for the acquisition, maybe the remaining capex to produce the 2P, if there are any decommissioning and when that would happen. Lastly, Panoro will hold a stake in Foxtrot.

How do you see the mechanism for the cash from Foxtrot to go back to Panoro? Thank you.

Qazi Qadeer

Thank you very much, Stephane. This is Qazi Qadeer.

I have noted down a few questions, I may ask you to repeat some. I think I'll take the last one first.

There's a very well-established mechanism from Foxtrot to the entities we will own in a few weeks, 3 weeks, a month's time, which is basically a formalized arrangement between the Foxtrot and up the chain how the money distributes. What we see is that instantly when funds are paid by the buyer of gas, they land in dedicated accounts, and those bank accounts have instructions to basically flow the money up the chain pretty much immediately.

There is hardly a lag of about a day or two from collection to reaching the top of the chain. Financially speaking, the way the funds flow is technically distributions from down the chain to the top of the chain.

Thank you. Sort of dividend on a regular basis?

Qazi Qadeer

Yes, dividends on a regular basis, but it is a function of how the mechanism is designed. There's no lag.

It is on proceeds basis that the funds are routing up the chain.

Thank you.

Qazi Qadeer

Okay. Then your other question was about

Closing price.

Qazi Qadeer

Closing price, yes. I'll let Julien answer that.

Julien Balkany

Good morning, Stephane. Depends obviously on what would be the timing, but I would say more or less we would expect the closing price around $70 million.

Thank you.

Julien Balkany

You had some additional question?

Yes. Then maybe a sense of payback on the acquisition if you had, and then I had some question around some technicality on the asset.

Julien Balkany

I believe the asset has been constantly generating between $17 to $20 million in free cash flow per year. On the safe side, I would say it's 3.5 times, it's give you an idea about the payback.

Great. Thank you.

Then I had more question about the asset, which is the remaining capex to produce the 2P reserve, and whether there are some decommissioning and by when.

Eric d'Argentré

This is Eric. The remaining capex, well, the ongoing drilling campaign has a budget of around $220 million gross for the five wells that are being drilled on the Foxtrot field.

Decommissioning, there is obviously numbers on decommissioning, but it's not something that is imminent at all. As we said, there is more than 520 Bcf of 2P and almost more than 900 Bcf of potential all together with 2P/2Cs.

The contract will undoubtedly be extended and the life of the field extended.

Andy Dymond

Just to add to that, Stephane, we see that the remaining productive life is 15 years or more for the asset, it's a very long-dated, stable, steady profile. The decommissioning is at the back end of that.

Thank you.

Andy Dymond

Thank you. The next question will be from Teodor Sveen-Nilsen.

Teodor, if you could unmute your microphone and go ahead with your question, please.

Good morning, guys, and thanks for taking my questions. I have three questions, first on the deal.

The Ivory Coast deal definitely establishes you in a new country and a new jurisdiction. How should we think about this deal as a platform to do more M&A in the country, and what kind of opportunities do you see in the country?

A second question on the deal specifically, that is I understand that the gas is priced at $6.5 per MMBtu. Is that a fixed price for the entire volume, or is that a function of any gas price or oil price?

Any comments around that would be useful.

Julien Balkany

Yeah. Thank you, Teodor.

This is Julien. Clearly, it's an exciting new entry for us in a well-established oil and gas jurisdiction, as I mentioned earlier, and obviously, it's a first step, and I think it's going to position us in the near future for follow-on growth opportunities.

I would say it will be the future, not right now. First thing first, we have to close on this transaction and we will have to digest it.

Understood. Thanks.

On the pricing, can you share some more details on how we should think around the pricing other than the $6.5 per MMBtu?

Andy Dymond

Yeah. There's a minimum fixed price of $6 per MMBtu, and there's an indexation applied to that which has increased the current pricing to around $6.50 per MMBtu.

There's a very very stable minimum price, and there's underpinned by a take-or-pay feature within the gas sales agreements. There's virtually no volatility on 95% of the product sales from the asset.

Understood. A couple more questions here on the overall production for the portfolio.

Talking about a few new wells in Gabon and EG in second half of the year, from the portfolio excluding Ivory Coast, how much growth should we expect in second half?

Andy Dymond

Sorry Teodor, just you're asking about the production growth organically in the second half of the year or including pro forma the acquisition?

Organically, excluding Ivory Coast assets.

Eric d'Argentré

Okay. That's Eric.

Production growth, as I mentioned earlier, in Block G has been very strong, very good and positive in the first half of the year. We started the year a bit softly with the Ceiba subsea problems and some in Okume as well.

We have regained a very good level at almost 22,000 barrel of oil per day gross in Block G today. We were more in the 15, 16 earlier this year.

There is still work ongoing in productive investment in Okume. The workover unit is still in doing well intervention, we expect to increase.

An important point I did not mention, not to answer in too much in details, but the long-term problems we had on water injection in the Ceiba accumulation as well as in Okume has been repaired, and we see now a very positive effect on the Ceiba production from the water injection. That's very steady operation, and we will regain potential on a long-term basis on Ceiba with water injection.

We have as well dedicated team working on the Central cluster and C-45 well intervention. That's takes more time with supply chain and engineering, but we hope to do the intervention end of the year and next year on those wells.

Yes, organically, Block G will continue to increase. Tunisia will remain stable with slight increase.

Importantly, Dussafu, we will be on a increasing trend from now on, with a well coming onstream every 2 to 3 months on the Mabomo Phase 2 drilling, and very shortly after the Bourdon development. Yes, production will remain strong in '26 and continue to increase in '27.

Thank you. A final question, that is just on the accounting technicality for the Ivory Coast asset.

I assume you will account for that, use full consolidation, or will this be accounted for as associated company? I think,

Qazi Qadeer

Teodor, the accounting assessment at present is the same how the vendor used to account for it, it will be accounted as an associate, but we will obviously include the enhanced pro forma disclosures to capture the fundamentals on a like-for-like basis.

Understood. That's all from me.

Thank you.

Andy Dymond

Thank you. The next question is from Robert Budekba.

If you could please unmute your microphone and ask your question, please.

Good morning, everyone. Good morning, sirs.

Thank you for your presentation. This is my question: With the PSC extension in Gabon to 2053 and Panoro's focus on the long-term asset, how is Panoro approaching government relations and local content strategy to ensure regulatory stability and sustainable partnership across the West African country, including Equatorial Guinea?

Thank you.

Eric d'Argentré

Hi, this is Eric. Thank you for your question.

As you mentioned, yes, we have a long-term extension on our PSC in Gabon, 2053. Part of our policy and strategy in Panoro is to have very healthy and positive relationship with all stakeholders, including the authority in each country where we operate.

Local content is part of the strategy that we are monitoring and implementing with our partners when we are non-operated. There is a strong local content policy and regular reporting from our operator in Gabon as well as in Equatorial Guinea, where we have regular meeting, operating committee meeting and other statutory meeting with government, national company, and ministries to demonstrate our involvement in the local content and sustainability part of our operation.

Andy Dymond

Thank you, Eric. With no further questions, that will conclude today's Q&A and our webcast.

Thank you all very much.