Operator
Ladies and gentlemen, good day and welcome to Swiggy Limited Q3 FY26 Earnings Conference Call. As a reminder, all participant lines will be in the listen-only mode and there will be an opportunity for you to ask questions after the presentation concludes.
Should you need assistance during this conference call, please signal an operator by pressing star and zero on your touchstone phone. Please note that this conference is being recorded.
I now hand the conference over to Mr. Abhishek Agarwal, Head of Investor Relations.
Thank you and over to you, sir.
Abhishek Agarwal
Thanks, Operator. Hello everyone and welcome to the first quarter FY26 Earnings Conference Call for Swiggy.
Our financial results and shareholder's letters have been published on the exchanges and the information pack has been placed in the Investor Relations section of our website, www.swiggy.com. We would like to inform you that the management may make certain comments on this call that one could deem forward-looking statements.
Specifically, the financial guidance and pro forma information that we will provide on this call are management estimates, are based on certain assumptions, and have not been subjected to any audit, review or examination procedures. Swiggy does not guarantee these statements and is not obliged to update them at any time.
Joining me on the call today are Sriharsha Majety, MD and Group CEO, Rahul Bothra, our CFO, Rohit Kapoor, CEO of Food Marketplace, and Amitesh Jha, CEO of Instamart. With this brief preamble, let us start the Q&A.
Operator, you can please go ahead.
Operator
Thank you very much. We will now begin with the question and answer session.
Anyone who wishes to ask a question may press star and one on their touchstone telephone. If you wish to remove yourself from the question queue, you may press star and zero.
Participants are requested to use handsets while asking a question. Ladies and gentlemen, we will wait for a moment while the question queue assembles.
Participants, you may press star and one to ask a question. First question is from the line of Vijit Jain from Citi.
Please go ahead.
Vijit Jain
Thank you for the opportunity. My first question, so as you scale up the business, can you talk a little bit about the sourcing advantages that could unlock at scale?
Could you unlock additional margins as you could do better price negotiations with brands and sellers? Broadly speaking, your views on how your scale can drive better input costs into your quick commerce operations would be helpful.
That's my first question. Thank you.
Amitesh Jha
Sure. Yeah.
Hi, Amitesh here. See, the scale of operations, which effectively is measured in either GOV per store or the number of orders per store, will have an impact on the better utilization of our infra.
That's the first part that comes in. Now, the scale of the movement for all the items that we sell, there is a bigger opportunity of monetization with the brands that we exploit, and we have also seen that over the last year as well, where the monetization opportunity has moved up as and when our scale of revenue with the brands has increased.
Yes, these are the two parts in which we see that scale coming up, and it actually comes essentially almost every quarter.
Vijit Jain
Sorry, I don't know. I couldn't hear that very clearly, but I'll check the transcripts.
I'm not sure if this is fine. Second question is, from a balance sheet point of view, you now have cash balance of almost $2 billion.
My question is, and I know that the working capital intensity of the business continues to rise. In general, could you utilize the cash balance for better terms from brands and sellers as well?
Is that a fair assumption to make? That's my second question.
Then finally, if you could give me your views now on seeking IPO. Thank you.
Rahul Bothra
Sure. Hi, Rahul here.
In terms of your question around your ability to pay faster to vendors and therefore get a higher margin, I think it's a combination of optimizing both on credit days as well as getting better margin structures. It's overall in terms of trade that we agree with these brand partners of ours.
It's a continuum. I don't think necessarily that because we have a higher cash balance, we will end up paying faster.
At the same time, I think both the top line in terms of the overall margin structure that has to improve as well as trade days that has to continue improving. On your question on IPOC, I think we continue to get closer with every passing quarter.
The QIP also helped. Our overall allocation to the domestic investors was significantly higher compared to the foreign investors.
We are currently at around roughly 47% in terms of our overall domestic shareholder base. When we hit the majority mark, which we had said in the past it will be an eventuality, we do expect to convert into an IPOC structure.
Vijit Jain
Sorry, thanks, Rahul. Lastly, on the food delivery side, congratulations on solid, all around, great results on the food delivery as well.
My question is now food delivery in this quarter has grown above your guidance, marginally above, but still 21% YOY, and you've had a pretty solid growth in MTU here as well. Good to see that both contribution and adjusted EBITDA margins also expanded.
My question is you've kept your guidance unchanged though on the growth rate at 18 to 20%. I'm wondering given the MTU growth is strong, etc., and some of these will improve in engagement, do you feel more confident that you would probably comfortably exceed the lower end of the guidance?
Thank you.
Rohit Kapoor
Hi, this is Rohit here. I think you're right.
We've grown 21% on GOV, 20.5% on GOV, and 22% on MTU. The guidance remains at 18 to 20%.
I think the momentum is definitely there in terms of growth, and we'd like to watch it another quarter maybe before we become more sanguine in terms of what shape it is taking. You're right.
At least the input level, we are feeling more confident about hovering near the upper end of the range than the lower end of the range.
Vijit Jain
Thank you, Rohit. Those are my questions.
I'll jump back into the queue.
Operator
Thank you. Next question is from the line of Jignanshu Gor from Bernstein.
Please go ahead.
Jignanshu Gor
Hi, thank you for the opportunity. I wanted to check on the quick commerce business and the reiteration of the guidance for the contribution margin.
You've talked about the competitive scenario changing a lot. Is this guidance sort of completely or largely dependent on what we do internally as a company, or do you incorporate any change in competitive dynamics for this guidance to materialize?
Amitesh Jha
Hi, Amitesh here. No, we don't see any change in the guidance of the competitive environment.
Whatever we have factored in is assuming the competitive environment remains the same, which is already extremely high. Just to give you an assessment on how we are looking at our approach on making sure that we hit our contribution margin guidance, there are structural improvements that we have that has no bearing at all to what the competition is doing.
Some of them are scale-related, as we already spoke about, and some of them are ad-related, which is essentially dependent on something that we are already seeing. The remaining part, which is more discretionary, which has led to cart-level discounting as well as the investment that we do to make sure that we are being more, how to say, competitive in the overall environment, is quite discretionary.
Whenever it is required, we will be investing, but on the balance of it, what we see is that there are clear opportunities for us to pull back investments from where we believe that it were inefficient, and we will continue to do that as well. That's the reason we are choosing this as an opportunity not to go after the investment which is non-conducive for our long-term growth, and we'll essentially continue to be at that particular path.
Jignanshu Gor
That's very helpful, Amitesh. Thanks.
My second question is on the balance sheet. I'm trying to sort of understand two numbers.
One is the capex seems high, despite we have not added a lot of stores, right? That's one, how do I square that circle?
Second is working capital infusion into the business also seems a little volatile. How do we think of this number in the context of a 3P business model?
Those two are my last questions. Thanks.
Rahul Bothra
Rahul, yeah. In terms of the overall capex investments, it is in twofold.
One is in our dark store infra expansion, and the second is in our warehousing capacity expansion. In the recent time, as you observed the last couple of quarters, while the overall growth has been lower on the dark store addition, on a quarter basis, we have also substantially increased our footprint on the dark store network.
Now, talking about the quarter on hand, if you look at our overall warehousing capacity, and a lot of this warehousing capacity is also coming into tier 2, tier 3 towns where we expanded. Putting in the infrastructure on warehousing helps us to reduce our middle mile, also helps us to replenish our stores faster and get closer to consumers.
Overall, if you look at the last four quarters, we have more than doubled our warehousing capacity, which has been a key component of the capex spending. We do expect to have a little bit more spending on this capex side, especially on the warehousing piece.
This is to structurally improve our supply chain efficiencies. In terms of the working capital, again, as you rightly said over the last couple of quarters, we've added roughly 130 crores.
This is again in line with our guidance where we had said that overall on a DOH basis, this is not going to go up. If you kind of cumulate over the last couple of quarters, it's only been a 130 crores addition, while our overall net order value on the consumer businesses have gone up by close to 18%.
This is again in line with our growing growth. We will continue to find efficiencies and work towards bettering our overall net working capital days, which you should see in the subsequent quarters.
Jignanshu Gor
Okay. This working capital, just for my understanding, and just small follow-up, how does that work?
As in you need working capital at the dark stores, right? More network needs more capital, despite the inventory not being on our books.
Rahul Bothra
That's it. See, as I said, in the past I mentioned this, that a lot of this gets stuck around the brand investments that they make in our platform, including advertising, including trade support or consumer discounts that are funded by the brands.
Some of it also in our B2B business.
Jignanshu Gor
Understood. Okay.
All right, cool. Thank you.
We will circle back.
Operator
Thank you. Next question is from Aditya Soman from CLSA.
Please go ahead.
Aditya Soman
Yeah. Hi.
Good evening, and two questions, largely on quick commerce. Firstly, in terms of the guidance on contribution, how sacrosanct is that?
In a sense, at what level of growth would you accept for the breakeven to happen? Because we've seen growth decelerate both sort of at least sequentially in this quarter, and is actually meaningfully lower than the other competitor that reported numbers.
From that perspective, with the cash balance that you have, how do you decide the balance between growth and achieving that contribution breakeven? Then the second question, on the same lines, we've seen sort of prices of late on Max Saver not being very different from just the standard app.
Does that mean that that initiative on Max Saver seems to be a little bit on the back burner now, as the focus on contribution margin improves?
Amitesh Jha
Yeah. See, the way to think about it is that growth and contribution margin are separate paths, at least in our head.
The way that we are looking at our business is growth has many reasons for not happening. One of them primarily is obviously the irrationality in the market, which has impacted both the listed peers in this particular space.
We believe that irrationality will continue and will have a headwind on our growth, and something that we have already factored in when we gave the contribution margin kind of guidance as well. The other thing is what I told about, there are two aspects of our contribution margin story.
First thing will be about the structural margin improvement that we keep on going, and the second part is how much of the discretionary investment that we want to earn. One other thing that we have taken up as a very clear output of all of it is that we are not going to throw good money at bad growth, and that is something that we are fully committed to.
That for us is the reason why we will never compromise good growth for any good margin. Yes, we may compromise bad growth, and something that we are willing to do it as well, because we don't believe that is going to be a sustainable advantage in the future.
That's the reason we believe that, yes, we'll have the right growth that we should be having for our ultimate goal of being the market leader is essentially addressed, and also make sure that we are at the right contribution margin. On the Max Saver...
Sorry, go ahead. You have a follow-up?
Aditya Soman
Just to follow up on that. For me, where I'm struggling a little bit is, obviously your growth compared with, let's say Blinkit is a lot lower, and at the same time, we see the other competitors discount heavily.
In this sort of environment, when you say that your target is obviously becoming market leader, how do you make that balance, right, between contribution? I understand that there are structural elements to that improvement in margin, which you explain, which I'm cognizant of, but obviously a large part is also sort of discounting.
What I want to understand is at what point does that take a backseat, in the sense that you will say that look, it's fine if we even do it in two quarters later, but for now competing for that customer is more relevant. Or that's not...
Amitesh Jha
Absolutely. No.
I think one other thing is very, very clear. If the ambition is real market leadership, it's never going to happen by spending tons of good money on essentially buying growth.
We believe that the irrationality of that growth is so high that it is leading to customer switching from one platform to the other without having any kind of loyalty. What we look forward as good growth is a customer that will stick to the platform, who are going to come back again and again compared to whatever the other people are essentially giving.
What works in this case is the value prop that you are essentially giving to the end consumer. We believe that our assortment, our way of approaching on what customers really require and making sure that we give that assortment is the way to essentially market leadership.
If the question is can we do more numbers just because we want to show higher OPD? Yes, it can be easily done by simply putting money into what we call as growth.
We don't believe it is actually structural growth. The right structural growth is putting investment into area that is sustainable over the long run, and that will really give you an opportunity to be the market leader, rather than just saying that okay, let me buy growth because it allows me to say that I have done a higher OPD.
We believe that is the right path. That is the path that we have always committed to, and we are essentially reiterating that commitment by saying that we'll be at CM zero in the quarter of AMG.
Aditya Soman
All right, understood. Yeah.
Amitesh Jha
Yeah. On the Max Saver bit, I think that was another question.
Actually, that habit building is actually quite successful. The OND quarter was also kind of different because it is pegged by a lot of what you call as non-grocery item sales as well.
The Max Saver slightly becomes irrelevant in this particular quarter. Essentially, that said, we always keep on doing slight changes in the way our investment goes between Max Saver and non-MaxSaver.
A part of that is also because what we saw happening in this particular quarter. We reiterate our commitment to Max Saver to make sure that the people who are already used to buying a higher basket, giving the overall platform better probability in terms of revenue per order.
We are absolutely committed to that, and you will see that essentially happening in this quarter next as well.
Aditya Soman
Just to follow up on that Max Saver point, I understand where you're coming from, but does this in some ways encourage sort of cart-building behavior, which in effect takes away that advantage of quick delivery? In a sense that then people are building cart over a period of time to make that order, so that the relevance of quick delivery may not be so important, and then some of the sort of slotted delivery players also become competitors.
Amitesh Jha
See, and this is something that we have spoken in multiple forums, the way to think about it is there is a customer mission, when they say that they want to build a bigger basket. You have to make sure that the proposition that you give is appealing to them.
That is the path that we have always followed in this particular thing. Speed is important because I think one other thing that has happened because of advent of quick commerce, a lot of baskets that were earlier a part of what you would call as planned purchases are moving towards smaller baskets, though relatively still larger compared to the discretionary purchases that we have, that will still essentially remain.
We believe that the behavior shift from having month-long planned purchase to week-long planned purchase will essentially keep on happening, and MaxSaver actually addresses that. There is no way going out of it.
At some point of time, as I said earlier, everyone has to address that, and that is a way of making sure that all wallets of the consumers come to us. We are fully committed to it.
The other thing on MaxSaver is also that the retention of MaxSaver is actually similar or higher than what we see for non-MaxSaver customers. The belief on that is also very strong.
Aditya Soman
Totally clear. Thank you so much.
Operator
Thank you. Next question is from Mr.
Sudheer Guntupalli from Kotak Mahindra. Please go ahead.
Sudheer Guntupalli
Hi, Harshant. Thanks for the opportunity.
A few questions. Your AOV, both on gross and net basis, has seen a strong increase Qoq, despite you actually experimenting with this cart-breaking behavior of No fee above 299 rupees.
How much of this AOV increase is structural? Is there any element of seasonality or mix shift which has also contributed to this strong AOV increase, especially in this quarter?
Amitesh Jha
This quarter we will, because of the seasonality or the nature of the business, yes, it is a lot that. That said, structurally we are still moving up, is the headline that I would still want to keep.
Obviously the amount of movement that you see in this quarter is heavily moved because of seasonality.
Sudheer Guntupalli
Sure, Amitesh. Second question is on the OPD metric.
In this business, if we believe that OPD is a vanity metric anyways, why are we even responding to competition from unlisted players, especially on the cart downsizing or breaking behavior? Especially in the backdrop of other listed players choosing not to respond.
Why not just focus on MaxSaver and other initiatives where we seem to be doing well and that seem to be working for us?
Amitesh Jha
I'll focus on maybe trying to address how does it impact our consumer base and why at some point of time people respond and some kind of time people don't respond. There are two kinds of customers that you can think of in any portfolio.
One consumer is a sticky customer. You don't want that customer to go away for sure.
Thankfully that doesn't get impacted because of this. That is where MaxSaver comes in play, all the other proposition.
There are early users who are very important for us, who are in the path toward becoming matured user and frequent user for us. It is important for us to make sure that the value prop to them is not getting diluted by irrationality in the market.
That is done by everyone. Everyone.
If you look the way people have responded, either it could be because of the no-fee construct that we took, either it could be because of lowering the minimum order value. All of that is something that essentially happens.
Now even in this thing, the way we approached our no-fee construct was always to make sure what we spoke about is to make sure that the right consumer behavior is being addressed. That's the reason we didn't go to the 99 rupees, which would have been the easiest OPD vanity metric to go after.
We didn't go that because we wanted to change the behavior, and it is reflecting that. It is reflecting on the consumers who are more matured, actually growing faster than actually any other cohort.
It basically shows that customers are becoming more sticky to our platform. We believe such kind of interventions now and then will always be required, and that is the reason why we want the flexibility in where we spend.
That said, of course, I completely agree with you, OPD, vanity metrics that just goes on, how much I can get from the same customer at 99 rupees or even slightly higher rate than that, is absolutely not conducive to the way we are building our platform.
Sudheer Guntupalli
Understood, and in the investor letter you mentioned that almost 90 basis points of contribution margin expansion was reinvested into this No fee above 299 rupees campaign. Is it fair to assume that in the absence of this, the reported revenue and EBITDA would have been higher by around 70-80 crore?
An extension of this question, now that you are saying that this campaign has found limited success so far, are we sort of pulling back on this scheme?
Rahul Bothra
Hi, Rahul. Yeah.
See, I think yes, we had guided that we are going to improve it by 250 basis points over the three quarters. Towards that there are structural improvements that we absolutely banked.
So 100 basis points improvement is something that we got in the previous quarter. Some of it got reinvested, actually more than 100 basis points got reinvested in some of these campaigns, which was also an experiment to test how are these new users being acquired, are they going to remain sticky on the platform.
When we saw limited adoption and retention, we have decided to change some of these constructs. Now we do retain the flexibility to continue to invest behind the right experiments.
I don't think we are going to give up the growth ambition that we have. The same time going after any kind of growth is something which is not on the playbook anymore, at least not for us.
We want to remain focused and over the next two quarters getting 250 basis points with some of these reversals as well as some of the investment choices that we are going to make, we think the commitment is very high to be able to do that.
Sudheer Guntupalli
Sure Rahul. Just on the math, the 89 crore hit at both reported revenue line and EBITDA line would have been a fair assessment, right, if we were to contextualize that 100 bits of reversal?
Rahul Bothra
That's right. As I said, we don't want to give specific numbers on how much that initiative cost, but broadly you are right that because we didn't show any high improvement in the CM, most of the gains got reinvested and it would be in the zip code of the numbers that you are mentioning.
Sudheer Guntupalli
Just a last question, GOV to NOV conversion, that has come down by around 100 basis points from last quarter to this quarter. Is this a function of higher discounting from our balance sheet, or is this because of the shift of mix away from grocery into consumer durables, etc., which also ties up with the seasonality thing that Amitesh was mentioning earlier.
Rahul Bothra
A large part of the shift is the seasonality one because being a festive quarter there are a lot more non-grocery selection that gets added. We do believe that it should not go significantly further from here, and with some of the initiatives on us being able to monetize better, this should start inching up.
Because also, as we have seen, our non-grocery has now crossed 30%, we also don't see significant headroom to continue expanding. We do believe that it will expand, but not at the same pace anymore.
Some of the monetization initiatives will mean that the NOV-GOV ratio will start converging on the higher side.
Sudheer Guntupalli
Fair enough. Just one clarification.
This is basically the shift of mix towards non-grocery. Basically, it's the difference between MRP prices and the actual sale prices that the brand might be doing.
It might not necessarily be because we are discounting on our end.
Rahul Bothra
Oh no, that's right. That's right.
It's the list price versus what the customer ultimately pays, and therefore some of these have lower market operating prices compared to the list price.
Sudheer Guntupalli
Fair enough. Thank you so much and all the very best.
Operator
Thank you. Next question is from Mr.
Gaurav Rateria from Morgan Stanley, please go ahead.
Gaurav Rateria
Hi, am I audible?
Operator
Yes, go ahead, Gaurav.
Gaurav Rateria
Yeah. My first question is on your CM, the quick commerce business.
It was really heartening to see 100 basis points of margin improvement. Is it the same pace at which one should assume organic margin expansion because of network operating leverage in the next two quarters, and along with that there will be some benefit of reversal of some of the campaigns, which will lead you to break-even?
What it really means in terms of percentage of stores that will be CM positive, which is 45% as of now?
Rahul Bothra
Yeah. Gaurav, on a reported basis we haven't shown that improvement, as we have talked about it.
There are structural levers that continue to move northward, and therefore our ability to navigate to this CM zero and then get into a positive territory remains high.
Gaurav Rateria
Sorry. My second question is on your expansion.
If you see, your space expansion was almost 100% YOY, which also coincides very much with the GOV growth. The current pace of expansion is implying that the overall space will grow at 20-25%, if this is the pace that continues over the next few quarters.
My question is, how much improvement in throughput can really happen from a 12-month point of view? I know that you have mentioned that you can go to 2x of GOV from throughput perspective over a period of time.
That is the kind of headroom that you have. From a 12-month perspective, if the space is going to grow at 20-25%, how much throughput really can improve, which will be the key driver behind the GOV growth?
Thank you.
Rahul Bothra
Yeah. See, we will not give specific guidance, but over the last couple of quarters, you may have seen that our utilization has gone up above 5%.
We do believe that there is significant headroom in the near term. Getting a 25-30% increase in our throughput per store is a near-term target.
Now how quickly can we get there? Again, there is a combination of both AOV-led growth as well as volume growth.
Again, within volume, there are certain cohorts that we are currently not participating in or not willing to participate in. Depending on how the market overall plays out, we do believe, and our overall store strategy, the network is well laid out in terms of number of cities, also in terms of densification, speed of the network.
We have all the right consumer inputs in place without having the need to necessarily add significantly more number of stores, apart from densification, which we will continue to do. You will see a certain pace of store additions.
At the same time, the headroom remains large, and our ability to therefore demonstrate operating leverage is very, very high over the next three to four quarters.
Gaurav Rateria
Thank you very much.
Operator
Thank you. Next question is from Sachin Salgaonkar from Bank of America.
Please go ahead. Sachin Salgaonkar (Managing Director of APAC Telcos, Media and Tech analyst, Bank of America):
Sachin Salgaonkar
Hi, thanks for the opportunity. My first question is on quick commerce.
When we look at the revenue growth, it's slower as compared to last few quarters. When we look at absolute losses, it's actually higher.
Now I do understand Amitesh's earlier comment that it's the irrational competition which is leading to headwinds of growth. The question out there is, if you are not seeing growth, does it make sense to spend so much on marketing?
How far are we away from a point where EBITDA losses have peaked, and going ahead we should see absolute amount of losses coming down?
Rahul Bothra
Yeah. Sachin, I think we have to call this out, that with the couple of quarters of guidance that we're giving on CM, there's also the marketing interventions that you are rightly observing that we would like to make.
We are calling out that this would be the peak of the investments. From here on gradually you will see that reduction happening, both on the CM line as well as operating leverage being driven, apart from rationalization of some of the marketing spending.
These are some of the levers that are in our hand, and we are going to modulate this in terms of the overall aspiration on the kind of quality of growth or the quality of underlying growth that we are going after. There is room for us to be able to navigate some of these and rationalize them.
The choices are built in. It's hard for me to then tell you that we don't want to go after continued good-quality growth.
Wherever pockets of good-quality growth will be seen, we will continue to invest. We are not giving up our aspirations.
At the same time, choosing some of the right quality of investment for the right kind of growth is something that we are committing ourselves to.
Sachin Salgaonkar
Sachin Salgaonkar (Managing Director of APAC Telcos, Media and Tech analyst, Bank of America): On a basis, is it fair to conclude that revenue growth could be a bit slower as long as irrational competition remains high, but losses going ahead should start going down on EBITDA basis?
Rahul Bothra
Yes, yes. As I said, slightly, in terms of absolute guidance on growth is a little hard from where we stand, considering all that's happening in the market.
At the same time, our ability to navigate on the overall, say, burn profile, EBITDA, as well as contribution margins remains high because a lot of these are inputs which we are in control of. I think in terms of volume growth, some of this is market-determined.
At the same time, some of the cohort, adding more baskets, attach rates, overall selection increase, helping us to continue to add a lot more consumer missions, that remains very high. Sachin, on your question on adjusted revenue growth being lower, that's mainly because of the no-fee construct.
Sachin Salgaonkar
Sachin Salgaonkar (Managing Director of APAC Telcos, Media and Tech analyst, Bank of America): That's here to stay, right? That's what we are talking.
As long as competition is high, that's here to stay.
Rahul Bothra
No. As we have called that we are making some choices around changing or tweaking some of these investments.
You will see more of this with the days ahead. That's not a permanent feature, is what we want to call out.
Sachin Salgaonkar (Managing Director of APAC Telcos, Media and Tech analyst, Bank of America):
Sachin Salgaonkar
Okay. My second question is when I look at your GMV growth for last four quarters and compare it with revenue growth, revenue growth is lower than GMV growth.
In effect, the implied take rate has been coming down. Is this primarily driven by mix shift?
Could this continue to come down going ahead?
Rahul Bothra
Yes, largely it is mix, and in the latest quarter it's also to do with some of the consumer-side fees that we chose to give up. We are focused on continuing to improve the base margins, and now that we believe the mix overall will start stabilizing, you should see the take rate starting to inch up.
Sachin Salgaonkar (Managing Director of APAC Telcos, Media and Tech analyst, Bank of America):
Sachin Salgaonkar
Got it. Lastly, any color on competition on the ground in the last few months?
I understand it's irrational, but is it coming down? Is it increasing?
Basis that, given the cash balance what you have versus a quarterback, any change of strategy from you guys?
Amitesh Jha
The competition that we saw, that we started, in fact from October itself, will essentially remain, and it has remained at a similar level. We believe that it will also remain at the similar.
There are essentially new entrants in the market who are also amping the amount of money being spent on the consumer, and obviously there are players who are existing in the market who are also at the same level. We believe that, in general, a lot of that is not leading to overall healthy consumer growth, as we essentially call it.
The healthy consumer, the way we define it, is in consumers who come to quick commerce and stick to quick commerce for the right reasons, increasing their basket size and everything. Wherever we have seen a growth in orders for any of these platforms, the basket sizes have not increased; in fact it has gone down by a lot.
Yes, that's the reason we chose not to be in that particular space, at the point where we believe that our proposition is working, our proposition of assortment, our proposition of availability, our proposition of making sure that we give assortment that people have not seen in other places are the things that are structurally going to make this movement possible, and make it also resistant in the future to any of these kind of activities that will keep on happening in a fast-growing market.
Sachin Salgaonkar
Sachin Salgaonkar (Managing Director of APAC Telcos, Media and Tech analyst, Bank of America): Quick follow-up to what you mentioned. We see new entrants, but when you look at the value proposition new entrants are bringing to consumers, do you see it largely a me-too kind of a value proposition where discounting is the only weapon being used, or are there anything structural with some of these new guys are doing, or differentiated, which allows them to be a sort of a sustainable, credible competitor in the medium term?
Amitesh Jha
I will be very, very if it was the case, and would have come and said that, okay, for that we need to really defend ourselves. Thankfully, we are not seeing any of the new entrants playing that game.
They are going after the vanity, the metric of orders, not on the orders that really matter to the end consumer. We believe there is a cycle that everyone has to go through.
They will go through, and it will come back to the same proposition, that the retention of the customer only happens where the core value proposition is at that level, and which is what we are essentially going after. Yes, I am very less worried because of those reasons.
Sachin Salgaonkar (Managing Director of APAC Telcos, Media and Tech analyst, Bank of America):
Sachin Salgaonkar
All right. Thank you.
All the best.
Operator
Thank you very much. I request all the participants, kindly restrict to two questions per participant and rejoin the queue for a follow-up question.
Next question is from Manav Gaurav Malhotra, from Axis Securities. Please go ahead.
Gaurav Malhotra
Hi. Thanks for the opportunity.
I had a few questions. On this letting go of, say, the lower-quality growth, to speak, essentially, the newer users who are coming in, for whatever reason, right, for discounting or whatever, we are sort of okay to let go of that.
At a time when the company is well capitalized, the penetration of quick commerce is still quite low, right, you rightly pointed out, wouldn't it become more expensive for you to get these subscribers when things settle down? Because, like you said, competition is not settling down anytime soon.
How do we think about letting go of this growth now, but then having to possibly spend a lot more to gain these subscribers back later on?
Amitesh Jha
There are two cohorts which are very important for us: matured customers and new customers. Anybody who is infrequents on the platform are those who do what we call as multi-apping behavior just based on free discount.
Our investment in new user will remain. Getting out, making sure that new customers come to our platform is something that we are fully committed to and we'll keep on doing that.
Our investment to make them move from new user to matured user on our platform will be based on structural aspects, and we believe that that particular part is still essentially working on. In that, there will always be some fallouts, or some customers who move out, who are very discount seekers.
We are absolutely okay to do that, to let that go, because we believe in the end, ultimately when they look at quick commerce, the only thing that will matter to them is what assortment they are getting, what availability and how fast they get. Which is where we believe that our proposition will work better than any of the new players who are essentially coming in.
Yes, acquiring customers still remains a P0 priority, making sure that they move to a matured customer is also a P0 priority, investing good money into a bad way of making sure they move to matured customer is not a priority at all, because all of them will move out as soon as that money is actually pulled up, which everyone has to do at some point of time.
Gaurav Malhotra
Any sense on how has your market share sort of moved, say in Bangalore or any sort of larger region, if you're more comfortable with that, say versus in North India? Any sense how you're seeing how the market share for you has been moving?
Amitesh Jha
We don't comment about market share movement, but what I will talk about is that yes, large cities are still growing, the cities that we are in are still growing extremely fast, the headroom in growth is still at the level that we had assumed essentially earlier. Yes, that commitment to the cities that we are in will always remain.
Market share movement is something that we won't be commenting on.
Gaurav Malhotra
Just last one or two questions, sorry I'm hopping a little bit on this market share. In your shareholder letter, and you have also mentioned that you are sort of rethinking about these waivers, because they don't seem to be helping as much.
Obviously one competition is going with it. The other listed player also did due to being a little bit more aggressive and giving some sort of waivers during the January month.
What would change this current thought process of yours if you start sort of seeing market share shifts happening? Would that become sort of a trigger point for you?
Amitesh Jha
See, the way to think about it is that if we are losing customers, if our funnel from new user to matured user is significantly contracting, I would have agreed to you. That is the reason we wanted to invest in the month of November and December and in January also to make sure that we see if it is happening or not.
It is very important to see what is the behavior of the user when the market intensity is extremely high, and which is what we did. We believe that we have learned a lot, essentially a lot from that.
That is the reason why our confidence on moving back and making sure that we arrive at the right mix of where we spend and where we don't spend is there, and which is what we have done. Last few months have been figure out what works, what actually doesn't work, and now we are being on the path to make sure that wherever we didn't want to spend, we are not spending.
That market share movement in, again, order terms, is not a consumer market share movement, and that is what I want to call it out again and again. That is what we are.
Operator
Thank you. I request to come back for a follow-up question.
I request all the participants, kindly restrict to two questions per participant and rejoin the queue for a follow-up question. Next question is from Manav Manish Poddar from Invesco Asset Management.
Please go ahead.
Manish Poddar
Hey, I'm just trying to understand a couple of things, again probably which a lot of participants asked. Amitesh, sitting out, let's say when I look at the journey, let's say last two, three quarters, and this is primarily for QC, right?
A lot has been talked about competition, but you look at the metrics, let's say in terms of order growth, in terms of orders per store, in terms of losses, they are still probably not there, right? This guidance of contribution margin breakeven by, let's say, Q1, a delta swing of about 20 rupees, you look at food and QC both, I haven't seen that in both the players in the last so many quarters happening.
I'm just trying to think about, sitting out as an investor, how should one really? Because there is no metric to gauge whether this is structural consumer, tactical consumer, good consumer, bad consumer.
There is no metric to track market share. How should one gain confidence on what you're trying to say, whether two quarters out or let's say three, four quarters out also you'll become contribution breakeven.
Other than just, let's say, the broader, when we look, because there are multiple lines which you can play in the P&L, right? It's a function of market and market adoption.
I'm just trying to gauge, one has to get some circle of confidence. There is no consumer metrics.
How should one draw any confidence on that? I think that's the broader message which I want to understand.
Thanks so much for this.
Amitesh Jha
Yeah. No, no, absolutely.
See, since the peak of the earlier cycle of investment, we have moved our contribution margin by a lot. In fact, the last quarter that we had, we had significantly improved, and the path to contribution margin was also very clear at that point of time.
Now, the reason why it moved was also because we were getting our structural cost, advertising revenue, and the other wasteful expenditure in line with what our growth was essentially looking at. Now, that particular path will essentially go on, and we don't see a reason why that will essentially move.
The way to look at that number is that there is an event that happened in this particular quarter where the competition significantly increased. We invested a part or some of that essentially money into understanding what is happening in that market and how should we respond.
We figured out how we should actually respond, and then we are now looking back at the rightful expenditure across the board as well. The quarterly movement of structural improvement in CM is happening, and will continue to happen as well.
Rahul Bothra
Yeah. Just to add on, Manish Rahul here, if you look at between the March to September quarter of the previous calendar year, we added actually 300 basis points.
As we said, we need to solve for 250 basis points over the next two quarters. The confidence remains pretty high.
There are enough levers, as you have also identified, for us to be able to navigate that.
Manish Poddar
Rahul, actually, I'm sorry, I'm just trying to understand still. Because if you look at absolute numbers and just percentage numbers, when you look at absolute numbers, contribution is in the tune of 200 crores, still loss on a quarterly basis.
With that number is still in that 800-900 crores quarterly loss. Percentages, and there is NOI percentages and stuff like that.
I'm just trying to look at, absolute number to move is a big task. I'm not trying to even hold you for Q1 or Q3.
Where I'm trying to gauge, or at least trying to get some confidence, is there some metric which you all can share, let's say, which gives us, in terms of quality of customer, which you are talking about, or market share in key cities, which at least gives some sort of confidence that, if you're leaving some growth, which was not good growth, how should one differentiate? Because otherwise, it's possible two more quarters down the line you come.
Because if you've seen the last six quarters since the listing, there have been a couple of times where you have earlier said that you'll break even, or there were goalposts, which got derailed. I'm just trying to understand from metrics, not trying to hold you to any guidance.
I'm just trying to hold for any metrics which can give us comfort sitting out, and probably post next result. I'm just trying to get some confidence on that.
I think if you look at absolute numbers, they are still in that minus 200 crores and minus 900 crores on a quarterly basis.
Rahul Bothra
One thing we can tell you is that when we get to zero, your negative 200 crores of contribution will become zero. There will be this delta movement in terms of absolute cash loss that you will definitely see.
Now which lines we will touch is slightly competitively sensitive. You will obviously understand that why we can't give you that specific waterfall.
The fact that we have reiterated our guidance despite the competitive pressure that everybody is talking about, you should therefore rely on that. Obviously the job is for us to execute on that.
Do hold us accountable to this. And
Amitesh Jha
Manish, from an overall loss perspective, at the peak of loss...
Manish Poddar
Sorry, Rahul, Amitesh, it's not about the waterfall. It's more about, let's say, metrics, let's say in terms of consumer quality or cohort of consumers or market share by regions, which probably draws us comfort.
Let's say in your core cities you're doing well versus new cities. Some sort of color on that is what probably I'm talking about, not trying to triangulate a bridge or for anything.
That's what I'm trying to get the broader message. Yeah.
Rahul Bothra
See, we have given some specific numbers in the past, right? Our largest city is already contribution margin positive.
A quarter of our network is already contribution margin positive. That continues to get better and better, right?
Beyond this, it'll be honestly difficult for us to share specifics. We do want you to take it that there are sufficient levers which are in our control despite what's happening in the market.
Therefore the guidance hasn't changed. Despite us, say, meeting from the last quarter, I think all of us will agree that the intensity has gone up, and despite that we are maintaining our guidance.
Operator
Thank you. Next question is from the line of Abhishek Banerjee from ICICI Securities.
Please go ahead.
Abhisek Banerjee
Yeah. Just first of all, great performance on food delivery there.
Just wanted to understand one thing. On the growth part, obviously you mentioned that you will want to watch out for another quarter before you talk on the sustainability of growth.
As far as the margin improvement is concerned, we saw that contribution margin improved by about 30 basis points, and you have said that it has come from efficiency improvement. Now do you see further room for improvement there, especially in the context of gig workers talking about increasing their payouts, etc.?
Rahul Bothra
Sure. I think our effort is to continue to increase the contribution margin, and you would have seen that despite some pressure on take rates because of the overall consumer side fee coming down, we have been able to grow our contribution margin by 30 basis points in the previous quarter.
From here on, our guidance of steady state remains solid. We will get to 4.5 to 5% of gross order value, and that will happen as a combination of both CM margin as well as operating leverage that we have demonstrated, right?
Over the last four quarters, you may have observed that we've added 70 basis points on operating leverage, and you should continue to expect a large part of that to continue to happen over the next two quarters, and then the balance will come through the CM gains. In terms of the gig economy question, I think obviously these are still work in progress in terms of the legislation overall developing.
Whatever we have seen doesn't give us any shock element. There could be a small impact, but that would be a pass-through impact and therefore no impact on our P&L due to that.
We'll obviously know more when it is finally approved.
Abhisek Banerjee
No. I was trying to understand whether you have managed to reduce your waiting times or whether there has been some sort of batching that you are doing.
What is driving this improvement? Can you give us some idea?
Rohit Kapoor
Look, I think this is Rohit here, just adding on to what Rahul said. If you look at the contribution margin, delivery cost reduction in it is just one component of seven or eight components which drive contribution margin, right?
There the efficiencies will not come from reduction in earnings per hour of people, but more from ability to get the network to way higher productivity levels, which is, as you mentioned, intelligent batching, right? Not in an ad hoc way, which we do to some extent already, and that moderates as per requirement of the density of orders, regions, zones, as well as the orders per hour, right?
Two messages: one, that it is not going to be driven by delivery cost only, but probably six or seven factor line items which we keep pulling northward, right? We don't, at this point in time, see risks on P&L from delivery worker standpoint.
I think we feel satisfied on that on two fronts: one is the legislation with the central government is largely positive in nature. Of course, we'll wait for the final details.
Second, as we see the earnings per hour and the benefits that we are offering, there is a lot more to be done. It will continue to progress, but we don't see that as a negative pressure on the P&L so far.
Contribution margin improvement will, in the medium term, continue. It will be guided by only one or two things: one is seasonality for the business.
In certain quarters, you'll have seasonality, and second is when we want to make a selective investment into certain cohorts of acquiring customers, but longitudinally, as you can expect us to stay on track with the guidance we have given.
Operator
Thank you. Abhishek, I'll request to come back for a follow-up.
I request to all the participants, kindly restrict to one question per participant, the management can address questions from all the participants. Next question is from line of Garima Mishra from Kotak Securities.
Please go ahead.
Garima Mishra
Hi, thanks for the opportunity. On the Instamart business, right, you added roughly 0.8 million MTUs this quarter, which was slightly lower than the 2Q addition.
How do you expect this figure to move going forward, and can this number be actually maintained at this point, 8 million level?
Amitesh Jha
See, the overall MTU that we are seeing is kind of similar percentages that we were seeing essentially earlier. We don't give guidance in terms of what is the exact amount that we see, but just to give you a construct of how we are looking at it, it is a combination of how many new customers we acquire and how many we have retained.
Our MTU in the RU base is actually quite healthy and increasing. Our NU retention or the NU base is where the headwind is, which I spoke about earlier as well, the competition headwind that is there.
We believe that competition still remains at the same place, the similar kind of movement keeps on happening. The RU retention is something that we are looking at maintaining and increasing, and that will mean that the overall MTU addition will keep on being in the same ballpark.
Operator
Thank you. Next question is from line of Ankur Rudra from JPMorgan.
Please go ahead.
Ankur Rudra
Hey, thank you. Just a question on the contribution margin discussion earlier.
You said that 25% of the stores are positive and the CM per order actually was sent to 19 rupees per order this time. I'm just curious of two things: one, what percentage of stores will need to be positive to break even over the next two quarters, and related, if growth slows down, as you've alluded to earlier in the call, maybe sequentially if your order volume decline given competitive intensity, et cetera, you want to give away orders, won't that hurt your throughput and hence this target?
Rahul Bothra
Hi Ankur, Rahul here. See, I think store itself is not a determinant or unit of our P&L, right?
While we talk about in the sense of a store, what we really look at is polygons. More than half roughly of our business in terms of the polygon will have to be CM positive for that to happen.
Today that number would be closer to 30-35%. I think sequentially, as we continue to add the monetization layers as well as the cost coming through with better utilization, the journey of contribution margin and therefore the polygons themselves becoming positive will continue to happen.
Operator
Thank you. Next question is from line of Nikhil Choudhary from Nuvama Wealth Management.
Please go ahead.
Nikhil Choudhary
Hi. Thanks for the opportunity.
Just wanted to probe your comment on cutting investment, especially on marketing. While I understand your decision to cut spend, especially on poor order quality or lower order quality, but why not redirect those investment towards new customer acquisition?
Especially at a time when competition is increasing, and we are already sitting on unused capacity as well as we now have lean forward spend.
Amitesh Jha
Our marketing investment will be on acquiring the new customers as well. There are other investments that we do for retention that comes also into marketing, is where most of the movement in the marketing investment will happen.
The fundamental of making sure that the new users are acquired at the right rate is important for the health of the business. If we don't do that, the future growth actually gets hit, and that is a path that we have not taken earlier also, and we don't want to take in the future as well.
New user investment will not get it in this.
Nikhil Choudhary
Got it. Amitesh, but my question was more why not redirect those savings in more towards new user acquisition, especially we have so much capacity.
Amitesh Jha
When you mean new user acquisition, if I'm assuming it means below CM?
Nikhil Choudhary
Really we look at the marginal utility of the dollars invested and the overall user and the kind of users that we are getting. We are optimizing on that.
The idea is not to cut our new users additional growth. The idea is to look at optimizing that expenditure, right?
If that's the question.
Amitesh Jha
New user acquisition comes in marketing and investment. The overall optimization for that still remains, and we want to make sure that that is not a number that we are going to tinker with.
Operator
Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, due to time constraints, we will take the last question from line of Kunal Vora from BNP Paribas Mutual Fund.
Please go ahead.
Kunal Vora
Thank you. Just one question.
Can you talk about the path from contribution break-even to adjusted EBITDA break-even? How long will it take, and what will be the driver?
Will we continue expanding contribution margin, or is there a scope to lower marketing and other things?
Rahul Bothra
I think this is a question that we won't be able to answer today. I think the journey is very clear.
We want to continue to show better operating leverage while getting to CM positive. Even over the last two, three, four quarters, you may have seen that our EBITDA percentage of gross order value continues to go down.
I think it will be an appropriate time, maybe a couple of quarters later, for us to give you some sense on that. For now it's hard for us to give you specific guidance on the EBITDA break-even.
So
Kunal Vora
we are surprised to say that as we go from minus 200 right now to break-even, that will reflect in the adjusted EBITDA as well, losses declining to at least quarter action.
Rahul Bothra
Absolutely, absolutely. That is something that we have already called out, that this should be the peak of the investment, and roughly as we get to zero, 200 crores gets unlocked immediately from the CM line itself, apart from some of the interventions that we may choose to do below CM line as well.
Operator
Thank you very much. Ladies and gentlemen, that will be the last question.
On behalf of Swiggy Limited, that concludes this conference. Thank you for joining us, and you may now disconnect your lines.
Thank you.
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