Operator
Ladies and gentlemen, welcome to the GF Mid-Year Results 2026 conference call and live webcast. I am Sandra, the conference call operator.
I would like to remind you that all participants have been listen-only mode and the conference is being recorded. The presentation will be followed by a Q&A session.
You can register for questions at any time by pressing star and one on your telephone. For operator assistance, please press star and zero.
The conference must not be recorded for publication or broadcast. At this time, it is my pleasure to hand over to Anna Engvall, Head of Investor Relations.
Please go ahead, madam.
Operator
Anna Engvall
Good morning, thank you to everyone for joining GF's mid-year results. I'm Anna Engvall, Head of Investor Relations.
Joining me today are Andreas Müller, CEO, and Mads Jørgensen, CFO. In terms of agenda, Andreas will kick off with an overview of key developments in the first half.
Mads will take you through our financial performance and thereafter hand back to Andreas for the full-year outlook. We will finish the session with Q&A as usual.
Before we get started, please let me draw your attention to the disclaimer regarding forward-looking statements and alternative performance measures on slide two. With that, I will hand over to Andreas.
Anna Engvall
Andreas Müller
Thank you, Anna. Also from my side, a warm welcome, thank you for joining us this morning.
Before diving into H1 performance, let me take a moment to highlight what is currently top of mind for the GF management team, including myself. Operational execution and excellence, free cash flow generation and debt reduction, finally, profitable growth.
These important priorities shaped our first six months as a pure-play flow solutions leader. In the first half, we delivered solid growth with order intake up 15.1% organically in a challenging market environment.
We secured several large multi-year customer agreements for mission-critical solutions in fast-growing end markets. We implemented proactive pricing measures to mitigate rising raw material costs.
We also initiated fundamental changes to enhance the way we operate. By streamlining the organization, we are well on track to exceed our CHF 40 million Fit for Growth target, enabling reinvestment into areas that support customer proximity and future growth.
The closing of Precicast towards year-end will substantially contribute to debt reduction. Our work is not yet complete.
To further improve performance, we took targeted actions in Building Flow Solutions Europe in Q2 to simplify our product range and sharpen customer focus. The remaining measures will be implemented in the second half of 2026.
We are also rolling out supply chain initiatives to reduce working capital and improve free cash flow. Looking to H2, we see a strong order book underpinned by a record semiconductor-related order intake and infrastructure contract wins.
As such, we are raising our sales outlook to mid-single digit organic growth, previously low single digit, with an unchanged comparable EBITDA margin of 14%-16%. Let's now turn to slide four for the mid-year key figures.
Sales in GF Flow Solutions were close to CHF 1.6 billion, reflecting solid organic growth of 5.7%. Comparable EBITDA margin was 13.4% and comparable EBIT margin 10%, in line with our expectations for the first half.
We also progressed towards our 2030 sustainability targets. Our sustainable portfolio increased to 77% of sales against our target of 80%, demonstrating how our business and sustainability are closely intertwined.
Moving on to slide five. We see that industry sustained last year's performance, supported by growth in solutions for data center and life sciences, compensating for a generally weak European industrial business.
Sales in semiconductors were stable in Swiss francs. Order intake was exceptionally strong.
Based on secured projects in Asia, we are confident this business will deliver its full potential over the coming quarters and years. Infrastructure showed strong momentum with 6.4% organic growth, despite adverse weather conditions in Q1 and a continued weak Chinese gas market.
Buildings outperformed substitutes construction markets with organic growth of 3.3%, driven by a strong Q2, particularly in North America, Switzerland and the Nordics. The first half was marked by two distinct quarters.
Organic growth was -1.3% in Q1, largely due to severe weather in Northern Europe and the U.S. This affected infrastructure and buildings, both in terms of growth and profitability as a result of underutilized plants.
Growth accelerated to 12.5% in Q2 as we regained momentum with order intake well above prior year levels. We also saw solid growth in buildings with announced price increases leading to selective pre-buying.
Profitability also improved sequentially, driven by operating leverage, product mix, and Fit for Growth measures. Moving on to slide seven.
With the acquisition of Uponor and the transformation, we are executing two distinct programs to support profitable growth. Through our value creation program, we have simplified the portfolio, optimized our footprint, achieved procurement synergies, and continue to realize commercial benefits from customer and channel synergies.
At mid-year, we had achieved analyzed run rate synergies of CHF 35 million, keeping us firmly on track to deliver CHF 40 million-CHF 50 million by 2027. Launched Q4 2025, Fit for Growth targeted CHF 40 million of cost savings, now raised to CHF 60 million by creating a leaner, more customer-oriented organization.
Based on secured savings, we are well on track to reaching our raised target. We streamlined the organization and right-sized corporate functions.
We closed production units in China, Malaysia, and Oman, and exited certain non-core businesses such as marine services in the Nordics. We also reduced OpEx through tight cost management.
In addition to certain counter effects, we are reinvesting in promising end markets. We made strategic hires of around 150 people in our growth areas.
We also strengthened our technical and commercial sales team to support GF Building Flow Solutions' pull initiative. Let's now take a closer look at two key areas of reinvestment, our semiconductor and data center businesses, on the upcoming slides.
The semiconductor industry is gearing up for a strong new cycle. Fab investments until 2030 are expected to exceed $1 trillion.
GF is well-positioned for this upcycle as a leading innovation partner to the industry. With our new solution, SYGEF Ultra, we are offering the highest purity level.
Importantly, the rinse time in a refurbishment is down 80% to only five days compared to today's technologies. As I mentioned earlier, we have recently signed several multi-year agreements with some of the largest customers, securing a record level of committed orders for more than 50 projects globally.
A portion is already reflected in order intake for the first half, which doubled compared to prior year. We are scaling up production to meet this demand.
Moving on to data center. Sales reached nearly CHF 20 million in H1 with a strong order book on hand, still primarily in facility cooling.
As said before, we aim to extend our presence into the white space where we have already completed several successful proof of concepts. This lays the ground for being part of the next-generation cooling designs.
Surging AI demand is driving a wave of investment with global data center CapEx expected to reach $1.7 trillion over the next five years, and computing demand to more than double by 2030, exceeding 200 GW. One large 100 MW data center, if liquid-cooled, creates an addressable opportunity for GF of around CHF 15 million, supporting our midterm sales target of CHF 300 million for this segment.
Polymer-based solutions have several advantages over stainless steel in terms of energy efficiency, installation speed, as well as total cost of ownership. On the slide, you can see our new multi-control valve, a mission-critical component for efficient thermal management in a data center, key to winning in this market.
This is now included in multiple test installations with customers. First sales are expected by end of year.
Before diving into the performance of each business area, please allow me to take a minute to provide an overview on slide 11. We have a naturally hedged portfolio across multiple sub-segments with an ambition to establish or maintain market leadership in each.
Industry supplies mission-critical solutions for diverse end markets, including water treatment, semis, and chemical processing. Our key markets are the U.S., China, and Germany.
Infrastructure provides solutions for water infrastructure, including storm water, potable water, and gas distribution. We are strong in the U.S., Europe, and Brazil.
Buildings supplies hot and cold water and heating and cooling solutions in Europe and North America, serving primarily wholesale, but also the do-it-yourself channel. With that context, let me now move on to the performance by business area, starting with industry on slide 12.
Order intake was strong, driven by data centers as well as semiconductors, which accelerated to a record level on the back of announced fab projects and multi-year customer agreements. Organic sales growth was 5.7%, supported by demand in the U.S., and parts of Asia, Europe, and North Asia remain subdued.
Comparable EBITDA margin was a strong 18.8%, given significant Forex headwinds and cost inflation. These pressures were partially offset by pricing actions and Fit for Growth.
Looking at slide 13, let me briefly go through key market drivers and our differentiators. Our portfolio is aligned with a number of structural growth drivers ranging from water reuse to data center build-out.
Our right to win is based on decades of experience in mission-critical applications. Taking semis as an example, we pioneered ultra pure water conveyance 45 years ago.
Today, we are the leading innovation partner for the industry and are well-positioned to expand our share of wallet with key customers by addressing adjacent areas. Turning to slide 14.
We saw strong momentum in order intake and sales driven by sustained demand for water distribution and storm water systems in Europe and in U.S. gas distribution solutions.
Structural issues in the Chinese infrastructure market are weighing heavily on gas and water distribution, and GF's Chinese business is severely affected. We progressed the integration of VAG with a particular focus on capturing cross-sale opportunities by strengthening the technical sales force and joint product management to unleash the potential of VAG.
Comparable EBITDA margin was 9%, still shy of our strategic target. Negative FX effects and unbalanced production load and raw material cost inflation were partially offset by price increases and cost-saving measures.
Going forward, we are confident in increasing the margin by leveraging our comprehensive offering, which I will address on the next slide. Taking a look at market drivers on slide 15, we see that aging networks and regulatory changes support steady growth going forward.
We are well-known for being the sole comprehensive solution provider, including for valves with VAG and repair systems. In gas distribution, we are benefiting from the ongoing build-out and modernization of the network, especially in the U.S.
In engineered infrastructure solutions, including storm water, demand is driven by climate-related flooding, aging networks, and regulation. In response, we have brought to market pressure management chambers, which offer significant growth potential and attractive margins.
As for buildings on slide 16, we outperformed the underlying construction markets, delivering positive organic growth in both Europe and North America, despite a weak Q1 due to severe weather. Order intake grew by 7.3% organically, with a good book-to-bill ratio.
Net sales were up 3.3% organically. In Europe, market conditions have stabilized, and we saw good growth in the Nordics and Switzerland with our heating and cooling portfolio contributing.
The Home Depot expansion is well on track with a confirmed target of 100 stores by year-end. The pricing measures implemented from 1st of April contributed positively to performance and led to selective pre-buying during Q2.
Comparable EBITDA margin remained broadly stable. Pricing actions and cost savings from Fit for Growth helped offset the impact of raw material prices and negative FX effects.
Even in the difficult market, our U.S. business continued to deliver EBIT margins in the high tens.
While the U.S. market has certain structural benefits, we are taking measures in Europe to close the gap as mentioned earlier.
Turning to slide 17. The buildings market across the U.S.
and Europe is highly subdued but has stabilized. Long-term demand for water supply and heating and cooling is supported by structural housing shortages, increasingly stringent drinking water regulations, and building renovations coupled with heat pump adoption.
GF is well-positioned to benefit from these trends through its leading market positions in Europe and the U.S., with strong brands and deep expertise in drinking water applications. In the growing heating and cooling market, especially cooling, we are well-positioned with integrated solutions such as the Ecoflex VIP 2.0 systems, together with the Smatrix intelligent indoor climate control platform.
With this, I will now hand over to our CFO, Mads Jørgensen, to go through our financial performance.
Andreas Müller
Mads Jørgensen
Thank you very much, Andreas, and good morning, everyone. Before we dive into the numbers, I would like to provide some important context on slide 19.
The transformation continues to have a material impact on the presentation of our financial statements, for this reason, I will present both the group results and the GF Flow Solutions. GF Flow Solutions corresponds to our continuing operations in our financial reporting.
However, please be aware that continuing operations still includes certain impacts of the Casting divestments, specifically the previously communicated CHF 172 million deconsolidation loss in the first half. This is adjusted in the comparable figures, along with other items affecting comparability.
Fortunately, the transformation will be completed with the closing of the Precicast divestment. You will have a cleaner view on the underlying operating performance with materially lower adjustments in 2027.
In the meantime, we are maximizing our efforts to be as transparent as possible. Let's start with Flow Solutions sales bridge on slide 20.
FX movements had a negative impact of approximately CHF 88 million. Organic growth amounted to CHF 84 million, reflecting both positive volume development and pricing measures as described earlier by Andreas.
The consolidation of VAG from January 1st contributed CHF 81 million of sales. Moving on to the bridge on slide 21.
We start with the prior year Flow Solutions comparable EBITDA of CHF 208 million. FX negatively impacted EBITDA by CHF 20 million.
The net impact of price increases and raw material costs was CHF 1 million, while volume and mix contributed with CHF 11 million. The booked savings from Fit for Growth amounted to CHF 20 million, offset by reinvestments and other items, implying a comparable EBITDA of CHF 212 million for this half year.
Moving on to slide 22, we have today provided additional transparency on the profitability of the two business areas within industry and infrastructure. It is important to note, however, that industry and infrastructure operate as highly integrated and synergistic businesses.
As a result, the financial metrics presented here are indicative and derived by applying defined allocation methodologies. Starting with industry, sales grew 5.7% organically while delivering a strong comparable EBITDA margin of 18.8%, reflecting its mission-critical and specification-driven applications.
Turning to infrastructure, the business continued to benefit from resilient demand for water infrastructure solutions and a solid project pipeline. Of course, VAG contributed inorganically.
Structurally, the margins are lower in this business area. Nevertheless, we expect to move towards our 2030 targets of 13%-15% EBITDA margin by leveraging our position in higher margin integrated solutions for water infrastructure.
Buildings grew 3.3% organically with a comparable EBITDA margin of 12.6%, broadly in line with prior year. As Andreas mentioned earlier, the margin improvement will come from our pull initiative and a reduction of complexity in our European operations.
Moving on to slide 23, which summarizes the full set of GF Group, GF Flow Solutions, and the divisional numbers. At the group and Flow Solutions level, reported EBITDA, reported EBIT, and the net profit were impacted by the divestment-related deconsolidation loss of CHF 172 million.
Let's turn to slide 24 for an overview of such items affecting comparability. Restructuring was CHF 15 million, of which Fit for Growth was the lion's share.
The impact of the GF Casting Solutions divestment was CHF 172 million. We had other items and impairment changes totaling CHF 11 million.
In total, at the EBIT level, these items amounted to CHF 197 million. Given the significant one-off effects in the first half, we show a normalized profit on slide 25.
By adjusting the group reported net profit for the impact of the Casting Solutions divestment of CHF 172 million, the sale of real estate in Biel, the restructuring, and certain non-recurring taxes and other items, we derive at a normalized net profit of CHF 117 million. As seen on slide 26, the first half was again characterized by significant currency headwinds.
Almost all major currencies weakened against the Swiss franc, with the U.S. dollars representing the largest negative impact.
As a result, foreign currency movements reduced group sales by CHF 91 million and EBITDA by CHF 20 million. Assuming the current spot rates do not move materially, we expect a much less pronounced foreign currency impact in the second half.
Moving on to the group balance sheet on slide 27. Cash and cash equivalents amounted to CHF 448 million, reflecting free cash flow development as well as M&A.
Overall, total assets decreased to CHF 3.264 billion. Mainly driven by the divestments and the resulting deconsolidation effects.
Non-current liabilities increased to CHF 2.182 billion, reflecting new corporate bond issuance and the refinancing of existing liabilities. The total equity amounted to CHF 27 million, reflecting the net result, divestment-related effects, and other movements.
As seen on slide 28, group reported EBITDA amounted to CHF 29 million, including the non-cash deconsolidation loss related to Casting Solutions. The total net working capital increased by CHF 145 million due to normal seasonality and substantially higher accounts receivable, driven by the strong sales in the month of June.
Interest paid decreased, reflecting the repayment and refinancing of Uponor-related acquisition debt on attractive terms, while cash taxes were also lower. After adjusting for non-cash items, including the deconsolidation loss, cash flow from operating activities amounted to CHF 22 million.
Capital expenditures decreased significantly compared to the prior year, mainly due to the divestment of Casting Solutions. Group cash flow, free cash flow before M&A amounted to CHF 35 million.
It includes CHF 70 million proceeds from the sale of the Biel real estate. As can be seen on slide 29, net debt was around CHF 1.6 billion at mid-year, corresponding to 4x net debt EBITDA, as defined by the lending banks for applicable covenants.
By year-end, we expect the leverage to be around 2.4x-2.8x, reflecting the cash proceeds from Precicast. In parallel, we're already implementing other debt reduction measures, such as inventory optimization, which will continue into the second half.
With that, I will now hand back to our CEO for the 2026 outlook.
Mads Jørgensen
Andreas Müller
Thank you, Mads. Let's turn to slide 31 and our outlook for the full year.
Looking to H2, we expect to benefit from a strong order intake in semiconductors and infrastructure, as well as implemented price increases, cost reductions, and product range simplification measures. Taking these factors into account, we raise our sales outlook to mid-single digit organic growth with an unchanged comparable EBITDA margin of 14%-16%.
Turning to the final slide 32, we have made solid progress on the execution of Strategy 2030, which remains unchanged. Excellence in execution will remain top of mind going forward, along with free cash flow generation and debt reduction, as well as profitable growth, as I emphasized at the very beginning of this call.
Supported by strong mega trends, we are confident in delivering on our Strategy 2030 targets and driving sustainable value creation. Thank you.
I will now hand back to the operator for the Q&A session.
Andreas Müller
Operator
Thank you, sir. We will now begin the question and answer session.
Anyone who wishes to ask a question may press star and one on the telephone. You will hear a tone to confirm that you have entered a queue.
If you wish to remove yourself from the question queue, you may press star and two. Questioners on the phone are requested to disable the loudspeaker mode and eventually turn off the volume of the webcast while asking a question.
Anyone with a question may press star and one at this time. Our first question comes from Mr.
Vitushan Vijayakumar from Baader Europe. Please go ahead.
Operator
Vitushan Vijayakumar
Hi. Good morning, everyone.
Hope you can hear me. Just two question on my side, please.
The first one will be on Flow Solutions. It delivered another good performance.
Could you just help us understand which of the three segments, Industry, Infrastructure, or Buildings will be the largest contributor for the growth during the second half? The second question is regarding the guidance upgrade.
We understand that it is going to be upgraded, in terms of sales. Nevertheless, what could we expect, in terms of margins?
We know that the range has not been changed, but what should we expect? Where do you place yourself within the range, and did your view change, before the first half 2026, and after, especially, with the rate target for the Fit for Growth program?
Thank you.
Vitushan Vijayakumar
Andreas Müller
Thank you very much for your question. I think I will answer the first one in regards to our sales expectations in the second half of the year, and our CFO will give you a bit more background on our profitability.
As we have seen that the order intake has been exceptionally strong in our industrial segment, also driven by attractive end markets, we assume that an overproportional part of the growth is allocated to our industrial business, namely by semiconductors, but also by data centers, but also some increased activities in multiple industrial niches.
Andreas Müller
Mads Jørgensen
Your second question, the guidance on sales has been upgraded. That is correct.
In terms of profitability, it means that the second half will be more profitable than the first half, as you can see from the numbers. We have done our stress test of the scenarios, we confirm the current range of 14%-16% EBITDA margin comparable.
Mads Jørgensen
Vitushan Vijayakumar
Thank you. Thank you for that.
Vitushan Vijayakumar
Andreas Müller
Thank you.
Andreas Müller
Operator
The next question comes from Mr. Joern Iffert from UBS.
Please go ahead.
Operator
Joern Iffert
Good morning, and thanks for taking my questions. I would have three, if I may, please.
The first one would be please on the order intake, which was very strong. Any reasons why we should not take the order intake for H1 as a sales indication for the second half?
Can you give us some more details about longer lead times, longer orders also into 2027 or even 2028, which I included here? Second question, the Cost of Goods Sold went only up around CHF 10 million year-over-year, despite the oil price increase, polymer price increases.
Can you explain what exactly is standing behind this, why it was so low? The third question is please, in Building Flow Solutions, very good result in tight end markets.
What exactly was driving this? As we understood, you are mainly exposed to residential new builds, which was not good on the end market.
How do you explain the good performance and also would you say pre-buying played a major role here? Thank you very much.
Joern Iffert
Andreas Müller
Thank you very much, Mr. Iffert.
Let's quickly allude a bit to the order intake, and it is exactly how you have mentioned, a few of these orders taken in are having tenures which will exceed the second half of the year. In being cautiously guiding on our growth, we have given also in the scenario planning a bit certain delays on certain projects.
The Cost of Goods Sold will quickly be answered by our CFO.
Andreas Müller
Mads Jørgensen
Thank you very much for the question on the COGS. The main reason for the lower growth rate on the cost of goods sold is actually a mix.
It's attributable to the mix that we have. We have lower COGS, typically in the industrial part, where we've seen a stronger growth.
The same situation, we have a higher COGS in the GF Building Flow Solutions, where we've seen lower growth. That is actually the real explanation behind these numbers.
Mads Jørgensen
Joern Iffert
Yeah, it was okay. I think we could understand much.
Thank you.
Joern Iffert
Andreas Müller
Okay. No.
Super. Thank you.
GF Building Flow Solutions, I think it's a very good observation. I think what we did and what we have announced already last year and this year is that we have re-strengthened our market presence, particularly also by changing our organizational setup to create more proximity or a proximity to our customers by giving the right level of support, but also creating the pull effect in the market that was definitely supportive to sustain the turbulences.
The synergies, as we have outlaid them in our value creation program, for example, kicked in now in the first half of this year for the first time. Switzerland was, for us, a very strong market.
We delivered a growth only in Switzerland, which was above 10%, by leveraging the channel. Thirdly, we are known for having a very convincing system when it comes, for example, for the heat pump connections.
The heat pump connection is something where GF is focused on, also in addition with our indoor climate control, we exactly addressing the refurbishment market, which supported us across Europe. I think that to be said, are the main reasons.
In Europe, in the U.S., we could further build out our positions, particularly here in Canada, with a growth rate in the high single digits.
Andreas Müller
Joern Iffert
Thank you very much for this. If you allow me just to zoom in on the second question quickly again, because I think would be good to understand this better.
With a CHF 10 million increase in COGS year-over-year, this is really normal inflation if the Middle East conflict would never have happened and oil price never would went up. Is there any inventory effects we need to consider that you're buying in semi-finished products, which were still not exposed to cost inflation yet?
Or did you still benefit from inventories rolling over, that we see more cost of goods sold pressure in the second half? Or is this really the underlying run rate we should also assume more or less in the second half in terms of cost of goods sold, given the current polymer prices?
Joern Iffert
Mads Jørgensen
So far, the cost increases that we received in the first half, we have seen no further at the moment. Given that the, let's say, the raw material environment remains as it is now, we don't see further hikes in the material space.
I'm not the one that decides on these prices. We just don't expect it in the second half.
It is really related to more a mix. The number you see there contains the raw material prices increase, but it also, of course, contains a effect of foreign exchange, which lowers the number again.
That's why our sales number went down by CHF 88 million on FX. You will also have a corresponding effect on the COGS from FX.
Mads Jørgensen
Joern Iffert
Thank you very much.
Joern Iffert
Andreas Müller
One last point to the COGS development is, as we have outlaid in our value creation program, we also did, over the last one and a half to two years, footprint optimization of our production setup.
Andreas Müller
Joern Iffert
Thank you very much.
Joern Iffert
Operator
The next question comes from Mr. Martin Flueckiger from Kepler Cheuvreux.
Please go ahead.
Operator
Martin Flueckiger
Yeah. Morning, gentlemen.
Thanks for taking my questions. I have actually got three.
Some of them coming back to questions that were already raised, but I would like to get a little bit deeper on those. The first one is on the drivers of business acceleration in Q2.
Now I realize all the weather issues that we had in Q1 and Q2 were supposed to be better from at least, if you exclude any potential impacts from the war in the Middle East. I was just wondering, what were the main surprises there for you guys, in terms of business acceleration?
12 point something % organic growth in terms of top line, that's pretty hefty in my mind. I will take one at a time.
I will come back to my second question in a minute.
Martin Flueckiger
Andreas Müller
Well, I think, as mentioned, and as also clearly outlaid was, we had some spillovers of the adverse weather conditions of Q1 into Q2 that was mainly in our infrastructure business, where we have seen frozen ground in the Q1 for more than seven weeks in the northern part of Europe, as well adverse weather conditions in the U.S. for a period of some 10 days.
That created pent-up demand, which was executed in Q2. This doesn't explain the entire growth.
We have seen also various industrial segments picking up. Here, towards the end of Q2, we have realized now on the first strong order intake on our semiconductors, but also the acceleration of our data center businesses.
Those two were also additional drivers in the industrial sector. We also have seen a strong development in Q2 of our refurbishment and, for example, thermal solutions in our Building Flow Solutions business.
Overall, I think, that has it been largely a surprise? I wouldn't say like that, but we have seen how markets were developing, and we understood that we had a very subdued start into the year, so we would balance the Q2.
If you would take out the spillovers, you might would be in a high single-digit organic growth instead of the double-digit organic growth in the second quarter.
Andreas Müller
Martin Flueckiger
Okay, that's helpful. Thanks.
When you talk about spillovers, you mean catch-up, right?
Martin Flueckiger
Andreas Müller
Catch-up, yes. It would be a catch-up.
Andreas Müller
Martin Flueckiger
Yeah.
Martin Flueckiger
Andreas Müller
Of the.
Andreas Müller
Martin Flueckiger
Right. Got it.
Okay. My second question is on the outlook for the semiconductor business.
If I remember correctly, you guys were looking at an improvement of around CHF 40 million from CHF 160 million last year, so roughly ±25% organic growth, yeah? Is that expectation unchanged, or have you adjusted anything there?
Martin Flueckiger
Andreas Müller
I think, with the strong order intake in the first half of the year, which was accelerated, you have to say that, we expect that that number which we have tabled in our annual results conference is likely the lower range or the lower threshold of the range what we anticipate for the semiconductor to grow this year.
Andreas Müller
Martin Flueckiger
Okay. Thanks.
Then finally, on the EBITDA margin guidance for 2026. Still a pretty large range, 14%-16%.
I was just wondering, what are the key elements of your scenarios behind, let's say, the upper end and the lower end of that range?
Martin Flueckiger
Mads Jørgensen
Thank you for the question. As I said, the EBITDA margin for the full year is confirmed.
The facts that we have right now indicate we should be in that range. Any movement towards the upper end of a range would definitely require a substantial further increase in semiconductor and data center related sales.
That is the main effect. We've done our scenarios, it confirms in that range.
Mads Jørgensen
Martin Flueckiger
Thanks.
Martin Flueckiger
Operator
Next question comes from Mr. Chase Coughlan from Kempen.
Please go ahead.
Operator
Chase Coughlan
Hi. Good morning, all, and thank you for taking my questions.
I just have two. Starting going back to the organic sales growth guidance of mid-single digit.
It implies basically no acceleration in terms of the second half versus first half. Given all the moving parts, the very strong order intake, improving underlying markets, the pricing benefit, I'm curious on why we would not see that accelerate more.
Is there some de-stocking effect you're expecting, or could you provide some more color around that, please?
Chase Coughlan
Andreas Müller
As said, normally also the second half is marked by a certain level of seasonality, which is overcompensated by the strong order book, which we have now materialized in the first half of the year. We are cautiously guiding on a mid-single digit organic growth.
Andreas Müller
Chase Coughlan
Okay. In terms of this de-stocking potential, you said there's this inventory stocking at some distributors.
At least if you look at construction PMIs, they're still very soft. Is there any risk that you see some de-stocking in the third quarter, for example, or is that something you're thinking about?
Chase Coughlan
Andreas Müller
No, I think since the delivery performance of our business is exceptionally high, we are generally speaking, not at the highest level with our wholesalers, so we do not expect any severe de-stocking effects in the quarters to come.
Andreas Müller
Chase Coughlan
Okay, that's clear. My second question would be around the CapEx for this year.
Do you have an updated guidance number for what we should expect there?
Chase Coughlan
Mads Jørgensen
On the CapEx side, we are steering towards the CHF 100 million-CHF 110 million for the Flow Solutions business. Looking at where we are now, I think that's a very good target to have.
Mads Jørgensen
Chase Coughlan
Okay, perfect. Thank you, gentlemen.
Chase Coughlan
Operator
The next question comes from Mr. Charlie Fehrenbach from AWP.
Please go ahead.
Operator
Charlie Fehrenbach
Good morning, gentlemen. What are the biggest implications through the ongoing war in Middle East regarding the higher energy prices and possible disruptions in supply chains onto your company?
Thank you.
Charlie Fehrenbach
Andreas Müller
Thank you very much for your question. I think the biggest impact of the Middle East war most likely is in the range of volatile raw material prices.
We have seen in our commodities being rather volatile, and that ultimately affects a certain portion of our raw materials and resins. That's for sure one of the biggest impacts.
The business in the Middle East itself is also affected by this volatility. Therefore, it remains, and we see a shift in the nature of the business in that region.
We see now an overweight in infrastructure over residential new build. The war obviously will affect whether there is a, let me say, a normalization of the business sectors as we have been looked after them, or whether they will change in their composition going forward.
Andreas Müller
Charlie Fehrenbach
Thank you very much.
Charlie Fehrenbach
Operator
The next question comes from Mr. Tobias Fahrenholz from ODDO.
Please go ahead.
Operator
Tobias Fahrenholz
Yes. Hello, gentlemen.
Coming back to pricing and one-offs. On pricing, could you remind us again about the pure top-line impact in the first half and what you consider now explicitly for the full year outlook?
I assume so far you consider the typical 1% rise. Secondly, on the one-offs, could you give us a feeling now for the disposal of the remaining castings business?
Do you foresee here another major book gain in the second quarter? Could you maybe quantify it?
On 2027, Mads was referring to lower one-offs here, but not saying they are fully disappearing. What do you mean with that?
What kind of size you're looking here at 2027, and what could this be? Is there another cost savings program coming up, whatsoever?
Thank you.
Tobias Fahrenholz
Mads Jørgensen
Thank you for your question. On the pricing in the first half, we are at the level of 1.5% as an impact on the top line.
If we annualize that and look a bit forward, we would expect by the year-end to come out at 2%-2.5%. That's what we're looking at.
In terms of the one-offs that are relating to the restructuring programs, we have been largely through most of the activities that we have planned there. It doesn't mean that we're completely through, but I would say the vast majority of the one-off effects should be there.
There may be considerations on further footprint optimizations also in the second half, that is further in analysis. In terms of the effects of the divestment of Precicast, here we are looking not at a book loss, we're looking at a book gain, potentially in the area between CHF 30 million and CHF 40 million, depending on the final figures at closing.
Mads Jørgensen
Tobias Fahrenholz
Okay, thanks.
Tobias Fahrenholz
Operator
The next question comes from Mr. Walter Bamert from ZKB.
Please go ahead.
Operator
Walter Bamert
Good morning, everybody. Can you hear me?
Walter Bamert
Andreas Müller
Absolutely.
Andreas Müller
Mads Jørgensen
Yes.
Mads Jørgensen
Andreas Müller
Yep, we can hear you.
Andreas Müller
Walter Bamert
Perfect. If I look at it correctly, I see headquarter cost allocated to flow solutions of CHF 12 million in the first half.
Is that the run rate you expect going forward? With that, there is no unallocated headquarter cost within the group?
Walter Bamert
Mads Jørgensen
Thank you for the question. Going forward, we would expect a reduction of these costs.
Some of these costs in the first half also are restructuring related. We have made certain effects from the Fit for Growth in the headquarters as well.
In the second half, we would expect that to be at a lower level.
Mads Jørgensen
Walter Bamert
Perfect. Yeah.
You had somewhere the figure of the Fit for Growth of CHF 51 million probably for the full year. Are the benefits of the restructuring that you executed much bigger in the second half than in the first half?
Is there a gap that you could indicate? Is there CHF 10 million more in the second half, or how big is that improvement?
Walter Bamert
Andreas Müller
As we said, we have raised our target to CHF 60 million in 2026 savings. The second half will have a higher contribution from our Fit for Growth measures.
I think your number you tabled, the CHF 10 million, is very much in line with our expectations, what should be the increased savings for the second half out of the Fit for Growth program.
Andreas Müller
Walter Bamert
Okay. I think there were several questions regarding the product mix.
Overall, do you expect a positive margin effect from the product mix coming through in the second half relative to H1?
Walter Bamert
Andreas Müller
We can anticipate certain positive effects due to the overweight of our industrial business and also the strong order intake in our industrial business, which comes naturally with a higher margin since we operate here on highly technology-driven end markets.
Andreas Müller
Walter Bamert
Okay. All you mentioned today, also in the Q&A session, indicate a much better future than the past.
Has H1 been basically the bottom, and from here everything will improve? The question is what could go negative from here?
Walter Bamert
Andreas Müller
We are always going to make a statement bearing unforeseen circumstances. We never know what kind of further escalation in the global geopolitical framework could happen.
We have not changed the fundamentals of our business. Our business was always based on strong fundamental developments.
Whether it's being innovations in the industrial sector, where 80% of any industrial production process needs the conveyance of gas or liquids. We strongly believe that the infrastructure secular trends are very strong to cater for our business, particularly when it comes to the combination now of our offering with mission-critical valves, such as for water urban infrastructures.
We alluded to the district metering chambers, which are a one-stop solution or a one product which can manage the pressure in urban infrastructures, therefore increases longevity, but simultaneously decreasing water losses. The underlying trends in our construction industries across the world are currently now looking at the undersupply for affordable housing or new build.
The markets in Europe, even so, they are slightly stabilizing, and we see some upticks here in the Nordics, but also strong in Iberia and solid Switzerland. We do know that we have an undersupply, and we are on run rates compared to the year 2021, which are largely subdued, even 40%-50% in large economies such as Germany.
We're going to believe the fundamentals have not changed, and therefore Georg Fischer is always geared to benefit from that one. What is new, we're starting now to realize the commercial synergies.
We have also given here a heads-up that this is not a quick win by migrating product ranges and consolidating offerings. It is about becoming listed, having the right approvals, and creating the pull in the market out of our open.
We see now the first results this year, and we hope that we can continue on delivering on that one in the years to come.
Andreas Müller
Walter Bamert
Okay. Good.
We also saw recently the acquisition of Rotork by ABB. It's a good timing to explain to which extent is Rotork active in the same areas than Georg Fischer, to which extent it's synergistic, and to which extent this is a competition.
Walter Bamert
Mads Jørgensen
This is a competitor to Georg Fischer in the automation area. It's not significant.
Our competition picture globally is highly fragmented. We're up against numerous competitors, that your question is probably indicating is there a change with this move in the competition or the competitive landscape?
Does it have any implications for us? With that, I can answer no, it does not really have any material implications for us.
Mads Jørgensen
Walter Bamert
Thank you, Mads.
Walter Bamert
Operator
As a reminder, if you wish to register for a question, please press star followed by one. We take now the last question from Mr.
Alessandro Foletti from Octavian. Please go ahead.
Operator
Alessandro Foletti
Yes. Good morning.
Can you hear me?
Alessandro Foletti
Andreas Müller
Yes, we can, Mr. Foletti.
Andreas Müller
Alessandro Foletti
Okay, good. Thank you.
Just wanted to ask you if you can provide the organic growth rate for the infrastructure and industry business units on the order intake level. You mentioned for building, I'm not sure I heard that number for orders of infrastructure and industry.
Alessandro Foletti
Andreas Müller
In industry, we have seen an organic order intake growth in the magnitude of 20%. In a combination, that means we have roughly around a high single-digit number in our infrastructure business.
Andreas Müller
Alessandro Foletti
Thank you. The size of the Middle East business, can you remind that one?
Alessandro Foletti
Andreas Müller
Depends a bit. We define the Middle East, North Africa, Turkey as one of the regions, which equals a notch below 5% of our total sales.
Andreas Müller
Alessandro Foletti
All right. One question on VAG.
You mentioned that they had a CHF 81 million contribution. How many months was that?
Was the whole six months? I don't remember.
Alessandro Foletti
Andreas Müller
Yes, it was a full six months since the acquisition was executed in Q4 2025.
Andreas Müller
Alessandro Foletti
Okay. It was the full six months.
I thought it might be a little bit higher. Was there a big translation effect there or the growth was not as good as, I don't know, maybe the growth was not that strong?
Alessandro Foletti
Andreas Müller
No. The valve business in particular, the large bore mission-critical valves such as eccentric butterfly valves, but also the pressure controlling valves, is also a capital expenditure business, which is heavily a seasonal business in the second half of the year.
Andreas Müller
Alessandro Foletti
Okay.
Alessandro Foletti
Andreas Müller
The business itself was growing also in the first half of the year on a year-over-year comparison.
Andreas Müller
Alessandro Foletti
Right. Okay.
Very good. Then maybe one last question.
I don't know if we can solve this here, but you have given the split of the business units for H1 2025 and H1 2026. I was wondering if you can provide that also for the full year so that there is some sort of comparison to make the forecast for 2026 and going forward.
Alessandro Foletti
Andreas Müller
We will do that. Thank you for the question.
The split, as we have shown here, we will do that when we announce the results of the full year. You will have the full year numbers then.
Andreas Müller
Alessandro Foletti
I assume that you will do that there, yes. I was wondering if you could provide 2025 previously.
Alessandro Foletti
Andreas Müller
At the moment, that's not part of our reporting package. Yeah.
Andreas Müller
Alessandro Foletti
Okay. Is it fair to assume that the split between industry and infrastructure within that is there a reason why H2 and H1 split are different?
Alessandro Foletti
Andreas Müller
We do not expect that to be.
Andreas Müller
Alessandro Foletti
All right.
Alessandro Foletti
Andreas Müller
Huge shift in that split, no.
Andreas Müller
Alessandro Foletti
Okay, good. Thank you.
Alessandro Foletti
Andreas Müller
Welcome.
Andreas Müller
Operator
Ladies and gentlemen, that was the last question. I would now like to turn the conference back over to Andreas Müller for any closing remarks.
Operator
Andreas Müller
Thank you very much for your interest in our company, and we wish everyone a nice summer break. Thank you.