Operator
Welcome to the CSG's Half Year 2026 earnings presentation. Today's presenters are Michal Strnad, CEO and Chairman of the Board, and Zdeněk Jurák, CFO.
Michal will begin with an update on the Group's strategy delivery and the first half financial highlights. Zdeněk will then work through the performance in more detail.
Q&A will follow the prepared remarks. Please do take a moment to familiarize yourself with the disclaimer information at the start of the presentation deck.
I'll now hand over to Michal Strnad.
Michal Strnad
Good morning to all of you, and thank you for joining us. The first half was a period of delivery against the commitments we set out.
We achieved a strong financial performance across the Group. Before we look at numbers, I want to highlight the strategic progress behind that performance.
Let me start with Land Systems, which doubled revenue year-on-year. Land Systems now represent 46% of our order backlog.
We are scaling this business exactly as planned. That is changing the shape of the Group.
The share of revenue from Ukraine is down from 27% at year-end to 17%. Europe, excluding Ukraine, is now more than half of our business.
The United States has become our second-largest market, and we are making significant gains in Southeast Asia and the Middle East. We win that business through reliable supply and one capability at a competitive cost.
The result is a better quality of earnings, more customers, longer programs, and less dependence on any particular geography or end customer. The market is moving our way.
Customers want integrated systems; that is exactly what CSG delivers. In air defense, we own the backbone, critical layers, and the integration: the vehicle, the radars, the command and control system, and the launchers, with partners and other effectors on top.
Trident, the layered air defense system we represented in June, brings those capabilities together into one system we can offer worldwide. The air defense contracts we won in Southeast Asia, worth nearly $2.5 billion, demonstrate the value of this approach.
Also in air defense and related capabilities, CSG became a strategic investor in North Vector Dynamics. This is the Canadian developer of interceptors, precision-guided missiles, and counter-UAV systems.
CSG will provide its industrial expertise and commercial network to help North Vector Dynamics expand production and gain access to global markets. In armored vehicles, we have agreed a new joint venture with Turkish company FNSS.
Production of the armored vehicles, which includes our new Karpat tank, will be based at our own facilities in Slovakia. This extends the same integration strategy into a new platform for the Group.
In medium and large-caliber ammunition, we are delivering on two priorities: expanding production and increasing vertical integration. Our annual production capacity increased to 850,000 rounds at the end of June.
We remain firmly on track to reach about 1.1 million rounds by the end of 2027. At the same time, demand continues to shift towards long-range 155mm ammunition.
This market has few European producers and offers stronger unit economics. Our investment in securing critical components creates value across the portfolio, more so in long-range, where each round requires more critical inputs.
By increasing vertical integration, we are taking greater control of the supply chain. This takes cost out of every round and supports margin expansion.
I am pleased to report that our German propellant plant, Greek explosives plant, and Slovak bi-modular charge facility are all on schedule and on budget. Just this week, we also announced the acquisition of the Gnaschwitz industrial site in Germany.
At this site, CSG will produce nitroglycerin as well as ammunition and components. This is yet another step towards self-sufficiency in energetic materials; it also enables us to sell to German customers.
CSG is building an ever-stronger presence in the United States, the world's largest defense market. Last month, we broke ground on the future artillery complex in Iowa, designed to load 36,000 artillery shells each month.
I am pleased by our success here. No other European defense group has been trusted with a program of this kind on American soil.
Our small-caliber businesses also won contracts valued at about $100 million with the FBI and other law enforcement agencies. These are important endorsements from different parts of the US government.
In addition, the opening of the CSG Land Systems North America brings our vehicle and artillery portfolio directly to the US Army. Our new Washington office means senior US executives are closer to our customers.
Very little of this is reflected in today's revenue. We are very excited by the opportunity in the US for CSG.
Finally, unmanned systems are taking a growing share of defense spending. CSG is building strong positions in the technologies behind them.
Propulsion is one of the most demanding parts of long-range drones and missiles. We are one of only few Western suppliers of these engines.
This summer, we announced a new production plant in Wisconsin that will serve US and allied customers. The first engines will be produced this year, and the serial production will begin in 2027.
CSG is also developing the digital systems that manage airspace. This includes radar detection and the software that coordinates drones alongside manned aircraft.
These moves give us early positions in fast-growing markets, and we intend to grow with them. Our horizon does not stop there.
We are actively exploring further opportunities in autonomy, artificial intelligence, and space. While our core businesses continue to strengthen, we are investing today in what will drive our next phase of the growth.
I want to turn briefly to our leadership. We have made major investments here.
We significantly strengthened our team, recruiting senior executives from the world's leading defense companies. Benjamin Hudson joined CSG as the CEO of Land Systems and Group Chief Technology Officer.
He came to us from Hanwha, with earlier roles at Rheinmetall, BAE Systems, and General Dynamics. David Jacobs is President of CSG Defense North America and is building out our new Washington, D.C.
office. Jason Monahan leads our newly established Land Systems business in North America.
Both bring deep experience of the US defense market. They are joined by several other senior appointments across caliber, export, finance, and the Group strategy.
They come from companies including Rheinmetall, KNDS, Leonardo, and RWS. These hires help take us to the next level.
They strengthen our team to execute on strategy that includes scaling Land Systems, growing in the United States, and expanding across ammunition. Let's now turn to our half-year financial highlights.
The headline figures demonstrate a strong performance across all key metrics. Revenue was up 17% to €3.3 billion.
This was driven by strong momentum across our core Defense Systems business, which grew by 27%. Our main measure of profit, operating EBIT, increased by 13% to €784 million.
This gave a margin of 24.1%. This margin performance keeps us at the top of our European defense peer group.
Our total backlog and pipeline reached a record €46 billion. This provides strong revenue visibility and evidences the long-term structural demand we see in the market.
The Group remains highly capital-efficient. Net leverage at period-end was 1.6 times.
Net leverage therefore remains within our long-term financial framework. We maintain strong cash conversion at 86%.
Capex intensity was 3.8%. As the year progresses, we will continue to invest significantly in production capacities and modernization to service demand.
Net working capital as a percentage of the revenue was 40%. This reflects our strong build of inventory to support a record order backlog.
We remain confident in our full-year guidance of below 20% and expect the ratio to improve through year as deliveries are completed and working capital is released. Zdeněk will talk more about it later.
Looking at our revenue composition, Defense Systems drove close to 80% of the Group revenue. This segment includes our medium and large-caliber ammunition and Land Systems businesses.
These made up 65% and 14% of total revenue, respectively. Our other business segment, Ammo+, contributed 19%.
The chart also shows CSG diversification away from Ukraine, with the revenue share from NATO and other allied countries, excluding Ukraine, increased to 83% from 73% at the year-end. Overall, it was an excellent set of results.
Thanks to this strong first half, we remain confident in our full-year guidance. Now I will pass to Zdeněk, who will take you through our performance in more detail.
Zdeněk Jurák
Thank you, Michal. I will start on a on a page 8 of our presentation.
Growth in second quarter accelerated to €1.7 billion, according to our expectation. Looking also to the contribution of the second quarter to the full year, that is as well in line with our guidance from last quarter, meaning that first half of 2026 is approximately 43% of the guidance we've provided for 2026, similar to the last year.
Total revenue for first half of 2026 represents 17.2% year-on-year growth. At the same time, 90% of the Defense Systems revenue for the second quarter for the second half of the 2026 is already under contract, and further de-risking the the delivery.
Profitability remains firm, with margin at 24.1% and within 24% to 25% guidance range. In addition, and highlighting here the Ammo+ margin, which is recovering according to our expectation in second quarter, coming to 8% from 4% in the first quarter this year.
Finally, we continue to diversify growth across our platforms and geographies. Land Systems balance medium and large-caliber ammo in terms of backlog contribution, as you will see next slide.
We continue to diversify the end-market geography, resulting into decrease of Ukraine contribution from 27% as of the year-end 2025 to 17%, including both direct and indirect sales, and even though the demand from Ukraine remains strong at the same time, as we don't see any change from the last quarter. On page 9, we highlight the continued increase in our backlog and pipeline over first half of the year.
It reflects strong intake new orders across the period. Total backlog increased to €17 billion in June 2026, up from €15 billion in December 2025.
That means 15% year-to-date growth and represents 2.4 times coverage ratio of our half-year LTM revenue. Together with pipeline, increase to €29 billion means €46 billion of total opportunities as of the end of June 2026.
Total order intake ratio in first half of 2026 remains strong at 1.5 times, similar to what we presented on our previous earnings call for Q1. Sizable and growing backlog gives us multi-year revenue visibility.
Our active pipeline, combined with our demonstrated track record converting pipeline into firm contract, drives our long-term growth momentum. On page 10, we are showing that the revenue growth is driven by strong momentum across our Defense Systems business.
This reflects the sustained demand we are seeing both within our core European and NATO markets, as well as demand coming from increase and increasing orders from other markets. Within our Defense Systems, medium and large-caliber ammo continues with a very high demand, but starts to be more balanced by the Land Systems at the same time.
Group EBIT margin was stable at 24.1% for the half-year. Within Defense Systems, we keep focusing on our vertical integration program and strategy, confirming our target we've set for it to be by end of this year, by end of 2027.
For the time being, and as of the June 2026, we achieved EBIT margin 29% for the Defense Systems segment. What is also important is a recovery in Ammo+ margin through the record quarter to 8%, which means the same level as we achieved for the full year of 2025.
At the same time, Ammo+ is still improving further on a US market, enabling us to rebuild volumes and improve pricing to mitigate majority of the impact from increased copper price and achieve a better margins. By the way, the margin in second quarter has been 11% on EBIT.
At the Group level, looking ahead to the remainder of the year, and as typical also for European defense peers, deliveries and revenue recognition are weighted towards second half of the year. Our strong execution to date means that we are well-positioned for the second half of 2026, and at the same time, we've secured majority of critical components needed to fulfill the backlog planned for remainder of this year.
As a result, all full-year 2026 and medium-term guidance is reaffirmed. Let me now turn to performance and operational developments across our two core business segments: Defense Systems and Ammo+.
Starting with Defense Systems on page 11, which made up about 81% of Group revenue, and which brings together our businesses in Land Systems, medium and large-caliber, and related technologies through aerospace and defense electronics and advanced systems. Execution remains our primary operational focus here.
Order intake remains strong and continues to build. At the same time, we continue to effectively manage the supply chain lead times, including, for example, export licensing.
All of that means that our backlog is converted into deliverables and revenue. Revenue was €2.6 billion in first half of 2026, 27% up year-on-year.
Operating EBIT increased 22% year-on-year to €754 million and margin of 29%. Continuous work on efficiency and ongoing vertical integration supported the achieved results.
At the same time, split of revenue by geography continues to diversify, as we've already mentioned. We've seen continuous growing demand from both NATO members as well as from NATO allies countries from Southeast Asia and Central Asia particularly.
The revenue contribution from outside of Ukraine now stands at nearly 80%. In parallel, the strong growth of Land Systems means that this subsegment is now 17% of the Defense Systems business.
We continue in our strategy and plans increasing our own production capacity and focusing on automation, robotics, and new production lines. They all underpin our sustained growth and ambitions to expand the margins.
On page 12, I would like to focus a bit on our medium and large-caliber ammo subsegment, which delivered another period of growth, up 20%. The business here delivered on three fronts.
First, our vertical integration and projects are all on track. Second, we are locking up the supply and critical components.
Third, pricing is holding firm and strong demand as well. Starting with vertical integration, our new facilities and projects are progressing on schedule, and each one takes us further up to supply chain.
In Greece, our Lavrio site is already producing 155mm ammo. Base bleed production starts this year, and TNT TNT production is on track for the end of 2027, as we already mentioned.
Our German nitrocellulose facility remains on target for the end of 2027, and our propellant and bi-modular charge joint venture with Eurenco in Slovakia should start the production by end of 2027 as well. Extended or long-range, as we may name it, is where it matters the most now.
Demand is shifting that way, and we are ready for it and removing bottlenecks to address that. Energetics as well as the propellants, bi-modular charges, and other and others, which are setting the range of the medium and large-caliber ammunition, accounts for around 50% of production costs when talking about 155mm long-range type.
Producing such energetics ourselves in our is is our goal within the vertical integration programs we are running, and it's expected to cut propellant costs by approximately half once fully ramped. This is a main driver behind our margin ambitions beyond the current level.
Our own production of artillery and tank ammunition for 2026 is expected to be around 850,000 pieces, supported by approximately another 400,000 pieces from the recommissioning. At the same time, 60% of 155mm production should be long-range as of the end of this year, which will have a positive mix impact on our financials.
Our pricing, demand, and constraints on critical components continue to support the price levels. We see no meaningful pricing pressure in the current order book.
Land Systems subsegment on page 13 is showing fast growing, with revenue approximately doubled in first half of the year to €445 million. Operating EBIT margin at the half is 17%, remains weighted towards the second half.
Land Systems now contribute approximately half of overall Group backlog and pipeline. We also launch CSG Systems CSG Land Systems North America, opening up a significant new addressable market for our products.
On integrated solutions, our vehicles are becoming the foundation for a growing range of advanced defense capabilities, air defense in particular, and combining our Tatra platform with radars, command control system, and others is giving customers flexibility and complete mission-ready solutions. Aerospace, defense electronics, and advanced systems on page 14 is where we build where we are building for the next phase of the Group.
Demand is evolving quickly, and we are expanding existing capacities and adding new ones. Contribution to the Group revenue in first half of 2026 was €58 million as a standalone business, but more important is strategically as a part of integrated solution we sell.
Recently, CSG unveiled Trident, a new modular air defense system combining short, medium, and long range together with the ground-based command platforms, advanced radars, optronics, warfare integrations, and protection against drones. This is only one of the examples how significant integral part defense electronics is into this Land Systems products.
We also launch Maestro, digital remote air traffic control tower platform with AI, which should extend our dual-use radar and air traffic management portfolio. In Advanced Systems, we are building a leadership position in propulsion, which is one of the most demanding part of the long-range drones and missiles.
Demand for CSG products from Middle East and Asia is a growing driver here. We also secured a strategic partnership with Ukrainian Armor for the development and supply of advanced propulsion systems for guided missiles and unmanned platforms.
In the US, we announced a new Wisconsin plant to serve US and allied customers, with first engine produced this year and serial production from 2027, as Michal already mentioned in his speech. While we are confident about our core capabilities, we don't sit still.
We are looking further, not only developing what we have, but also moving into the new fields: autonomy, AI, and space are the areas where we are actively exploring. Ammo+ division on page 15, for that, we can see two main positive developments in first half of 2026.
The commercial market has turned, and our position with the US government and law enforcement is getting stronger. Revenue was €631 million for or 19% of the Group revenue in the first half of this year, with EBIT €51 million, but more important with the EBIT margin improving to 8%, back to the 2025 level.
On the commercial side, we have seen a steady recovery in both volumes and profitability since Q1 2026. Pricing firmed after increase, and this has helped us to offset some inflation pressure, particularly when talking about the copper as a critical constituent to produce small-caliber ammunition.
We also deliver on our strategy to increase defense business and law enforcement business there. We strengthened our relationship with intelligence agencies through approximately $100 million contracts, and we reached an agreement with the US Army to use patented Peak Alloy case technology across multiple cartridges and weapon systems.
On page 16, it is worth spending some time and moment on working capital, its shape through the year, and what drives it. Net working capital at June stood at about €2.9 billion, representing about 40% of LTM revenue.
The build is deliberate. We are investing ahead of the production ramp-up to address the demand and growth.
It follows the pattern we described at Q1 and follows our expectations. We are pre-stocking key long-lead-time components to secure our supply position ahead of accelerating our deliveries in second half of this year.
This sits mainly in medium and large-caliber ammo through both direct purchases and advances given to the suppliers. Second reason is that first advance payments received have been converted into delivered revenues.
That represents a mechanical reduction, and it reverse and it and it reverses through new advances in second half of the year. Seasonality has been accepted expected, I'm sorry, expected and mirrors year 2025, when a comparable first-half build was followed by a material unwind during the second half of the year and fourth quarter particularly.
Decrease of the net working capital by 20% to reach guided 20% net working capital level at year-end 2026 represents in number approximately €1.5 billion. That is the amount which should be released as a cost of production, and finally will be converted, together with the margin, into the revenue in second half of 2026.
Counting revenue to go to meet year-end 2026 guidance, such €1.5 billion of net working capital to be released represents approximately 35% of the production costs. Taking into consideration fact that first, majority of that is medium and large-caliber ammo and majority of that will be long-range production where the components and energetics are approximately 50% of the production costs, and second, that we expect advance payments from the customers in second half of this year are coming, I'm confident to confirm our guidance of net working capital level to be below 20% of the revenue at the end of this year.
On page 17 and on the next slide, we are giving more clarity to the drivers. We have broken the working capital build into five components: backlog and demand; second, Land Systems share of backlog and pipeline, addressing the longer program cycle, more demand to working capital levels; third is Land Systems delivery in second half of 2026, which is also a bit more demanded on the net working capital; four, long-range mix; and fifth, our own production share in a medium and large-caliber ammunition for the for the plans for 2026.
Land Systems delivery, long-range mix, and our own production confirms my previous comment about cash to be released from the net working capital and our confidence about this. On page 18, our cash flow and capex funding strategy: operating EBITDA less capex was €740 million in first half of 2026, up €54 million, or about 8% year-on-year.
That's a strong underlying cash result. Free cash flow reflects two things: first, €1.2 billion deployed into the working capital to address the ramp-up; and second, higher tax payments which are weighted into the first half of the year, particularly in second quarter, and are not linear, but rather one-off for only second quarter.
Capex was just below 4% of revenue, with cash conversion at 80%. That reflects the pace of investment so far in capacity expansion and automation, as we guided.
Free cash flow is expected to be according to the guidance by year-end 2026, mostly through release of the net working capital. At the same time, we expect the capex intensity to end up at expected level of 8.5% of the revenue as of the year-end.
Connecting free cash flow to the debt position and capital allocation on page 19, here I would like to highlight steps we have taken to optimize our financing profile. Last month, we announced a refinancing of certain senior facilities.
That reduces our cost of debt by approximately 125 to 150 bps per annum and extended the maturity profile to 6 years, without impact on leverage position. Also includes new sizable commitment committed RCF, and this gives us a flexibility in financing net working capital versus free cash to be used for the investments and capex.
Net leverage 1.6 times is according to expectation, copying the same trajectory as in year 2025, and we expect to reach our year-end leverage target of below 1.3 times as guided. To summarize the key takeaways on the page 20: first, I would like to highlight that the revenue momentum is strong, with a record backlog in Defense Systems.
Second, we are winning in our core markets and diversifying beyond them, both in geography and by products, and that gives better quality of earnings. Third, we are scaling medium and large-caliber ammo capacity successfully, and our vertical integration projects are on track.
Four, Land Systems is growing strongly, and it's providing it can deliver in-demand integrated programs, not the vehicles. Fifth, in Ammo+, US market has recovered, and we are investing to make sure capacities matches the demand.
Finally, we are making strong moves into high-growth air defense and counter-UAS market. We are very active in these areas today, and we intend to increase our our role there.
That brings me to the page number 21, where I where I would like to reaffirm the guidance as we've provided at the IPO: for the revenue to reach €7.4 to €7.6 billion as of the 2026, with the operating EBIT margin range between 24% to 25%, capex intensity 8.5% of the revenues, net working capital, as already mentioned, below 20% of the revenue, and the net leverage below 1.3 times. All the mid-term guidance is also reaffirmed, that we will be growing mid-teens organic CAGR, with the margin to be up 26% to 28% in a mid-term, with the capex intensity 4% to 5% in a mid-term.
That brings us to the end of our presentation, and we are now happy to answer whatever questions you may have.
Operator
To ask a question, please press *11 on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. To withdraw your question, please press *1 and 1 again.
We will now take the first question from the line of Ross Law from Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.
Ross Law
Good morning, Michal, Zdeněk, and Peter. Two questions, if I may.
The first is on your ML ammo division. You've continued to invest in vertical integration here, most recently with the nitroglycerin site.
How close are you now to being fully vertically integrated within this subsegment? What more needs to be done?
The second question is on the Ammo+ segment. We saw very strong recovery in margin in the second quarter.
How sustainable is this, and how should we think about the Ammo+ margin for the full year? Thank you.
Michal Strnad
I will start with the medium and large-caliber ammo. Overall, we are more or less done.
We have invested into all the necessary strategic components. As we said, by the end of 2027, we will have all the strategic components under one roof, we will not be missing any of the strategic component, including propellants, different types, bi-modular charges, TNT, nitroglycerin, and other components which are needed for the short-range and mainly long-range ammunition.
Zdeněk Jurák
On the Ammo+ margins, let me answer that. How sustainable is that?
In a second quarter, as I mentioned, the margin reached 11% on EBIT, and we feel this is the sustainable level, and it should even improve slightly throughout the year. I was mentioning on the last earnings call that we expect this year the EBIT margin to reach a double-digit, which I can reaffirm now.
This is the trajectory we can see. The demand is there, and we don't see any signals that it should be otherwise.
Ross Law
Great. Thank you very much, both.
Michal Strnad
Thank you.
Operator
Thank you. We will now take the next question from the line of Chloé Lemarié from Jefferies.
Please go ahead.
Chloé Lemarié
Yes, good morning, Michal and Zdeněk. Thank you for taking my question.
I would start with a follow-up on Ross's question on the nitroglycerin site acquisition, actually. Does that create new cost-saving opportunities from your perspective from vertical integration of triple-base propellants, or is it more so that you secure your production needs going forward?
The second one, I wanted to ask about the own production indication on your medium/large ammunition slide. Just wanted to understand why H1 went down to 500,000 versus the end of 2025, or if it's really the half-year production, why wouldn't you be able to reach [unclear]?
Thank you.
Zdeněk Jurák
Answering to the question, the answer is both. It should first increase our vertical integration as such and secure our supply.
The second, it's integral part of our vertical integration strategy in terms of the cost savings and the ramping up of the margin, it should be both. The second one, the 500, I'm not sure where this is coming from.
It's a production, but the capacities are 850, as we stated at Q1, and it is expected to reach 850,000 pieces our own production this year, as I mentioned. The capacities are elsewhere.
500 is now currently being our own production, roughly plus-minus.
Chloé Lemarié
Thank you so much.
Zdeněk Jurák
Pleasure.
Operator
Thank you. We will now take the next question from the line of Sebastian Growe from BNP Paribas.
Please go ahead.
Sebastian Growe
Good morning, Michal, Zdeněk, and Peter. Thanks for taking my questions.
It's three overall. The first one would be on Land Systems.
You mentioned that Land Systems already contributes half to the Group order backlog, and now you have also launched the CSG Land Systems North America business. My question is if you could comment on the opportunity that you see there, and which programs are you targeting, and how should we think about product certification, etc.?
Maybe we can start there, and then I have two more.
Michal Strnad
I will maybe comment the opportunities. As US defense market is the biggest defense market in the world.
We can see that the next year budget should be around $1.3 $1.3 trillion, we would like to definitely be there. Coming back to your question in terms of the Land Systems, we don't need any special certification.
Our products are NATO-certified. What we need is the localization, on which we are working on through the partnership or through the possible acquisitions.
We are currently running more than three programs in the Land Systems, which are worth of billions of US dollars. I think that that's all what we can say now, because we are obviously in the some kind of confidential mode there.
Sebastian Growe
That is helpful. The other question is just a quick follow-up to the comments that you made before then, also around the ML ammo business.
It's actually two quick ones. The first is on the latest announced acquisition, if you could also help us with the agreed purchase price.
Then secondly, and I don't want to count beans here, but quarter-on-quarter, it seemed that the ML ammo business margin was a little down from 32, I think, in the first quarter to now 30 or so in the second quarter. Is there anything to call out in terms of mix, etc.?
Because you raised the overall target for the large, long-range part for the full year. I was just curious to hear the exact sort of developments in quarter
Zdeněk Jurák
two. The medium, large-caliber ammo margins are 31%, it's pretty much stable, above 30.
That's also one thing why we are confirming our guidance for the revenue. True is that the lead time for the long-range, together with the Land Systems, is somewhat longer.
In terms of transferring from production to revenue may be a little bit longer than it used to, the swing of the margin by 1% we see as a technicality rather than whatever else behind it material.
Sebastian Growe
On the purchase price?
Zdeněk Jurák
The price are stable. We don't see any price pressure, as I mentioned, on our backlog, as we've seen.
Sebastian Growe
No, sorry. I meant for the asset acquired in Germany, the other one.
Michal Strnad
For this Gnaschwitz?
Sebastian Growe
Exactly, yeah.
Michal Strnad
I don't know if we can disclose, because...
Zdeněk Jurák
It's been several dozens millions of euro.
Sebastian Growe
Okay. Very lastly, if I may, just quickly on M&A, I think you had a bit of a commentary that you made on the strategy in the last conference call.
In the meantime, apparently, we are seeing some developments around KNDS, and I was just curious if you might be willing to share what and how it might have impacted your discussions here.
Michal Strnad
We cannot comment it at this stage, but it's the same like we still monitor the situation, but there are no, I would say, current concrete actions.
Sebastian Growe
Thank you both.
Michal Strnad
Thank you.
Operator
Thank you. We will now take the next question from the line of Atinc Ozkan from Wood & Company.
Please go ahead.
Atinc Ozkan
Thank you for taking my questions. I have three, actually.
The first one is regarding Ukraine. Evidently, the share of Ukraine in your revenues has been declining.
Given that now country has access to €90 billion of funding from EU, do you think there will be a reversal in this trend? That's the first one.
The second question is regarding US market opportunity. As there is this self-propelled howitzer modernization program where some of your competitors such as Elbit, BAE, and Hanwha are already pitching.
The prototype testing has already started. Do you think is it too late for you, or do you see yourself as still lucky given your expertise in mobile howitzers?
That's the second question. The third one is, given the recent trend in affordable mass and containerized missile tender in US and your Wisconsin plant investment, can you give us an updated guestimate about future revenue contribution from propulsion systems under your Advanced Systems division?
Thank you.
Michal Strnad
Let's start from the last question regarding the turbojet engines, and then I will address the Ukraine and MTC.
Zdeněk Jurák
The strategy with the turbojet engine is following what we've presented already during our previous earnings calls. The Wisconsin one should be an integral part of the overall capacities and backlog and pipeline, that's one thing.
If you are asking me what should be the contribution, that should be in a mid-term several hundreds millions of euro equivalent coming from that.
Michal Strnad
What is important to say, that this Wisconsin facility will mainly supply to the US producers of unmanned solutions and missiles. It's because of the localization and because of to be closer to the customer.
If it is okay, I will go to the next one. MTC, mobile tactical cannon, just for your information, we are in.
We are in with our system, our complete howitzer, and we are there also as a chassis supplier to our competitors. We have basically much higher probability that we will get at least the part of the business, if not the whole mobile tactical cannon, then at least the chassis, which we can possibly supply as a chassis provider to our competitors.
Atinc Ozkan
Does that mean you'll be producing Tatra in US?
Michal Strnad
There is such probability, yeah.
Atinc Ozkan
Thank you.
Michal Strnad
Regarding Ukraine, look, we can see some significant movements in Ukraine now. There are the new tenders coming out.
We are participating in these tenders. If we will be successful, if we win some of those, obviously, the possibility that we will get additional revenues from the Ukraine, it's true, but I don't think so that it will increase overall percentage of the Group revenue.
Zdeněk Jurák
I can confirm that, because it looks like demand from Ukraine is still continuing and even increasing. The point is that we are diversifying and increasing elsewhere than Ukraine, particularly for the Land Systems, but not only.
It will be rather stable and decreasing in a time.
Atinc Ozkan
If I may ask just one final one, given that I'm Turkish, I'm really curious about the JV with FNSS. When do you think you'll be starting producing the medium tank?
Michal Strnad
The process already started. We are preparing the facility, we are preparing all the necessary steps which needs to be done, but the production itself should start in Q1 next year.
Atinc Ozkan
Perfect. Thank you.
Michal Strnad
Thank you.
Operator
Thank you. We will now take the next question from the line of Pavel Ryska from J&T Banka.
Please go ahead.
Pavel Ryska
Good morning to everybody. First, congratulations on the very strong set of results that you posted.
I have a couple of questions. The first one, yet one more about Ukraine.
Recently, there have been statements by senior military officials in Ukraine that the intensity of fight along the front line has diminished this year, and that the war has changed in nature. Do you see this affecting the demand for your ML products that are supplied to Ukraine?
That's the first question. The second question, you just spoke with Atinc about the Karpat tank.
Is there any concrete order that you have obtained for this product?
Michal Strnad
Look, for the Karpat tank, we have not received any order yet. We are in the negotiations with several European customers, and that's why we have created such a JV in order to serve to the NATO European customers, but there is no any signed and funded order yet.
Regarding the Ukraine, we don't see any change. We see demand still the same, still the strong.
What we can see, it's a shift from the short-range ammunition to long-range ammunition, mainly because of the longer distance of the kill zone, yeah.
Pavel Ryska
I see. Thank you.
Maybe one last question: the facility in Wisconsin where you are going to start the production of the propulsions, I didn't understand from your recent announcement whether there is already a factory or a facility that you have, or if it is being developed at the moment, if you are starting with that?
Michal Strnad
There is already the building, there is already the facility. We are installing now all the machinery, all the testing benches, and the basically necessary machinery to be able to produce propulsion systems there.
Zdeněk Jurák
In a nutshell, the site already exists; we are just bringing the technology.
Pavel Ryska
I see. Thank you very much.
Zdeněk Jurák
Pleasure.
Operator
Thank you. We will now take the next question from the line of George McWhirter from Berenberg.
Please go ahead.
George McWhirter
Good morning. Thank you very much for the questions.
I've got two, please. Firstly, on Ammo+, you highlighted that 70% of expected H2 revenue for the Group is under contract, with 30% still to be booked.
Can you just comment on what the revenue under contract is in Ammo+ in H2, and is that in line, above, or below where you normally are at this point in the year? The second question is on material cost inflation in the business, and you talked a little bit about copper in Ammo+.
Can you comment on how you expect material costs to trend in H2 versus Q2 across the relevant materials for you? Thank you.
Zdeněk Jurák
Let me start with the coverage of the second-half revenues. You can see 70/30 split, but that's for the total Group.
So 90%, as you can see also within the comments, 90% of Defense Systems revenues is already under the contract, and the remainder is mostly the US civilian market, which is non-defense type. If I'm not mistaken, approximately €500 million is a backlog coming from the Ammo+, so that's the number you were asking for.
The second one, the copper price: the copper price has been mitigated through already two price increases we've done on the US market. Since we are the biggest there, we are pretty much test maker as well as the vast majority of the volume makers, all the competitors followed logically, because they are facing the same.
Through the two increases of price, we mitigated almost fully the impact from the copper price. If there is any additional increase on the copper price, which is not expected from the analysis we can see for the year-end, we may be considering an additional increase of the price.
The demand is not changing, we feel confident about this.
George McWhirter
Thank you very much.
Zdeněk Jurák
Pleasure.
Operator
Thank you. We will now take the next question from the line of Petr Bartek from Erste Group.
Please go ahead.
Petr Bartek
Good morning. Thank you for taking my questions.
I would like to ask about the share of long-range ammunition in the large ammunition segment. You expect 60% of this year, and could you provide an estimate what do you expect in the mid-term, where the share could grow?
Also, what is the margin in long-range ammunition versus the standard? Is it the same or slightly higher, and what would be the mid-term impact if it grows further?
My second question would be regarding the new factory which you are planning for nitroglycerin in Germany. If you can provide any details regarding timing, expected cost savings, etc.
Thank you.
Zdeněk Jurák
Starting from the first: so the split between long-range and standard-range, going forward, we would like to reach a minimum split 70/30, long-range/standard-range, that's the minimum. That's what we currently see as a split of demand, this is why I am confidently saying that.
The second was the margin: margin is better within the long-range, and particularly coming to your third question, we expect the improvement of this margins throughout the vertical integration. I was mentioning during the presentation that approximately 50% of cost of production is driven by the components and the energetics, whereby our nitrocellulose, nitroglycerin, bi-modular charges production, and all of it is the production of the energetics, which are the highest cost there.
Saving a 50% of that should significantly increase the margin. Coming and connecting this to the guidance, 26% to 28% in a mid-term, that is a product mix, we will be significantly increasing the margin in medium and large-caliber ammunition.
As you can see, in a Land Systems, we are currently at the 17% of the EBIT margin, which is then diluting this a bit. Throughout the product mix, we will be increasing the margin significantly in medium/large ammo, more moderate on the Group level because of the product mix.
Petr Bartek
Timing for the factory in Germany, if you can Is that something in line with Greece and
Zdeněk Jurák
The nitroglycerin, yes, the nitroglycerin is expected by end of 2027, full production.
Petr Bartek
Thank you.
Zdeněk Jurák
Pleasure.
Operator
Thank you. We will now take the next question from the line of David Perry from JPMorgan.
Please go ahead.
David Perry
Yes, hi, Michal, Zdeněk, and Peter. Hope you are all well.
Few questions, please. First two are on ML ammo.
Can you just talk a little bit about the order pipeline, discussions you're having with customers, and any contracts that we should keep an eye out for? Secondly, I think at the Q1 call, the slide said you expected 50% of 155 to be long-range this year.
Now you're saying 60%. I'm not sure if that's production or sales, but given the huge price difference, just wondering why you haven't raised the sales guidance given that mix shift.
The third one is just on the engines and that you're developing for drones and missiles, and you talk about, Michal, targeting several hundred million of sales, which was about, I think, also what you said at the IPO. I'm just wondering why it's not much, much higher than that, because it seems to me the demand would be almost infinite.
Is there a production ramp issue, or am I misunderstanding the potential? I think you've signed a deal with Ukraine, your SAS3, if you just talk to that, thank you.
Michal Strnad
Hi. I will start with the last question regarding the turbojet engines.
Look, there is much, much higher demand. The issue is basically ramp-up of the capacities and also the certification of the new platforms, because every time you would like to be used by the new unmanned or the new missile system or systems, you need to be certified, which takes some time.
That's the one thing. The main issue is ramp-up of the capacities.
We can sell much, much more, but basically we do our best in order to serve our customers. I agree with you that there is additional future potential of growth on which we are working heavily, yeah.
Regarding medium and large-caliber ammo, I think that Zdeněk can address.
Zdeněk Jurák
Hi, David. We are talking 60% of our own production versus 50% of the revenue, we need to count also the recommissioning going on top of that as a part of revenue for this year, just for clarification.
You were asking also why we are not increasing our guidance. I was mentioning that during the call.
This is because production of the long-range and the Land Systems is slightly longer lead time, meaning transforming the production to revenues in the second half, since we are increasing our own production of the long-range plus the Land Systems, may be postponed to the year 2027. We planned that carefully during the IPO and during our guidance, and we are pretty much on that.
Therefore, I was reaffirming for this year the guidance, and I feel really confident about that. Please remind me what was your first question about the ML ammo?
David Perry
The last question is just I haven't seen any sort of big orders for ammo from new customers. I just wondered what the pipeline was like and if you could just talk about any discussions you're having and potential big contracts that might be on the horizon?
Michal Strnad
Look, there are many contracts in the pipeline under the negotiations. You could see that just few weeks ago Croatia joined the procurement of medium and large-caliber ammo with Slovakia, there is this a €58 billion framework agreement, which is kind of a European platform which other countries can join.
Croatia already joined, it is signed, and there are more than eight customers from Europe which are currently under the contract negotiation, either directly or they will join this Slovakian framework agreement. I think that soon you will see a few announcement about the large-caliber ammo.
Zdeněk Jurák
It's pretty much, David, copying the phase as it has been, for example, last year. The first quarter, first four, five months, we are announcing the new deals, because projects are there, the orders are coming.
Then there is a production period, I would call it, and then in the second half, there will be others. It's a normal course of our business, as I can see it.
David Perry
Look forward to that. Thanks a lot.
Zdeněk Jurák
Pleasure.
Michal Strnad
Thank you.
Operator
Thank you. As a reminder, to ask a question, please press *11 on your telephone.
We will now take our next question from Sriram Krishnan from Deutsche Bank. Please go ahead.
Sriram Krishnan
Hey, thank you so much for the opportunity. I just have a couple of quick questions, if I may.
The first one is actually on the recommissioning part of the ML ammo business. Pretty helpful that you provided that 30% of FY26 revenues on ML ammo could be from recommissioning.
Just wondering how should we think beyond that? How quickly is the recommissioning revenues winding down?
Should we expect this to wind down entirely by 2028, for instance? That's the first question.
The second one, can you provide us an update on where we stand on the NATO certification for your small-caliber business? Thank you.
Michal Strnad
I can just comment the NATO certification for the small-caliber business is from 80% 85% done. It means that 85% of the portfolio is certified, because you have several types of small-caliber ammo, 80% 85% is done.
Some of the models or the types are missing, but it will be within the weeks.
Zdeněk Jurák
In terms of the differentiation between the revenues coming from the own production versus recommissioning, it's pretty much the same. You have to consider if you are recommissioning standard or long-range, but the lead time is almost the same.
Operator
Thank you. This concludes today's conference call.
Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.
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