Eastnine AB

Eastnine AB

3.90
EUR
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397.94MMarket Cap

Q3 FY2026 · Earnings Call TranscriptOctober 22, 2026

Kęstutis Sasnauskas

Hello, and very warm welcome to Eastnine's Q3 presentation. My name is Kęstutis Sasnauskas, I'm CEO of Eastnine, and with me, Adela Čulaković, CFO.

Today we will guide you through the presentation, and please do not forget to put questions online whilst we're speaking, and we will respond to them at the end of the presentation. Of course, acquisition of The Bridge is the main event that took place during the quarter.

This is also one of our probably major acquisitions, strategic acquisitions during the year, and an amazing property in the central Warsaw, just a couple of 100 meters from our previous acquisition, Warsaw UNIT. You see both of them in the picture: first, The Bridge, and then the third building or fourth building in the row at the end of the picture is Warsaw UNIT.

It's a 40-story high-rise, a landmark in Warsaw, 55,000 square meters, 98% leased out. It's actually 100% booked, there is no space available in it anymore.

The building is totally new and only 57% moved in. The remaining tenants will be moving in during the next year.

This of course has some implications on our multiples. Actually, when you read our presentation, when you read our report, please make bigger note on the notes that we put because we try to explain it in very detail how different effects, implications of this acquisition.

Underlying value is €285 million. We paid 240.

There is an explanation to that: there's compensation for rent-frees for the periods until the rent are commencing, and some fit-out contributions to be made. However, the total implication of this acquisition is very significant, and it actually will bring our earnings or profit from property management per share up to 36 eurocents per share, which is a significant increase in our results and profitability.

If we look on the quarter, it's been a fantastic underlying development. We have 3% like-for-like growth in our portfolio, in our revenue over the quarter; 1.4% growth like-for-like during the first nine months of the year.

Net operating income slightly lower compared to the previous periods, again affected by the buildup of the organization that we have, and which is related to sort of increased property costs. Some of that or biggest part of this effect, actually will be reversed once we take over the management as we today run a little bit of double cost for some time.

Some of the most important things is that surplus ratio remains very high. Actually, our occupancy in the underlying portfolio or like-for-like portfolio is up to 97.2%, which is a record high.

This is unique for office players today in this market, and again it shows how strong the underlying portfolio is, both the properties, but also the service that we provide. NAV per share at 59.38 SEK.

These are kind of main highlights. We will go in more detail during the presentation in various points of these figures.

Just briefly, Eastnine today is a 313,000 of prime, prime, prime properties in Vilnius, Warsaw, Poznan, and Riga. Property value of 1.2, closer to €1.2 billion.

Economic occupancy 88%, again underlying portfolio is 97% is just because The Bridge has not moved in. It's leased, but it's not moved in.

That's why we have economic occupancy of 88.3%. Our annual rental revenue is at 62.

We expect a yield of 6.2% in our earnings capacity, and somewhat higher LTV just because of we financed the acquisition entirely by refinancing in our portfolio, and we have paid in a VAT loan which will be repaid at the end of this quarter, well, in fourth quarter, and that will reduce to 50 below or 50%, 52% approximately, depending on where we are. We will go into that as well during the presentation.

On the bottom, you see some names of our top tenants. If you look at Eastnine actually, it's important to see our growth story.

We have actually grown very rapidly in our portfolio. If you look over the 10- to 10- to 12-year period basically from 2014 when we had the first property, we had €62 million in property value and now we are €1.2 billion.

It's been a tremendous growth. If you look on our earnings, profit from property management per share, it also continued growing.

We have a slight dip during this quarter, and we'll have it a couple of quarters before The Bridge will start generating revenue, but actually when The Bridge is fully moved in, we will reach 36 eurocents per share. That's contracted rents, very stable rents for the next coming periods.

If we go a little bit to the market, the market has been growing tremendously, and actually Poland over the last 10 years has grown 42% in its GDP, followed by Lithuania 37%, Latvia 19%, whilst EU average is around 17% growth, and Sweden is 16 just for comparison. Not only the countries are growing, actually the cities where we operate are growing very rapidly.

You see that actually Vilnius is on top of our list, but if you look on 170 cities almost in the whole Europe, these cities are among the top fastest growing, they're in the top 20 list all of them. It's again, amazing, amazing development that is taking place in our region.

If you look even further in the future, there is a big expectation actually regions like Poznan and Warsaw will continue growing. Vilnius is also continue growing.

This is Oxford Economics predictions, it's not our predictions, but we see it and we witness it every day actually that the growth is very, very strong in our region, which then also fuels the demand for commercial properties, especially offices in prime locations. We're also in a different universe when it comes to yields and rent levels.

If you look on comparable markets, our markets still enjoy the lowest rental levels, at the same time we're in the markets enjoying highest yields. Of course, this balance will somehow over time will disappear.

Rents probably need to be pushed up and will go up, and the prime yields will probably over time have to merge towards European levels and or more kind of historic European levels. Both of these moves would imply quite significant value changes in our portfolio.

As a result of this, it's very important to note that actually the per square meter values of properties are significantly lower in our region. If you look in Warsaw, it's €5.9 thousand per square meter, whilst Helsinki is almost double.

If you go to Hamburg, Dusseldorf, or any other German cities, it's actually more than double the price. If you look in the Baltics, actually the values are even lower.

Baltic values, our total portfolio is 3 point, I don't remember exactly, but we will see that figure later on. This is a huge discrepancy, this huge opportunity for value growth.

What has been keeping this and the rental levels? It's actually a very big supply of office historic in Warsaw.

As demand was growing, there was huge take-up, but there was also a lot of new construction taking place. Since COVID, and since the increase of interest rates, this construction has subsided significantly.

There is very little construction coming out. The demand remains very strong, and this of course drives square meter prices and rents upwards.

That we experience in this market. You can also see it very clearly on our very high occupancy levels.

In Poland, we have basically zero vacancy today. Here you can see some of the pictures of our portfolio.

In Vilnius, we're in a very central part of Vilnius CBD, very close to the Old Town, bordering in some places the parliament, etc. We also have one location where all the tech companies are.

This is Uptown Park property. It's a headquarters of Lithuanian startup called Vinted, and they extended with us last year and actually take possession of the full building now, continuously growing.

In Poznan, we have two very central amazing properties in the intersection, main intersection between the two main communication roads in the city, next to the railway station, next to the Old Town, etc. This is the most attractive location in Poznan today, and we have almost fully let.

We have 1,000 square meters in vacant, which was a result of some moves that we need to accommodate for one of our tenants. In Warsaw, we have two amazing properties in the very heart of Rondo Daszynskiego area, in intersection of Prosta and Towarowa and Prosta and Grzybowska.

It's two amazing properties comprising now 115,000 square meters of prime office, which again creates a very strong market position in this area. It's actually 9% market share in this Wola district of top, top quality properties, but also it brings our market position in Warsaw for around 2%, making us one of the larger players in this market as well.

I didn't mention it, but actually in Vilnius we have 10% market share and in Poznan we have approximately 10% market share. Very strong positions in each city.

If we look on the portfolio, €1.2 billion in value, we have rental value for around €81 million, and projected revenue for the next coming 12 months of 62. Average price is €3.7 thousand per square meter.

This is for the average portfolio. Of course, the Polish Warsaw properties are evaluated higher and the Baltic properties are valued lower.

Yield requirements in valuations is 6.7%, somewhat up compared to previous periods. Average property age of 7.5 years, it's again very, very modern portfolio that requires very little investment, and we see that actually the cash flow generation from it is extremely strong.

Occupancy again 88.3%, but this is mainly due to the premises that are not taken in possession by the tenants yet in The Bridge. Otherwise, 97.2%, which is in like-for-like portfolio.

Again, extremely strong performance. Average rent of €240 per square meter and year.

WAULT is 4.1 years, and share of top 10 tenants is approximately 55%. You see below some of the names of top tenants that we have in our portfolio, and you will probably be able to recognize all of them.

Again, it's not only that we have this accidentally, you can see actually backwards. If you look back to 2020s, our occupancy levels have stayed very high, 80 94% on average.

You see this red little dot on your left-hand side, it's actual vacancy if you look in like-for-like portfolio, and 88% is after implications of The Bridge. Again, very, very strong underlying performance.

Surplus ratio is at 91% right now. Again, somewhat affected by the higher costs of personnel recruited to take over the properties over time.

If we look back to sustainability, we have 100% of the portfolio sustainability certified. All of our properties are either BREEAM Outstanding or LEED Platinum, there is no lower level than that.

97% of our portfolio is EU Taxonomy-aligned, or our revenue. We received a five-star rating again this year in GRESB evaluation, annual evaluation, and green financing stands for 92% of our portfolio.

Over to financials and to you, Adela.

Adela Čulaković

Thank you, Kęstutis. Looking at the Q3 results overall, the results are stable and are comparable to last year.

If we start at the top from rental income, the underlying changes relate to the divestment of the Riga properties in Q2, which has led to an income loss of €1 million for the period compared to the same period last year. The effect has been somewhat mitigated by higher rent and record-high occupancy levels in the comparable portfolio, which is the explanation for the like-for-like rental increase of over 3% in the quarter and 1.4% for the period.

Moving along to net operating income, it is a bit lower than last year, mainly due to the effects from higher energy costs in the beginning of the year for the period. For the third quarter, it relates mainly to the valuable buildup of our own organization in Poland.

As mentioned before, when everything is handed over from external management, these costs will decrease. Net financials have decreased quite a lot, but the main reason is positive currency effects in Poland related to a volatile zloty-euro development, but also many transactions related to the acquisition of The Bridge.

Excluding that effect, the expenses are in line with last year. Looking at the profit from property management, the quarter increase of 4% is mainly related to the mentioned currency effect, and for the period, the profit is slightly decreased.

The acquisition of The Bridge has only had a small impact on the results this quarter since it's only been in the portfolio for six days in Q3. During the quarter, we've had some positive effects from property revaluations, but I will get into those a little bit further along in the presentation.

Looking at our earnings capacity, there is quite a lot to talk about this time. You can see that we have added a column adjusted for the full effect of the signed rental agreements in The Bridge.

It is the first column to the left. I will start off with the Q3 and Q2 reported figures.

Rental income has increased by 16% due to the new property, but also the increased occupancy rate in the comparable portfolio, which was 97.2%, as we mentioned before. The current occupancy rate in The Bridge is 57%.

Moving on to property expenses, we can see that they have increased. One of the reason is the already mentioned buildup of our own organization and the lower occupancy rate, which was 88% in total this quarter.

Since we have almost 100% triple net tenant agreements, which means that we can recharge most of our property-related expenses to the tenant, but given that the occupancy rate is quite low right now, it means that a higher portion of those costs stay with us. It also means that as the vacancy shrinks, the property costs will follow.

Central admin increased slightly due to higher personnel costs. Interest income is higher as a result of increased cash, which is also a temporary effect since we have some outstanding payments related to the acquisition.

Interest expenses are higher due to increase of debt as a result of financing of The Bridge, but also refinancings that we have done during the quarter in the comparable portfolio. We have excluded the temporary VAT loan here.

Overall, compared to Q2, it is a decrease in profit from property management by 13%, and the reason is the mentioned occupancy rate in The Bridge, which is low right now, but we know that it's only for a short term since we have signed 10-year leases for 98% of the lettable area. The building is expected to be fully occupied by Q4 next year, and this is visible in the column to the left where we have added those contracts and decreased the property cost in relation to what will be recharged to those tenants.

Everything else is unchange from the Q3 columns since this is not a forecast, it's just a snapshot of how it looked per the end of September. With these contracts in the portfolio, the profit from property management is expected to reach 36 eurocents per share, an increase of almost 17% compared to Q2, a clear illustration of the value add from this investments.

Speaking of values, we'll look closer at the property value development. During the period, we have invested almost €8 million in tenant improvements in several buildings.

One of the biggest ones is for the Health Ministry in Vilnius, but also to our tenant Vinted, which has a whole premise for themselves in Vilnius, where they have their headquarters. There has also been a positive effect of the unrealized changes in value due to increased market rents in Warsaw, but it was slightly mitigated by a yield increase mainly in Vilnius.

In Q2, we divested two Riga properties, which brought down the value by €39 million, and the most significant effect and value add this year has been the acquisition of The Bridge, which has increased the portfolio by 22% since last year. The average yield in the valuations is 6.7%, at the same level as in Q2, and the average growth over the past five years is 25%.

Let's look a little bit more into the Eastnine financing situation, starting with the development of loan-to-value, average interest rate, and interest coverage ratio in the top left corner. The loan-to-value increased this quarter to 50 58%, mainly due to the new acquisition, which we had to take a VAT loan because that will be repaid during this quarter when we get reimbursed from the taxes authorities.

Even though we get those money back, the LTV would drop theoretically to 53%, but simultaneously our cash will decrease by approximately €50 million during the 1. the next one and a half years, which means that the LTV will go down and then up a little bit, but we're comfortable that it won't go over 60% and maybe stay between 55% and 57% in the foreseeable future.

The average interest rate has increased slightly this quarter because of the swaps rate taking the wrong turn. On a more positive note, we have refinanced €46 million of our comparable portfolio, and in that portfolio, we were able to reduce the credit margin by 34 basis points compared to Q2.

We increased our debt duration, which is a sign of continued favorable financing conditions for us and a strong relationship with our banks. After the refinancings, our debt duration increased to 3.5 from 2.9 years, and the fixed interest period went up to 2.6 from 2 years.

The interest coverage ratio is remaining at 2.4 and has been at a stable and good level for a while. Looking at the debt maturity, the next refinancings of a total of €177 million are spread out during next year and are already being discussed with our banks.

The interest maturity is visible in the same chart, and 79% is fixed with interest rate swaps. Looking at our cash position, it has actually increased since last quarter despite the acquisition, and that is explained partly by the refinancings that we did, which released €46 additional millions, and the other part is related to tenant fit-out contributions and deferred payments for The Bridge acquisition of approximately €50 million that will be released in different stages over the coming one and a half year.

But €20 million of those are actually an investment that will increase the value of The Bridge. Overall, the financing is stable and solid, and we're comfortable with the situation.

Looking at the Eastnine share, we can see that in the long term, it has had a positive development, and the annual average return is at almost 7%, which outperforms the real estate index, which is -8%. Thank you.

Now we can go on to questions. We'll start off.

Will there be any move-ins in The Bridge in Q4 2026, or are they all occurring in 2027?

Kęstutis Sasnauskas

Most of it, it's actually Visa, and it will take place in 2027. I think the remaining smaller tenants will also be moving in in the beginning of 2027.

There will be no more moves in during 2026.

Adela Čulaković

What's your view on divesting assets in Vilnius to finance acquisitions in Warsaw? Any ongoing discussions?

Kęstutis Sasnauskas

We are looking at divesting some assets. Of course, you probably know that we have decreased our presence in Riga.

We have sold two assets, we have one remaining asset, and that is also a candidate for sale. When it comes to Vilnius, we're also looking into some opportunities, and we have some ongoing discussions as well.

Again, it will come to acquisitions in Poland, but we also see some acquisition opportunities in Vilnius as well, moving a little bit of our portfolio. Again, with very high focus on improving the quality of the offering that we have, and basically strengthening our positions in every single market that we have entered.

Adela Čulaković

Central admin costs were quite low during the quarter. Are we starting to see effects of the insourcing in Poland?

I can answer to that one. Central admin is only related to stab and overall direct property cost are visible in the property cost row.

The lower central admin costs are related to vacation effects.

Kęstutis Sasnauskas

Vacation fund basically

Adela Čulaković

that

Kęstutis Sasnauskas

has been reduced. Exactly.

All of our personnel that is related to property is taken under property costs, and this will be seen in the lower property costs basically and higher surplus ratio, etc.

Adela Čulaković

Starting from next year basically.

Kęstutis Sasnauskas

Yes, the main effect will come from Q2 next year, but it will gradually happen already this year, so.

Adela Čulaković

You report other current assets of around €63 million. Can you give some details on what it is?

That is the VAT receivable from the Polish tax authorities.

Kęstutis Sasnauskas

In Poland, when you do transactions, you have to pay in VAT on the full amount, we paid in VAT on €240 million, and this is expected to be returned end of the quarter next year.

Adela Čulaković

Exactly. Your restricted cash position is increasing to around €15 million.

Why is it increasing, and will that amount be restricted going forward as well? Is that cash position generating any financial income?

Yes, the restricted cash, approximately €10 million of it is related to the acquisition of The Bridge, and will be paid out during this quarter probably. Yes, we have some interest on the bank accounts, which also explains why our interest income is increasing in the current earnings capacity.

Congratulations on the recent acquisition. Poland is now clearly your largest market.

Are you looking into new markets on the agenda?

Kęstutis Sasnauskas

No, and very clear about this. We still have a lot to do in Warsaw.

Even within Poland, we will grow within those cities that we are, in Warsaw and in Poznan, and we will continue growing in Vilnius as well. These are the key three cities where we will continue strengthening our position.

These are the fastest growing, strongest markets today, I think, in the whole Europe, and this is where we want to be. Over time, we do not exclude other markets, but for the time being, basically for the next coming 3 to 5 years, main focus will be on strengthening our position in Warsaw and Poznan and Vilnius.

Adela Čulaković

Do you consider the acquisition of The Bridge resulting in a too high portfolio concentration risk around Warsaw, Rondo Daszynskiego? Please elaborate.

Kęstutis Sasnauskas

There is also concentration versus diversification. Properties are always about locations, and having strong view on the locations.

It took us long time to analyze the market. We very, very strongly believe in this area because it's not only pure office area, it will be a residential area as well.

There's a huge development next door to us that's actually taking place, and we see a number of other projects coming up into resi area as well, it will be a very lively, nice part of Warsaw containing resi, hotels, restaurants, and full of life. That's why we are very, very strong believers and want to continue being strong in Wola.

There are other places in central Warsaw that we'll be looking at. In properties, locations is more important, and having very strong position in these markets is even more important, we can actually offer our tenants to relocate, to move, but keep being in our system.

We have seen that very much in Vilnius, we've seen that in every single market where we are. Only having these bigger properties, we can actually accommodate those needs.

We see that already, some companies that are recently moved in or about to move in, sometimes need more space than they originally anticipated, etc. There's a very strong demand, and we want to do that.

Yes, there is concentration, but that's concentration we are not really afraid of.

Adela Čulaković

Can you say anything about when in 2027 Visa will move in?

Kęstutis Sasnauskas

The first move-in is expected somewhere intersection Q1, Q2, half of the premises, and the second half is expected in November.

Adela Čulaković

Given LTV at 58% and focus on The Bridge lease-up, should we assume the acquisition agenda is effectively paused until full occupancy is reached, or are you actively evaluating opportunities in parallel?

Kęstutis Sasnauskas

We're looking at new opportunities. All the transactions, they're taking very long time.

The acquisition of Bridge took us two years, not The Bridge, the Warsaw UNIT. Bridge took shorter time.

It doesn't happen overnight, we're working on our pipeline, we're working on our target list very clearly, and if we will see the opportunity to acquire them, we will do that. This is irrespective of the tenants moving in into the properties.

Of course, we have stretched ourselves financially a little bit, we need to accumulate cash flows, etc., and see how this could be financed. Of course, current conditions on the stock market are probably not the most favorable to raise capital, this will always be kind of a balancing act.

What is important that every acquisition we do is value creative for the shareholders. That means that we want to see a significant increase or positive increase in profit from property management per share.

This is the most important criteria that we want to follow, and we will follow. You can see historically actually on our buildup in the beginning of the presentation.

Now we have a slight dip because we take on some cost and because of the empty building basically or half-empty building, but once tenants move in, we will see a fantastic increase in cash flow. Again, this acquisition, the stage of this acquisition helps us to come in into relatively sort of lower pricing and has a value potential for the shareholders as well.

Adela Čulaković

As you mentioned in the report, net lettings for the quarter amount to -€154k, which is natural given the elevated occupancy rate. Could you anyway please give some further comments on the current tenant market sentiment in Poland and Lithuania?

Kęstutis Sasnauskas

Market sentiment is very strong, but again the market is very divided. We see that the prime locations, prime premises are in very high demand.

If you look on Wola region per se, on all the high-rises that you see, basically there is no vacancy. Even today, at maximum, you can find smaller premises, maybe sometimes a bit spread out, uneven, etc.

There's very, very little vacancy. We have zero vacancy, I would say, even in The Bridge, it's 98% leased, actually this 2% already reserved for the existing tenants, and the contracts will be signed shortly.

It's no longer in the market, and Warsaw UNIT is 100% leased. Even ourselves, actually struggled to find an office for ourselves in those premises.

The market is very strong, but if you move away, you find buildings that are not of the same quality, or a bit worse location, you can easily find quite significant vacancy. This flight to quality is very, very strong, and the rents in prime locations are actually going up, and even though we see quite significantly lower rents in worse premises, they're not really competing because somehow people demand much more modern premises.

For us, again, we focus very much on highest quality. It's also very important for us going forward in thinking about potential implications of AI and office usage on them, and we believe that actually only the best product in the market will be able to compete, and that's why we are extremely selective, extremely disciplined, I would say, in the type of properties we choose.

If you look on our portfolio, it's very, very difficult to match today, and we're very lucky enough to actually have this opportunity to build portfolio the way we are building: gradually, with some care, and growing. Still, we've delivered 25% portfolio growth over the last five years, we are very proud of it.

Adela Čulaković

Given the fact that you are establishing a new Polish organization, how much do you see the company to further grow in Warsaw and Poland as a whole?

Kęstutis Sasnauskas

We haven't set very clear figures. Of course, there are some positive implications of growing further in Poland because today our Polish market stands for approximately 64% of our portfolio, it stands for slightly higher portion of our EBITDA, and it's very important to get included into EPRA index, for instance, is to have 75% of EBITDA generated from developed markets.

Poland is considered to be developed according to LSE index makers, whilst Lithuania is considered being frontier, and it doesn't match in any of the other categories where you can be included into index. For us, it's very important to reach the 75%.

We're actually on the way to do it, so that's one aspect. Probably the priority will lie first into building more portfolio in Poland before we continue growing in Vilnius again, but it depends again on the situation.

The properties that we want to buy, they are relatively few, we cannot really choose the timeline for each of them that we want to acquire. It depends a little bit on the opportunity, the timing, the possibilities, etc., etc., so that will have some implications for us how we can continue growing.

Adela Čulaković

That was the last question.

Kęstutis Sasnauskas

With this, we thank you very much for you listening to us, and see you during next quarter presentation.

Adela Čulaković

Thank you.