Operator
Ladies and gentlemen, good day and welcome to Greenply Industries Limited Q4 FY '26 earnings conference call hosted by Asian Markets Securities. As a reminder, all participant lines will be in the listen-only mode, and there will be an opportunity for you to ask questions after the presentation concludes.
Should you need assistance during this conference call, please signal an operator by pressing "*" then "0" on your touch-tone phone. Please note that this conference is being recorded.
I now hand the conference over to Mr. Karan Bhatelia from Asian Market Securities.
Thank you, and over to you, sir.
Karan Bhatelia
Morning all participants logged into the call. On behalf of Asian Markets Securities, we welcome all to Greenply's fourth quarter and FY '26 investor call.
From the management side, we have Mr. Manoj Tulsian, Joint Managing Director and CEO; Sanidhya Mittal, Joint Managing Director; and Mr.
Sanjiv, CFO. I would like to hand over this call to Manoj ji for his opening remarks, post which we can open the floor for Q&A.
Thank you, and over to you, Manoj
Sanjiv Keshri
ji. Hi.
This is Sanjiv this side. I would like to just highlight that Mr.
Manoj Tulsian is not attending the meeting and Mr. Sanidhya Mittal, the JMD of the company, is addressing today.
Thank you. Hand over to Mr.
Sanidhya Mittal.
Sanidhya Mittal
Thank you, Sanjiv ji. Thank you, Karan.
Good morning, everyone. It is a pleasure to have you all on the call today.
As we close this year on a strong and positive note, in line with our growth guidance, we are carrying that momentum forward into the current year with even greater ambition and focus on growth. We have seen a strong start to Q1 FY '27, and we remain confident on sustaining this trajectory supported by an improvement in margins.
Before providing an update on Greenply's operating and financial performance for Q4 and FY '26, I would like to address and give few updates. First, on our leadership team: as recently shared in our regulatory filings, Mr.
Manoj Tulsian has submitted his resignation as JMD and CEO of the company. Manoj ji has decided to step down from his executive responsibilities to prioritize his personal commitments.
On behalf of the board of the management and the company, I want to express our deepest appreciation for his leadership over the last 6 years. To ensure a seamless transition, we are pleased that Manoj ji will continue his association with the company in an advisory capacity.
Second, a search and seizure operation conducted by Income Tax Department at certain business premises of the company from 26th February 2026 to 2nd March 2026. As on date, no order, no notice of demand, or penalty order has been received by the company for the said proceedings.
The matter is presently at a preliminary stage, and to assess any possibility impact of the financial on statement of the group is not possible at this moment, and there is no such demand. Thirdly, during the quarter, we conducted a thorough review of our internal exposure significantly pertaining to our entity in Dubai.
In light of the prevailing geopolitical environment, which has adversely impacted the recoverability of certain assets, we have chosen to take a conservative approach. We have disclosed a total of 15.16 crore as an exceptional item representing impairments to our investment, financial guarantees, and advances to GMEL.
This one-time adjustment is a proactive measure to safeguard our financial integrity and does not impact our underlying operating cash flow or long-term growth strategy. With this, all or any potential liability on invested equity, corporate guarantees, or any types of loan advances have all been totally provided for in the books.
Now I would like to share some perspective on the ongoing geopolitical crisis and their impact on the company. As you are aware, across both our segments, we have certain degree of dependence on imported raw materials, particularly timber and chemicals.
During the early part of the quarter, the evolving geopolitical situation posed challenges in sourcing chemicals, leading to a sharp increase in prices by over 50%. Additionally, elevated fuel charges and war risk insurance premiums have created a volatile and a high-cost environment for logistics.
The impact was pronounced in the MDF segment, where chemicals constitute nearly 30% of the raw material cost. To mitigate the cost pressure and protect margins, we implemented calibrated price increases of 5% and 10% effective from April.
In the plywood segment, the impact was relatively lower, and the price revisions were in the range of 4% to 5% during the same period. Having said that, at the same time, we are actively evaluating opportunities to source chemicals domestically with the aim of reducing our reliance on imports.
While prices remain elevated, they have stabilized and not expected to rise further. We continue to remain proactive in optimizing our sourcing strategies to ensure efficiency and supply continuity.
Let me now turn our operating and financial performance for Q4 and full year of FY '26. I am happy to share that Greenply Industries has successfully delivered on its H2 FY '26 guidance, achieving double-digit year-on-year growth in both volume and value across its business segments.
In Q4 FY '26, consolidated core EBITDA margins improved to 12%, reflecting a strong expansion of 330 basis points over the previous quarter. We are proud to report our highest-ever consolidated quarterly revenue of 776.2 crores, which is a growth of 19.6% on a YoY basis.
Our consolidated core EBITDA for the quarter was 93.2 crores, with a core EBITDA margin of 12% compared to 10.5% in Q4 FY '25, an increase of 150 bps. On 12-month basis, our consolidated revenue was 2,739 crores, which was a growth of 10.1% on a YoY basis.
Our consolidated core EBITDA was 270.5 crores, which is a growth of 13.8% on a YoY basis. The core EBITDA margin was 9.9 as compared to 9.6 in 12-month FY '25.
PBT before the losses on equity accounted investee, foreign exchange gain/loss, as an adjustment to finance cost, and exceptional items is at 186 crores for 12-month FY '26, which is a 21% YoY growth as against PBT of 153 crores in 12-month FY '25. Let me now share the highlights of our individual business segments.
In the plywood segment, we have achieved volume growth of 15.6% on a YoY basis in Q4 FY '26, with a revenue of 588.5 crores, value growth of 14.6% on a YoY basis in line with the growth expectation. On the margin front, our core EBITDA margin stood at 10.4% for Q4 FY '26, an improvement of 120 basis points on a YoY basis.
On 12-month basis, we've achieved a revenue of 2,105.7 crores, which is a growth of 7.5% on a YoY basis. Our volume growth on 12-month basis is 8.3% on YoY basis.
Our core EBITDA is 11.7% on YoY basis to Rs. 185.4 crores in 12-month FY '26.
Our EBITDA margin stood at 8.8 as against 8.5 in 12-month FY '25. Moving to our MDF business, we have achieved our highest-ever quarterly revenue of 189.4 crores with a volume reaching to 62,000 CBM, that reflects strong year-on-year growth of 39.6% in value and 45.3% in volume terms.
Margins for the quarter stood at 17%, supported by higher sales and operating leverage. For the full year, we have achieved a revenue of 635.6 crores, reflecting a YoY growth of 19.9% with margin at 13.4%.
Moving on to our furniture and fittings JV, we have achieved sales of 12.99 crores in Q4 FY '26 and a total revenue of 44.27 on 12-month basis. The JV reported a PAT loss of 13 crores in Q4 FY '26 with our share of loss amounting to 6.5 crores, and on a 12-month PAT loss at 50.8 crores with our share of loss amounting to 25.4 crores.
This year marked the brand's initial establishment phase, requiring significant investment. However, we are encouraged by the strong ramp-up and expect the business to grow exponentially.
Now I would like to provide an update on the progress of our capex initiatives undertaken last year. We are pleased to share that the commercial production of the PVC and WPC plant has commenced from April '26, with an annual installed capacity of 6 million kgs for door and 3 million kgs for door frame.
With respect to our new MDF facility, civil construction is currently underway, and orders for key machinery has been placed. We remain on track to operationalize the facility as per our planned timelines.
Construction of the plywood Odisha facility is progressing at full pace, with all major orders already been placed, and the project remains on track. Despite the growth capex undertaken, our consolidated net debt stood at 461 crores at the end of the current quarter.
Our debt-to-equity ratio remains at 0.52 in line with our guided range of 0.5 to 0.6 for the year, even after the announcement and execution of the planned capex. The Board of Directors has recommended a dividend at the rate 50%, which means 50 paise per equity share for the year ended 31st March 2026, which is subject to the approval of shareholders of the company at the Annual General Meeting.
Our strategic roadmap for the reminder year is clear: driving volume while protecting our bottom line. We have set a volume 10% growth target for plywood, backed by our strong brand equity.
In MDF, we are capitalizing on rising demand and confident in delivering 25% to 30% volume growth. Despite the competitive landscape, our focus remains on operational excellence, ensuring that our EBITDA margins remain consistent with our recent performance.
With this, I would like to open the floor for Q&A session. Thank you.
Operator
Thank you very much. We will now begin the question-and-answer session.
Anyone who wishes to ask a question may press "*" and "1" on their touch-tone telephone. If you wish to remove yourself from the question queue, you may press "*" and "2".
Participants are requested to use handsets while asking a question. Ladies and gentlemen, we will wait for a moment while the question queue assembles.
Participants, you may press "*" and "1" to ask a question. The first question is from the line of Pankaj Tibrewal from IKIGAI Asset Managers.
Please go ahead.
Pankaj Tibrewal
Good morning, Sanidhya and team, and congratulations on excellent set of numbers. Just two questions I have.
One, on the margins of MDF: compared to what we saw with other players, clearly the delivery has been excellent. This is before the price increases have happened.
Can you take us through your thought process and how sustainable these margins are, because last year first half we kind of struggled from the margin perspective across the board? Second, also on the plywood side, after long we have seen a double-digit margin trajectory.
When we speak to the distribution on the ground, on the lower-end brand, Ecotec, on the other side, earlier we were hearing about a lot of quality-related issues. Now that has substantially come down over the last 6-7 months.
Is that also helping you on the volume and the margin side? Two questions: one on the MDF margins, how do you see it going forward; and on the plywood side, is the double-digit margin sustainable and the quality issues on the lower-end brand behind us, and how we are ramping it up?
Thank you.
Sanidhya Mittal
On the MDF front, I think these margins are sustainable, and you are absolutely right that this margin was achieved before the price rise. I think the reason we were able to achieve this was purely the incremental volume that we achieved in terms of production and sales.
Our fixed cost remained the same post the extension, while the operating leverage kicked in. That is purely the reason why we were able to achieve this kind of margin.
Obviously, the timber, the local scenario of the market, the proportion of the value-added sales in the sales mix, all of this also helps us to achieve the same. Going forward, we are very confident because the cost increase was already passed on to the consumers.
In spite of the cost passed on, we still see a demand. We are very confident in terms of our guidance going forward in MDF, whether on the bottom line and the top line.
Pankaj Tibrewal
Fantastic. Fantastic.
The second part was the Ecotec plywood?
Sanidhya Mittal
On the plywood, I think we are doing a lot of fundamental changes in the way we are producing plywood. We have four of our existing facilities.
In two facilities, the new change is already implemented, and in two facilities, this change will be implemented during the current financial year. This not only improves the cost, it also improves the quality in a drastic way.
Yes, there has been changes and improvements further in quality. See, it's a very natural product and any plywood can be said that this is very bad quality or this is very good quality.
It's also the perception. Yes, we have made changes which will help us achieve both top line and bottom line.
With the initiatives that the company is undertaking and with the strategy, if we are able to maintain the growth rate in plywood, this margin can easily be ensured. This margin is there because of the growth rate and the operating leverage there also.
Yes, we have to maintain this growth rate, and with this growth rate, this margin is absolutely possible. We can further improve the margin in H2 of this year after the new process is implemented in all our plants.
Because new process will also improve cost to a certain extent.
Pankaj Tibrewal
Got it. Is it fair to say that on a consol basis, the exit quarter, March quarter on an overall basis, the margins should be the new norm for Greenply going forward?
Because, as you say, that plywood margins sustainable, MDF margins sustainable, one-off cost is behind us.
Sanidhya Mittal
Yes, absolutely. Absolutely, absolutely right.
Absolutely right.
Pankaj Tibrewal
That's very heartening to know. Just the last question on the balance sheet: I must compliment that after a significant capex, debt has come at full 450 crores up near about and what you guided at the start of the year.
From here on, how should we think about from a balance sheet perspective from a capex and the cash flows which you will generate? Do we see further deleveraging or the debt level stays here and we move on to the next level of capex?
Just wanted a broader sense.
Sanidhya Mittal
Currently we anyway have a big capex, which is our MDF plant, which is almost 400 425 crores of capex. We also have the improvement or the new technology implementation cost at the plywood plant and the Odisha capex.
With all of this given in place and our cash flows given in place, maybe for one year, we might peak out to maybe 0.7 or 0.72 debt equity, and then again we come back in the range of 0.5 to 0.6 the following year itself. That is our outlook, because we don't want to increase the debt substantially further.
Yes, we definitely have a lot of aspirations to invest more and grow, but yes, keeping our balance sheet in mind, keeping the overall debt equity in mind. So 0.7, 0.72 is the peak we want to go to, and then again come back to the 0.5 level.
Then depending on opportunity, then decide whether we want to continuously deleverage or continuously invest.
Pankaj Tibrewal
Fantastic. Last 3 years, we have been seeing one-offs every years, either be Gabon or forex or whatever.
Is it fair to say all these one-offs are now behind us in terms of Gabon write-off and all the measures we need to take on the international and the other side? Is it fair to say that all these one-offs are behind, or you foresee further challenges on that side?
Sanidhya Mittal
I don't see any challenges on that side. I had mentioned in my opening remark also very clearly, with this, all the potential liability on invested equity, corporate guarantees, and other types of loan advances have been totally provided for in the books.
Pankaj Tibrewal
Okay. That's good to know.
Wish you all the best, and very heartening to see Greenply coming back to its original form. Thank you.
Sanidhya Mittal
Thank you. Thank you.
Operator
Thank you. Next question is from the line of Keshav Lahoti from HDFC Securities.
Please go ahead.
Keshav Lahoti
Hi, sir. Thank you, congrats on a great set of numbers.
First thing, I want to understand, in Q4, whether the volume growth was positively impacted because of higher channel inventory, because price hikes were coming in April? Secondly, you highlighted Q1 FY '20 sorry, I said Q I mean Q4, the volume growth was due to higher channel inventory also.
Secondly, you highlighted Q1 FY '27 has started on a good note. By good note, you mean maybe whatever you did in Q4, the similar run rate continues in Q1 also?
Sanidhya Mittal
Yeah. I think I will not totally disagree to your statement.
Yes, there might be little bit of the growth because of overstocking also, and this stocking only happened in the second half of March. So 2.5 months of the quarter was a regular quarter, first of all.
Second of all, what we saw fundamentally was a shift from unorganized to organized. Because what happened when the raw material started going crazy, everyone, including importers of chemicals, including resin suppliers, wanted payment today for supply of today.
In that entire cycle, a lot of unorganized plywood players shut down. A lot of the smaller MDF players had issue.
They were hand-to-mouth in terms of capital or in terms of cash flow. This disrupted a lot of smaller companies, which we see the disruption even today.
I think that shift, that fundamental shift, is also a reason why the branded segment, or our segment, got the growth. Obviously, backed by our strategy also to grow in plywood and MDF.
It's a mix of all three reasons.
Keshav Lahoti
Understood. Got it.
Can you give some sense about what is the MDF industry demand for FY '26, how has the capacity increased in FY '26, and how will capacity increase in upcoming years, and what sort of utilization we are seeing at industry level?
Sanidhya Mittal
I think industry level, things are changing very fast. It's very difficult to give you the latest update, because in the last 2-3 months, there's a lot changed.
I think some of the smaller players are shut. Import is totally wiped out because of the dollar and the freight situation.
I think exports have also been very difficult because of the freights. I think to give a current industry scenario for me will be very difficult.
As far as we are concerned, we have a very small capacity compared to the country. I think at full capacity, if we run our factory, we only can gain 8% market share.
As far as our brand is concerned, I think the runway is clear for us for next 2-3 lines. To sell and to produce, we will not have any challenge.
We just have to keep our balance sheet right and keep growing.
Keshav Lahoti
Got it. Last two questions from my side.
One is MDF price hike total is 15%, I heard it right. Secondly, on income tax, what was the reason for the raid, why the department have conducted it?
Because we hear it was at distributor level also, and it went on for few days. What was the
Sanidhya Mittal
I think it was a raid which was conducted on Greenply, Greenlam, and Greenpanel. The reason is obviously not known to us that why this happened.
We had clearly filed in our disclosure and in the audit report, the auditors also clearly mentioned that there is no liability on the company and there was nothing seized from our premises in terms of documents or cash or any such thing. As of now, the company and the books of accounts are clear.
If there's any liability or any such update, we will keep the exchange and the investors absolutely updated with it. We feel that it was a total wrong intel why this happened.
Keshav Lahoti
Understood. Got it.
In the MDF, total price hike is 15% in April, right?
Sanidhya Mittal
Right.
Keshav Lahoti
Okay. Thank you.
That's it.
Sanidhya Mittal
Thank you.
Operator
Thank you. Next question is from the line of Utkarsh Nopany from Anand Rathi.
Please go ahead.
Utkarsh Nopany
Hi. Good morning, sir.
Sir, my first question is regarding on the margin side in the March quarter. For MDF segment, if we see, our realization fell by 3% on a quarter-on-quarter basis, but still our gross margin has improved by roughly 530 bps.
What is the reason for such big swing in the March quarter?
Sanidhya Mittal
If you compare the previous quarter and the March quarter, I think the total volume produced has drastically jumped up. In the same factory and the same fixed cost, when the volume goes up drastically, I think the operating leverage kicks in.
That is why
Utkarsh Nopany
Sir, my question is regarding the gross margin, not EBITDA margin, sir.
Sanidhya Mittal
I think, Sanjiv ji, you can explain this.
Sanjiv Keshri
It's the same thing, boss. If the EBITDA margin will increase, the gross margin will also increase.
That is the operational leverage. That the 15.6% increase in the volume in the plywood, it's a given a very good gross margin on that.
Utkarsh Nopany
Sir, for MDF segment, I was asking. Sir, I will ask in another way.
Our MDF gross margin has been very volatile over the last say eight quarters. Sometime it goes up to around 55%, sometime it goes down to 45%.
Can you please explain the rationale that why it is so volatile, and whether it is going to continue going forward also, the volatility?
Sanidhya Mittal
I don't think it is going to be volatile going forward. In the past, see, if you see the last financial year, two quarters out of the four quarters the plant were not fully operational.
Q1 was a normal quarter and Q4 was a normal quarter. Q1 was a normal quarter with the line unextended, and Q4 was a normal quarter with the line extended.
The Q2 and Q3 got disrupted because of the line extension that we did. The reason why there's a fluctuation in margin is also that.
Plus, another reason why the gross margin changes is also the mix change, right? Depends that the same cubic meter that we've sold, what mix we've sold.
If we sell more of the HDMR segment, the company definitely makes more margin than we would make selling interior products.
Utkarsh Nopany
Okay. Sir, considering the current raw material cost and the realization, what should be the sustainable gross margin?
Sanidhya Mittal
I think we can consider Q4 FY '26, which is the current quarter that we've just finished, as the base, and I think we have to deliver margin at this level.
Utkarsh Nopany
Okay. Sir, now for the plywood segment, what we have seen that our gross margin has contracted by say roughly 18-90 bps on a YoY basis, and it has also gone down on a QoQ basis.
Can you please explain what was the rationale for the same?
Sanidhya Mittal
This is the reason of the product mix only.
Utkarsh Nopany
Okay. Sir, we have seen pretty strong demand for plywood in the March quarter, but then also our ad spend has gone down substantially on a YoY basis.
What was the process behind curtailing down our ad spend in the March quarter?
Sanidhya Mittal
I don't think there was any thought process in curtailing. It must just be the annual cost maybe it varies from quarter to quarter.
The auditor is very particular that whatever spend is there has to be debited in a particular quarter. Maybe the campaign burst happened in previous quarters, and March was just a spillover regular expense.
It wasn't a new campaign or a new spend. The amount, absolute number, if you see on annualized basis in crores, is absolutely the same.
There's no change.
Utkarsh Nopany
Okay. Sir, lastly on the capex front, sir, you have guided that we are planning to spend around 425 crore on our planned growth capex.
Can you please provide a split, how much it would be in FY '27 and how much it would be in FY '28? That's it from my side, sir.
Sanidhya Mittal
I think 425 crore was only on the MDF segment, out of which I think almost close to 300 would be in the current FY, and 125 would be in the next FY.
Utkarsh Nopany
Apart from MDF, any other in FY '27 and
Sanidhya Mittal
'28? We have certain improvement projects taken up in the plywood segment to change the technology of manufacturing.
Also we have Odisha plywood, the new plant. In the plywood segment on Odisha ply, the total cost will be around 130 crores for Odisha plywood, and all the other plywood improvements would be around 45-50 crores, all plants put together.
Utkarsh Nopany
Okay. If I understand correctly, 300 crore we are going to spend on MDF in FY '27, another 130 crore on plywood because it is likely to get commissioned in this fiscal year, and 45 to 50 crore on maintenance capex.
All put together roughly 480 to 500
Sanidhya Mittal
Not maintenance capex, this is the capex that we're doing to change the technology of plywood production. It is already implemented in the last fiscal year in two plants.
Two more plants the technology will be implemented this year.
Utkarsh Nopany
Roughly, sir, 480 crore we are going to spend in FY '27, is it correct, sir?
Sanidhya Mittal
Almost.
Utkarsh Nopany
Yes.
Sanidhya Mittal
Almost, yes.
Utkarsh Nopany
Okay. Thanks a lot, sir.
Sanidhya Mittal
Thank you.
Operator
Thank you. Next question is from the line of Ritesh Shah from Investec India.
Please go ahead.
Ritesh Shah
Hi. First, congratulations on a good set of numbers.
Thanks to Manoj ji for his guidance and learnings for all the years. Coming to the question: Sanidhya, for you, how should we look at the management transition?
Besides Manoj ji, also what we see is there have been a lot of changes, be it in HR, IT, marketing of late or last 6 months. How should we read into this?
Is there some change in game plan? That's the first question.
Sanidhya Mittal
I think more so see, people come, people go. As far as Manoj ji is concerned, he's still part of the company in an advising capacity.
He will be an advisor. It was his decision because of his personal needs that he wanted to take some time out and be not in an active day-to-day role, but as an advisor to the organization.
That is the reason why he stepped down. I think going forward, every business already has its respective sales hierarchies and position.
All the plants have their plant hierarchies in position. IT, HR, marketing, all the support functions have their heads in place.
Whether it was Manoj ji or me or my father, the Chairman, we were guiding people at a strategic level. We were not driving things on a daily basis.
As far as the growth going forward is concerned, I think the team is already in place. Team will run the show.
At any level, if we feel that we need full-time replacement because Manoj ji is moving out of the organization, that will also be considered. Most importantly for us to understand and know is that to get anybody at a critical level or at this level is not very easy to find.
Yes, we are open. At some point, we might bring in somebody at his level, but not immediately because there's nobody that we have in mind at that level today.
Ritesh Shah
That helps. Would you like to highlight specifically on the changes on the marketing level?
I understand we have hired somebody very senior from Pidilite. What transpired this hiring?
Or was it somebody moving out and we just replaced him? Any change in thought process on the marketing and sales side?
Sanidhya Mittal
Marketing, I don't think we have anyone from Pidilite. I think at sales, we have someone who had joined us from Pidilite.
The previous gentleman was actually retiring. That was the reason of change.
We wanted to bring somebody from an organization that we look up to, we want Greenply to become like. Which other organization in our segment could we have hired other than an ex-employee of Pidilite?
That is the reason.
Ritesh Shah
Fair. That's great.
My second question was on working capital. If we look at the receivable days, it has actually increased.
Inventories, I presume, it was year end plus because of Iran, I think we could have liquidated inventory. How should we look at the increase in receivables on a year-on-year basis?
Sanidhya Mittal
I think a little bit of the increase could have also happened because of the highest-ever numbers that we've hit. One second, let me just look at the number and give you exact.
Ritesh Shah
I'm referring to number of days.
Sanidhya Mittal
You're referring to number of days. Yes, it is an increase, you're absolutely right.
From December '25, we've gone up by 3 days. Sir, and
Ritesh Shah
last year 47 to 54.
Sanidhya Mittal
It is a mix. Our OEM business is also now growing drastically.
Even though the payments are protected in terms of LC and other instruments, but the debtor days are much higher there to achieve growth. To achieve growth, we're also doing certain B2B sales, which is OEM.
Also there's a fundamental shift from project business and routine trade business to furniture being made in furniture factories. Because of MDF, the exposure of the organization has become very high in that segment.
The same team is pumping in plywood and MDF into the OEMs. Maybe slightly the days have gone up because of that, but the payments are totally protected in terms of LC.
Ritesh Shah
Sure. This is quite useful.
Thank you so much, and all the very best. Thank you again.
Thank you.
Operator
Thank you. Thank you.
Next question is from the line of Maitri Shah from Sapphire Capital. Please go ahead.
Maitri Shah
Good morning. Am I audible?
Sanidhya Mittal
Yes, please.
Maitri Shah
Hello. A few questions.
Firstly on the margin side, for the quarter 4, we saw a very stagnant growth in the EBITDA margins for MDF and plywood. Do you see those margins sustaining for the next half of the year or the FY '27, FY '28 with also increasing cost coming in because of raw material?
You did mention you're going to pass them on, but how do you see them kind of balancing by FY '27?
Sanidhya Mittal
On MDF, we're not worried about the margins. I think 17% is something we can sustain, because whatever cost has increased, we've already passed on, and in the increased passed-on cost, I think we're still able to do the volumes that the company requires to do.
In MDF, we are confident that this margin can sustain. On plywood also, I think this margin can easily sustain, provided we're able to achieve the desired volume growth that we've targeted.
This margin in plywood only kicks in once the volumes are achieved. Whatever margin we've been able to deliver was purely on account of volume.
If the volume guidance is achieved, then we will 100% hit the plywood margins as well. In H2, slightly we'll get a tailwind in plywood once the new technology is implemented in all facilities.
Slightly on the cost side, we'll start getting an advantage, which is not there at the moment. That advantage might kick in in the H2.
It's very difficult to quantify, but it will definitely help us improve the margins, for sure.
Maitri Shah
That is great. Secondly, you mentioned a 25% to 30% kind of growth in volume for the MDF segment.
Could you quantify what growth will happen on the prelaminated part, because I think those gross margins are much lower compared to the I think MDF margin?
Sanidhya Mittal
I think it's going to be proportionate, see. Today whatever mix we have in pre-lam and plain, in that same proportion we are going to grow across all segments.
The plain proportion will also grow at the same rate, and the pre-lam will also grow at the same rate. In fact, in early Q2, our flooring will also be fully operational.
That will start giving us incremental margins and higher realizations in the MDF segment for the same cubic meters sold.
Maitri Shah
What sort of capacity do we have on the flooring side?
Sanidhya Mittal
Almost our annual top line of about 70-75 crores at peak is the capacity we have.
Maitri Shah
Okay.
Operator
Sorry to interrupt, Mythili. I'll request to come back for a follow-up question, please.
Maitri Shah
Just one question, if that's possible?
Operator
Go ahead, ma'am.
Maitri Shah
Yeah. Any effective tax rate that you can guide for the next fiscal year?
Sanidhya Mittal
I think, Sanjiv ji, what is the effective tax rate for the organization for next year?
Sanjiv Keshri
The effective tax rate is around 20 22%, because we have in the Greenply on the standalone, the tax rate is 22% and in our subsidiary companies, the tax rate is around 17%. Effective, it will come to around 22%.
Maitri Shah
Yeah. Thank you so much.
Operator
Thank you. Next question is from the line of Karan Bhatelia from Asian Market Securities.
Please go ahead.
Karan Bhatelia
Hi, sir. Thank you for the opportunity.
Sanidhya, you've been referring to this new technology in production plywood facility. Can you just give us broad detail, what are you referring to?
Is it to do with the productivity or is it to do with the cost savings, or how do we see this technology change?
Sanidhya Mittal
This technology, cost and all is a outcome, but the primary objective of bringing in this technology is improving quality and making it to the global standard of plywood production, number one. Number two, it is also to make plywood more ready to be acceptable by machines and not humans.
As you see, as the country is maturing or the category is maturing, the business is moving into the hands of OEMs. OEMs need a much more precise plywood than a carpenter can handle.
Given all these reasons, we've moved into a way of producing plywood, which is seen in other parts of Southeast Asia, mainly Vietnam and China. We are calling this internally a ContiRoll technology, where there's a Conti assembly tables and there are people standing on both sides and they continuously keep assembling, and the material keeps getting cut and keeps getting stacked and entering the prepress.
Thereafter, the process is regular. This saves overall manpower, cost, material, as well as improves the quality drastically.
Much so that you can even pre-lam the plywood right after the ply is made, directly with paper instead of laminate. I think with this technology in place, the company can really improve sales and margin, both.
Karan Bhatelia
Right. Right.
Are we the first company to go ahead with this technology, or it's well accepted?
Sanidhya Mittal
Absolutely. Absolutely.
We are planning an analyst meet or a investor day sort in our Sandila facility, where we'll be displaying to all of you our capability in this, and clearly showing you a difference between a plywood from a regular plant versus this new technology.
Karan Bhatelia
Perfect. Sir, we've been mentioning of market share gains purely because of cost escalation and early payment for raw materials.
Any comments here on market share gains because of BIS, which was implemented in the last year? Any visible
Sanidhya Mittal
I don't think there's a visible gain because of that. Yes, the visible nuisance because of that has come down.
In MDF category, there was a nuisance of import, right? That nuisance of import has gone down significantly because of BIS.
Even in plywood, there were certain grades of plywood in the premium segment which is coming in from other countries. All of that is wiped out, which is definitely helping the category overall.
It is very difficult to comment that how much Greenply has gained because of that, but yes, the nuisance that the company had to face in certain markets, that has gone down. Okay.
Karan Bhatelia
Thank you, that's it from my end.
Operator
Thank you. I request all the participants kindly limit yourself to two questions per participant.
Next question is from the line of Sneha Talreja from Nuvama Wealth. Please go ahead.
Sneha Talreja
Hi team, thanks a lot for the opportunity and congratulations on great set of numbers. Just couple of questions from my end.
What would be the industry growth at this particular point and your market share both in plywood as well as MDF segment?
Sanidhya Mittal
I think industry growth in MDF would be 15% to 20% annualized growth. I think our growth that is limited to the capacity we have.
This year, more or less we intend to use the entire capacity that we have to the fullest. In plywood, I think the growth is hardly 3% to 4%.
Yes, the industry size is huge, opportunity for a player like us is not the growth, but the industry sheer size.
Sneha Talreja
Your market share, approx?
Sanidhya Mittal
I think it's very difficult to say in plywood. In MDF, I had calculated that around 8%, 8.5% of the total industry's sale would be ours at peak.
Sneha Talreja
Understood.
Sanidhya Mittal
At current levels, maybe 7%.
Sneha Talreja
Understood. How's the competitive intensity in this segment?
The reason I'm asking is in the month of March and probably even April, we've seen a substantial increase in resin prices. Is it fair enough to say that unorganized player would have been more harder hit because of this situation?
Sanidhya Mittal
Absolutely fair to say. I think suppliers have blackmailed organizations for material.
Importers said that if you don't advance today and lock the price at this minute, you will not get the material. Same with the resin suppliers.
Yes, for larger companies to cope up with this challenge was much easier than smaller companies. Yes, they have got hit.
In certain areas, we've also seen notifications where plants were running for 3 days and shut for 4 days in certain states in case of plywood, local plants.
Sneha Talreja
Oh wow. This has given us a substantial leeway in terms of market share
Sanidhya Mittal
in the current I think it's given every organized player a substantial leeway.
Sneha Talreja
Understood. Lastly, how much would have been the total increase in the raw material pricing?
You of course quantified on MDF front. Could you quantify how much price increases you've taken on plywood as well?
Sanidhya Mittal
I had mentioned that in my 3% to 5% 4% to 5% is what we've taken in plywood from brand to brand, market to market, product to product.
Sneha Talreja
That takes care of course of the complete cost increases so far? That's why you're confident of maintaining margins?
Sanidhya Mittal
Right.
Sneha Talreja
Got that, sir. Thanks.
Thanks a lot. Thanks.
Sanidhya Mittal
Thank you. Thank you.
Operator
Next question is from the line of Anu Parakh from Anand Rathi. Please go ahead.
Anu Parakh
Hi, sir. Thank you for the opportunity.
My first question is, by when the furniture fittings business is likely to break even?
Sanidhya Mittal
I think the year after this, somewhere in the middle of the year, we should reach a situation where the business starts breaking even. The reason is that we've already done the capex for both phases and we're only installed machines for one phase.
Our depreciation, our interest load is actually for a much larger business and a much smaller business in terms of production. Also when we import the same product which we're not producing here and selling, we're making very low gross margins.
The expenses and the supply chain and all of that remains the same, very expensive and imported. The moment the entire products start getting made here, the gross margin of the company will improve and we can start making margin.
Sometime this year or maybe the year after this is when we'll do the phase two, and after that, the margins will drastically improve. The good thing is that yes, we are seeing green shoots in terms of demand, in terms of the domestic sales and export sales.
Both are improving and the products are really accepted. That's the silver lining.
Anu Parakh
Okay. My next question is, how have the timber prices behaved in quarter 4 for plywood and MDF, and what is the outlook for FY '27?
Sanidhya Mittal
I think timber prices have been quite stable for us in quarter 4, and the year ahead also looks like that. There's a wishful thinking deep within me which says that the prices should come down and we should get some windfall there.
The real thinking says that let's plan for a stable year with the same price. If there's any decrease, there'll be a additional gain.
As of now, we are considering it will be the same, it'll be flat.
Anu Parakh
Okay. Last question is, what would be the revenue contribution from the PVC board business in FY '27?
Sanidhya Mittal
In FY '27, I can give you the potential revenue of the line. You want the potential revenue of the capex, because it also depends on how much we're being able to sell.
Anu Parakh
Yes, sir, that works.
Sanidhya Mittal
We'll give you the potential capex revenue that we can
Sanjiv Keshri
[unclear] Sanjeev
Sanidhya Mittal
ji, what is the potential cap revenue we can achieve in the given capex we've already done for WPC? Around 75 to 80 crores.
Around 75 to 80 crores is the peak revenue we can achieve in the given capex.
Operator
Thank you. Anuj, I'll request you to come back for a follow-up question, please.
Thank you. Next question is from the line of Aasim from DAM Capital.
Please go ahead.
Aasim Bharde
Hi. Actually there was a earlier question on the receivables bit.
You said Q1 has started off well, and this is despite the price increases. Now I think if your focus is rising on OEMs, that will have an impact on increasing overall receivable days.
Just I wanted to understand, given that Q1 has started off well despite price hikes, are we also incentivizing the channel by increasing credit days by any way to push growth despite the smaller players being on the sidelines?
Sanidhya Mittal
No, I don't think we're doing any such thing. For the channel, the only policy we have is our standard credit policy in both businesses, MDF and plywood.
The only thing we promote in channel is channel finance, which we have four or five partners who provide our dealer-distributor channel finance to transact with us. That's the only thing we promote in the channel.
OEM is a strategic focus for us, because we feel a lot of people in urban India don't want carpenters to come into their house and work, which basically means that their mindset is becoming more towards organized, ready-made furniture buying. We don't want to ride slow in that category.
We want to even capture that category, because that category is ultimately replacing our sales. As a strategy, we're focusing on OEMs.
Aasim Bharde
Ex of OEMs, there is broadly no change in your credit policies to the channel before and after the [war?] , it's broadly the same?
Sanidhya Mittal
Not at all. We are not satisfied with these numbers, huh?
We're not trying to justify. Internally, we are also not satisfied.
We also want to improve this.
Aasim Bharde
Sure, sir, good to know. Second bit, just on the capex, this year on on the MDF capex, this year you said you'll send spend 300-odd crores.
If I remember correctly, the total budget was 450-odd. Have you spent anything in FY '26 so far?
425, sorry. FY '26, any amount has already been spent?
Sanjiv Keshri
We have paid only the advances for the main equipment supply. It is around 10 crores.
Rest of everything will be around 300 crores we will spend this year, and balance it will be spillover to the '27-28.
Aasim Bharde
Got it. Those were my questions.
Thank you.
Operator
Thank you. Next question is from the line of Arun Baid from ICICI Securities.
Please go ahead.
Arun Baid
Hi Sanidhya. Just one question here.
On the plywood front
Operator
Arun, sorry to interrupt. Can you speak a little louder, please?
Arun Baid
Is this better?
Operator
Yes, go ahead.
Arun Baid
Yes, please. Sanidhya, just on the plywood front, do we see Mr.
Rajesh Mittal coming back in a bigger way there, because what I have seen when he was there, we had better growth in the earlier years? Is his involvement going to be much more than what you've seen in last 5-6 years in that category particularly?
Sanidhya Mittal
Yes, I think he's been definitely the driver in every category. Whether it was Manoj ji or me, we were going back to him and taking our inspiration and guidance and coming back and performing.
I think he was anyways involved. He will be definitely more involved in the current scenario in the plywood side.
Yes, maybe now more in the front end also, which was more back end in the last 5-6 years, where he was taking care of the plants and the outsource business much more than the market and marketing. Now maybe he'll be involved on that side also.
Arun Baid
That's nice to hear. Second thing is, on the MDF front, we have done a few new hirings.
We have read about that. Is now more or less that set from a perspective of the team-wise with all the new production capacity we've got in place now?
Sanidhya Mittal
Sorry, I didn't get your question. Sorry?
Arun Baid
On the MDF front, we have done a few new hirings there also, right? Is now the team completely set with the kind of capacity we have in place now?
Sanidhya Mittal
It's absolutely set with the new hiring and the team. The new construction is also going on full swing, and the current plant is running the way it's expected to.
Arun Baid
Great. Best of luck.
Thank you, Sanidhya.
Sanidhya Mittal
Thank you.
Operator
Thank you. Next question is from the line of Parth Bhavsar from Investec.
Please go ahead.
Parth Bhavsar
Hi, sir. Thank you for the opportunity and congratulations on the good set of numbers.
Sir, I just have one question, which is on profitability of MDF. Our profitability has increased by Rs.
2,000 per CBM. Just wanted to break that up, what sort of contribution came from gross margin, where basically our realization has declined, and what sort of contribution was from operating leverage?
Sanidhya Mittal
I think it's mainly on account of operating leverage only. If you see the previous quarter, the overall volume was 42,688 versus 62,021 CBM.
So 45% change in the overall volume, and the fixed cost remains the same for the entire factory and the sales team and all the overheads loaded on that business. That is what has majorly contributed in increase of margin.
Even though the sales mix has reduced the average realization, but the overall margin has gone up because of the operating leverage.
Parth Bhavsar
Sir, the only reason why I asked this is because of the gross profit margin number that we have given. It was 16,000 per CBM in FY basically Q3, and 17,000 CBM in Q4.
Even that has improved by a 1,000 rupees per CBM, whereas your realizations has gone down. I understand that your product mix would have changed, but this number is also improved.
Sanidhya Mittal
This gross margin is also increased just because of the product mix, nothing else.
Parth Bhavsar
Okay.
Sanidhya Mittal
The reason is also that we stopped trading. Initially, in quarter 2 and quarter 3, to just service the market, we had to also buy MDF and sell MDF, which hardly had any gross margin, and which was overall impacting the overall margin.
Now in this quarter, we hardly had any trading volume. That is also a reason why you see this margin.
Parth Bhavsar
Sir, basically your value-added product as a percentage of revenue, how much, sir, that would be?
Sanidhya Mittal
I think it's difficult to comment, but it's around 5-6%, I think, right?
Parth Bhavsar
Value-added products?
Sanidhya Mittal
No, are you talking about pre-lam board or you talking about what are we constituting as value-added? Pre-lam.
Parth Bhavsar
Value-added.
Sanidhya Mittal
Only pre-lam board you're talking about?
Parth Bhavsar
Pre-lam plus HDHMR and Then
Sanidhya Mittal
that would be higher than 50%, but we cannot give you the exact number for that. That would be higher than 50%.
Parth Bhavsar
That would have changed quarter on quarter, I believe?
Sanidhya Mittal
Right.
Parth Bhavsar
Increased hopefully. Okay.
Sanidhya Mittal
Right.
Parth Bhavsar
Perfect. Thank you so much for answering my questions, sir.
Thank you.
Sanidhya Mittal
Thank you.
Operator
Thank you. I request all the participants kindly limit yourself to two questions per participant.
Next question is from the line of Nikunj Gala from Parati Capital Management. Please go ahead.
Nikunj Gala
Yeah. Good afternoon, everyone.
I have just one question on MDF side. Sir, at peak utilization of MDF capacity, what is steady-state ROCE you aspire to have?
Sanidhya Mittal
I think I have answered this question in the past also. In today's time, even at 17-18% EBITDA, the ROCEs are not very attractive.
Nikunj Gala
We'll
Sanidhya Mittal
have to see these ROCEs on a 3-year, 5-year, 7-year period, and I think then it'll start looking justified to us. In a short period, it might not look justified today.
Nikunj Gala
I understand, but what is peak?
Sanidhya Mittal
I think anything between 18-20%, if we are in that range, I think we are very lucky and we are well placed.
Nikunj Gala
Okay. Yeah.
So 18% to 20% like any MDF player or you should be aspiring to have at least that kind of ROCE to justify your investment, right?
Sanidhya Mittal
Right. I think if you see the new capex also that we're doing, we've reduced the investment per cubic meter on a Conti capacity.
What we are trying to do with that change in capex behavior or capex style of investment is also only to improve the ROCE, and to be conscious that, yes, see, for Greenply to grow and to remain dominant in the wood panel category, MDF is an absolute sense, but to also maintain the ROCEs and make worth for every stakeholder, we've improved the capex turnover ratio so that the ROCEs can ultimately keep improving in this category going forward.
Nikunj Gala
Yeah.
Sanidhya Mittal
That is the reason why we have done 425 crores capex.
Nikunj Gala
Thank you for your comments, sir. Thanks.
Operator
Thank you. Next question is from the line of Vijay Karpe from Shriram Life.
Please go ahead.
Vijay Karpe
Thank you so much for giving me the opportunity. Sanidhya, lots of questions has been asked on the trade receivable
Operator
Vijay, sorry to interrupt. Can you please speak through the handset?
The line for the participant dropped. We move to the next participant.
Next question is from the line of Mithun Aswath from Kivah Advisors. Please go ahead.
Mithun Aswath
Yes, sir. Congrats on a good set.
I just wanted to understand, you mentioned that a couple of your facilities on the plywood side, you have used a different technology and upgraded it. Once you implement that in your other facilities as well, is there an improvement in margins or what is exactly the benefit, or you will get better realization?
If you could highlight on that.
Sanidhya Mittal
I think the benefit is better quality and a quality which is more internationally acceptable and more acceptable obviously to the retail market as well as furniture makers. In return, because we've implemented this technology, as an outcome, we've realized that the cost will also slightly improve.
At this moment, how much cost will improve, it's very difficult to quantify. Definitely, there'll be a huge improvement in quality and overall perception of the material, which will definitely help us achieve better numbers, better sales.
Mithun Aswath
Right, sir. In terms of your debt levels, do you see them remaining at the same levels next year, considering the large capex that you have planned?
Sanidhya Mittal
I have mentioned this that the current level is 0.52, right? 0.52 is debt-equity level.
At peak, this might go up to 0.7 or maybe even 0.72, which might be the next year end or the year after that. Then immediately, the following year, it'll again come back to the 0.55 or 0.52 level, because the operating cash flows are also continuously increasing with the given capex plan.
Mithun Aswath
Right. Just wanted to understand in terms of the competitive environment, do you see a lot of players continuing to ramp up capacity on the MDF front, or do you see that we have kind of reached some sort of equilibrium and that's not to be seen now?
Sanidhya Mittal
I think there are certain players whose plants are either starting construction or due to end by the year end, that had already started. I don't see any new major capacity being announced other than which was already announced.
That is a good sign. As far as Greenply is concerned, with our brand, first two to three lines, we should have zero complaint of sales.
Honestly, I'm not focusing on that. I'm only focusing on our line running, our material getting sold, and our new facility getting constructed.
We're not focusing on what the outside world is doing, because we feel that with our given brand, first three lines should be very easy to sell.
Mithun Aswath
Sure, sir. All the best.
Thank you.
Sanidhya Mittal
Thank you.
Operator
Thank you very much. Ladies and gentlemen, we will take that as the last question.
I'll now hand the conference over to the management for closing comments.
Sanidhya Mittal
Thank you all for taking time to participate in this call. In case of any further clarification or queries, please feel free to reach to us.
Thank you.
Operator
Thank you very much. On behalf of Asian Markets Securities, that concludes this conference.
Thank you for joining us, and you may now disconnect your lines. Thank you.
Sanidhya Mittal
Thank you.
Already premium?