ZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd.

ZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd.

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Q3 FY2025 · Earnings Call TranscriptNovember 20, 2025

Operator

Thank you for standing by. My name is Kate, and I will be your conference operator today.

At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the ZIM Integrated Shipping Services Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise.

After the speakers' remarks, there will be a question-and-answer session. If you would like to ask a question during this time, simply press * followed by the number 1 on your telephone keypad.

If you would like to withdraw your question, press *1 again. Thank you.

I would now like to turn the conference over to Elana Holzman. You may begin.

Elana Holzman

Thank you, operator, and welcome to ZIM's third quarter 2025 financial results conference call. Joining me on the call today are Eli Glickman, ZIM's President and CEO, and Xavier Destriau, ZIM's CFO.

Before we begin, I would like to remind you that during the course of this call, we will make forward-looking statements regarding expectations, predictions, projections, or future events or results. We believe that our expectations and assumptions are reasonable.

We wish to caution you that such statements reflect only the company's current expectations, and that actual events or results may differ, including materially. You are kindly referred to consider the risk factors and cautionary language described in the documents the company filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including our 2024 annual report on Form 20-F filed with the SEC on March 12th, 2025.

We undertake no obligation to update these forward-looking statements. At this time, I would like to turn the call over to ZIM's CEO, Eli Glickman.

Eli?

Eli Glickman

Thank you, Elana, and welcome, everyone. Thank you for joining us today.

Q3 2025 unfolded against a backdrop of continued uncertainty, driven by geopolitical and trade tensions. While the shipping industry has always been characterized by volatility, we are now experiencing events and changes with greater frequency and intensity than in the past, amplifying the challenges and requiring us to be even more agile than ever.

Despite these headwinds, our team has navigated a volatile rate environment with resilience, maintaining service reliability, optimizing our cost base, and delivering solid Q3 results. Slide number 4.

Consistent with our expectation, we generated revenue of $1.8 billion and net income of $123 million. Q3 adjusted EBITDA was $593 million, and adjusted EBIT was $260 million, with adjusted EBITDA margin of 33% and adjusted EBIT margin of 15%.

We maintain total liquidity of $3 billion at September 30th. Slide number 5.

ZIM Board of Directors continued to prioritize returning capital to shareholders, and has amended ZIM dividend policy in 2021 and 2022, aiming to reward long-term shareholders. Additionally, when financial results have exceeded expectations, the board has promoted a special dividend distribution to further reward shareholders.

Accordingly, under this policy, the Board of Directors has declared a dividend of 31 cents per share, or a total of approximately $37 million, representing 30% of third quarter net income. Throughout '24 and '25, ZIM has distributed a total dividend of $9.09 per share, including the dividend declared today, or a total of approximately $1.1 billion.

Since the IPO, we distributed a total of approximately $5.7 billion as dividends, or $47.54 per share, including the dividend declared today. Turning to our guidance, the fourth quarter is trending weaker than originally projected when we provided guidance in August.

However, despite the considerable uncertainty, our nine months results have enabled us to refine our full year guidance ranges and increase midpoints. As such, based primarily on our performance year to date, we now expect to generate adjusted EBITDA between $2 billion to $2.2 billion, and adjusted EBIT between $700 million and $900 million.

Xavier, our CFO, will provide additional context and our underlying assumptions for our 2025 guidance later on the call. Slide number 6.

In a highly dynamic environment, we continue to take proactive steps in line with our strategic objectives during the third quarter and into the fourth quarter. Capitalizing on the versatility of our fleet, we have been able to adjust capacity quickly as market conditions have evolved.

On the transpacific, we've continuously adapted our network to account for changes in cargo flow patterns resulting from the ongoing US-China trade standoff. The recent US-China trade agreement marks a positive development, potentially reducing market uncertainty and enabling our customers to plan with greater confidence.

The tariff reduction on Chinese goods announced as part of this trade agreement could support demand going forward, though the extent of its impact remains uncertain. Nonetheless, the long-term trend toward economic decoupling between China and the US is likely to persist as both continue efforts to diversify their export and import markets.

ZIM's long-term strategy, which we have previously discussed, is closely aligned with this trend: expanding and diversifying our network so we can capture new opportunities as global trade patterns evolve. Two critical focus areas for us are Southeast Asia and Latin America.

As manufacturers diversify production away from China, countries like Vietnam, Korea, and Thailand have increased their share of US imports. Our expanded presence in Southeast Asia continued to be an important strategic advantage for ZIM.

By establishing a stronger foothold in this market, we've been able to capture new trade growth and partially offset the reduction in transpacific cargo from China to the US. We have also strategically focused on expanding our presence in Latin America over the last two years.

In Q3, we continued to grow our volumes and still see meaningful opportunities in this region, supported by the steady expansion of trade between Latin America and key markets, including the United States and China. Overall, regional diversification enhances our network flexibility, broadens our customer base, and reduces our dependence on any single trade lane.

Our ability to capitalize on this opportunity is a direct result of our cost-competitive fleet and agile deployment strategy. Following the delivery of 46 newbuilds in 2023 and 2024, which significantly improved the efficiency of our operated capacity, we have transformed fleet of larger, modern vessels, well-suited to the trades in which we operate.

We remain diligent in keeping our fleet modern and competitive. Earlier this year, we secured a significant charter agreement for 10 11,500 TEU LNG dual-fuel vessels scheduled for delivery in 2027 and 2028.

This continued investment in our fleet is central to our growth strategy, enhancing both the sustainability and competitiveness of our capacity. The versatile size and design of this vessel will further enhance our operational flexibility and support long-term profitable growth.

In addition to strengthening our core fleet, we continue to prioritize flexibility and optionality in our fleet strategy. As part of this approach, we actively manage our operated fleet to align with evolving market conditions.

During the third quarter, we continued to redeliver vessels to owners, which Xavier will discuss in more detail. Our approach to renewing charter this year signaled a cautious outlook, particularly as market fundamentals still point to supply growth outpacing demand moving forward.

As such, we anticipate continued pressure on freight rates during the remainder of the fourth quarter and into 2026. Overall, we remain confident in our strategy and competitive position.

Today, approximately 60% of our capacity is newbuild, and 40% of our fleet is LNG-powered, reflecting our early investment in cost- and fuel-efficient vessels and commitment to sustainability. With the addition of the 10 11,500 new LNG-powered vessels by 2028, we expect to operate not only the youngest fleet in our segment, but also the greenest, with the largest proportion of LNG-powered capacity, further strengthening our leadership in sustainability and operational efficiency.

Looking ahead, we intend to build on our progress today, maintaining and further enhancing our competitive advantages while capitalizing on attractive opportunity that will ensure our fleet remains modern and cost-effective. We believe our nimble commercial approach, coupled with prudent investment in fleet, equipment, and technology, continues to drive resilience across ZIM business and position us to deliver long-term value for our shareholders.

Before turning the call to Xavier, I would like to address our view on Suez Canal. Ensuring the safety of our crew, customer cargo, and vessels remain our highest priority.

While the current ceasefire in Gaza is encouraging progress, return to Suez Canal will require further assurance regarding the durability of this ceasefire, and we are monitoring the situation closely. Having said that, we believe that a return to the Suez Canal in the near future now appears increasingly likely.

Therefore, we are preparing an operational plan to support this transition once the security situation has stabilized. Resuming passage through the Suez Canal represents both opportunities and risks.

While it will allow improved fleet efficiency and generate operational cost savings, it will also increase effective supply currently tied up by longer routes around the Cape of Good Hope, adding pressure on freight rates. With that, I will turn the call over to Xavier, our CFO, for a more detailed discussion of our financial results, 2025 guidance, as well as additional comments on the market environment.

Xavier, please.

Xavier Destriau

Thank you, Eli, and again, on my behalf, welcome to everyone. On slide 7, we present our key financial and operational highlights.

We delivered solid profitability in Q3 despite a volatile operating environment. Third quarter revenues were $1.8 billion, down 36% compared to last year, reflecting both lower freight rates and lower volume.

Total revenues in the first nine months of 2025 of $5.4 billion were down $840 million, or 13% year-over-year. Average freight rate per TEU in the third quarter was $1,602, compared to $2,480 per TEU in the third quarter of last year.

Q3 carried volume of 926,000 TEUs was 4.5% lower year-over-year, mostly due to lower volume in Cross-Suez and Atlantic, but 3.5% higher sequentially. Revenues from non-containerized cargo, which reflects mostly our car carrier services, totaled $78 million for the quarter, and that is compared to $145 million in the third quarter of 2024, attributable to both, again here, lower volume, as we operated two fewer vessels in the current quarter, as well as lower rates.

Free cash flow in the third quarter totaled $574 million, compared to $1.5 billion in the third quarter of 2024. Turning to the balance sheet, total debt decreased by $369 million since prior year end.

As previously noted, total debt is expected to continue to trend down as repayment of lease liabilities exceeds lease additions and extensions until we start receiving newbuild chartered capacity in the second half of 2026. Next, the following slide provides an overview of our fleet.

Eli covered key aspects of our fleet strategy, but I would like to add a few more data points that we believe are important to consider. ZIM currently operates 115 container ships with a total capacity of 709,000 TEUs.

This reflects a decrease of approximately 80,000 TEUs, lower than our peak after having received all 46 newbuild vessels in early 2025. Approximately 70% of this capacity we consider as our core fleet, and it includes the 46 newbuild vessels which were received throughout 2023 and 2024, with the last vessel delivered in January this year, 2025.

These vessels carry charter durations from 5 to 12 years, and another 16 vessels are owned by ZIM. To remind you, we opted to secure these newbuilds and long-term duration contracts rather than continue to rely on the short-term charter market, and this accomplished multiple key objectives.

First, we ensured access to larger vessels, better suited to the trades in which we operate, thereby improving our competitive position. These vessels are generally not available in the shorter-term charter market.

Second, the longer-term charter periods contribute to an improved predictability in our cost structure. Moreover, for 25 of the 28 LNG vessels, our core strategic capacity, we hold options to extend the charter period, as well as purchase options, giving us full control over the destiny of these vessels, very much as if we were the vessel owners.

We also have an option to purchase the 10 11.5 thousand TEU LNG vessels Eli mentioned earlier following the 12-year charter period. The remaining 30% of our fleet, or approximately 192,000 TEUs, allows us to maintain important flexibility.

By the end of 2026, there will be a total of 20 vessels up for charter renewal, with three vessels, or 5.6 thousand TEUs, still up for renewal in 2025, and 17 vessels, or 55,000 TEUs of capacity, up for redelivery in 2026. This optionality to keep the capacity or redeliver to owners allows ZIM to adjust its capacity according to changing market conditions or shifts in our commercial strategy.

We have opted to redeliver 22 vessels this year based on our cautious outlook moving forward as spot freight rates have come under pressure during the second half of the year. With respect to our car carrier capacity, we currently operate 14 vessels, down from 16 car carriers last year, and we expect to redeliver another vessel by year-end.

As we previously communicated, we expanded our car carrier capacity in the past few years to benefit from favorable market trends, but we maintained optionality with no long-term commitments on our chartered tonnage. We will continue to assess our level of participation as the car carrier market dynamics evolve.

Next, moving on to slide 9, we present ZIM's third quarter and nine months 2025 financial results compared to last year's third quarter and first nine months. We delivered solid profitability in Q3.

Adjusted EBITDA in this year's third quarter was $593 million, and adjusted EBIT was $260 million. Adjusted EBITDA and EBIT margins for the third quarter were 33% and 15%, respectively, and that compares to 55% and 45% in the third quarter of last year.

For the first nine months of 2025, adjusted EBITDA margin was 34%, and adjusted EBIT margin was 16%. This is compared to 44% and 30% in 2024.

Net income in the third quarter was $123 million, compared to $1.1 billion in the same quarter of last year. Next, on slide 10, you see that we carried 926,000 TEUs in the third quarter, compared to 970,000 TEUs during the same period last year, a 4.5% decline.

Compared to the prior quarter, Q2, carried volume was up 3.5%. The year-over-year decline was mainly attributable to weaker volume on Cross-Suez and Atlantic.

Transpacific volume this quarter stayed robust, down just 1.5% compared to the same period last year, which saw exceptionally strong demand in the US. Sequentially, transpacific volume increased by 17%.

In Latin America trade, we also continued to see growth, with a 2.4% increase in volumes year-over-year. Next, we present our cash flow bridge.

For the quarter, our adjusted EBITDA of $593 million converted into $628 million of net cash generated from operating activities. Other cash flow items for the quarter included $451 million of debt service, mostly related to our lease liability repayment, and a dividend payment of $37 million.

Turning now to our outlook, we have narrowed ranges and increased 2025 guidance midpoints. Specifically, we are raising the lower end of our adjusted EBITDA range by $200 million, and now expect to generate adjusted EBITDA between $2 billion and $2.2 billion.

We have also updated adjusted EBIT guidance to reflect a narrower range, raising the low end and lowering the high end of our prior outlook. Today, we expect to achieve adjusted EBIT in the range of $700 million and $900 million.

To reiterate Eli's earlier comments, these increased midpoints reflect primarily our performance year to date, and we note the continued high degree of uncertainty related to global trade and related to the geopolitical environment. With respect to our assumptions, our view on freight rates has softened since our August guidance, while our assumptions about operated capacity, carried volume, and also bunker rates remain unchanged.

Before we open the call to questions, just a few more comments on the market. The outlook for container shipping remains cautious as growth in supply is expected to outpace the growth in demand in the foreseeable future.

The orderbook has continued to grow and now stands at 31%. While the growth in supply is expected to slow down in 2026 when we compare to 2025, deliveries are projected to surge again in 2027 to more than 3 million TEUs of capacity, exceeding the record set in 2024.

There are nevertheless mitigating factors to consider, even if their impact may not be immediate. First, vessel scrapping has been minimal over the past five years, and this trend cannot last forever, and at some point, vessel depletions will increase.

Second, the industry's decarbonization agenda: carriers will move forward to meet their own emission targets and expectations from customers to offer greener shipping solutions, even if the regulatory framework has met a roadblock. These efforts may also accelerate scrapping of older vessels, which will become increasingly less economically viable, especially in comparison with the significant newbuild deliveries in the post-COVID era.

On the other side of this supply-demand equation, global container volume is forecasted to grow by about 4% this year, largely driven by robust Chinese exports. However, the question is whether this growth is sustainable into 2026.

It's also important to note that the increase in Chinese exports has not been uniform, as US imports from China were negatively affected by the trade tensions between the two countries. Looking into 2026, it remains to be seen whether the trade agreement announced earlier this month will lead to a recovery in cargo flow on this trade lane.

The supply-demand imbalance in 2026 will likely be exacerbated by the industry's return to Suez Canal, which will, after a period of adjustment, significantly increase effective capacity. As Eli mentioned, the reopening of Suez offers some benefits, allowing for improved fleet efficiency and operational cost savings, but it will also most likely add pressure to freight rates.

On that note, we will open the call to questions. Thank you.

Operator

At this time, I would like to remind everyone, in order to ask a question, press * then the number 1 on your telephone keypad. We will pause for just a moment to compile the Q&A roster.

Your first question comes from the line of Omar Nokta with Jefferies. Your line is open.

Omar Nokta

Thank you. Hi, Eli and Xavier.

Really good commentary. Lots, I think, to discuss.

I have a few questions, but just maybe first off, just on ZIM and maybe just the broader governance side of things, can you give a comment on obviously the market chatter regarding a management buyout? Is that something still being explored?

Related to that, how should we be thinking about the changes to the board composition you disclosed yesterday? I recognize a lot of this is sensitive, but is there anything you can share?

Eli Glickman

Hi, Omar. First, the board is manage the process of board member.

Two of the board member decided to resign, as such, the board has chosen two new highly professional board member that meet the requirement, and we have full scale of eight board member in the company. What is the next question, please?

Omar Nokta

Just in terms of, I guess, the broader management buyout potential, if that's something that's still being explored.

Eli Glickman

For this, we have no comment. If there's going to be comment, for sure, the board will decide when and how, and no comment for this question.

Omar Nokta

Understood. Thank you.

Then just wanted to ask about the Red Sea. I think you made some very interesting comments on that and wanted to ask in terms of how you're viewing a return.

I know you're in the early planning stages and the process of that. I guess for ZIM, the Asia-Europe routes had not been really a major focus.

Do you see this shifting as a Red Sea return or at least what you're evaluating? Is this an opportunity for you to grab market share and build a presence that you haven't had before in that leg?

Eli Glickman

The answer is yes. We are actually waiting for the insurance company to approve our returning to the Red Sea, Suez Canal, Bab-el-Mandeb, and we're looking forward to go for shorter trade than the Cape of Good Hope as fast as we can.

Omar Nokta

All right. Thank you.

Then just a final one and I'll pass it over. Xavier, you were kind of highlighting the ships you've returned this year.

We can see the costs coming down as a result of that. Are you able to give any quantification or some expectations on, say, 2026, how you think costs would look relative to what they've averaged this year?

Xavier Destriau

Look, I think from a vessel fleet profile perspective, depending, of course, as to what 2026 will look like from a rate dynamic perspective, but maybe they are risky in this respect, it is likely that we will return and continue to return vessels that are coming up for renewal and focusing on, at the end of the day, continue to operate the larger ship, the more efficient tonnage, the newer and greener capacity that we have received over the course of the past couple of years. Today, I think 2025 was clearly a downward trend in terms of operated tonnage.

We started the year at around 780,000 TEUs. We say that today, we're at 710,000 TEUs, and we need to acknowledge that the charter market is still to date elevated, it's expensive to recharter tonnage at a time when the revenue per TEU carried is under pressure.

I think for as long as this situation continues, it is more likely than not that we will redeliver the vessels that come up for renewal as opposed to trying to recharter them.

Omar Nokta

Got it. Okay.

Thank you, Xavier, and thank you, Eli. I'll turn it over.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Marco Lemitte with Barclays. Your line is open.

Marco Lemitte

Hello. Thank you very much for taking my question.

My first question is on the dividend. The implied Q4 for your guidance implies that the net income in Q4 will be negative, and given the outlook you're providing, probably we're going to have negative net income for a few quarters at least.

Can you just remind us what is your dividend policy? As long as the net income is negative on a quarterly basis means that you won't pay dividends.

This is, let's say, maybe the last divi for a while. Second question, on the Red Sea reopening, you've been very helpful on giving your view, but if we want to dig out a little bit more in how much visibility you've got on timing of the Red Sea, have you got any strong conviction or visibility?

I don't know, have you been discussing with authorities or other companies? What is the kind of visibility you've got there?

A third question is a bit more technical. You haven't changed the upper end of the EBITDA guidance, but you have reduced the upper end of the EBIT guidance.

Why is that? Sorry to stick another one, but when we think about 2025, clearly there have been issues with the US ports and Asian ports, China ports in Q4 probably.

Is the China port fee included in your Q4 guidance? Are you able to estimate how much you've got in terms of one-off this year that are not recurring next year from all the issues with the US and Chinese ports?

Thank you.

Eli Glickman

I will begin with the first two questions, and then Xavier will go. Since the IPO, as for the dividend, we distributed about $5.7 billion.

The last two years, more than $1 billion, and this is more than 25 times the amount we raised in the IPO in January '21. ZIM dividend policy is distributed 30% per quarter from the net profit, and once a year in the end of the year, this come in March, with a catch-up up to 50% of the net profit of the year.

As for your next question about the next quarter, we haven't published results yet, but hopefully this quarter will be profitable as well, we have the policy. I just want to mention here that the board has the ability or can decide on special dividend, as we did two times two special dividends, first one on September 2021, $2 per share, and then again in December 2024.

The board has the authority on top of the policy to decide on special dividend, and this is his authority. I cannot speak for the board.

I believe in the end of the next quarter, the board will take decision, or anytime it can decide and take a decision on special dividend. As for the Red Sea, we, according to the announcement of the Houthis and the Egyptian authorities, as I said before to Omar Nokta, willing to go as fast as we can to change the direction of vessel to go through Bab-el-Mandeb and Suez Canal.

According to our policy, and this is our responsibility, first, we have to have approval by shipowner and the insurance company, and this is what we're going to do. Bottom line, as soon as we can, we'll go through Suez Canal.

Xavier Destriau

Right. I will take maybe the last two questions, Marco, if you allow me.

You're correct. In terms of EBIT guidance, the original guidance range suggested a $1.25 billion difference between the two metrics, EBITDA and EBIT, $1.25 billion of depreciation and amortization.

There's a little bit of rounding going on here now. We say $1.3.

It was obviously not exactly $1.25 billion to start with. It was a little bit more than that.

Now we are tilting towards the rounding of $1.3 billion. A few things explain it.

First, the two vessels that we acquired in the first half of 2025 having some effect on the amortization in the tail of the year, in the second half of the year. Also, some equipment, and we've taken the opportunity of maybe the equipment in terms of boxes, containers, are cheap to acquire today, and it's good to take opportunity to continue to renew our fleet and maintain a very efficient fleet of equipment and let go of the older boxes.

There is also, on top of that, a bit of IT costs that got capitalized and find its way in terms of depreciation towards the end. That's the reason, a mix of quite a few small things that add up to rounding to the $1.3 billion as opposed to $1.25 billion.

With respect to the last part of your questions, now that we are in a situation and we've been in a situation since the announcement from both the US administration and the Chinese Ministry of Transport, there is no such thing as extra levy that we are subject to in any jurisdiction when we call in the US or in China.

Eli Glickman

I would like also to take the opportunity, because of a question about the dividend, I want to emphasize, to the best of my knowledge, and didn't check it thoroughly, there is no company in the history that returned in two years more than 20 times the amount that we raised in the IPO in January 2021, and by today, more than 25 times the amount that we raised, $204 net dollar in the IPO. In this, we made an history.

Maybe there's other company raise more money, but there's no other company returned such high or distribute such high dividend in such a short time.

Xavier Destriau

Please, next question.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Alexia Dogani with J.P. Morgan.

Your line is open.

Alexia Dogani

Yes, good afternoon. Thank you for taking my questions.

Just firstly on cost savings, in the previous downturn, you looked at kind of resizing the network, taking kind of some more efficiency measures. Is this something that you are currently considering, and what could be the potential scope?

Secondly, can you give us an update on your CapEx commitments in terms of cash, but also new lease inceptions? Based on your comment that you are not looking to renew charters that are expiring, how much of the asset base should we expect will kind of roll off in the next 12 to 18 months?

Then finally, are there any financial leverage parameters that you are keen to work towards, even if there's a potential downturn, mindful that most of your debt is kind of lease debt or kind of charter debt? Thank you.

Xavier Destriau

Thank you, Alexia. I'll try to take your questions in the orders that you raised them.

First, you were asking on the cost savings and resizing resizing potentially the network. Clearly, the company is always looking at trying to respond with agility to the changing market conditions.

What I think is very important, again, to reemphasize, and I think that makes a links with your that links with your with your third question, is that the vessels that we are committed to in terms of long-term charter are the most efficient one today that we operate, and so we will keep those ones, and those the ones that potentially we will let go, again depending on what the market look like, will de facto be the ones that are less efficient, older, not LNG-powered, and and more expensive. I think this is very important when we think about the capacity that we end up operating.

The the the efficient tonnage is with us for the longer term. In terms of percentage, maybe to link again with your third question, how much does it means in terms of asset base, or right-of-use asset as you indeed rightly said, when we look I don't have the exact number, but maybe to to assist here in in trying to get the picture, we in terms of total capacity today, out of the 710,000 TEU that that we operate, 70 70% of that capacity, or even even maybe closer to closer to 75% of that capacity, is either long-term chartered or owned, leaving 25% of the amount of our right-of-use asset, give or take, on our balance sheet being the one capacity that can be that can be that can be returned.

In terms of next year, 2026, this is we have, again, 200 190,000 TEUs of capacity that is chartered on what we defined short-term charter, out of which I think we said we have something like 80,000 TEUs that could be redelivered in 2026. That's a way, I think to look at the math and come up with the with what it the best assessment of the asset base that could be redelivered.

With respect to your second question, sorry, I did not end up taking them in the in the order as you raised them. The second question on the cash CapEx, we don't have much commitment in this respect, very much because we are, chartering as opposed to as opposed to anything anything else.

Very limited. The cash CapEx that we that we have is more related to sometimes equipment, but we've been, as I just mentioned in the prior comment, we've been very active in already renewing our our fleet of containers, there is limited needs, especially if we do not grow our fleet in the coming in the coming years.

I think we are set in this respect with respect with regards to to our fleet of of equipment, by the way, including the the reefers that that we operate. Very limited cash CapEx.

It's always IT and and maybe there will always be some some from an equipment perspective, but limited in in the years in the years to come.

Alexia Dogani

If you allow me to ask a follow-up question on the point about kind of chartered vessels versus owned, you helpfully put the chart around oversupply in the deck. We've clearly noticed that in the past four to five years, a lot of operators have increased the share part sorry, the part of ownership of their vessels compared to charters.

How does that kind of impact, you think, competitive dynamics and discipline in the market? Does it make it easier for people to take capacity out or harder?

Thank you.

Xavier Destriau

I think it depends on the capacity, and there is not, I think, one straight answer to that question because then, I think, we need to deep dive into the vessel segment. Whether we're talking about the large capacity vessel or the smaller one, and then also with respect to their age, and finally, with respect to their environmental footprint as well.

By and large, I think what we are seeing and what has been, I think, very much motivating the company to shift its strategy after, after after the IPO, after 2020, 2021, 2022, the COVID era days, is that we felt that we could no longer rely on the, short-term charter market to source the vessels that we needed, and hence, we had to go seek that capacity for ourselves. We we went through the avenue of partnering with vessel owners to go to shipyards, order the ships that were the ones that we needed, and agree with those vessel owners on a financing solution.

At the end of the day, that's one way of of looking at it. I think nowadays, when we look at the orderbook for for the new tonnage that is on order, it is very much carrier orders that we can see, or if it is not carriers and non-vessel operators, there is very often already at the time of placing the order a charter attached, a pre-agreement between that vessel non-vessel operator and the potential lessee that will take those vessel on charter.

We feel that we did operated the transition timely in in '21, '22, got the vessels in '23, '24, and now we feel much more confident in our ability to continue to operate the right tonnage in the years in the years to come, having less dependency on the short-term charter market.

Alexia Dogani

Thank you. Appreciate it.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of [Soli Xu?] with Citi.

Your line is open.

Chloe D

Hi. Thank you for taking my questions.

My first question is on the route diversification you have mentioned that you're adding to the Southeast Asia and Latin markets. I just wanted to ask, at the current rate environment, which looks like a sub-break-even overall, which route is more profitable for you at the moment and which is less profitable?

How quickly can you adjust those capacities as you see opportunities appear? My second question is that, obviously, you mentioned that you anticipate rates pressure in Q4 and 2026.

As we know that the new capacities are coming in the next five years, where do you see that the rates were recover, and what do you think would be that pivoting moment in your perspective? Thank you.

Thank you.

Xavier Destriau

The diversification that you are referring to, and it's true that we've been historically and we continue to be very exposed to the transpacific trade, and we are no stranger to the trend that was initiated between the two countries, China and the US, and we have taken actions already over the past years to increase our footprint in Southeast Asia to capture the cargo that is moving from China to the neighboring country in Southeast Asia, and whether those find their way in terms of countries of destination to the US or elsewhere. You're right in saying that also outside of this pure Southeast Asia market, we do see and believe that there is a growth opportunity on the Latin America trade.

Now, which one are the most profitable trade? This is a question that depends on when we ask the question.

The volatility of our environment and trade by trade, the dynamic may differ as well. We see positive signs in one trade in a given week or given period, maybe a couple of weeks, and then we see something else happening and the trend changing.

It is really much a moving environment, and I don't think we can look at it that way. I think it is also important for us when we build a position in a trade where we were maybe not such a significant player in the past, we need to do it gradually.

We need also to make sure that when we come and open a service, we guarantee to our customers the reliability that they need. We need to provide a service that is reliable.

Sometimes it means investing a little bit, irrespective of what the market dynamic does, in order to capitalize on that. I think a very good illustration of that is the success that we've had on the Pacific Southwest with our expedited service that we initiated in 2020, June 2020, and which now is highly recognized by the market as a very reliable and successful service.

We need to really look at it as well, I think, from a customer vantage point. Then to your next question, I think very difficult for me to answer when the rates dynamic will change.

Clearly, what we can see today are the threats which come most specifically with the orderbook and the capacity that is about to hit the water. We also talked about the Suez Canal reopening and emphasizing that this comes with opportunities and risks, and the risk is indeed clearly an influx of tonnage that may not be absorbed by the market, and as a result, putting additional pressure on the freight rates, on the rate environment.

In front of that, at the end of the day, the liners always have capacities to manage, at the end of the day, the capacity that is being deployed to better adapt to the demand and to the changing demand. We are clearly also leveraging the operating together in order to reduce cost at the end of the day.

We also will need to see at some point, as we mentioned, vessels being retired, aging capacity being taken out of the trade. That has yet to start, and I think when the situation changes on that front, we should start to see rates stabilize and potentially come back to higher levels.

Chloe D

Thank you.

Operator

This concludes our Q&A session for today. I will now turn the call back over to Eli Glickman for closing remarks.

Eli Glickman

Thank you. Slide number 17.

To conclude, despite continuing uncertainty in the market, our solid Q3 results reflect the agile nature of our commercial strategy, as well as the advantages of our modern, upscale fleet of cost-efficient vessels. We remain disciplined and proactive navigating headwinds with resilience and maintaining service reliability for customers while optimizing our cost base.

We continue to share our success with investors, and declare a dividend of 31 cents per share, or a total of $37 million, consistent with our dividend policy and capital allocation priorities. Looking ahead, the fourth quarter is trending weaker than originally projected.

However, based on our strong performance year to date, we've increased the midpoints of our 2025 guidance ranges. Overall, we are confident, even against the backdrop of highly volatile rate environment, that our differentiated strategy and enhanced industry position will drive sustainable growth over the long term.

I would like to thank ZIM employees around the globe for their professionalism and the dedication, as well as our customers and shareholders for their continuous trust and support. We look forward to sharing our continued progress with you all.

Thank you very much.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, that concludes today's call. Thank you all for joining.

You may now disconnect.