Carrefour SA

Carrefour SA

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Q2 FY2026 · Earnings Call TranscriptJuly 23, 2026

Operator

Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Carrefour Half Year 2026 Results Conference Call.

At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speakers' presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session.

To ask a question during the session, please press *11 on your telephone. You will then hear an automated message advising your hand is raised.

To withdraw your question, please press *11 again. Please note that today's conference is being recorded.

I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker, Mr. Alexandre Bompard, Chairman and CEO of Carrefour.

Please go ahead.

Alexandre Bompard

Thank you. Good evening, everyone.

Bonsoir à tous, and thank you for joining us today to discuss our first half of 2026. This semester was marked by the elaboration of our new strategic plan, Carrefour 2030, that we had carefully and extensively prepared with all our teams.

It has also been a very active semester in terms of communication and investor engagement around the plan. We intensified our dialogue with shareholders and the broader financial community, including through the CSR Capital Markets Day we held on June the 16th.

The feedback we have received from the investment community has been very encouraging, and I'm not referring only to the share price performance since February. Investors have welcomed our sharper operational focus on our core markets, our investment program to modernize our stores, and our tech roadmap, notably through our partnership with Vusion and the broad deployment of AI.

Our objectives in terms of price competitiveness, market share gains, and financial performance are well understood. We also recognize that expectations have now shifted from the strategy itself to its execution, and that's exactly where our focus is today.

Execution has started at a high pace. Let me share a few first examples.

With the support of Concordis and the proceeds of our performance plans, we invested in our competitiveness and customers' purchasing power. We accelerated the rollout of new in-store fresh areas, fresh concessions, and we opened the first Match with a distinctive fresh offer.

We pursued our expansion agenda in proximity stores, particularly in France and Spain. We deployed Vusion's AI technology with connected rails, cameras, and real-time out-of-stock alerts, leading to added sales and productivity improvements in our first hypermarkets equipped.

We also completed the disposals of Carrefour Romania as part of our geographical focus. Looking at our results, we delivered a solid performance.

Sales were up thanks to good commercial dynamics and driven by a strong e-commerce. Our Club program is meeting great success with new members, enhancing traffic and fueling our data lake.

Our recurring operating income is growing, driven by our three main countries. Total net free cash flow is up versus H1 2025, and EPS is up 18%.

Based on these metrics and the business trends in our core markets, we confirm all our financial targets for the year. Looking at our performance by geography: In France and Spain, despite a volatile environment, markets held up well overall.

In France, our sales were up across all formats, supported by our consistently improved price positioning and the increase of our Net Promoter Score. We also see a positive dynamics since the beginning of the summer.

Former Cora stores sales were up 5% in Q2, doubling versus Q1, and we kept strong cost discipline. As a consequence, recurring operating income increased by 14% compared with the first half of 2025.

In Spain, we confirmed our positive momentum in the second quarter. We continued to invest in pricing competitiveness.

We benefited from sustained growth in fresh product hypermarkets. We expanded our network of convenience stores, which continue to grow at a solid pace and confirms the relevance of the model.

Profitability was up 7% in the country. In Brazil, in a macroeconomic environment that remained complex, we recorded an improvement in sales, turning back to positive territory in Q2 2026, with encouraging momentum at the beginning of the summer.

Atacadão's performance improved, notably supported by the commercial initiatives launched by our new general manager. Our other banners held up well, and we also launched a cross-banner loyalty program to strengthen our customer ecosystem.

Our profitability remained resilient, with recurring operating income increasing by 6%, driven by a solid cost discipline. In other countries, we confirmed our positive trajectory in Belgium with a return to market share gains.

In Poland, the environment remained highly competitive, but we continue to reduce costs and reshape our footprint with a clear focus on our best-performing stores. In Argentina, the consumer environment has been challenging, which weighted on our operating performance and on our banking activities.

The new general manager that I have appointed has reshuffled our commercial model, with encouraging results, as June recorded the first positive volumes since December 2023. Overall, we look at the second half of the year with confidence.

We will reinforce our positive momentum and execute our plan with consistency in the amelioration of our price competitiveness, continued acceleration on fresh with the opening of new Match fresh concepts, further deployment of Vusion and our AI roadmap, maintained cost discipline, acceleration in store modernization to support our formats, our customer experience, and our long-term growth, a CSR and food transition index at 107%. At the same time, we will maintain a high level of dialogue with our investors.

We will notably hold our third Capital Markets Day this year, which will be dedicated to hypermarkets on 17th of November. Thank you for your attention.

I'll now hand over to Matthieu for more details on our financial performance.

Matthieu Malige

Thank you, Alexandre, and good afternoon to everyone. It's a pleasure to be with you all to cover our 2026 first half financial results in detail.

Before we get into the numbers, I would like to remind you that following completion of the divestments of Carrefour Romania at the end of June, Carrefour Romania is deconsolidated as of July 1st in our accounts. For H1 2026, Carrefour's operations in Romania are accounted for as discontinued operations in accordance with the IFRS 5 accounting standard.

Let's start on slide 5 of the presentation with the details of our Q2 sales. Total sales for the quarter reached €22.7 billion.

Group like-for-like sales were up 1.9% over the quarter despite high comps in Q2 '25, linked to a strong activity in France and Spain in June 2025. The scope effect had a negative contribution of -0.8% over the quarter, notably due to the sale of six hypermarkets in France as antitrust remedies following the acquisition of Cora and Match.

Petrol added 1.3 percentage points to the growth, and the calendar effect was a negative -0.6%. Forex had a favorable impact on total sales growth of 1.1% over the quarter, essentially reflecting the appreciation of the Brazilian real.

In total, reported revenue was up 2.8% in Q2. Moving on to slide 6 with more details on the performance of France.

Activity remained dynamic in the second quarter, with like-for-like sales up 1% in a market where food consumption held up well, notably in volume terms, with continued growth. As was the case in Q1, all formats posted positive like-for-like sales growth in Q2.

Former Cora and Match stores are accelerating their like-for-like month after month, reflecting the success of the transformation of the commercial model. They reported +4.6% like-for-like in Q2 after 2.6% in Q1.

Recurring operating income grew by 13.8% in the first half of the year, with a margin expansion of 16 basis points, reaching 1.5% of sales. The group managed to offset its price investments, as well as higher energy and transportation costs due to the crises in the Middle East and successive heat waves, thanks to continued optimization of operational efficiency and cost reduction initiatives.

We're also satisfied with the outcome of the negotiations with Concordis. Cora and Match operating profit slightly improved over the semester, benefiting from positive volumes and the end of integration costs, but was penalized versus H1 last year by the lower margin of the Carrefour commercial model, which was implanted over the summer 2025.

Let's turn to slide 7 with the impact of key operating initiatives of this first semester in France. Carrefour France continued to improve its price competitiveness with three new waves of price decreases in March, April, and June, each covering more than 500 SKUs in different categories of products, with an average price reduction of 8%.

For the 50th anniversary of Carrefour-branded products, a basket of 200 SKUs sold at cost price was also introduced, meeting great success with customers. As a result, Carrefour hypermarkets now hold second place in terms of price positioning in France as per Nielsen's Distriprix net index.

These investments have been well perceived by consumers, as reflected by a 2-point increase in NPS in France. At former Cora stores, NPS was up 15 points, reflecting the attractiveness of the new commercial model with lower prices, more promotions, and extended private labels.

Overall, Carrefour had a stable market share over this first semester. Regarding the initiatives of Carrefour 2030, the rollout is unfolding as planned.

We strengthened our leadership in the convenience format with 234 new stores opened in H1. We also reinforced our market share in e-commerce, both in home delivery and click-and-collect.

New commercial concepts are being deployed in hypermarkets, notably dedicated fresh areas or growth verticals like parapharmacie. Three hypermarkets and two supermarkets were transferred to lease management.

We confirm the target for the full year: 15 hypers and 40 supers. These various operating initiatives are resonating well with customers, and an additional 300,000 members joined our loyalty program.

Let's move to slide 8 with a focus on Spain, where the group experienced strong momentum in the second quarter, with like-for-like sales up 2.2%. Market conditions are still supportive, with positive volumes and a slight inflation.

In that context, Spain delivered a solid performance in food, with a 2.3% like-for-like increase in sales, notably driven by strong growth in fresh products in hypermarkets, where we maintain constant focus on quality, availability, and affordability. Over the semester, Carrefour Spain continued to invest in its customers' purchasing power with several campaigns, including unbeatable prices and dedicated operations for members of the loyalty program, which attracted close to 500,000 new members to pass the 11 million members threshold.

At the same time, customer satisfaction kept improving, with NPS up 4 points in Q2. In line with its expansion plan, Carrefour Spain grew its footprint in convenience stores, with 78 stores opened in H1.

Finally, e-commerce progressed well, with an increase in GMV of +8.4% in Q2. This strong commercial momentum translated into an improvement in profitability, both in absolute terms and in percentage of sales.

Over the first half, recurring operating income was up 7.3% at €177 million, with a 14 bps increase in operating margins to 3.3%. Turning to slide 9 with the performance in Brazil.

High interest rates continued to weigh on consumer purchasing power. In this still complex macroeconomic environment marked by negative volumes, Carrefour outperformed its market.

The group recorded an improvement in sales, with like-for-like turning back to positive territory at +0.4%, with an increase of +0.5% at Atacadão. The retail segment posted a sequential improvement, with hypers up +2.5% like-for-like.

Retail like-for-like was penalized by non-food e-commerce operations, as Carrefour Brazil slowed down this activity to prioritize its profitability. The financial services segment performed well, with a 13% increase in the credit portfolio.

Carrefour Brazil increased its recurring operating income by 5.8% over the semester to reach €359 million. Margin also improved in H1 and was up 9 basis points thanks to a well-calibrated commercial equation and strict cost discipline.

In the second half of 2026, we expect to see continued stabilization in our volumes and further cost optimization. Moving on to slide 10 to mention a few key initiatives.

Atacadão adapted its commercial model. It notably simplified its assortment to focus on the highest rotations and less, but deeper, promotions.

It also launched the Bowness private label brand, which now features 200 SKUs. E-commerce remained strong during the semester, with a 30% increase in GMV.

Consequently, Atacadão gained market share in the cash-and-carry format over the semester, and its volumes have been stable since the beginning of the summer. Carrefour Retail also gained market share.

B2B customers keep buying more and now represent 9% of sales. In H1, we progressively deployed new concepts in non-food in the Brazilian hypermarkets, including home decor, home textile, and DIY, with encouraging initial impact on sales.

Sam's Club also grew volumes thanks to more active members. As announced during our Carrefour 2030 strategic plan presentation in February, we launched our new loyalty program, Nosso Clube, in Brazil.

With this new unified loyalty program aims at maximizing the ecosystem value and encouraging cross-shopping among all our formats. Moving to the other countries segment on slide 11.

Performance for the half reflects mixed situations in each market. Belgium confirmed its positive commercial momentum, with a sequential acceleration in sales at +1.3% like-for-like in Q2 versus 0.8% in Q1, driven by positive volumes.

Market share was stable in Q2. ROI was broadly stable in Belgium.

In Poland, sales were down -5.8% like-for-like. The environment remained competitive, and consumption sluggish.

The local team has implemented strict cost control and well optimized the store portfolio with the sale or closure of underperforming stores. As a result, ROI slightly improved in Poland.

In Argentina, market conditions were challenging, with significant pressure on consumers' purchasing power and negative food volumes in the market. In that context, the initiatives implemented by the new management team supported a positive sales dynamic, with like-for-like up by 23.5% and gradually improving volumes.

Volumes eventually turned positive in June for the first time since December '23. In this context of pressure on purchasing power, negative volumes, and higher cost of risk at the bank pushed ROI down in H1 in Argentina.

Moving to the top part of our global P&L on slide 12. Gross margin was down 28 basis points in H1 due to more investment in competitiveness and a structural shift of our operating model towards franchise.

SG&A expenses stood at 14.7% of sales, with an improvement of 30 basis points compared to last year. The group delivered well on its cost savings plan, with €490 million achieved in H1.

This is in line with the objective of €1 billion for the full year. All this leads to a small increase in the group's operating margin to 1.9%, driven by the three core countries: France, Spain, and Brazil, where ROI was up +9% in H1.

Together, they offset the decline in ROI in Argentina and a negative comparison basis in global functions. Indeed, in H1 2025, global functions recorded a provision reversal from long-term incentives expenses and variable compensation than initially planned.

This did not recur in H1 2026, where global functions is back to a level close to 2024. Turning to slide 13, let's walk through the P&L items below the operating line.

Non-recurring expenses increased to €165 million, a more usual level than the 2025 number, which reflected capital gains on the disposal of the stake in Carmila and real estate assets. Net cost of debt decreased significantly to €121 million, reflecting the refinancing of all external debt at Carrefour Brazil, which was implemented in H2 '25.

Other financial income and expenses were a negative €38 million against a high 2025 basis linked to exceptional income in Brazil, as monetary adjustments on tax credits were recognized following favorable court decisions, an effect that did not recur this year. Bottom line, adjusted net income, group share strongly increased by 26.8% to reach €345 million.

This translates into an adjusted EPS of €0.49 for the first semester, up by 18.3%. Let's now move to the key moving parts of the net free cash flow.

As you can see on the right-hand side of the page, which excludes Italy, net free cash flow is slightly down versus last year, which was -€1,922 million in H1 excluding Italy. Forex was a headwind of €53 million linked to Brazil, explained by a stronger real against the euro on a negative free cash flow during the first half of the year.

Real estate net free cash flow is also lower than last year in H1, with less divestments in H1 versus last year. Excluding these two technical and calendar effects, net free cash flow is up €64 million.

Please note that these two items should reverse in full-year 2026 net free cash flow. Full-year forex is expected to be a positive on a full-year positive cash flow.

Real estate net free cash flow is expected to reach €200 to €300 million, as guided at the beginning of the year, as more disposals will happen in H2. We are notably advanced on two sale-and-leaseback operations that could be announced in Q3.

Moving on to slide 15. As you can see, we now detail the net free cash flow generation by distinguishing between cash flow generated by retail operations and that stemming from the real estate activity.

Let me highlight the key moving parts of the retail operating net free cash flow: EBITDA increased by €45 million. The financial result was €71 million lower against a high basis of comparison linked to the recognition of tax credits in Brazil in H1 '25.

Change in working capital was down by €90 million, impacted by higher inventory levels at the end of June in France. Retail capex were broadly stable.

This results in retail operating net free cash flow at -€1,825 million compared to -€1,757 million in H1 '25. It's roughly stable if we exclude a negative currency effect from Brazil of -€46 million.

Real estate net free cash flow, standing at -€41 million, down versus last year due to different calendarization of real estate divestments and investments versus last year. The decrease is mainly linked to a €99 million decrease in real estate disposals at €39 million in H1, as 2026 divestments will happen more in H2 this year versus last year.

Finally, as already mentioned, the net cost of financial debt decreased by €81 million in H1, mainly linked to the refinancing of Carrefour Brazil debts carried out in H2 '25. I will now complete this H1 financial review with a few words on net financial debt, which decreased by €1.1 billion.

Net debt amounts to €5.8 billion on June 30, 2026. The page being straightforward, I will just detail acquisitions and disposals that represent a positive net impact of €260 million.

They notably include the disposal of Carrefour Romania for approximately €500 million. The group also sold stores, including six hypermarkets linked to the French competition authority's decision.

These positive impacts are partly offset by the effect from the sale of Carrefour Italy for -€181 million already mentioned in February, as well as other small acquisitions. This concludes my presentation.

I thank you for your attention. Alexandre and I are now available to take your questions.

Operator, do you want to start the Q&A session? Sorry, we're going to start the Q&A session in just a second.

It seems we have a problem with the operator. I understand the first question comes from William Woods.

Could you please connect William, operator? William, can you try talking to us?

William Woods

Hello?

Matthieu Malige

We hear you.

Alexandre Bompard

We hear you. Hello, William.

Hi.

William Woods

Good evening. Thank you very much for taking the questions.

The first one is on France. I suppose when you look at your market share performance versus what you set out in the CMD, what are you doing in order to drive more market share gains over the next couple of years, and are you happy with that performance in the last couple of months?

Then the second one is on your H1 margins, flat year-over-year. In order to get to the more than 25 bps of margin expansion, what do you see as the main drivers of the acceleration in operating profit in H2?

Thank you.

Alexandre Bompard

Thank you, William. For your first question is on the market share in France.

In a nutshell, in H1 we have a stable market share, positive in Q1, and in Q2 the market share was stable if we exclude the disposals of remedies of the acquisition of Cora. As you may be know, we have to sell six hypermarkets, which were remedies from the Cora, Match, and Casino acquisition in 2024, and of course it has had an effect on our market share around 14 bps.

We remain very confident in our trajectory to reach our 25% market share target by 2030. Our market share is already positive in volume.

We have made great improvements in our commercial offering. The strength of our loyalty program is constantly being reinforced.

We continue, and we have invested a lot in prices, which actively drives our volumes growth. You've probably seen that we are now positioned as the number two in the French market.

The former Cora stores are ramping up well following the deployment of Carrefour's commercial equation last year. These stores are now growing faster than the historical footprint, and the pace of like-for-like has doubled between Q1 and Q2.

We are very confident we will be able to continue to leverage Carrefour's commercial proposition to our customer and grow organically in the next quarters. Concerning your question on the margins: As you understood, we are very satisfied with the performance we deliver in H1, notably driven by the steady 9% growth in recurring operating income in our three core countries, which is consistent with our full-year guidance as well with consensus for the full year.

This puts us in the right position to deliver on our full-year objectives, and mainly the 25 bps increase in operating margin. I would say from a business standpoint and from a financial standpoint: From a business standpoint, I would start, and Matthieu will continue.

In France and Spain, the markets are positive and even dynamic in Spain, and we see this trend continuing in H2. Additionally, we had a good commercial operating dynamic, and we see it accelerate further in H2.

In Brazil, in H1 we posted a good profit growth despite weak volumes this semester. Things look better for H2 with volume trends at Atacadão improving, food inflation turning little more positive, and more cost savings ahead of us.

Last, Argentina, you see was difficult in H1. We had negative volumes and increased cost of risk, but we think the worst is behind us, we're sure about that, and the new commercial policy is performing well.

Volumes are back in positive territory, and cost of risk stabilized. From a financial standpoint, Matthieu?

Matthieu Malige

From a financial standpoint, we grew 9% recurring operating income in our three core countries. This pace of growth is consistent with the full-year guidance and where the market consensus is for the full year.

There are maybe three additional points. The first one is that Cora and Match will have an acceleration of earnings in the second half.

That the commercial model was implemented for the first time in this H1, it did weigh on profitability, but in H2 we will lap over the implementation which occurred in the summer of '25, and we won't have any more one-offs. Then Argentina, where we expect a better performance.

Then the global functions: We had a technical element in H1 which is not expected to recur in H2, so that would be a positive factor versus the H1 dynamic.

William Woods

Thank you very much.

Operator

Thank you. We will now take the next question from the line of Manjari Dhar from RBC.

Please go ahead.

Manjari Dhar

Good afternoon. Thank you for taking my questions.

I just had two, if I may. My first question is on France.

I know you talked about your pricing, your three waves of pricing initiatives. I was just wondering, how much work is there still to do on pricing in France?

Are there further investments planned? Sort of how quickly do you think that the price perception is improving in France with the consumer?

Do you think that there is still more work to do in sort of getting the consumer to understand the work you've done on pricing? Then my second question was on digital and AI.

I just wondered if you could give some color on the learnings so far from the new technology you've deployed, the new Vusion technology, and sort of any other insights you could give on that would be really helpful. Thank you.

Alexandre Bompard

Thank you for your question. Your first question is about price competitiveness and the initiatives we have continued to deploy.

In this semester, we continue, as we are now committed to invest in our price competitiveness and to reinforce and to improve our price competitiveness with two main mechanics: The first is the three waves of investments in national brands of 500 products each by around 10%. The second is an operation on our private brands on 200 products at the end of February.

All that and all the other initiatives we have been taken reinforced by all we are doing in terms of promotion as an awareness to improve our positioning and to improve the index that we have communicated. We are number two now in the French market.

The conviction we have is that we are capable to fuel this price positioning and these price investments through our cost savings, and the cost savings is €490 million for the group, and France is taking its fair share, and we will continue to do that while protecting in the same time our margin. The elasticity of this investment is very positive, and the transformation of this price positioning into a good volume dynamic in terms of volume is very strong.

Concerning Vusion, your question is very relevant because it's a very important project for us, and we are going per plan with first hypermarket equipped as of today. We have an objective this year of 50 hypermarkets with Vusion.

We are now at eight stores already been deployed with Vusion solution. Initial feedbacks from the stores are extremely positive.

This is of course a very important productivity issue for us, but it is also a data-driven model, allowing us to both exploit and monitor customer behavior, both internally and externally with our suppliers, which can become a new source of income for the group. It's a very important project.

We are fully mobilized on that, and the level of conviction and of confidence we have today in this project is very strong, and we will reach our objective of 50 stores this year.

Manjari Dhar

That's great. Thank you.

Alexandre Bompard

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. We will now take the next question from the line of Sreedhar Mahamkali from UBS.

Please go ahead.

Sreedhar Mahamkali

Hi, Alexandre, Matthieu. Thanks for taking my questions.

Can I just go with three, please? First one, it seems to me, just backing out from what you're saying on France ex Cora and Match, that Cora Match losses was €75 million, clearly worse than I thought and certainly a lot of other colleagues on line of sight were thinking.

Can you explain that a bit more, and do you still think Cora and Match at least break even this year, given the slightly bigger loss than expected in H1? Secondly, Argentina, can you give us a sense of losses here in the first half, and what is the phasing, how should we think about Argentina contributions on a full-year basis?

Third one, I think, Matthieu, you might have said it, I probably didn't hear very well, but are you saying you're comfortable with consensus expectations of just over €2.3 billion for the full year? Thank you.

Alexandre Bompard

Thank you, Sreedhar. On your Cora question, you're right.

We are where we expected to be, with an improvement of €5 million compared to the reported figure of H1 2025 that was -€80 million, it means that we are -€75 million. This semester was balanced between the positive effect of the end of the one-off costs related to the integration and the negative effect of the alignment of the commercial equation to the one of Carrefour.

What we have next, the impact of the rollout of the commercial model and the one-off integration costs will be behind us, and we benefit from the continued improvement in sales and market share that you have seen in this quarter, 2.3% at the first quarter, 4.6% at the second quarter, there's a clear acceleration in terms of like-for-like, in terms of debits, in terms of customer satisfaction, the dynamic is very positive. We expect a material turnaround.

Matthieu to complete on where we see at the end of the year?

Matthieu Malige

[unclear]

Alexandre Bompard

Can you hear me? On Argentina, as you've seen, we have been suffering from two effects related to the macroeconomic situation: First is the decline of volume, which has been quite strong, and the second is the cost of risk, which has increased with a one-off provision.

The good news, I've decided to modify the management there. We have made a real reshuffle of our commercial equation, and the good news is that we have seen very quickly the first results.

We are back in positive territory in terms of volumes since the beginning of June. We gain market share.

The relevancy of our commercial equation is now very strong. We see H2 as an opportunity to improve the situation, and the level of confidence we have is good.

Matthieu Malige

On your third question, Sreedhar, indeed we confirm our guidance today, and the recurring operating income guidance is very consistent with where the consensus is and very consistent in terms of full-year growth with the growth that we deliver on our three core countries in H1.

Sreedhar Mahamkali

Sorry, Matthieu, just to follow up on what Alexandre said, are you still expecting Cora and Match to achieve breakeven, because that's clearly the big driver? Again,

Matthieu Malige

very close to breakeven. We had these six stores that were divested, they were a little bit of profit, we'll see.

Clearly the trend is very solid. I'm not going to say again what Alexandre said very clearly, and we have a number of negatives last year that are not replicating as we are lapping over the commercial model, significant benefits to come in the second half.

Operator

Thank you. We will now take the next question from the line of Monique Pollard from Citi.

Please go ahead.

Monique Pollard

Hi. Afternoon, everyone.

Thank you for taking my questions. The first question I had was just on Poland.

Obviously you've managed to slightly improve the ROI in the first half despite the negative like-for-likes. Obviously, the like-for-likes also took a step down there in the 2Q.

Just trying to understand if the like-for-likes continue to be disappointing for the second half of the year, whether there's enough in, I don't know, cost control, etc., you can do to maintain or slightly improve your ROI in that country still. The second question I had was on Brazil.

You obviously slowed your non-food e-commerce to prioritize profitability, sort of similar to what you had talked about in the first quarter, just trying to understand how your online profitability now is for non-food versus food in Brazil and whether there's still more SKU optimization that needs to be done on the non-food side. Then just on Argentina ROI, thank you for the comments you made earlier, but I guess what I'm trying to understand is, what's the biggest driver there?

Is the biggest driver of the improvement of the ROI from here just a return to volume growth, or how material is that sort of cost of risk starting to stabilize for the financial services business as well? Thank you.

Matthieu Malige

Thank you very much, Monique. On first question on Poland, clearly we're not satisfied with the like-for-like over there.

The market is competitive, the market has been complex in Q2, but we're clearly below our objectives in terms of like-for-like. The good news is that as we did in H1, we have cost-savings initiatives that can be implemented, including store closures that are loss-making.

We implemented some in H1, and we have further initiatives to come in the second half. Brazil: Non-food e-commerce was really a small business.

Profitability was not good. It's clearly not strategic.

Strategic for us is food e-commerce in Brazil, where we have a very good pace. We decided to scale down this activity and to preserve the profitability, it negatively impacts the like-for-like, but it's positive from a bottom-line perspective.

I think we commented on that in the previous quarter, and we'll probably have the same statement in Q3 as we're scaling down this business. In Argentina, your third question: First there's really two dynamics.

The first one is volumes that have been negative in H1, and Alexandre said they're back to positive in June. Beginning of July is very satisfactory, and we think that it relies on the new commercial approach which is here to stay and to amplify.

We're confident in the retail volume dynamic in the second half, and that has negatively impacted the profitability in H1, more confident in the second half. Then on the cost of risk, clearly we've had a weakening of the portfolio due to the consumption environment in Argentina.

We implemented the necessary provisions as our rules require. We see no further degradation of the cost of risk of the portfolio in Argentina, this is to be monitored, but we think that we've taken the hit, and we're not expecting anything significant in the second half.

Monique Pollard

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. We will now take the next question from the line of Izabel Dobreva from Morgan Stanley.

Please go ahead.

Izabel Dobreva

Hello. Good evening.

I had a couple of questions. Going back to France, could you give us some sense of how the competitors are responding to your commercial actions and how you're seeing the environment more broadly, because of course you are putting through quite substantial price investments into the market?

Are you seeing any response at the moment, and if not, why do you think that is the case? Then I had a few technical questions.

Could you help us understand the outlook for the financial expense line for the year, given all of the self-help measures? Then just to come back on one of the comments which were made on the call that the full-year guidance is very consistent with where consensus is, could you just help us understand which consensus?

Is that the €2.3 billion consensus for EBIT, just because different providers have different numbers, I wasn't sure which consensus number exactly you were referencing?

Alexandre Bompard

Thank you, Izabel, for your question. We see the French market as behaving in a rational way.

There are some competitors that are in difficulties, as you know. The independents are well in the market.

When you analyze what has been happening in the last two years in the price competition, I think we can say without any doubt that the most significant point is the strong repositioning of Carrefour. We were number four, we are number two.

We have a series of initiatives on everyday price, on promotion, on our Club with 14 million of subscribers. We are very modest on that, and we are not price leader at all, and that's not our objective.

We continue to have a lot of humility on that. Our conviction is that this price investment is working well.

It triggers a good level of growth in terms of volume. We are gaining customers big time, and so we will continue to do that.

The rest of the market, they're doing their job, of course, they are in the market, but we don't see any particular new initiatives in the French market except the Carrefour repositioning for the last two years. Matthieu?

Matthieu Malige

Yes, on your second question relating to the financial expenses, it really unfolds as we had expected. We refinanced the debt in Brazil over the course of the second half last year.

We had a little bit of savings last year, I think in the magnitude of €20 million. This year, this semester H1, we have €80 million of improvement, and we anticipate further savings in H2.

As the refinancing happened over the course of the second half last year, we expect we'll have a full-semester effect in H2, and so can expect more savings there. Really unfolding as planned, and then for '27 that would be behind us.

On your third question relating to the consensus: We never point to specific numbers, I'm not going to do that tonight. The message is we confirm our guidance on all our financial guidance, including the one to increase our operating margin by 25 basis points.

Operator

Thank you. We will now take the next question from the line of Geoffroy Michalet from ODDO BHF.

Please go ahead.

Geoffroy Michalet

Yes, hi. Thank you.

I have three questions. First one on the other cost line: In H1, it was similar to H1 2024.

In H2, should we expect to be similar in H2 2024, first question? Second question, more generally speaking, do you expect the presidential election to have an impact on the behavior of customers in France?

Third and last question, on the strategic review, are you still open to divestments? Thank you.

Matthieu Malige

On your first question on global functions, I think you have the good reading, Geoffroy. We've had a specific in H1 last year, this year is back to normal and so consistent with 2024 H1, which was a normal level, and we expect the same in H2 2026, global functions to be at the same level as what we had in H2 2024.

Alexandre Bompard

On your question of the impact of the presidential campaign on the consumption: The vision we have since the beginning of the year, and we were not numerous to think exactly that, but that the level of resilience of the French customers is very strong. You've seen that we have not seen any material impact of the geopolitical crisis on the level of consumption.

Volumes are positive, not big-time positive, but positive and very constant. We think that the French customers is now adapted to the climate of, I would say, different type of crisis: geopolitical, climate, and so on, and that the resilience is very strong and is exactly what we see in the figures of this first semester.

My conviction is that it would be the same with both the political instability we have been facing for one year. As we have been facing quite high level of political instability with debate on budget, on fiscality, and so on, and we have seen no impact of the consumption, sort of indifference of the French customers to the debate, and we don't think that the presidential campaign would have a different impact.

Your third questions is about where we are on the disposals: We are exactly at the same point on the 17th of February. We have three core countries where we concentrate the attention and the investments, and we have three other countries where the priority and the focus is the improvement of the operations and the improvement of the operational excellence and the results.

It's what we are doing in Poland, in Argentina with good effects since June, and in Belgium, and we are exactly there and we'll continue to do that. Nothing has changed.

Geoffroy Michalet

Thank you very much.

Alexandre Bompard

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. We will now take the next question from the line of François Digard from Kepler Cheuvreux.

Please go ahead.

François Digard

Good evening. Thank you to take my questions.

The first is about your price positioning. You referred to number two position.

Could you tell us across which formats this price position applies? Is it only hypermarkets or across all formats?

Second questions is about your operating profit, for the core countries, the result in H1 is above consensus expectations, but ROI in the non-core countries is weaker. Could you give us your view for the year on the contribution from these countries compared with last year?

Really year-on-year for non-core countries. On the same questions for non-recurring expenses, I understand the Carmila base effect, but not the remaining expenses are recurring, as these non-recurring expenses, if I can say so.

Thank you.

Alexandre Bompard

Thank you. I just take the first, and be very quick: The price positioning is related to our positioning on hypermarkets.

Matthieu? Thank you.

Matthieu Malige

Yes, so as far as the operating profit is concerned, you're right. If you look at it by segment, we're exactly where consensus is, except for the global functions, where we have a €20 million gap due to the technical effect that I mentioned, which was probably not well anticipated by the Street.

As far as the rest of the more operational perimeters, including the other countries, we're really reaching the consensus for the first half. What's the outlook for these other countries for the second half?

You understood, we think we have a strong dynamic, commercial dynamic and operating dynamic in Belgium. We still have a reservoir of cost savings to potentially absorb further decline in sales in Poland.

I think as far as Argentina, I've answered in a previous question: better volume dynamic and more confidence on the financial services side. On the non-recurring expenses: Each year we have non-recurring expenses which include some restructuring expenses.

We have a number of restructuring plans happening in the group, some write-offs here or there, including some goodwill write-off at some point. My comment was mainly to say that there's a gap versus last year.

I think it's more last year which was unusual because we had a heavy number of real estate divestments where we had capital gain. We had significant capital gain last year in H1, and we also had a capital gain on the divestment of the Carmila stake, which was also quite unusual.

The rest, you have all the details in the financial statements, François, is the same topics as we have regularly.

François Digard

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. We will now take the next question from the line of Rob Joyce from BNP Paribas.

Please go ahead.

Rob Joyce

Hi. Thanks very much for taking my questions.

I've got three. Just on the Cora and Match losses, €75 million, I guess we're kind of running at nearly €200 million now across the last 18 months in terms of underlying losses.

Was that really the plan, and what assurance can you give us that we're not going to be here in seven months' time talking about Cora and Match losses again? That would be really helpful just to help us understand the trajectory there.

The second one is just in terms of the price investments ongoing in France, moved from four to two, but think the people you've overtaken are still taking share. What do we need to do, more price investments, or how do we get the market share accelerating on the trajectory it needs to be on to reach that 2030 target?

Then the third one, sorry, it's a bit of a technical one, but just I think the finance costs are quite important to people in terms of the EPS bridge. The Brazilian tax credit adjustments you mentioned in 2025, were they included in underlying finance costs last year, and what are the 50 or so million costs I can see reversed out of the finance costs in '26 in the bridge to underlying?

Thanks very much.

Matthieu Malige

As we said on Cora and Match, we're really in line with our plan. When you mention €180 or €200 million of losses, that includes all the one-offs that we had last year.

I think we've commented on them. I think the good news is that all the integration process is behind us, that includes the one-off costs, and also the cost of the new commercial model, which is the Carrefour commercial model, which is indeed much more commercially intense for customers, for their benefit, which has a cost in terms of P&L.

The good news is that sales are accelerating, as we said. We have strong ambition for sales in the second half of the year because we know that historicals last year were perturbed by the implementation of this commercial model.

No more one-offs, and then this costly commercial model is lapping over the implementation last year. Now we have more volumes kicking into the model, and that's pretty much it.

Now stores need to keep ramping up. We still have a significant gap in terms of sales per square meter versus comparable Carrefour stores, we think that the good dynamic that we have can take us for some time.

On your third question, which was very technical, but I think what I got is that last year we won a case against the Brazilian tax authorities where we could recognize and monetize a monetary correction, interest basically, on some tax credits that we had vis-à-vis the tax authorities. We crystallized these credits, and we crystallized the monetary adjustments.

It was recorded, it was cashed in, and this year it is not happening again, we're back to a more normal situation.

Alexandre Bompard

On your question on price investment, I think there's a point which is difficult to contest is the fact that the price investment have triggered, off the last three years, a positive effect on the market share of Carrefour, particularly in volume, but also in value. It's a constant effect and positive effect.

When you reposition Carrefour as we have done, you have elasticity in terms of volumes, and you gain market share. It doesn't signify that it is possible to gain market share at every period because sometimes you have particular points.

That was the case after the P5 in France, and we gained market share from the P1 to P4, and at the P5 we have the effect of the sales of six hypermarkets. Retail, you measure what is the revenue of six hypermarkets, and so it has a negative impact around 14 bps.

That was the case for P5 on PC's, but the most important is that the dynamic is very positive. We have seen also the impact of the last wave of reinvestments as we get off an increase in market share in volume during the PC's.

It's a virtuous circle that we will continue.

Rob Joyce

Thank you.

Operator

We will now take our last question from the line of Xavier Le Mené from Bank of America Securities. Please go ahead.

Xavier Le Mené

Yes, thank you for taking my questions. I will try to be brief.

The first one, can you comment a bit the non-food performance in France? You stated at your strategic plan that you're going to change the way you offer non-food to be potentially more seasonal.

Can you elaborate a bit more where you are with that plan given the overall performance we've seen in France for non-food for the market? The second one, you were commenting the gross margin and the impact you've got with the mix with franchise.

Arguably it's a negative on the gross margin, but it should be a positive on the operating profit. Any color you can provide here on the impact of franchising the stores?

Matthieu Malige

I'll start. Hello, Xavier.

Thank you for your questions. That's the case.

That's why we keep switching stores to the franchise model, because at the end of the day, it's positive on the bottom line. It changed, as the role that we have and so the structure of the P&L.

We act more as a wholesaler when we have a franchisee, we have a much smaller gross margin, but obviously most of the operating costs are transferred, it has a negative effect on the gross margin rate, it has a positive effect on the cost side, and the net of all that is a positive, so that's why we keep implementing it. On the non-food, we continue to transform the model, taking new strong initiatives.

We have developed parapharmacie, and with very good results, and we are scaling that in the hypermarkets. In the new category, we are very pleased with pet food and all this new universe that we are developing.

We are stronger and stronger on the sport territory. We clearly see that there are new categories in which we take position.

All in all, you've seen that the result is -2% this semester. You've probably seen the performance of a certain number of players in non-food with huge level of difficulties.

It means that we are gaining market share for the first time with this level of amplitude, I would say, both in front of our competitors, but also on a certain number of specialized retailers. Doesn't signify that we are where I wanted us to be.

We still have a lot of room to be more performant and to regain a high level of commercial attractiveness, but we are on the good road, and I think that the future could be more positive on non-food because we have taken the good initiatives and we have the good vision about where we should be for our customers.

Xavier Le Mené

Thank you.

Alexandre Bompard

Thank you. Thank you for this session.

We wish you a happy holiday if you have time to, and enjoy, and talk to you in the next days and weeks. Thank you.

Thank you so much.

Operator

This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating.

You may now disconnect.