Operator
Ladies and gentlemen, good day and welcome to the Container Corporation of India Limited Q3 FY26 earnings conference call hosted by DAM Capital Advisors Limited. As a reminder, all participant lines will be in the listen-only mode, and there will be an opportunity for you to ask questions after the presentation concludes.
Should you need assistance during the conference call, please signal an operator by pressing star then zero on your touch-tone phone. Please note that this conference is being recorded.
I now hand the conference over to Mr. Kunal Shah from DAM Capital.
Thank you, and over to you, sir.
Kunal Shah
Hi, everyone. Welcome to the 3Q FY26 earnings call of Container Corporation of India.
We have the management being represented by Mr. Sanjay Swarup, Chairman and Managing Director.
At this point, I would like to hand over the call to the management for their opening remarks, post which we can take up the Q&A. Thanks, and over to you, sir.
Sanjay Swarup
Good morning to all of you. I am Sanjay Swarup, CMD of Container Corporation.
I am joined by my directors: Shri Ajit Kumar Panda, Director (Projects & Services); Mr. Vijay Kumar Singh, Director (International Marketing & Operations); Mr.
Mohammad Azhar Shams, Director (Domestic); and Mr. Harish Chandra, Principal Executive Director (Finance), Company Secretary and CFO.
I would like to give some opening remarks. After that, we can go for question-answer session.
At the outset, I am glad to announce that Board of Directors have approved a dividend of Rs. 3.40 on share of Rs.
5 par value, that is 68%, in its meeting concluded yesterday. Till now, the total dividend for this FY that has been given to shareholders is Rs.
7.60, which is 152%. Second point is the throughput.
Throughput, we have achieved a throughput of 4.15 million TEUs in the period ending December 2025, which is ever highest in company's history. Throughput growth has been around 11%, in which EXIM has increased by 10% and domestic has shown a growth of 13%.
In fact, it is better than the India's international trade, merchandise growth also, in which exports have shown a growth of 2.4%, which is $330.3 billion, and imports have shown a growth of 6% at $578.6 billion for the first nine months of this financial year. Domestic, there has been a less growth as we had projected.
We had projected 20% growth, whereas we have achieved around 13%. The primary reasons for this is that we have not picked up the low-margin business in domestic.
Second is that the tank containers, which we were thinking that in Q3 we will get a good supply, but somehow it got delayed during manufacturing. Now in Q4, we are getting supply of tank containers, and domestic loading is picking up now.
There has been less demand of gunny bales also because of the disturbances in Bangladesh. As far as market share is concerned, we increased our market share at JNPT by 186 basis points, and at Pipavav port by 93 basis points, and Mundra, our market share went down by 232 basis points.
The good thing is that we increased the market share without sacrificing our margins. Rail freight margin increased by around 200 basis points from 25.7% to 27.7%, and operating margin also increased by around 100 basis points from 30.2% to 31.2%.
Operating income has shown a good growth of 3.3%. Profit before depreciation has shown a growth of 1.8% for the period ending.
If we see for the Q3, the profit before depreciation has increased by 7.6%. There has been a flattish performance of PAT due to the depreciation, which was high by around 68 crores in this quarter.
The reason for that is because in last financial year, we had done some correction for life of wagons. Because of that, the depreciation was less in last financial year.
That has been now at par, and because of that effect, we are seeing a dip in PAT, whereas profit before depreciation is showing a very healthy growth. Reason for less PAT are some other reasons are also there, like they are subdued demand in domestic streams, and second is the decrease in EXIM lead by 2% due to less demand in North India.
Depreciation, I already explained to you. LLF also in this quarter, LLF is showing increase of around 23%, and which is in line with the total LLF that we pay to Railways, around 450 crore rupees every year.
Last year, there were some reversals, because of that, the LLF in this quarter was 89 crores. It is now in this financial year, it is corrected to 110.7 crores, which is the actual LLF we will be paying to Railways.
Now, there has been growth in double-stack rakes also, growth of 7% in this financial year till now, from 4,608 rakes to 4,933 rakes, which is a quite a healthy growth. Reduction in empty running of rakes is also quite substantial.
In EXIM, it is 21%, domestic, it is 8.5%, total 12%. Both these factors, growth in double stack, reduction in empty rakes, have made a positive contribution to the company's bottom line.
We are continuously upgrading our infrastructure, as I've been telling in previous calls also. In this financial year till now, we have commissioned 31 high-speed rakes, which is also a all-time high for the company.
Now we are having a robust fleet of 413 rakes in our kitty. We have procured around 3,800 containers in this financial year till now, total container fleet stands at around 57,000 containers of our own ownership.
Seeing the robust demand in the market, which I will be just telling you a short while from now, the Board of Directors have yesterday enhanced the capex budget for this financial year by 23%, from 860 crore rupees to 1,060 crore rupees. Till now, in this financial year, we have already spent 717 crore rupees on capex.
We are on track, and we are procuring infrastructure, building up infrastructure, seeing the robust demand in the market. Now, I would like to tell about the two streams, EXIM and domestic.
EXIM is showing excellent growth in this financial year. EXIM alone is likely to cross a turnover of Rs.
60 billion revenue, which will be all-time high for EXIM stream. It's a very handsome growth, and it is likely to increase in the coming months, which I will be explaining short while from now.
Western DFC connectivity is expected by March 2026 to JNPT. It will give a very big boost to EXIM business.
Export growth till now, we have experienced around 23% growth in aluminium ingots, 22% growth in meat, 14% growth in auto parts, and very good growth in rapeseed meal and rice. Imports also we have experienced a growth of four times growth in glass items, which are used in solar panel, 69% growth in raw cotton, 29% growth in auto parts, 22% growth in furnitures.
We have rolled out a liberalized policy for cabotage movement and DPD, and this is likely to make a very big contribution in volumes in the coming months. Already, we are seeing the impact in EXIM.
There is a healthy growth of 7.5% on pan-India basis in imports, out of which JNPT has shown a growth of 17%, Mundra has shown a growth of 8.4% for us, Chennai has shown a growth of 14%, and Visakhapatnam has shown a growth of 28%. There is a healthy growth of 7% in exports also for CONCOR in this financial year.
Now, we come to domestic. In domestic, there is a bulk cement and tank containers, which is likely to drive growth in the coming months in a big way.
Then talks are in advanced stage with M/s Petronet Limited for ethane-propane loading on long-term basis, a long-term agreement we are going to sign with this company at Dahej, loading at Dahej. Also talks are in advanced stage with GAIL, Gas Authority, for their PTA business from Mangalore Port.
End-to-end logistics train that we are running from Delhi to Calcutta via Agra and Kanpur, that has been a huge success, and we are getting very good business on this end-to-end train also. At this juncture, I would like to keep my guidance for 13%, that is 10% EXIM, 20% domestic, unchanged.
We are confident that by the end of financial year, we will be able to meet this guidance. Now, I would like to give a brief snapshot what are the future of CONCOR in the next three years going forward.
The EXIM, which will be as per our calculations and predictions, by FY29, every year, EXIM will show growth of more than 15% per annum. For three years, we can see back-to-back growth of 15%, and primary drivers will be Western DFC by March 2026.
Second is assured transit time trains that we will be running between JNPA and NCR on our mega terminal at Dadri and at Khatuwas. Next is the double stacks.
We will be bringing, I am glad to announce you that we will be bringing Jodhpur on double-stack map very soon in this financial year only. We are going to commission a new terminal from where we will be running double-stack trains between Jodhpur and ports.
Second is Ahmedabad also. We are going to bring double-stack business very soon.
At present, our terminal is not able to handle double stack, because of that, we are not able to get that much business. Once a new terminal we are developing near Sanand, in which will be capable of handling double-stack rakes, and it will be also on DFC.
That will also give big boost to our traffic at Ahmedabad. We have already commissioned a few terminals at Mandalgadh, Jajpur, Kadakola, from which we are expecting good traffic in the coming three years.
Then next is the Nepal traffic that we are catering from our facility at Visakhapatnam, and Calcutta also. Nepal traffic we are running at present to Birgunj.
Now very soon, we will be starting at Raxaul and Biratnagar also. This will give further boost to our EXIM business as well as domestic business till FY29.
We are having a tie-up, five years contracts, with all major shipping lines like Maersk, MSC, CMA CGM, Hapag-Lloyd, etc. These are also going to positively contribute.
Next big thing is the shipping sector in which already we have made our presence felt in Middle East. We have finalized a contract with another agency for Far East, so Far East also we will be starting the services.
Already one container we have sent. Middle East plus Far East, the short voyages we will see for a few years, and then we will go for longer voyages.
These will be the major contributors for more than 15% growth in EXIM. Now let me come to domestic.
Domestic, there is a huge potential, untapped market is there, and we are expecting more than 20% growth every year for the next three years, in which bulk cement and tank containers will be a primary contributor. We have already signed agreement with UltraTech, with Adani, with My Home Cement, with JK, and with other parties, and they are expected to give very good business to us in bulk cement.
We have also tied up with big corporate customers like Vedanta, Jindal, Tata, GAIL, Petronet already I have told you. All these factors will give very good growth in domestic of more than 20% for next three years.
By FY29, I am projecting a top line of Rs. 15,000 crore rupees for the company, which is quite achievable, and 10 million TEUs handling throughput and 75 million tonnes of cargo, containerized cargo.
These three projections I am making for FY29. Board of Directors has appreciated these projections, and that was the reason for enhancing the capital budget so that we are having equipments with us to meet these targets.
Let me assure you, capex will be around the same lines for next three years also. We are in expansion mode because there is lot of demand in the market, and we are going to tap all the demand and bring more and more business to our company.
These were my opening remarks. Now we can start the question-answer session.
Operator
Thank you very much. We will now begin the question-and-answer session.
Anyone who wishes to ask a question may press star and one on their touch-tone telephone. If you wish to remove yourself from the question queue, you may press star and two.
Participants are requested to use handsets while asking a question. Ladies and gentlemen, we will wait for a moment while the question queue assembles.
The first question is from the line of Pulkit Patni from Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.
Pulkit Patni
Sir, my question is, you've been giving guidance on volumes and, as you rightly highlighted, you're not too far from that. On the revenue front, we are significantly lower.
We barely do mid-single-digit revenue this year based on how we are tracking. Just wanted to understand what's really happening on realization, because it's not only domestic, but even on the EXIM side, our realizations have been fairly muted this year.
In your expectation, because you're guiding for a pretty robust number even for the next three years, what is the assumption of realization increase that you have taken?
Sanjay Swarup
See, EXIM, realization is not commensurate with physical. The reason is you are seeing the throughput growth, and you are correlating it with the revenue growth.
Actually, you should see originating numbers for that purpose. Second thing is tonnage is not the correct parameter for correlating with revenue.
Actually, it is NTKM, net tonne kilometres, that is the basic parameter you should be focusing, because the revenue is a function of two things: tonnage and distance, lead. If you see tonnage increases, but lead comes down, so that has an effect on NTKM.
Correct parameter to correlate loadings with revenue will be NTKM in my opinion. As I already told in my opening remarks, the lead of EXIM has gone down by 2% due to less demand in North India.
That is a primary contributor for less realization, as you call. As far as we are concerned, we got a good realization in EXIM as compared to last year.
It is not commensurate with the physical volume, that reason already I told you. Now, for the next three years top line of 15,000 crore that I have told is quite achievable because when DFC comes, we are quite optimistic that we will be able to run assured transit train on that, which will be bringing long lead traffic because it is 1,500 kilometres from NCR to JNPA, and it will give a good revenue also.
Light cargo, which is at present moving by road, it will come on rail because there will be transit assurance, there will be cost benefits. The growth that we will be getting will be excellent in terms of physical volumes as well as revenue.
Pulkit Patni
Sir, can I take the liberty of asking one more question?
Sanjay Swarup
Sure.
Pulkit Patni
Yeah. Sir, if I look at the last three years, while I understand the full connection of DFC to JNPT has been completed and the impact will come through, but few ports in Gujarat—Mundra, Pipavav—have been connected to DFC for a while now.
The impact of that have not really reflected. If you could just help us sort of solve this a little bit.
What is the reason that just JNPT connection would be such a big game changer for CONCOR in terms of volume?
Sanjay Swarup
Now, the thing is that Gujarat ports like Mundra and Pipavav, which have been connected, they are actually, strictly speaking, not on DFC. They are connected till Palanpur.
There is a station, DFC is there, after that there is a feeder route for Mundra and Pipavav. Feeder route actually is not a DFC, it's a Indian Railways route.
While the connection with JNPA is different. JNPA, DFC will be going up to JNPA.
Only freight trains, fast moving container trains will be moving on this circuit. Whereas on that route, goods train, passenger train, everything moves on feeder route because it is Indian Railways route.
That is a difference. Second thing is that, which is very important for you to understand, is that 25-tonne axle load wagon, that is high capacity wagons that we are procuring, BLCS and BLSS, these are the two type of wagons which are having a 25-tonne axle load, that means they can carry a payload of 80 tonnes.
That cannot move on Indian Railways route, and it cannot have a payload of 80 tonnes. That restriction is there.
Whereas on DFC, a 80-tonne payload can move. It will improve the double stacking.
If I can carry more load on that wagon on DFC, because JNPA is pure DFC, there is no feeder route. That advantage will be the second advantage.
These two advantage, we will see a distinct shift of traffic from road to rail.
Pulkit Patni
Okay. Sir, lastly, which quarter should we see the impact of DFC come through for us?
Sanjay Swarup
It will be starting from next financial year. I am not an astrologer, I cannot predict that which quarter you will see the impact, but definitely from Q1 of next FY, we should start seeing some difference.
Pulkit Patni
Fair point. Thank you so much for taking those questions.
Sanjay Swarup
Thank you.
Operator
Thank you. The next question is from the line of Dheman Shah from Equirus Securities.
Please go ahead.
Jainam Shah
Thanks for the opportunity. Also, just wanted one clarification.
The volume growth guidance that we have given for this five years timeline, four year timeline, is it on the handling part or is it on the originating part? See,
Sanjay Swarup
I have given only for three years
Jainam Shah
time.
Sanjay Swarup
If you have listened carefully, first is 10 million TEUs, which is on handling throughput. Second is 75 million tonnes, which is on cargo movement, containerized cargo.
Third is our Rs. 15,000 crores, which is on top line of revenue.
Jainam Shah
Got it, sir. If you can just provide me the originating volume for this particular quarter?
Sanjay Swarup
For this particular quarter, Q3?
Jainam Shah
For EXIM and domestic.
Sanjay Swarup
Okay. Originating volume for this quarter is EXIM, it is 564,324 TEUs.
Domestic, 120,817 TEUs. Total is 685,141 TEUs.
Jainam Shah
Sir, just wanted to understand one thing. As you are highlighting clearly that we should be looking at originating volume and net tonne kilometres for revenue part and all those things, why we are not publishing the originating kilometres in the press release after the quarter ends, and why we are only focusing on the handling volumes?
Because whenever we are asking the question on the realization, the first point is always on that we should be looking at the originating volume. Then why we are shying away in giving the originating volume growth?
Of course, on originating volume growth, what could be the market share that we have witnessed over nine months and for this particular quarter?
Sanjay Swarup
I have noted your request. We will see.
Jainam Shah
Yeah. Sir, what could be the market share for this particular quarter and for the nine months at the all-India level?
Sanjay Swarup
I don't have market share with me right now for this particular quarter. For nine-month period, I can give you the market share.
For EXIM, it is 53.8%, and domestic, it is 55.88%. Total is 54.35%.
Jainam Shah
What could be the comparison for last nine months?
Sanjay Swarup
Last financial year?
Jainam Shah
Nine months of FY25. Nine months of FY25.
Sanjay Swarup
Yes. EXIM, it is 55.28%.
Domestic, 58.03%. Total is 56.05%.
Jainam Shah
Yeah. Sir, my question would be on this, that of course we are near to our target in terms of EXIM volume guidance.
We are a little bit away from our domestic volume guidance, and there has been reasons. Why we are not taking any major steps to make sure that our market share doesn't fall?
We were at 75% a few years, 10, 15 years back. Now we are at 53%, 54%.
What kind of themes which has happened over last decade which has resulted in this kind of market share dip for us? What kind of market share we are expecting with this 15 this kind of 15,000 revenue that we are expecting?
Our market share is constant in that case, we are increasing it, or we are thinking that it might reduce further from here on?
Sanjay Swarup
See, fall in market share, in every conference, I am giving you the details. Reasons are pretty obvious.
We are not picking up the low-margin business because we believe in giving good service to our customers while retaining our margins. That is the primary reason.
To arrest this decline in market share and to increase our market share, our company is taking lot of steps, like we are focusing on multi-modal logistics parks, we are focusing on first-mile, last-mile transportation. The projection that I have given for FY29, definitely it is going to increase our market share and take it between 65% to 70%.
Jainam Shah
Got it, sir. Sir, if the comment of us is that we are not taking low-margin contracts and everything, but if you see our margin pre-COVID, it used to be 25%, 26% excluding, you can say, other income part.
Whereas as of now, it is ranging in between 20% and 22%. Of course, there has been impact of LLF.
Apart from that, despite having Western DFC getting operational to a larger extent, we are doing double stacking on all these parts, we are doing so much of capex, our margin has really not improved. Of course, our revenue growth has been slow.
On the margin part also, if you are not taking low-margin contract, there has to be some, you can say, compensatory impact on the margin, but which has not been reflective over last so many quarters.
Sanjay Swarup
See, if you compare pre-COVID and because there was a change in LLF payment to Railways,
Jainam Shah
that formula you see. Excluding LLF also, there has been a bit of a dip in the margin.
Sanjay Swarup
Yes. Four times it increased from 100 crores to 400 crores.
As far as the EBITDA margins are concerned, I have the numbers with me. For Q3 of this financial year, we have achieved EBITDA margin of Rs.
601 crores if you take other income also, which is 25.1%. Last Q3, last financial year, it was 24.2%.
There has been a improvement of around 100 basis points. I don't know from where you're getting the numbers.
There is a improvement of margin. Similarly, for the period ending this December, we are having a margin of 1,785.8 crore rupees, which is 25.2%.
Last financial year, it was Rs. 1,753.7 crores, which is 25.4%.
Percent-wise, it is exactly the same, whereas money-wise, it has increased. In fact, we have improved our margins.
You please correct your numbers. Basically,
Jainam Shah
sir, from the analyst point of view, we don't take other income into the margin part. If we exclude other income, our margin was 22.2%, whereas it's 22%.
If we are not taking No,
Sanjay Swarup
I will request you to discuss it separately.
Jainam Shah
Sure.
Sanjay Swarup
Okay. Thank you.
Operator
Thank you. The next question is from the line of Sumit Kishore from Axis Securities.
Please go ahead.
Sumit Kishore
Thanks for the opportunity. Sir, we have been talking about bulk cement in tank containers for quite some time now.
What is the total number of tank containers that we have presently? What do you expect by the end of the financial year?
If you were to utilize those tank containers reasonably well, what kind of volumes would you be able to handle in a quarter? That's my first question.
Sanjay Swarup
See, now we have as of now, 300 tank containers of our own ownership. Apart from that, one of our customer has also procured 200 tank containers for which we have signed an agreement and he is using our services.
If we add these two numbers, 500 tank containers are already there in our circuit of bulk cement by tank containers. Now, we are getting 100 containers, around one rake every month.
We expect that by the end of financial year, one rake in February, one rake in March, 200 more containers we will get. After that, every month we will be getting 100 containers.
It depends on the actually lead. The lead is between 700 to 1,000 kilometres from originating point to destination point.
Turnaround we are now improving with every movement because it's a new product, in destuffing at some places, some time is being taken. We are in touch with our customers, we are improving that, and we hope that very good impact will be visible in Q1 of next financial year.
Sumit Kishore
If you quantify this, let us say you have four rakes also, and those rakes make, let us say for argument's sake, 10 trips. We are still talking about what, 4 into 10 into some 200, 300 containers.
That would be how much as a percentage of your existing quarterly volumes in domestic? Is it going to make a meaningful difference when you're doing already something like 350,000 plus TEUs in a quarter in domestic?
Sanjay Swarup
At this moment of time, I don't have the numbers with me. I will provide you later on.
Sumit Kishore
Sure. Sir, my second question is, you mentioned in response to the first question that a net tonne kilometre would be the right parameter.
Could you provide us some sense of what have you done in the nine-month FY26 period in net tonne kilometre terms in EXIM and domestic? Please provide this on a recurring basis so that we can analyze your company properly.
Sanjay Swarup
I have noted your request. We will definitely act on that.
Sumit Kishore
Last question is that of the 15% and you've given a guidance of 20% on full year for domestic, the first nine months is 13%. What is so extraordinary that is going to happen in the fourth quarter that you will get to 20% growth, which will imply a very high growth for the fourth quarter?
Finally on volumes, on the 15% guidance for EXIM and 20% for domestic over the next three years, for EXIM in particular, how much is the dividend you're expecting because of DFC commissioning? If you were to segregate the benefit of DFC in that 15% CAGR, I would like to understand how much is going to be just DFC commissioning up to JNPT.
Thank you.
Sanjay Swarup
See, as far as your first question is concerned, in domestic, we are getting good loading now in all the factors, like cement is there, and tiles are there, and other merchandise is there. Based on that, we are quite optimistic of achieving the target that we gave at the start of financial year.
Now as far as the EXIM 15 more than 15% growth is there, we have the numbers with us for different parameters that I told you, but at this stage we cannot disclose those numbers to you.
Sumit Kishore
Sure. Thank you, and wish you all the best.
Operator
Thank you. A reminder to all participants, you may press star and one to ask a question.
The next question is from the line of Priyankar Biswas from JM Financial. Please go ahead.
Priyankar Biswas
Thanks, sir, for the opportunity. Am I audible?
Hello.
Sanjay Swarup
Yes, yes. You are audible.
Priyankar Biswas
Yes, thanks. Thank you.
Sir, what I would like to ask more about the long-term guidance. You said 10 million TEUs on handling.
This what we should expect in let's say FY29. Now can we get a similar assessment in that should we assume that the originating also grows at the same level or should we assume the originating grows at a lower level?
What is your underlying assumption for it?
Sanjay Swarup
See, originating definitely will grow, then only we will get more handling volumes. Originating will grow.
No, at the same levels or would it be somewhere lower or higher? Trying to assess that.
It will be on the similar lines, of course.
Priyankar Biswas
Okay. Sir, similarly, I like the leads, because as you rightly said, NTKM should be the parameter we should watch at.
In that what you are billing, is there a lead improvement because let's say we are connecting to JNPT and consequently the leads improve? Or are we saying this 150 billion rupees revenue based on a lead which is similar to today's level?
Trying to assess that as well.
Sanjay Swarup
See, definitely there will be improvement in lead because JNPT, as I mentioned in my earlier answer, is 1,500 kilometres from NCR to JNPT. EXIM, the average lead in this financial year till now has been 693 kilometres.
If we get lot of business of 1,500 kilometres, definitely it will have a positive impact on lead. Lead will definitely improve.
Priyankar Biswas
Can the lead be something like a 800 kilometres odd or something based on let's say the increased JNPT, that is how let's say the mix improves? Would it be a right assessment?
Sanjay Swarup
I will not be making any speculation at this moment. We all will be present, we can see what is the lead that we achieve.
It will gradually increase.
Priyankar Biswas
Sir, if I can just squeeze one more question in. While you gave the movement of market shares in the key ports that is there, would you kindly share the rail coefficient in each of these ports and what it was, let's say, for the nine-months period last year?
That will help.
Sanjay Swarup
Yes, I can tell you for three ports. JNPT, it is 15.57% in this FY.
Last year, it was 15.7%. In Mundra Port, last year, it was 23.9%, this year, it is 24.5%.
In Pipavav Port, last year, it was 57.7%, this year, it is 57%. Rail coefficient.
Priyankar Biswas
Sir, would you be able to provide since you gave the market share movements, what it would be in absolute terms like let's say JNPT, Mundra, and Pipavav? That's my last question.
Sanjay Swarup
JNPT, last year, it was 58% market share of CONCOR, this year, it is 60%. Mundra, last year, it was 38%, this year, it is 36%.
Pipavav, last year, it was 48%, this year, it is 49%.
Priyankar Biswas
Thank you so much, sir. Wish you all the best.
Sanjay Swarup
Thank you.
Operator
Thank you. The next question is from the line of Mukesh Saraf from Avendus Spark.
Please go ahead.
Mukesh Saraf
Yes, sir. Thank you for the opportunity.
My first question is on the JNPT connectivity of DFC. Currently, could you give us some sense on the opportunity size say either in tonnage or in number of containers or number of container equivalents basically, on the shipment that's happening by road, this light cargo that you mentioned, between say the northern hinterland and JNPT, which eventually can shift to rail?
Sanjay Swarup
See, that is a market intelligence information that I cannot share on this platform.
Mukesh Saraf
Just the opportunity size, sir. The reason I'm asking this question is there was an understanding that a lot of the cargo is already moved to the ports in Gujarat.
Secondly, a lot of JNPT what it's catering to now is more Central India and maybe Andhra Pradesh, that kind of a market. Just trying to assess, is there a large market from the northern hinterland to JNPT which is moving by road?
Because all these years, this is what we've been understanding that cargo is already shifted to other ports.
Sanjay Swarup
See, whatever you have mentioned is partially correct. It has shifted.
It has shifted, but now it can come back also if there is efficiency in movement. Shipping is a ever-changing process.
If you see, suppose a ship calls at JNPT first and five days three days it goes to Mundra, and in those three days, the cargo already comes to NCR. As a consignee, what will you prefer?
What will be your preference?
Mukesh Saraf
Won't
Sanjay Swarup
you prefer that before the ship goes to Mundra, my container comes to my factory? If those efficiencies are available, lot of cargo can shift back to JNPT.
I am telling you a situation which can happen.
Mukesh Saraf
Sure. Sure.
Got it. Also, we have Varnama as a large transshipment hub where we're taking a lot of the double-stacking cargo as close as possible to JNPT.
In some form, aren't we already catering to that possible demand that will come up because of the DFC connectivity?
Sanjay Swarup
See, Varnama, we started giving facility of double stack to our NCR customers, but Varnama we cannot run assured transit time train. Assured transit time train we can run only to JNPT, because double stacking and then changing it to single stack, assured transit we cannot give to our customers.
That we can give only if we have direct connectivity to JNPT.
Mukesh Saraf
Got it. Got it.
Just lastly, because you had kind of outlined the capex plan going up, would you be able to give some break up of how much on rolling stock and how much on land for MMLPs?
Sanjay Swarup
See, why do you want that? We don't give such information.
Mukesh Saraf
Just help us understand the gestation period, sir. If there's a lot of investment on land, probably the benefits of that would be slightly back-ended.
Just wanted to understand that.
Sanjay Swarup
See, infrastructure projects are long gestation period project. You cannot expect, suppose I created MMLP today, from tomorrow I will start getting profits.
It takes some time. Normally, we share such information.
Right.
Mukesh Saraf
Got it. Got it.
Thank you. Thanks a lot for this.
I'll get back in the queue.
Operator
Thank you. A reminder to all participants, you may press star and one to ask a question.
The next question is from the line of Sandesh Shetty from HSBC. Please go ahead.
Sandesh Shetty
Hello. Am I audible?
Operator
Yes.
Sanjay Swarup
Yes, please.
Sandesh Shetty
Hello. Good afternoon, sir.
Sir, my first question is on the growth guidance that you have given. Can you outline the key factors driving both EXIM and domestic?
That would be first question.
Sanjay Swarup
See, Mr. Shetty, already I told in detail the growth drivers when I was mentioning the guidance.
For your benefit, I can repeat it.
Sandesh Shetty
Thank you, sir.
Sanjay Swarup
For EXIM, growth driving factors will be the commissioning of Western DFC up to JNPT by March 2026, and assured transit time train services between JNPA and NCR that we will be running. Third is the double-stack trains to Jodhpur.
We will bringing Jodhpur on double-stack map in this financial year only. Fourth is double-stack trains to Ahmedabad area, where we are commissioning a terminal which will be able to handle double-stack trains.
Next is the very good traffic we are hoping from our new terminals: Jajpur, Kadakola, and Mandalgadh, and Paradip also, which we have commissioned recently. We have got customs notification for few of them, we will get good EXIM business at these terminals.
Then there is a very good potential for Nepal traffic that we will be getting, that already we are getting a good business for Nepal from Visakhapatnam and some from Kolkata. We are going to start facility at Raxaul very soon, and Biratnagar also.
Customs has issued a notification, and we are going to generate good business for Nepal at all the three places. Then I told that we are having a tie-up with all major shipping lines like MSC, Maersk, CMA, Hapag-Lloyd, etc.
Then shipping sector, where already we have started sending our containers to Middle East, and Far East also very soon we are going to start. We will consolidate these two sectors, which are going to give us good business, good volumes, and good profit also.
These are the main factors which will drive the growth in EXIM. As far as domestic is concerned, the primary will be the bulk cement and tank containers, for which we have already signed agreement with big players like UltraTech Cement, Adani Cement, My Home Cement, and JK, apart from few others.
Then we have tied up with big corporate customers like Vedanta, Jindal, Tata, and Gas Authority and Petronet, we are going to sign agreements. These will be the additional growth drivers, and normal business will continue.
All these factors will give a growth of more than 20% in domestic. I hope you are satisfied.
Sandesh Shetty
Yes. Yes, thank you, sir, for the detailed answer.
Sir, my second and last question is, sir, even though there is improvement in EBITDA margin, if we see the segmental margins, there has been decline both in EXIM and domestic. Is it just attributed to depreciation or is there some other factor as well?
That would be my last question. Thank you.
Sanjay Swarup
Actually primary reason is depreciation only. One more thing is the land license fee that I mentioned in my opening remarks.
In previous years, we had done some reversals and some adjustments. Whatever land license fee we have shown this year is actual.
Normally, you may be observing that we pay around 450 crore rupees to Railways. Up to Q3, already we have paid 327 crores, which is in line with those calculations.
Sandesh Shetty
Thank you, sir.
Sanjay Swarup
Thank you.
Operator
Thank you. The next question is from the line of Ankita Shah from Elara Capital.
Please go ahead.
Ankita Shah
Hi, thank you for the opportunity. Sir, this is on the guidance.
Assume a risk of DFC getting delayed further, then in that scenario, how much the growth guidance of 15% growth on the EXIM side and similarly on growth on the domestic side, how much would that get lower in case if there is further delay in DFC that could happen? That's the contingency risk that I was looking at.
Sanjay Swarup
See, actually I have spoken to very senior officers of DFC myself now, and they have assured me maybe before 31st March, maybe by February they will be able to commission connection to JNPA. I have no reasons to disbelieve that it will be extended beyond 31st March.
I am very, very confident, and it will be a pleasant surprise to us also and to the trade also that DFC is commissioned before 31st March.
Ankita Shah
Okay. The increase in capex number that you've mentioned from 860 to 1,000 crores, this is for FY26 or from '27 onwards?
Sanjay Swarup
It is for FY26 that BOD has yesterday revised by 23% increase they have approved. For FY27, I will be telling about capex in my conference call at the end of Q4 results.
Ankita Shah
What is this incremental amount for? Going towards
Sanjay Swarup
Primarily for containers and rolling stock.
Ankita Shah
Okay. Sir, we were also planning increase in terminals.
I think 10 new terminals we were planning to add this year. Are we on track for that?
Sanjay Swarup
Yes. We are on track.
Already we have commissioned two terminals in this financial year, and more terminals we are going to commission, and they are in advanced stage. We are quite on track.
Ankita Shah
Okay. This 10 will come over a period of time, not in FY26 itself?
Sanjay Swarup
Yes. They will come over a period of time.
Not all in FY26.
Ankita Shah
Okay. Theek hai, sir.
Okay.
Sanjay Swarup
Thank you.
Operator
Thank you. A reminder to all participants, you may press star and one to ask a question.
As there are no further questions from the participants, I now hand the conference over to the management for closing comments. Over to you, sir.
Sanjay Swarup
I don't have much to tell. Already I have told you.
The company is standing on very strong fundamentals, and we are increasing our capex spend, creating more and more infrastructure. We are quite confident that we are going to be on a very high growth path from now onwards, and we can see the results in a positive manner very soon.
Thank you.
Operator
Thank you. On behalf of DAM Capital Advisors Limited, that concludes this conference.
Thank you for joining us, and you may now disconnect your lines.
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