Total Energy Services Inc.

Total Energy Services Inc.

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Total Energy Services Inc.US flagOther OTC
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Q3 2019 · Earnings Call Transcript

Nov 8, 2019

APIChat

Operator

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. Welcome to the Total Energy Services Inc.

Third Quarter Results Conference Call. [Operator Instructions].

I would now like to turn the meeting over to Mr. Daniel Halyk.

Please go ahead, Mr. Halyk.

Daniel Halyk

Thank you, operator. Good morning, and welcome to Total Energy Services third quarter 2019 conference call.

Present with me is Yuliya Gorbach, Total's Vice-President Finance and Chief Financial Officer. We will review with you Total's financial and operating highlights for the three months ended September 30, and then provide an outlook for our business and open up the phone lines for any questions.

Yuliya, please proceed.

Yuliya Gorbach

Thank you Dan. During the course of this conference call, information may be provided continuing forward looking information concerning Totals, projected operating results, anticipated capital expenditure trends and projected drilling activity in the oil and gas industry.

Actual events or results may differ materially from those reflected in Total's forward-looking statements due to a number of risks, uncertainties and other factors affecting Total's business and the oil and gas service industry, in general. These risks, uncertainties and other factors are described under the heading “Risk Factors” and elsewhere in Total's most recently filed annual information form and other documents filed with Canadian provincial authorities that are available to the public at www.sedar.com.

Our discussions during this conference call are qualified with reference to the notes to the financial highlights contained in the news release issued yesterday. Unless otherwise indicated, all financial information in this conference call is presented in Canadian dollars.

Total Energy's financial results for the three months ended September 30, 2019 reflect continued challenging industry conditions in Canada and reduced production activity in our Compression and Process Services segment set by relatively stable industry conditions in the United States and Australia. By business segment, Compression and Process Services contributed 42% of 2019 third quarter consolidated revenues, Contract Drilling Services, 28%, Well Servicing, 21%, and Rentals and Transportation services, 9%.

Year-to-date, the CPS segment contributed 54% of consolidated revenues; Contract Drilling, 21%, Well Servicing, 17% and RTS, 8%. Geographically, 42% of third quarter revenue was generated in Canada, 34% in United States, 20% in Australia and 4% from the Rest of the World.

Year-to-date, 40% of revenues came from the United States, 39% from Canada, 20% from Australia and 1% from the Rest of the World. Within our contract drilling services segments, an approximate 33% year-over-year decline in Canadian drilling festivity, as measured by industry’s operating days, results in lower third quarter revenues and an operating loss as compared to operating income in Q3 of 2018.

Despite a 14% decline in third quarter, operating days compared to 2018 improved day rate and increased operating efficiencies resulted in continuous bottom line improvement in U.S. drilling operation.

Sequentially from Q2, 2019 the operating loss within our U.S. drilling business decreased by 60%.

As a result of cost management and completion of government optimization projects, the cost of which were primarily expand [ph] in prior quarters. In October, our U.S.

drilling subsidiary received $17.6 million as a compensation for the early termination of certain group contracts in 2017. These payments will be recorded as revenue in the fourth quarter of 2019.

While utilization in Australia was four percentage points lower than in Q3, 2018, revenue per operating day in Australia was high in Q3 of 2019 as compared to Q3 of 2019 due marginally higher rates that were partially offset by lower camp and other ancillary revenue. Operating income for the third quarter in our Australian drilling business was $0.3 million lower than prior year comparable quarter, due primarily to weakening Australian dollar relative to the Canadian dollar over the past year.

For the first nine months of 2019, 36% of contract drilling revenue came from Canada, 33% from the United States, and 31% from Australia. The substantial year-over-year decline in Canadian industry activity also contributed to a 44% decline in third quarter revenue in Canada revenue for our Rentals and Transportation Services segment.

This decline was offset by a 71% increase in United States revenue as we continued to relocate underutilized equipment from Canada to the U.S. market and made targeted investment in new equipment.

On a consolidated basis, third quarter RTS segments revenue decrease 20% compared to prior year comparable period. Third quarter revenue per utilize rental fees in RTS increased 10% from 2018, due to the mix of equipment operating, as well as higher realized pricing on equipment relegated from Canada to the United States.

Year-to-date 38% of RTS segments revenue was generated in United States as compared to 20% for the first nine months of 2018. During the third quarter, management conducted a review of depreciation estimates within the RTS segments, most of which were made over 20 years ago, when we commenced operations.

Generally speaking, we determined that our previous estimates as to the useful life of rental equipment were too short, but their estimated salvage values were too high. There were no changes to our depreciation estimates related to heavy trucks and trailers.

Accordingly, effective July 1, 2019, we changed our depreciation estimates within RTS segment and as a result, there RTS segment recorded one time depreciation expense of $7.9 million in the respect or now fully depreciated assets, as well as $1 million of incremental recurring depreciation expense. The RTS segment also incurred $0.5 million of reallocation expenses during the third quarter as we continued to move underutilized equipment from Canada to the United States.

Excluding the re-allocation expenses and the one-time depreciation expense The operating loss was $3.9 million for the third quarter of 2019 as compared to a loss of $0.6 million in the same quarter of 2019. If one considers the additional $1 million of recurring depreciation expense in Q3 of 2019, resulting from our estimated change on an apples-to-apples basis, the year-over-year increase in operating loss was $2.3 million.

During the third quarter, RTS segment acquired certain oilfield transportation assets operating in the United States for $2.3 million. Within our Compression Process Services segments third quarter revenue for 2019 was $72.1 million, a 37% decrease compared to the third quarter of 2018.

This segment exited the third quarter of 2019 with the fabrication sales backlog of $39.8 million, a $37.4 million decrease from June 30, 2019. The decrease in revenue and the sales backlog are a result of lower customer orders.

While quoting activity remains high during the quarter, customers continue to be hesitant to make orders. Third quarter revenue for our Well Servicing segment was $35.8 million, a 13% decrease from Q3 of 2018 and 11% year-over-year decrease in Canadian service hours, due in part to extended weather conditions and 14% year-over-year decrease in revenue per service hours in Australia due to modestly lower pricing, lower camp and ancillary revenue and the weakening Australian dollar relative to the Canadian dollar over the past year, were the primary factors contributing to the revenue decrease.

Total Service hours for the third quarter were 42,210 of which 46% were in Australia, 43 in Canada, and 11% in the United States. This compares to 44,447 service hours during the third quarter of 2018, of which 47% were in Canada, 43% in Australia, and 10% in the United States.

Consolidated gross margin for the third quarter of 2019 was $36.9 million, or 22% of revenue as compared to $48.6 million or 21% of revenue in the third quarter of 2018. Consolidated cash flow before changes in non-cash working capital items was $24 million for the third quarter of 2019 as compared to $34.8 million of cash flow generated in the third quarter of 2018.

During the quarter, we invested significant capital into raw materials inventory in our CPS segment. This investment related primarily two major components that were previously ordered when factory deliveries at times exceeded 60 weeks.

Our commitment to purchase inventory in CPS segment has peaked and it will be significantly lower going forward until such time as we see meaningful pickup in orders. As such, at current production levels, we would expect to generate at least 40 million of additional cash flow during 2020 with a monetization of this inventory.

Consolidated EBITDA for the third quarter of 2019 was $24.9 million as compared to $34.6 million of EBITDA realized in Q3 of 2018. Excluding non-recurring expenses, third quarter EBITDA for 2019 was $25.4 million.

During the quarter, Total Energy incurred a loss attributable to shareholders of $6.2 million or $0.14 per share, as compared to $8.9 million of net income on $0.19 per share in Q3 of 2018. Excluding the $8.4 million of non-recurring expenses incurred in the third quarter, net income attributable to shareholders was $0.3 million.

Total Energy’s financial condition remains strong with $85.8 million of positive working capital after reclassifying $41.4 million, of mortgage debt’s current at September 30, 2019. We expect to renew such mortgage debt, when it matures in April of 2020 for a minimum of five year term.

During the third quarter of 2019, Total Energy returned $3.7 million to shareholders by the way of $2.7 million of dividends and $1 million of share repurchases and its normal course issuer bid. Total bank debt was $281.6 million at September 30, 2019.

And our debt net working capital was $165.9 million. In addition to the regular monthly principal payments on $56.5 million, of mortgage debt, year-to-date, we voluntarily repaid another $5 million of bank debt assumed with acquisition of Savanna.

Our bank covenants consist of maximum senior debt to trailing 12 months bank-defined EBITDA of 3 times and the minimum bank-defined EBITDA to interest expense of 3 times. At September 30, 2019, the company's senior bank debt to bank EBITDA ratio was 2.53, and the bank interest coverage ratio was 6.66 times.

Daniel Halyk

Thank you, Yuliya. Global economic uncertainty and result in commodity and capital markets volatility continue to weigh on the capital expenditure budgets of North American oil and natural gas producers, particularly in Canada, our industry activity remains significantly below prior year levels.

That said the resilience of our business model continues to be demonstrated with the generation of free cash flow despite low activity and continued investment in equipment and inventory to support our various businesses. As the current industry downturn enters its sixth year in Canada, the energy industry has been forced to become more efficient through downsizing, consolidation, and the adoption of new technologies and methods of doing business.

The challenges facing the Canadian energy industry, as evidenced by the 10s of billions of dollars of cancelled investments, the exodus of multinationals and the recent decision of a major Canadian producer to relocate to the United States have been exacerbated by harmful government policies such as Bill C 48, and C 69. The outcome of the recent federal election suggests that these political and regulatory headwinds may continue until at least the next election.

As such, we necessarily remain focused on the continued rationalization of Canadian operations and growing our business in the United States, Australia and elsewhere. Never in our almost 24-year history, has a majority of Total Energy’s annual revenue been generated from outside of Canada.

That could change in 2019 with approximately 61% of our revenue for the first nine months of this year, having been generated from outside of Canada. Of significance is the fact that the United States has now surpassed Canada as our largest market as measured by revenue, having accounted for 40% of the year-to-date revenues.

This is a considerable change from a mere four years ago, when in 2015, less than 4% of our revenue came from outside of Canada. We expect this trend will continue until a change in Canadian federal energy policy occurs.

As difficult as this downturn has been, particularly for the dozens of companies that have not been able to weather the storm, and the 10s of thousands of Canadians who have lost their jobs, global demand for oil and natural gas is not going down, but continues to grow and is expected to do so until at least 2050. As such, demand for Canadian oil and natural gas, which is produced at the highest environmental and social standards, will only increase.

The only question is whether Canada will continue to leave billions of dollars a year on the table as a result of its inability to access global oil and natural gas markets. While there is plenty of doom and gloom, there are also reasons for cautious optimism in Canada.

The fundamentals of the Canadian natural gas market that have given rise to recent price increases and progress on increasing egress transportation capacity, may provide some much needed relief for the beleaguered Canadian industry in the not so distant future. Total Energy services is proud to be part of the energy industry, as evidenced by our name.

We remain committed to supporting our customers in all our markets by providing quality equipment, services and technologies that are essential to satisfying the world's insatiable demand for responsibly produced energy. I would now like to open up the phone lines for questions.

Operator

[Operator Instructions]. The first question comes from John Bereznicki with Canaccord Genuity.

Please go ahead

John Bereznicki

Yes. Thanks.

Morning, everyone.

Daniel Halyk

Morning, John.

John Bereznicki

So Dan, I'm not going to ask you where your fabrication backlog sits today. But I was wondering if you could give us a sense of what you see right now, in the compression market, both geographically and maybe, you know, between sales, rental and service?

Daniel Halyk

What I would say John is the, the quote activity remains very active. For competitive reasons, I'm not going to comment too much on geographies, but we've been working on many different bits, large and small.

And I would expect, I don't want to, I'm not going to call bottoms. But definitely we're right in the mix.

And there's a lot of projects going on around the world that we're right in the middle of and so obviously, the bigger the project, the more time required to finalize and when a bit but there's lots going on. So you know, time will tell but I would expect the world is demanding.

John Bereznicki

Got it. And that third quarter it looks like obviously you declined in sales revenue, but the rental side was up, is that just a function of capital constraint producers looking to rent a bit more either in Canada or U.S.

or how would you see that?

Daniel Halyk

YeS, we've definitely seen demand for rental equipment. I think perhaps tighter capital markets explains part of it.

You know, also we're continually expanding our, our footprint, in North America beyond Canada, and we're seeing some pretty interesting opportunities even outside of the conventional oil and gas business, but also, what we're seeing with particularly currently with kind of the resurgence of Aiko [ph] is some definitely some interest in shorter term gas production, and consequential demand for rentals and parts and service support.

John Bereznicki

Got it? And then just to shift gears here to Australia, I mean, it looks like that markets performing really nicely for you.

In just further your previous comments of maybe growing outside of Canada. Are there some levers there in Australia, you can pull either in terms of expanding your current business lines or looking at something else there to grow in that market.

Daniel Halyk

Yes, we see, Australia is a very balanced market right now. I would say relative to two years ago, the supply demand dynamics have probably improved for natural gas.

And so going forward, we would see that as an area that we'd like to grow our presence. We have a good strong presence in that market, not only in drilling and well servicing, but also gas compression, and we'd like to grow at least proportionately to the growth of the market, and hopefully disproportionately.

John Bereznicki

Got it. Thanks.

And then just one last housekeeping question. It looks like in the third quarter your payables and deferred revenue declined sequentially, and certainly declined from your historic trend.

What's -- what was driving that? And where do you see that going, going forward here?

Daniel Halyk

So Yuliya commented on it, John. About a year ago, lead times on major components within the CPS segment, were 60 weeks plus.

And so we were literally ordering major components over a year in advance of when we would receive them, obviously, with the decrease in production here over the past several quarters. You know, you've got these components coming in that are not immediately being packaged and sold.

And so that I would say, as Julie mentioned, our commitment to purchase inventory has peaked. It's going down significantly you can see that in MD&A under the commitments notes.

The flip side is we've got a bunch of paid for inventories during our balance sheet that at current production levels is going to give rise to a very significant increase in our cash flow in 2020, as we just, monetize that through, through building units and selling them at current production levels. So, you're going to see quite a significant reversal, everything else being equal in 2020.

And we expect incremental of kind of your normal cash flows at least $40 million of excess cash will at current production levels.

John Bereznicki

Got it. So expect to have a pretty meaningful working capital harvest here in the coming quarters.

Daniel Halyk

Absolutely, yes.

John Bereznicki

Got it. Got it.

And you -- missed that.

Daniel Halyk

I was going to say that's, that's part of our ability to -- when we were making these commitments, well over a year ago, that gave us the ability to ride up the demand wave, because, we were -- but we put our balance sheet to work. And now, we're not obviously going to be ordering stuff we don't need until we need it again.

But having the balance sheet it did allowed us to catch that wave. And it's also going to allow us here to sit on a significant amount of inventory, good inventory.

This is all you know, engines, coolers, things that are in high demand and but, if you're a smaller group that doesn't have access to capital, it's a challenge.

John Bereznicki

Understood, appreciate the color. That's all for me.

Thanks.

Daniel Halyk

Thanks.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] The next question comes from Daine Biluk with CIBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead.

Daine Biluk

Good morning, Dan, morning, Yuliya.

Daniel Halyk

Good morning, Daine.

Daine Biluk

So, despite the lowest throughput on the compression business margins held up fairly well in the quarter. How much of that was cost-cutting initiatives versus higher embedded margin work?

Daniel Halyk

I think, there's a few variables. Definitely that division was very proactive.

You can tell what your production schedule looks like and so they manage their cost structure accordingly. And they've done a very good job with that.

Also the revenue mixture seeing the compression, horsepower on rent go up, that's obviously a higher margin, albeit higher capital business. So I think – as that rental horsepower and rent keeps going up against lower fabrication sales, that's going to pull your margins up.

But definitely the divisions done a pretty good job of proactively managing their cost structure to reflect current production levels.

Daine Biluk

Got you. Okay.

That's good color. Thank you.

And sticking with compression still one of your competitors highlighted that they are looking at strategic alternative for their North American fabrication business. If that was to come to market would be something you'd be interested in acquiring or alternatively if that business was scaled back what would mean from the opportunity/market share perspective?

Daniel Halyk

Well, first of all, this is not the first competitor that's looking at strategic alternatives. So I'm not going to comment specifically.

But there's another fairly large one that recently made the same thing. I'm not comment or speculate on specific opportunities.

What I would say Daine is this is illustrate of the fact that in this business low cost wins. And despite us being quite a bit smaller than some of the big U.S.

packagers. I would say were able to compete very effectively in the North American market as I would say we are one of the low cost producers.

And so, at the end of the day we saw the rationalization of the compression industry occur in Canada a decade plus a goal and it remains reasonably balanced since that time. I think, you're going to -- it appears we're going to see that happen in the U.S.

market and that will ultimately bring balance and more sustainable returns for the industry on a go forward basis. So who does what exactly time will tell.

Daine Biluk

Right. That's where you good contacts.

It's helpful. Thank you.

U.S. drilling was pretty strong in the quarter.

It looks like to put a couple incremental rigs to work sequentially. Any details you can share around those.

Was it new customer wins? And is it fair to assume that those were all West Texas-based?

Daniel Halyk

Well, first of all I've seen some commentary suggesting that we're kind of a niche player there and we've been pretty open. A number of our heavy double rigs have in fact displays triple in the West Texas and are drilling 21,000 foot well and doing those extremely competitively both in terms of drill and tripping time, but equally importantly move time, rig up time.

We're moving in a day and drilling versus three, four days for triple. We're also – these are all walking rigs.

And so the sense that somehow where a niche player does not competing in the heart of the Permian is just not correct. We also service the shallow rent and we've got some very good project there that have been ongoing.

What he saw on the third quarter was the first kind of I'd say, cleaner quarter where we didn't have any baggage from legacy contracts. We also, when we took over Savanna, did a lot of work to restructure the – I would say the operational focus of the division, be proactive on rate maintenance as opposed to reactive fixing in the shop is better than the field, and that took time and money, but I'm very happy with the progress that's been made by our U.S.

drilling group, and we expect that to continue going forward. Again, low-cost wins.

And at the end of the day, West Texas drillers, operators are starting to realize that the biggest rig is not necessarily the most cost effective rig. And that's going to play very well into our fleet.

And I expect that'll migrate up north here as well.

Daine Biluk

Understood. Okay.

That's helpful. Switching gears one more time, when you think about the supply demand balance for rentals in Canada, obviously, that's not going to be balanced by higher demand at this point in time, but maybe thinking about the other side of the equation.

Are you seeing any signs that we could be in for an accelerated period of tightening supply from bankruptcies, equipment, retirements, relocations and whatnot?

Daniel Halyk

You know, it's going to be very interesting. I think, the Canadian industry would be extremely challenged to put 300 drilling rigs to work both in terms of the rigs and the people and the surrounding equipment.

And that used to be a regular summer five years ago.

Daine Biluk

Right. Yes.

That's helpful.

Daniel Halyk

You'll never -- we won't appreciate the damage that's been done to the Canadian service industry until we get to 250 to 300 rigs and then I think that damage is going to be extremely apparent.

Daine Biluk

Right. Okay.

That's helpful. Last one for me.

Any desire to enter new basins in the U.S. with some of the rentals and transportation equipment you're moving from Canada?

Daniel Halyk

So we've -- what we're seeing is we're gaining market share there in a tightening market, and that continues today. Our philosophy has always been steady, methodical, sustainable growth.

And so we've been asked to move into other basin. We're pretty focused on establishing critical mass and scale within our core.

We have in the past few months, opened a branch in West Texas. So that's new to us.

But we're pretty focused on North Dakota down through the Rockies into West Texas. We do have opportunities.

We've been asked by customers to move elsewhere. Again, our focus right now -- we don't have the equipment to do that.

And so we'd have to make some major -- how would you say, expenditures to move equipment again, from Canada in to some new areas. Our preference is to continue to support the growth and scale within our existing footprint.

And we did supplement that with an acquisition in Q3, albeit trucking company that was quite a nice fit. There were some circumstances there that made it quite appropriate for us to do that.

And again, it reinforced our presence in a market that we're quite established in. And so, I think that's our continuation would be building solid core before we start adding overhead.

Daine Biluk

Got you. Understood.

That's great. Helpful.

And very color, guys. I will turn the call back.

Thank you.

Daniel Halyk

Thanks.

Operator

The next question comes from Josef Schachter with Schachter Energy Research. Please go ahead.

Josef Schachter

Good morning, Dan, Yuliya, thanks for taking the call. On the balance I think you mentioned in the commentary, Yuliya that you're going to renew the mortgage debt in April.

How do you see the balance sheet in terms of you're picking up some money from the Savannah transaction, $17.6 million. Do you see trying to strengthen the balance sheet?

Are you looking at non-core assets sales land et cetera? And then the whole focus on it is having a stronger balance sheet or using some of that cash for your NCIB as you bought stock at 866 and now you're more like six.

How do you see the makeup going forward? Do you want to go balance sheet?

Or do you want to mix of them? How do you see the progress as we head into your end?

Daniel Halyk

Think a bit of both, Josef. First of all, you can do the math, but the $17.6 million payment we received here in Q4 is going to be pretty significant both from an EBITDA and a balance sheet perspective.

So that's something that we had been working on for a while, and we didn't accrue, that's our tendency is not to accrue things until we collect them when they're unusual in nature. And so that will be gravy.

The working capital, inventory unwind that Yuliya and I discussed earlier, it's going to be a very significant event in 2020. And again, not all debt equal.

Our mortgage debt, total energy services is sitting on a very, very large real estate portfolio. The book value is materially below market value.

We have an appraisal done on our real estate back in 2015. That was substantially higher than the book value at that time.

Since then we've added a bunch of real estate through the acquisition of Savannah and some other private transactions along the way. We see that real estate is an asset that allows us to do two things.

Number one, our historical cost on it is quite low, which gives us a competitive advantage operationally, but it's also an asset that we can use to secure what we see as kind of our permanent debt within our capital structure. So, we did a mortgage of $50 million in 2015 that expires in 2020.

We're not going to prepay it for two reasons. One is, why would you pay a penalty to early retire 3.06% debt.

And number two, we've had discussions with their bank and very comfortable that that will roll. The only question is what amount do we put on it?

And so that would be our kind of permanent portion of debt. That was the only debt we had pre to Savannah acquisition.

We see the debt that we acquired with Savannah is something that we will look to reduce over time. We also balance that against the opportunities we have to reinvest in the business, as well as the opportunity to return money to our shareholders both through dividends and share buybacks.

And so, we've always taken a balanced approach on our normal course. We don't get to have excited at any point in time, it's pretty methodical.

We're also because of our tight float, pretty restricted in how much we can buy on a daily basis. And so that's a natural, I guess, restraint.

But we've been well served over the decades, Josef by taking a balanced approach. And Warren Buffett said, if you liked cheeseburgers, you really liked them at half price.

And so, right now the Canadian energy sector's cheeseburgers on sale. So we definitely see our normal course is something that probably makes sense.

But again, we're also interested in bringing our debt down, but also using our balance sheet when we need to make good investments.

Josef Schachter

One more for me. How do you see the fourth quarter going?

We've got the coarser. You mentioned in the commentary that natural gas prices echo 280, 290 now.

Have you seen in your discussions more Bookings in, I know, of course Christmas is going to be slower. But have you seen discussions for the rest of winter Aiko 1 where you're going to be more active than you were in 2018, 2019 Q4, Q1?

Daniel Halyk

It's an interesting question. I think, definitely we've seen on the rig side groups that haven't been particularly active pick rigs up here and looking to pick rigs up to do a few wells here in there.

I think publicly you've seen groups like [Indiscernible] will comment on that. We have -- we've seen it directly, in fact, we've had a bit of a pickup this week even and so, is it going to result in a massive run on rigs?

Probably not, but I think there's some incremental activity coming out of that. Where I also think it's going to be quite positive.

This is within our field service group within our CPF segment. It'll be an interesting Q1 Josef, you know better than I, but looking at where we're coming into the winter a normal to colder winter in Western Canada could result in some fairly robust Western Canadian gas prices.

Josef Schachter

And with tight supplies as well $4 or $5, we had that last year for a little while, hopefully it's longer this time?

Daniel Halyk

Well, I've got aside that with one of my VPs that spot Aiko go over 750. So t will take lunch at -- take lunch at Caesars [ph], so I'm hoping it goes over 750 early.

Josef Schachter

Yes. Let's hope Mother Nature cooperates.

Thanks very much. That does it for me.

Daniel Halyk

Thanks, Josef.

Operator

The next question comes from David Vanderwood with Burgundy Asset Management. Please go ahead.

David Vanderwood

Hey Dan, how are you thinking about capital allocation as you look out next year?

Daniel Halyk

We're going to go into -- we have a strategic planning session with our board later this month that kind of is the pretext to our budgeting meetings that will happen in early 2020, I guess now. And so what we'd like to do is we tend to set our capital budget, after we get some flavor from the customer base as to what their capital budgets are looking like.

We also literally started zero. And so what I would say is, we have a lot of flexibility.

We're coming in within kind of what we predicted at the start of last year for 2019 capital. I would say there's been quite a bit of movement below the surface in terms of the detail of where exactly that capital is gone.

I'm very, very targeted on the growth side. But we're going to start at zero and if the current environment continues where you've got negativity and reduced rig counts, everything else being equal day, but our CapEx would be materially lower next year than this year.

David Vanderwood

Great. And just turning to weird and I know obviously we're at a cyclical low here in activity, but how are you feeling about labor productivity there, the quality of people that you're finding there and just how you feeling about that operation now that you've been into it for a little while?

Daniel Halyk

So very good question. We've been open the challenges of setting up there were you didn't have a lot of experience trades in the compression industry.

Part of the reason we had a better third quarter margin wise with some pretty significant gains within our Bierton operations on productivity. And we're literally working with the state to set up and define apprenticeship standards within a number of trades critical to our business there.

In fact, there's -- I understand there's going to be a fairly significant event in the next while where I believe the governor or the state's coming to visit, but literally we're getting some recognition and assistance from the state to help the technical schools some set standards and criteria for certifications. You know, so to me, that's the goodwill.

You could have gone in and bought something put goodwill on your business, on your balance sheet part me or you take the time and effort necessary to train a local workforce. That's the goodwill.

And the good news is, David, it's all been expanse, none of this sitting on our balance sheet.

David Vanderwood

Sounds good. Thanks, Dan.

Thanks, Yuliya.

Yuliya Gorbach

Thank you.

Daniel Halyk

Thank you.

Operator

The next question comes from Aaron MacNeil with TD Securities. Please go ahead.

Aaron MacNeil

Hey, morning, everyone.

Daniel Halyk

Good morning, Aaron.

Aaron MacNeil

Maybe just to add on to David question on U.S. drilling, can you give us a bit of an update on the outlook for the business just given some of the downward pressure on the recount?

And maybe what you're seeing for asset categories in your fleet that might not get as much attention and public commentary? And I guess I'm wondering a couple things, even if it's in broad strokes, but what is bid activity like?

Is pricing at a level? You'd be willing to put additional rigs to work or where you can generate an appropriate return and does your outlook differ by some of the various sub regions?

Daniel Halyk

Well, I think the biggest pressures on the big rigs. The price ran up on those, Aaron, the price didn't run up on your medium to shallower rigs.

I would say Savannah has the best shallow to medium fleet in West Texas. Part of that was the investment we made over the past two years in getting that equipment up to our specs and, and getting the standards and expectations of the workforce up to our specs.

And so we're quite pleased with what happened. We have doubles displacing triples.

We had doubles go up, a triple go down in Q3. Quoting activity is very strong.

I think, what we're seeing is we're gaining a reputation for being a very efficient, safe, productive driller. And we're saving customers a lot of money.

And that's going to play out here. We've been gaining operating days when the industry's been declining and barring some catastrophic event.

We expect that to continue. At the end of the day it's simple.

You got a drill safely, efficiently and cost-effectively price and we're doing that. And so this obsession with big rigs they have their place, but the price ran up down there and now it's coming down and we haven't been exposed to that.

Aaron MacNeil

Based on your commentary, its fair to assume that you think you can continue to kind of back the trend on the rig count. Is that fair?

Daniel Halyk

Yes. There's pressure obviously, but our simple message is, we didn't run the rates up, and so, we're not going to run down.

Listen, we're not profitable yet there either. We're getting close.

We're not happy until we're pretax profitable and frankly we're not happy in the long run until we're getting return on invested capital that beats our wack [ph]. And so we got a ways to go there yet.

But I am pleased with the progress that's been made to significantly improve our operating margins, gross margins and to get closer to pretax profitability. Ultimately whether we’re going to invest in new equipment or additional equipment is going to be driven by, can we get a return of that investment that reflects our weighted average cost of capital, and right now our wack is high.

Our cost to equity right now is through the roof.

Aaron MacNeil

Okay. That's great.

That's all from me. I'll turn it over.

Daniel Halyk

Thanks.

Operator

This includes the question and answer session. I'd like to turn the conference back over to Daniel Halyk for any closing remarks.

Daniel Halyk

Well, thank you for participating this morning. And we look forward to speaking with you when we do our year-end conference call next year.

Have a wonderful weekend.

Operator

This concludes today's conference call. You may disconnect your lines.

Thank you for participating. And have a pleasant day