Vedanta Limited

Vedanta Limited

226.00
INR
-7.00
(-3.00%)
961.38BMarket Cap
Nov 06Next Earn

Q3 FY2026 · Earnings Call TranscriptJanuary 29, 2026

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, good day, and welcome to Vedanta Limited's Third Quarter Financial Year 2025-26 Earnings Conference Call. As a reminder, all participant lines will be in the listen-only mode, and there will be an opportunity for you to ask questions after the presentation concludes.

Should you need assistance during the conference call, please signal an operator by pressing star, then zero on your touchtone phone. Please note that this conference is being recorded.

Participants connected on webcast link may change the quality settings to 1080p to watch the proceedings on best quality. I now hand the conference over to Mr.

Charanjit Singh, Group Head, Investor Relations, Vedanta. Thank you, and over to you, sir.

Charanjit Singh

Thank you, Yash. Good evening, everyone, and welcome to Vedanta Limited's Q3 FY26 earnings call.

On behalf of team Vedanta, I thank you all for joining us today. I hope you had the chance to look at our press release, earnings presentation, and the detailed financial statements.

On this call from Vedanta side, we have with us Ms. Deshnee Naidoo, Group CEO; Mr.

Arun Misra, our Executive Director; Mr. Ajay Goel, Group CFO; Mr.

Rajeev Kumar, CEO, Aluminium Business; Mr. Anup Agarwal, CFO, Aluminium Business; Mr.

Yasin Sahurti, COO, Oil & Gas; and Mr. Rajinder Singh Ahuja, CEO, Power Business.

We will begin with the business and operational update from Ms. Naidoo, followed by an update on the financial highlights by Mr.

Ajay Goel, and thereafter we'll open the lines for Q&A. With this, I now hand over the call to Ms.

Naidoo. Over to you, Deshnee.

Deshnee Naidoo

Thank you, Charanjit. Good evening, everyone.

It is a privilege to address you once again as I present our performance for the third quarter of FY26, a period marked by record operational achievements, key transformational milestones in Vedanta's 2.0 journey. We achieved our best-ever quarterly EBITDA of ₹15,171 crore, while also recording our lifetime high revenue and PAT of ₹45,899 crore and ₹7,807 crore, respectively.

Notably, two of our businesses delivered their best-ever EBITDA, resulting in a consolidated EBITDA margin of 41%, a historic high for Vedanta, representing a year-on-year increase of 629 basis points. Quarter three has truly been one for the books, with Vedanta recording significant milestones on all fronts: operational, capital-related, and corporate actions.

Firstly, the key operational milestones: We delivered our highest-ever quarterly and nine-month alumina and aluminium production, with quarterly alumina output rising 57% year-on-year to around 0.8 million tonnes. We are well on track to deliver our full-year volume guidance of around 3 million tonnes, a new record in Vedanta's history.

Our aluminium business recorded its lowest hot metal cost of the last 17 quarters at $1,674 per tonne, better than our full-year guidance of $1,700 to $1,750 per tonne. This improvement is primarily driven by the $110 per tonne quarter-on-quarter decline in power cost after the maintenance of our captive power plant in quarter two.

HZL recorded its highest-ever mined metal and refined metal output, with both items registering 79% increase quarter-on-quarter and 4% year-on-year. Like our aluminium business, Hindustan Zinc also delivered its five-year lowest production cost at $940 per tonne, 6% better than our cost guidance for FY26.

At our Zinc International business, the Gamsberg mine delivered its best-ever recovery at around 85% in December, with the third-quarter production surging 28% year-on-year and nine-month volumes increasing 38% year-on-year in line with our full-year guidance. Our power business is on track to deliver an outperformance against our annual guidance, with Athena recording a PLF of 72% in quarter three, which is an 11% increase over guidance.

Our iron and steel businesses delivered a record nine-month pig iron production of 680,000 tonnes, that's an 11% increase year-on-year, and billet production of 775,000 tonnes, 13% increase year-on-year. In oil and gas, our average gross production stood at 85,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day.

Owing to various interventions across our wells, the decline in the rate of base volume at our existing oilfields has dropped from 18% to 13% over the first nine months. These achievements were aided by strategic capacity additions and the completion of debottlenecking initiatives, reflecting our strong commitment towards achieving the guidance given at the beginning of the year.

Again, these milestones have been achieved across all five businesses. Our aluminium business reported three major commissionings: first, the addition of the 1.5 million tonnes per annum Train 2 at our refinery in Lanjigarh, thereby taking our total alumina production capacity to 5 million tonnes per annum; second, the production of first metal from the new 435,000 tonnes per annum BALCO smelter; and third is the commissioning of the first 125,000 tonnes per annum billet line as part of the 250,000 tonnes per annum project at the Jharsuguda plant.

Zinc India business commissioned its 160,000 tonnes per annum Debari roaster and completed the debottlenecking projects at Chanderiya and Dariba smelters, which added 21,000 tonnes per annum to our refined zinc capacity. The Gamsberg Phase 2 project at our Zinc International business is almost 90% complete, with commissioning being targeted in the next quarter.

The power business added 1.3 gigawatts of new capacity at Meenakshi and Athena power plants. Currently, Meenakshi has entered into a short- and medium-term supply contracts for 750 MW capacity, while Athena has signed supply contracts for its entire first unit of 600 MW.

Our ferrochrome business reported the start of Kalrangi [mines?] and the approval for the enhanced production from Ostapal mine up to 530,000 tonnes.

At our Mangala oilfield, one of the large ASP implementations globally on a single field is reaching its final stage of commissioning and is expected to open up additional reserves of 50 million barrels for the company. We have made, as you would have seen, a gas discovery in the Ambe field awarded to us in September 2022 through the competitive bidding process.

Evaluations are underway to assess the potential of the discovery. In the initial nine months, we invested around $1.3 billion in growth capex in various projects across all five businesses, and we are on track to achieve our full-year guidance of around $1.7 billion.

On the corporate action front, a significant milestone in this quarter has been the approval of our demerger scheme. This marks a defining moment in our journey, one that empowers our businesses to sharpen their strategies, strengthen their balance sheets, and accelerate growth with the aim of unlocking shareholder value.

On the 16th of December, the NCLT approved our demerger scheme, and on the 21st of January, we received the certified copy of NCLT's order. We are now progressing towards its implementation and targeting 1st of April as the effective date, with listings in the same quarter.

Turning to ESG and CSR: At Vedanta, responsible growth is at the heart of everything we do. The safety of our workforce remains our highest priority and non-negotiable aspect of our operations.

Through various initiatives at a group level, including the implementation of critical risk management, we continue to strengthen the safety culture across our facilities. However, much more needs to be done.

On a year-to-date basis, our metrics do show an improvement, however, with our lost time injuries down 20% and our LTIFR down 13%. Sadly, we lost three of our colleagues in this year ending quarter three.

This is incredibly painful for the team and I, and hence we continue to redouble our efforts on safety. During the quarter, we made various strides in our sustainability journey, too.

Vedanta Aluminium once again demonstrated its ESG leadership, securing second rank in the S&P Corporate Sustainability Assessment for the third consecutive year. Our oil and gas business made a remarkable debut in its very first participation in the S&P assessment, ranking in the top five companies globally in the oil and gas upstream and integrated sector and emerging as the highest score in India.

In the CDP ratings, Vedanta maintained a strong climate score of B, while our water rating improved from B to A-. Beside ratings, we also achieved other recognitions reflecting progress across our sustainability commitments.

Hindustan Zinc's Kayad mine was recognized for excellence in energy and water efficiency. BALCO's low-carbon aluminium product, Restora, recorded its GHG emissions lower than 4 tonnes of CO2 equivalent per tonne of product.

Reaffirming our unwavering commitment to inclusive growth, we continued our initiatives of empowering communities with investments of around ₹268 crore in the initial nine months of FY26 towards various CSR initiatives that positively impacted over 5.5 million lives. These milestones are proof of our values in action, of the responsibility we carry towards our communities and the planet, and our vision for a sustainable future.

To summarize, quarter three is registered as a landmark quarter in Vedanta's history. The company recorded its lifetime best revenue, EBITDA, and PAT on the back of expanded volumes and sustained cost optimization across all businesses, alongside improvement in metal prices.

During the quarter, we also achieved commissioning of new aluminium smelter and a refinery train. These are significant milestones that will drive business growth in the coming quarters.

We received the NCLT's approval for a historic demerger, and approval to acquire Incab Industries, another strategic move aligned with our vision of unlocking downstream synergies and broadening our market presence to enhance profitability. With our quarter-four performance likely to surpass quarter-three levels, we are on track to deliver what will become a lifetime high annual EBITDA of over $6 billion, surpassing the guidance given at the time of the H1 results.

Progressing into FY27, we are targeting commissioning of the Sijimali bauxite mine, having received FC-1 earlier this month; the start of operations at Ghogharpalli coal mine; commissioning of the second 600 MW turbine at Athena; our 510,000 tonnes per annum fertilizer project at Hindustan Zinc; and our 250,000-tonne and 510,000-tonne VAP projects at both Jharsuguda and BALCO; Phase 2 commissioning at Gamsberg; and our 420,000 tonnes per annum DI pipe plant in Goa. These projects will further enhance volumes and deliver significant cost reductions through to FY27.

We thank you for your continued support and trust in us. Ajay will now provide a summary of our financial performance.

Ajay.

Ajay Goel

Thank you, Deshnee, and a very good evening, everyone. The quarter bygone, Q3 FY26, has been a quarter of immense significance for Vedanta, marked by remarkable performance both operationally and financially, and crucial progress made on demerger and capital structure.

The macro environment is supportive, with a strong demand and pricing being favorable, and we expect these conditions to sustain going forward. On result presentation: Following NCLT order on December 16, '25, the demerger accounting under Indian Accounting Standards, Ind AS 105, has been incorporated in Q3 results filed with the regulators.

These results shows aluminium, oil & gas, and iron & steel businesses separately in a summary one-line form. For clarity and for like-to-like comparison, below results are for combined operations, which is pre-demerger, and for all Vedanta existing businesses.

On performance: We delivered our highest-ever quarterly revenue of ₹45,899 crores, up 19% Y-o-Y, with our portfolio strength supported by pricing which is favorable and a strong operational execution and a sustained growth across our core businesses. We also this quarter delivered our best-ever quarterly EBITDA of ₹15,171 crores, growing 34% Y-o-Y, with EBITDA margins expanding sharply by 629 basis points Y-o-Y to 41%.

Finally, the PAT grew 60% Y-o-Y to ₹7,807 crores, marking our highest-ever quarterly PAT in Vedanta history. Overall, on a nine-monthly basis, the performance remains equally strong.

We delivered our record best nine months revenue of more than ₹1.2 lakh crores, up 10% Y-o-Y, and best-ever nine months EBITDA of ₹37,529 crores, up 18% Y-o-Y. Nine months PAT at about ₹15,744 crores, our second best-ever.

On growth capex: We remained focused on disciplined and value-accretive growth. Over the first nine months, we invested about $1.3 billion in strategic projects across aluminium, zinc, oil & gas, and power, and remain on track to invest about $1.7 billion for the full year, as we have earlier guided.

As these projects come on stream, they will drive higher volumes, margins, and earnings visibility across pricing cycles. Briefly moving on to the balance sheet: Our balance sheet continues to strengthen in a sustained and visible manner.

Net debt stood at about ₹60,624 crores, with cash and cash equivalents ₹20,085 crores. Our net debt to EBITDA ratio leverage improved to 1.23x from 1.4x in third quarter, further strengthening our position in terms of debt to EBITDA.

We have brought down VDL's cost of borrowings to below 9% in third quarter, with further finance cost reduction in sight in near future. Offer for sale, OFS: You also may have noted on Jan 27th, we launched Zinc India offer for sale, which has seen strong demand and broad-based investor interest.

Post-completion, our shareholding in HZL will be around 60.7% from 61.8%, about 1.1% will be the stake dilution in Zinc as we close transaction over today and tomorrow. The transaction will further strengthen the balance sheet through fast-track deleveraging and capital structure optimization aligned with company's long-term interest.

On the credit rating: The improving financial performance continued to get noticed and recognized by the rating companies. Following the demerger order, both CRISIL and ICRA has reaffirmed Vedanta's rating as AA with watch developing implications.

In additions, we got upgrades from S&P, Moody's, and Fitch for VRL rating, rating outlook changing from stable to positive, and that indicates there is a room for rating augmentation in near future. This underscores confidence in our improved balance sheet, cash flow visibility, and strategic direction clarity.

Moving on to demerger and value unlock: It is about time for Vedanta 2.0 as we advance on demerger execution. With the NCLT order in place and key regulatory and operational matters worked through, we remain committed of completing the demerger as earlier guided, targeting April 1st as effective date of demerger, with listing of the demerged entities in the same quarter, around mid to end of May.

This structural transformation will unlock further value and improve capital efficiency across verticals. You also may have noted that Vedanta delivered a TSR of almost 30% in third quarter alone, representing 5x of the index overall and 2.7 times of Nifty Metal Index.

In conclusion, Q3 FY26 marks a clear defining quarter for Vedanta, with a strong performance and notable advancements across our strategic focus areas. With supporting macro environment and operating rigor, we are confident of delivering record EBITDA in FY26, surpassing $6 billion at Vedanta India console level.

Finally, the demerger marks Vedanta's transition into a new phase of growth and value unlocking into a powerhouse of critical minerals, energy transition, and technology. Thank you, and back to operator for Q&A.

Operator

Thank you very much. We will now begin the question and answer session.

Anyone who wishes to ask a question may press star and one on their touchtone telephone. If you wish to remove yourself from the question queue, you may press star and two.

Participants are requested to use handsets while asking a question. Ladies and gentlemen, we will wait for a moment while the question queue assembles.

We'll take our first question from the line of Amit Lahoti from Emkay Global. Please go ahead.

Amit Lahoti

Thanks for the opportunity, and congratulations on a good set of numbers. I'm really sorry for the loss of Mr.

Agnivesh Agarwal. My first question is on demerger.

As we have classified the businesses as discontinued operations in the financial statements, is it fair to say that all the approvals and name transfer on the assets are in place for demerger to go through?

Deshnee Naidoo

Amit, thank you so much for the question, and thank you so much for your condolences. Amit, now that we have the formal order in hand, we will start with actually the various CPs we have, and then all of the necessary steps actually to give effect to the corporate restructuring will happen.

Ajay, do you want to add anything to that?

Ajay Goel

No, sure. Amit, the entire demerger accounting follows the Indian Accounting regulation, specifically Ind AS 103 and 105.

Under that guidelines, in case the demerger is more likely over next 12 months, then you have to account the way we have accounted. Now obviously, we have to work through couple of CPs and the other statutory approvals, but as we earlier mentioned, we are committed and confident making 1st April as a date on which demerger becomes effective.

Amit Lahoti

Okay. Then my second question is on aluminium hot metal cost.

Where we have alumina cost, which is still at $800 per tonne, and the cost of alumina production is clearly higher than the market price, which is now close to $300 in the international markets. What would be the mix of captive production versus imports going ahead?

Basically, the question is, is there any incentive for increasing captive production at all, given that the market price is lower than what we are producing at?

Deshnee Naidoo

Thank you so much for that question. I'm actually going to shoot this straight to Anup and Rajeev, but Anup?

Anup Agarwal

Thank you, Amit, for that question. Amit, on your first question on the captive mix: See, as we are ramping up Lanjigarh, and Deshnee covered it, we did about 800 kt in quarter three, and we are expecting 900 kt plus in quarter four.

That means 60% in quarter three captive, 70% in quarter four, and going forward quarter one, quarter two, it should be 80%. Now coming to your second question on the alumina cost being closer to $800: See, I'll tell you.

As I said, on the bought-out alumina, what happens is on the pricing month, no, we actually lock in the LME. As you're seeing, with the LME in surge, no, we are not getting the benefit that we are intended.

Now if you'll see quarter three, the LME was closer to $2,600, now $2,800, and as we speak, it is closer to $3,100, and that is the reason. Last time we said you will see a $50 lower cost quarter-on-quarter.

What we are seeing is a $20, $22 in quarter three, and maybe a $25 in quarter four. Probably as we go into the quarter one, you will see a cost sub-$750.

The main driver remains the captive, and as I said, we will be closer to 80% as we go into the quarter one. Amit, hopefully I have answered your question.

Amit Lahoti

Yes. Just a follow-up on this: What is the contract as percentage of your total alumina consumption, as in contract related to LME price of aluminium?

Anup Agarwal

See, Amit, as I said, be it API, be it LME, whenever we are buying, whenever that material is getting priced, no, we lock in the LME. That has been our policy.

Amit Lahoti

Okay. Got it.

Thank you so much.

Deshnee Naidoo

Amit.

Operator

Thank you. We'll take our next question from the line of Dhananjay Bagrodia from Alchemy Capital.

Please go ahead.

Dhananjay Bagrodia

Hi, congratulations to everyone.

Operator

Hi.

Dhananjay Bagrodia

Can you hear me? Just wanted to ask you, sir, firstly, congratulations on a fantastic set of numbers in an environment.

I just wanted to ask you, for our aluminium capacities for production, how much do we see the 600+ kt be, let's say, in a year from today? Hello?

Hello?

Deshnee Naidoo

Thank you for that. I'm actually going to hand over to Rajiv, but just very quickly, the increase in aluminium production is coming from our BALCO project.

Let Rajiv update on the BALCO project and talk about the ramp-up that we'll see over the coming two quarters. Rajiv?

Rajeev Kumar

Thank you, Dhananjay. We are just now at 20 pots in the new 435 kt smelter at BALCO.

We intend to increase to about 1 lakh tonne by this year end, March end, and then next 3 to 6 months we'll ramp up the rest of the pots. There are 304 pots divided into four zones.

The first set of 76 pots would be online by March, and the rest of the numbers would be on in the next 3 to 6 months. We will ramp it up from there.

We have taken a best benchmark number of ramping up of the pots anywhere in the world for this kind of smelter. So...

Deshnee Naidoo

Thank you for that, Rajiv. Dhananjay, just to summarize on that: We will get to 2.8 million tonnes of aluminium post our BALCO project ramp-up.

The team is working on a set of debottlenecking exercises to close the gap from 2.8 to 3 million tonnes, which is what we've guided in the market over the next 18 months. In addition to that, our Lanjigarh refining will get up to 5 million tonnes, already close to those run rates.

As Anup just explained, that is what gives us the integrated or the captive benefit there. The other opportunity right now on aluminium is actually our value-added.

We have value-added projects both at BALCO and Jharsuguda. In addition to the volume uplift which you'll see in the next year, you're also going to see a margin increase from us in terms of VAP, which the team is working on how much more we can actually sell in the domestic market.

I just wanted to give you the full aluminium growth and margin story to expect over the next one year.

Dhananjay Bagrodia

Fantastic. Second...

Deshnee Naidoo

Remember the BALCO project is 435. Sorry, please go on.

Dhananjay Bagrodia

No, sure. In power, where do we see our capacities, let's say, a couple of years or 3 years from hence?

How do we see that ramping up, our power capacities?

Deshnee Naidoo

Certainly. In terms of current projects, we have another unit in Athena to go, which is another 600 MW, but I have Rajinder Ahuja, our power CEO, on the line.

Rajinder, I think it'll be good for you just to talk through where we are today, the current projects, and, of course, some of the strategy around power post the next year.

Rajinder Singh Ahuja

Thank you, Deshnee. Hi, Mr.

Bagrodia. Just wanted to tell you that as of now, we recently have commissioned around 1.6 gigawatt of capacity at Athena, Meenakshi.

Total capacity as of now up and running is 4.2 gigawatt. This is expected to go to around 5 gigawatt, 4.8 precisely gigawatt, by end of H1 of the next year.

As we demerge, we really want to be a growth company and ride the India's growth story on energy. We are having a plan in place to put at least 10 to 12 gigawatt, that's planned in near, and you will really see that this company will be on continuously growth chart for the next 5 to 7 years, as India needs more thermal power capacity.

Dhananjay Bagrodia

Sir, for this, do we have tie-ups for the 5 to reach from 5 to 10? Are there even equipment available, everything is available, or how is that coming along on ground?

Rajinder Singh Ahuja

We are keeping all options open. Indian players, yes, there is a definitely capacity constraint from Indian manufacturers, but we are exploring India as well as outside India, all who can supply us.

We have a good discussion going on. Maybe at right time we will come out with the concrete numbers on that.

Dhananjay Bagrodia

Fair

Deshnee Naidoo

enough. The focus right now, right, Rajender, is to get us to the 5 gigawatts as soon as possible.

That's the focus, and the focus there is also to look at how we tie up most of that into contracts as we saw with the current PPAs that we've just landed for both Athena and Meenakshi. That's the focus.

When we have the rest of the plans in terms of how to grow the power sector, especially now with the demerger, we will come back to the market.

Dhananjay Bagrodia

Sure. Lastly, thank you to Charanjit and the IR team for such strong disclosures.

It's been really really helpful for us as investors. Thank you to Charanjit and the team.

Thank you, guys.

Rajinder Singh Ahuja

Thank you.

Deshnee Naidoo

Thank you.

Operator

We'll take our next question from the line of Sumangal Nevatia from Kotak Securities. Please go ahead.

Sumangal Nevatia

Good evening. Thank you for the chance.

I have a few questions. I got disconnected in between, please excuse if it's repeated.

Firstly, I wanted to know hedging volumes, what proportion is hedged for fourth quarter and mainly for FY27 across divisions, mainly aluminium, silver, and zinc, and what sort of policy or strategy are we following as far as hedging is concerned?

Deshnee Naidoo

Ajay? Sure, Sumangal.

We haven't covered hedging, I think it's all right. Hedging, I think all of you would agree, in the current environment is highly tumultuous.

It makes sense to hedge.

Ajay Goel

Hedging as a policy is dynamic. It is a real time, and we map the impact practically real-time basis.

We also have an global expert outside of Vedanta advising Vedanta risk committee on the hedging. It is a joint call that we all take.

That's the policy. In terms of how much we have hedged across the key commodities: Silver hedging for the current fiscal as of now, it's about 68 tonnes, and it's about 10% volume of the current fiscal.

Additionally, about 50 tonnes is covered for next year, about 7%. Overall, 10% for the current fiscal and 7% for the next year, 17% is the hedged quantity.

The average rate is about $45 per troy ounce. In case of zinc, the hedging is almost 50 kt each both for the fourth quarter and next year.

Almost 100 kt, almost 9% volume for the full fiscal is hedged. The average value, the price locked is almost $3,000 per tonne across Q4 and next year.

Finally, in terms of aluminium, 8%, about 125 kt for the fourth quarter and almost 490, 10% is next year hedging. Net-net, 18% quantity hedged for aluminium.

The average pricing is about 2,650. In summary, about 10% for the current fiscal and 10% for the next year has been hedged.

Sumangal Nevatia

Thanks. Ajay, can you just give FY27, what is the hedge price?

The average price is fourth quarter and FY27, right?

Ajay Goel

That's correct. That's right.

In fact, for the next year, the numbers are slightly higher. Silver at about $55 per tonne, the quantity is 48 tonnes exactly.

In case of zinc, it is 43 tonnes, and the price is about $3,072. Aluminium is about 10%, 490 or so, and the pricing about 2,625.

Sumangal Nevatia

Understood. That's very clear.

Second question is on the aluminium cost. I just wanted to understand what sort of cost changes are we expecting over the next one or two quarters, and from BALCO smelter, what sort of ramp-up schedule can we expect over FY27?

What utilization could we achieve in FY27 on an average?

Deshnee Naidoo

Thank you, Sumangal. We did already answer the BALCO ramp-up, but we can certainly re-summarize for you.

Maybe, Anup, you can start with the cost of the next two quarters.

Anup Agarwal

Sumangal, so as you would have seen, in quarter three, our hot metal cost reduced by 8% compared to the last quarter. While answering the alumina cost now, I had guided that next quarter, alumina cost will be lower $25 almost.

We have a planned maintenance of one of our bigger power plant unit, and there you will see a higher cost. Both will tend to offset each other.

Next quarter, broadly we're saying cost will remain flat at the constant LME. Maybe 0.5% here and there because of the inflationary inflationary pressure that we're seeing on the carbon commodity.

Coming to quarter one, coming to quarter one, with the ramp-up in Lanjigarh and the bauxite that we're expecting from Sijimali, we believe we should have a $50, $60 cost reduction compared to where we are today.

Sumangal Nevatia

Understood. Just very lastly, any new deleveraging targets for both Vedanta Resources and India given the cash flows and the commodity prices?

Ajay Goel

Sure. Overall what we committed last time, Sumangal, we as a group at VRL level almost half a billion deleveraging, and given the current OFS in the play, again another half a billion, roughly about $0.8 to $1 billion will be deleveraging across the group in the current fiscal.

With that, the VDL India debt will come down by almost $0.7 billion in the current year and almost 300 at VRL level. At Vedanta India, we track debt to EBITDA.

Compared to 1.23x as on third quarter, we'll be closing the fiscal at about 1x, and that will be I think lowest in the last many, many years.

Sumangal Nevatia

Understood. Thank you so much.

I'll join the queue back. Yeah.

Deshnee Naidoo

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. We'll take our next question from the line of Ashish Kejriwal from Nuvama Wealth Management.

Please go ahead.

Ashish Kejriwal

Hi. Thank you for the opportunity, and many congratulations to the entire team.

My question is on the alumina part. Anup sir, you mentioned that we try to purchase alumina at a percentage to LME.

Because our alumina production is increasing, do you think that whatever is requirement for FY27, we can't go for spot basis? Because as a percentage of LME, we are not getting any benefit.

In fact, if I do the calculation, third quarter purchased alumina cost seems to be higher than second quarter. Obviously, it will continue to go higher because of the aluminium price.

For the strategy part, can't we go for spot purchase, or is it not available itself? That's my first question.

Anup Agarwal

Ashish, see, last time I had said that we had some LME-linked contracts, okay? As we go into the next financial, most of our contracts are API-linked.

That is what you call the Alumina Price Index, not LME-linked. The point that I had covered in the pricing month, and we've explained it time and again, that there is a 45 to 60 days lag.

What we did do is in the month of pricing, no, we actually lock in the LME, be it API, be it LME. In a LME rising scenario, which you have seen, almost 10% rising over 2 months, you see that gap.

If the LME was a constant, I'm again repeating, you could have seen almost a $40, $45 reduction in alumina this quarter and the next quarter. At some point of time in the constant LME, no, you will see that big gain coming in.

LME-linked contracts are almost not there for the next financial year, very small quantity.

Ashish Kejriwal

Is it safe to say that from first quarter FY27, when we are expecting $50 to $60 fall in hot metal cost, we are saying that our entire alumina purchase or maximum alumina purchase is API-linked, not aluminium price-linked?

Anup Agarwal

Yes, so that's a fair point. On a constant LME is something which I mentioned.

Keep that in mind.

Ashish Kejriwal

Sir, this is somewhat confusing actually, because the spot prices which we look at is something like $310, $315 per tonne for alumina, whereas if I link with aluminium and even if you get 12%, 13% as a percentage of LME, it will be much higher, $400 plus. What you are trying to say is that...

Anup Agarwal

Let me tell you.

Ashish Kejriwal

Yeah.

Anup Agarwal

No, Ashish, I'm only trying to say that, see, suppose if I had bought a alumina at 310, as you rightly said, and there is a lag of 60 days. When I'm pricing the alumina, the LME is 3,000.

In the consumption month, if it is 3,200, you only have that lag. Otherwise, there is absolutely no lag, because as a policy, we lock in the LME in the month of pricing.

It's not LME-linked.

Deshnee Naidoo

I think it's very clear, Ashish. It's price is API-linked, consumption in the month, right, would be LME-linked.

That's just the way we account for it.

Ashish Kejriwal

I'll try to take it offline. Second thing is in terms of our coal block, Kurloi, which we are saying that we are going to start in fourth quarter.

Have we received all regulatory clearances and now we are on ground, because we are already at end of Jan? How comfortable we are in that coal block for Kurloi?

As well as Sijimali, we have received stage 1 forest clearance, but even after that, we need CTE to issue and then other local bodies' clearances. How comfortable we are saying that Sijimali, we can start before monsoon this year?

Deshnee Naidoo

Rajeev, I think you can give a full update on both the coal as well as all our bauxite blocks.

Rajeev Kumar

Thank you for the question, Ashish. On Kurloi, as you rightly said, we got the FC stage 1 on 12th of May 2025, and FC stage 2 clearance we got on 12th of January this month, 2026.

CTO and some approvals, mine lease opening as well as escrow account opening, all that is running in parallel. We are quite hopeful.

We have already put in the MDO and the team is on ground. We are ready.

We have already shifted our offices in that area on Kurloi. We are very hopeful of commissioning the Kurloi mine by quarter four of FY26, which has been the guidance.

As far as Sijimali is concerned, FC stage 1 was obtained on 31/12/2025. EC, we are expecting by February '26.

We are quite hopeful of operationalizing the mine, as you rightly said, in the monsoon period. We are quite there, and we are very hopeful of doing both.

As far as Ghogharpalli is concerned, we have also made headway, and mine plan is already approved. Public hearing, we got it in January '26, done, completed.

EC, we are expecting by May '26, and FC by July '26. Again, commissioning, as we have guided, we will stick to that commissioning.

We are in control, and last leg of approvals as far as Kurloi, and operationalizing Sijimali by quarter one FY27. Right.

Ashish Kejriwal

That's great. Lastly on steel, we have not heard anything on getting clearances for our expansion from 1.5 to 3.

Obviously, every quarter or half-yearly, we keep on postponing that final date. Where we are?

Do we think that 1.5 to 2 3 million tonne approval from the government or the regulatory authorities, we are going to get in this year or actually where we are on that process? Thank you.

Deshnee Naidoo

Thank you so much for the question. We have completed the acquisition of our 913 hectares of forest land that we've already handed over to the forest department.

The team on the ground has been engaging with MoEFCC in terms of what else we would need to comply with. We are very encouraged with the fact that we are concluding this now when MoEFCC has relaxed the requirements in terms of the forestry ratio of 1 to 2.

Against that and the engagements on the ground, Ashish, I don't want to preempt, but we are most hopeful that this would happen in this quarter still. Then in terms of progress on the ground, the team continues within the constraints we have to make overall progress on the project.

I think the project is some 70% complete, of course, within the constraints we have. Once we get the approvals, we'll start to accelerate the rest of the project completion.

Ashish Kejriwal

Thank you so much, team, and I must congratulate for the team for effective debt management as well as project execution. Thanks, and hats off to you guys.

Operator

Thank you. We'll take our next question from the line of Pallav Agarwal from Antique Stock Broking.

Please go ahead.

Pallav Agarwal

Good evening, sir. The first question was on the timeline.

We're still showing power business as under continuing operations. Are we confident that we should be able to get all requisite approvals before March or April if you want the full demerger to be effective?

Deshnee Naidoo

Ajay, do you want to take that question in terms of just reiterating the timelines as we understand it for demerger?

Ajay Goel

Yes. It is just the dates, Pallav.

As the bigger demerger, the four businesses, the NCLT order came on December 16th, which falls within the third quarter, October-December. The NCLT order for power, the Delhi bench, in fact came on January 7th.

It is an event post balance sheet date, and hence power is part of operations continuation. In terms of approvals, we intend to demerge all four companies on the same day, and the target right now being is the 1st April.

They will be all coterminous on the same day.

Pallav Agarwal

Sure. From the perspective of valuing the individual businesses, how do we apportion the portion of debt among the various businesses?

Probably get a proper picture of the valuation of the different entities.

Ajay Goel

As we speak right now, the management is focused singularly in fact carving out multiple balance sheets and that allocation and many more statutory requirements. In terms of debt, I think that remains simpler part.

When we went to the bankers seeking NOC, in that case, that allocation was broadly aligned with the bankers as a precondition for granting NOC for demerger approval. Broadly, net debt in Vedanta India console at about $6.7 billion, we get apportioned in the ratio of assets that each entity will carry post demerger.

One more dimension remains is each entity's cash generation and debt serving capability. In summary, a significant portion of debt out of $6.7 billion will go to aluminium, some portion to power, and the remainder Vedanta.

Oil & gas post demerger will practically be debt-free and a very small debt in iron & steel. It is all being worked out, and by end of this March, be it recasted balance sheets, P&L account, or that allocation will be all finalized.

Pallav Agarwal

Sure, that will be very helpful. Lastly, on the oil and gas business, we adding some reserves, but the production continues to decline.

With some new fields getting added, is there some probability that this can increase going ahead?

Deshnee Naidoo

Thank you, Pallav, I'm going to hand over to Yasin, our COO, who will take the question. I just wanted to also remind the market that we did come in and talk about three different projects that we were undergoing in Rajasthan: firstly on ASP, as well as the work that we had to do on tight oil, and then some of the exploration activities in terms of infill drilling.

Yasin, when you update, I think just because we spoke to the market the last quarter, let's just speak about why the volumes didn't come to plan and what is the recovery plan that we have underway across Rajasthan.

Yasin Sahurti

Right. Good afternoon, everybody.

The main reasons why volumes are not coming to the level that we expected is actually delaying of the project ASP commissioning and start-up. This is enhanced oil recovery, one of the largest in the world and very expensive technology.

However, we are about to finalize commissioning and start-up and to pick up the first volumes of that contribution from the reservoir in D-8 in period of next 3 months. This is first bucket.

Second bucket is tight oil. It's immense, basically, reserves in place and resources that we are converting to the resource reserve.

With the intensive recompletion strategy and the drilling new wells, we'll pick up that from the existing 8,000 to 15,000. Basically, that two buckets will stabilize the decline to actually be on the sustainable production delivery and slowly picking up and increase towards 90,000.

As you are also aware, in the west offshore, we discovered and recently confirmed reserves on the larger scale in the offshore shallow Ambe. However, that project will be commissioned and start-up next year, actually this financial year '27 in quarter four.

The stable production rate will be around 15,000 in March next year. On the northeast biggest prospect, we are in the continual delay for the first and the most important exploratory appraisal project, SP-1.

It is not easy to operate over there. We are finally coming with all commitments towards the environment and the local government in terms of approvals.

Without that, we cannot ultimately start our drilling program. We hope it will be commissioned end of this financial year, end of March, and then we can drill two to three wells, which will discover potential volumes of up to 100 million reserves, which will definitely ramp up production in our entire portfolio, especially from the northeast.

That's in the nutshell everything. We have couple of more projects which are working for the further development, like a heavy oil in the Rajasthan North, like a infill on the South satellite fields of oil in the Rajasthan South, and the east coast very promising big prospects of element back fault offshore onshore to offshore drilling, which may increase our reserves to 50 million additionally.

All in all, we expect the next year to stabilize everything and to grow to at least 90,000, and then year after the year reaching our ultimate target of 150,000.

Pallav Agarwal

Sure. Thank you so much for the detailed answer, sir.

Just finally, I think as part of the demerger, there's some guarantee to be provided for I think the arbitration dispute. Would that be at the Vedanta Limited the primary company level or at the oil company level?

Charanjit Singh

You are referring probably...

Deshnee Naidoo

Thank you, Yasin. Yes, Pallav, that's already been dealt with at the current structure.

When we demerge, that will be without the obligations sitting at the entity level.

Pallav Agarwal

Sure. Thank you so much.

That's it.

Operator

Thank you. We'll take our next question from the line of Ritesh Shah from Investec.

Please go ahead.

Ritesh Shah

Hi. Thanks for the opportunity.

Few questions: One is for Ajay. Sir, we had a certain outgo commitment at VRL with respect to interest and ICL.

Any update on that, because honestly, we were expecting some payout to fund that. If that thing is something which has been taken care of, how was that funded?

That's the first question.

Ajay Goel

Sure, Ritesh. In fact, all of the ICL is on track as we have committed or as in fact is contracted.

As of now, out of billion ICL advanced in 2019, $417 million remains outstanding, and practically 200 is due on Jan 31st in 3, 4 days from now, and the balance 200 sometime in Q1, which is end of May. Out of 200 ICL due in January, $50 million in fact we have prepaid in December.

So 150 now remains pending in January, and the balance 200 in May. The entire ICL, $50 million, will be paid on time.

All

Ritesh Shah

right. This balance 150 and there was an interest payment, I presume, 270, 280.

The idea is to still fund it via dividends?

Ajay Goel

If you look at the fourth quarter, Jan to March, almost 150 million is the ICL. There is no other debt due in the fourth quarter.

So 150 is the ICL, and the balance $125 million is the interest, overall $275 million. Now how do we fund it?

Again, the options remains the mix of refinancing and repayment. Now dividend, as you would appreciate, Ritesh, is a board matter, but we have in the past been committing about 6% dividend yield, and what we have paid in the current fiscal is almost 3%.

A payment of a dividend in the fourth quarter is likely, subject to board approvals. In that case, the entire dues, almost $275 million, in the fourth quarter will be addressed through the dividend.

Ritesh Shah

Amazing. Thank you.

Thank you so much for the detailed answer. My second question is how should we read into confidential filing for Coppertech Metals?

I'm reading it more from the VRL debt profile and the recent OFS that we have in Hindustan Zinc. How should we read into promoters holding into Vedanta and Vedanta holding into Hindustan Zinc, how should we look at a broader top-down thought process from the company?

Deshnee Naidoo

I think, Ritesh, from an overall Coppertech point of view, there is no link, right, with Vedanta Limited and anything below. VRL, this is a separate entity sitting above Vedanta Resources Limited, as we told the market.

That entity today will be holding 80% of our KCM interest, that as we've told the market that we have filed an S-1 that we're going through the process now with the SEC in terms of next steps. There is no link.

Ritesh Shah

Please correct me if I'm wrong. It's VRL which holds 80% into the entity, right?

Deshnee Naidoo

Yes. It is VRL that currently holds 80% of our KCM interest, with 20% being held by the local government entity in Zambia.

Ritesh Shah

Correct. Would it be possible for you to give some color on what is the thought process?

I appreciate it has nothing to do with Vedanta, but it was in fact the debt profile at the VRL level, so that's where the interest is from.

Charanjit Singh

Ritesh, Deshnee, sorry, I'll have to intervene here. We are in the silent period with respect to having done the S-1 filing.

We can't speak anything until the process is continued.

Deshnee Naidoo

As we guided in the last results call as well.

Ritesh Shah

Sure. I'll just move to the next question.

Thank you. I'll just move to the next question.

Thanks for detailed disclosures with respect to the different entities. If we had to understand the element of accumulated losses, unabsorbed depreciation, tax efficiencies, is there a way in which you can help us, which we can appreciate these variables?

Ajay Goel

That is a work, Ritesh, right now is underway, as I mentioned. Over the next 8 weeks, 2 months or so, recasting multiple balance sheets for each of resulting entities, that allocation in terms of finalization, the structure of the management in place already worked out, allows me almost 2 months' time, you will have all the numbers.

One thing I can confirm to the entire audience and through you to the stakeholders at large that demerger in fact becomes an opportunity across the areas. Take an example: The OFS right now in the play, the value is almost ₹3,000 crore, and that also gives a reason to fast-track the entire deleveraging.

As I earlier mentioned, our intent is to make oil and gas business debt-free pre-demerger and also our iron & steel business almost debt-free. Many of this structuring will be in Vedanta opportunity from taxation viewpoint and otherwise.

Ritesh Shah

Thanks for that. I didn't get the ₹3,000 crore number, sir.

Ajay Goel

The OFS for zinc right now, we're looking at almost 1.1% as the bidding both by retail and institutional got closed at 5:30. It's about 1.1% stake sale, and that's ₹3,000 crores broadly, and the entire amount will be used for deleveraging.

Ritesh Shah

Sure. Last question: In notes to accounts, we have mentioned a claim of $512 million.

How should we look into this? I understand it's sub judice, but under which entity will this fall, and how should we look at this variable going forward?

Ajay Goel

That's an ongoing matter with the MoPNG. It pertained to oil & gas, and the matter is in arbitration.

In fact, all the judgements in the past has been in Vedanta's favor, and in our assessment, that matter is medium to low risk.

Ritesh Shah

If there's a windfall gain, where will it fall?

Ajay Goel

Right now, arbitration is in the play, and the next date of hearing is sometime in middle of March. That will determine any gain, if at all.

Any accounting implications, gain or otherwise, will go in oil & gas business post

Ritesh Shah

demerger.

Ajay Goel

It's ring-fenced to oil & gas, whatever the decision will be.

Ritesh Shah

Perfect. Thank you so much for the detailed answers.

Wish you all the very best. Thank you again.

Operator

Thank you. We'll take our next question from the line of Raashi Chopra from Citi Group.

Please go ahead.

Raashi Chopra

Thank you. Just on Zinc International, how do we think about the cost in the fourth quarter and in next year?

Deshnee Naidoo

Thank you so much. Rashi, in terms of current cost levels have become higher for a couple of reasons.

As we continue to do the waste stripping in the mine, we've now moved some of those costs from capital into opex, so that's one of the movements you've seen. Of course, the exchange rate in South Africa has not worked in our favor.

That's also contributing to some of the dollar cost movements in the quarter. Then we also had slightly higher TC/RCs quarter-on-quarter, which is the other big decider.

Then, although the Gamsberg mine and plant did very well in terms of 50,000 in this quarter, our Black Mountain mine, because of the deep decline, is actually coming to the end of its life. Without the Black Mountain tonnes and the associated copper and silver we get as a by-product, that's also affected the overall cost structure.

A good cost structure post ramp-up of our Gamsberg project actually should be in the range of about 1.1 to 1.2, $1,100 to $1,200 per tonne, but that will be patchy as we ramp up and with some of the headwinds that I've just mentioned in terms of TC/RCs as well as our waste stripping moving into cost. I hope that gives you some indication.

Raashi Chopra

Yes, thank you. On the interest cost switching here, you've mentioned that this year for the fourth quarter, the balance interest payment is about $125 million.

What is that $400 million for FY27 and FY28?

Ajay Goel

From VRL viewpoint, Rashi?

Raashi Chopra

Yes, sorry, VRL.

Ajay Goel

Let me give you slightly details answer in terms of the VRL requirement on maturities, both principal and interest, for next fiscal. Interest, you're right.

The number is almost $450 million for the next fiscal at VRL on full-yearly interest cost basis. So 450 is interest.

In terms of principal, the external debt is 450, and ICL 200, 650. 650 and 450 is almost $1.1 billion.

Now how one should look at in terms of debt servicing: There are two source of cash for VRL, the brand fee, let's say 400 to 450, and the remainder, even if we pay 5% or lesser dividend, 650. Net-net, as we've been saying in the past, Vedanta Resources will be self-sufficient, self-funded to a 5% dividend and brand fee going forward.

Raashi Chopra

Got it. Thank you.

Just to clarify once again, on hedging, what were the aluminium hedged volume for this fourth quarter and for the next year? For

Ajay Goel

the current quarter is almost 125 kt at a price of 2,640. For next year, FY27, it's about 490 kt, and the pricing is more or less same.

It's 2,625. So 125 and 490 kt, Q4, next year, pricing roughly 2,625 on both the cases.

Raashi Chopra

Understood. Sorry, just last question from me.

Your captive alumina target for 1Q '27 is 80%, right?

Ajay Goel

Yes, Rashi, that's right.

Raashi Chopra

Okay. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, we'll take that as the last question for today.

I now hand the conference over to Mr. Charanjit Singh for closing comments.

Over to you, sir.

Charanjit Singh

Thanks everyone for taking out the time to join us. For any unanswered questions, feel free to get in touch with the IR team.

With this, we conclude our call, and we look forward to reconnecting with you in April for our Q4 results. Goodbye and good day, everyone.

Operator

Thank you, members of the management team. On behalf of Vedanta Limited, that concludes this conference.

Thank you for joining us, and you may now disconnect your lines.