Eris Lifesciences Ltd

Eris Lifesciences Ltd

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Q3 FY2026 · Earnings Call TranscriptFebruary 13, 2026

V. Krishnakumar

Good evening to everybody. Welcome to our results discussion for Q3 and nine months of this financial year.

We'll talk about this in three parts as usual: branded formulations, international business, and consolidated. Straight off, based on the Q3 trend, we're happy to share that we have strong visibility to deliver a revenue growth of 12% in branded formulations this year with a 37% operating margin.

Q4, we'll see the impact of the price increases accruing to the fullest extent. In quarter three, DBF revenue stood at 696 crores, and for the nine-month period, stood at 2,106 crores, both representing a 10% growth year-on-year.

DBF EBITDA stood at 254 crores for the quarter and 781 crores for the nine-month period, representing a 12% growth. Year-on-year margin for the nine-month period is up by 70 basis points.

When we talk about DBF revenue composition, we would like to highlight the impact of some non-core tail-end products to you. We've identified a basket of tail-end brands primarily within general injectables and select other categories that exhibit a few common characteristics: a, lack of alignment with our core therapies; low profits and profitability; and limited growth prospects.

We've decided to discontinue these non-core brands, which will result in a 2% kind of impact on DBF revenue next year, while improving operating profits at an absolute level as well as improving the operating profit margin. Excluding these non-core brands, our FY '26 nine-month growth was 12%, and we expect to close the year at 13% to 14% growth with an EBITDA margin of 39% plus.

We've been discussing this for a long time, the RHI cartridges market following the exit of the innovator, and we had called out that we expect to see an acceleration starting December. Happy to share that it has come through starting December as expected, where we hit a market share of 25% for the month, and it's increased slightly since then, we closed January at close to 26%.

Worthwhile reflecting back that when we acquired the business from Biocon, this product had a market share of 8%. We've tripled market share since acquisition, which is the highest-ever gain seen in the insulin segment by any player.

Prescription share is trending close to 30% now, which is a good harbinger of the direction in which the revenue market share is progressing. We take this as a strong tailwind for the next financial year.

When we did the Biocon deal, we had articulated that we have an objective of taking 25% market share in insulins. We have achieved that in the RHI cartridges, and now we are on course to replicate this in the overall RHI plus glargine market as well, sharing some more color on that.

On the left side, we have the RHI plus glargine picture. This is a 3,000-crore market where, at the time of acquisition, there was a 9% market share, which now stands at 16% and growing.

We've nearly doubled the market share, and we're confident of getting to 25% in this piece. The next piece is the insulin analogs, which is close to 1,800-crore market with a three-year CAGR of 10% and controlled by the innovator.

We've been working on this space as shared in previous conversations. Aspart and aspart mix will be launched next year.

For degludec plain and degludec-liraglutide combination, we are scheduled the validation batches in the next couple of months. Our summary insulin strategy would be to take a 25% market share in our core RHI and glargine market and build a strong position in the adjacent market of ₹1,800 crores dominated by the innovator.

Insulin manufacturing at Bhopal is on course despite delays. RHI vials is already internalized and stabilized.

We've manufactured more than 5 million vials. Glargine vials, the commercial manufacturing is being initiated this month.

On the cartridges front, for both RHI and glargine, we're taking process validation batches this quarter, and we will initiate commercial manufacturing from the second quarter of next financial year. For degludec plain and degludec-lira combination, we're taking process validation batches in the next couple of months.

When we compare vis-a-vis IQVIA, this is the picture in our top four therapies, which is OAD, cardiac care, insulins, and dermatology. On OAD, our portfolio growth is still lagging market growth.

We've been hit by FDC bans in some important SKUs, and we believe that we will continue to lag the market for the next two, three quarters, post which we will stabilize. On cardiac care, we'd like to call out that the gap in our growth vis-a-vis market has narrowed, as you can see from the consecutive last four months data.

From a significant gap in October, we've come to a point where we have now become slightly ahead of the market in Jan. We have a very exciting product launch in Esaxerenone, which we believe will add to this momentum.

More on that later. On insulin and dermatology, we've been consistently ahead of market, insulin by a huge margin because of two things playing out: one is the innovator exit of a product at a higher price point is impacting market growth, and we are exponentially gaining market share, which is driving our growth.

Overall, cardiac, insulins, dermatology, we're very happy about. OHA, another two, three quarters, we expect to be back on track.

On the topic of GLP, again, we are very excited about the upcoming launch. Endocrinologists and diabetologists continue to make the prescriptions with a close to 70% share, which is one of our strong positions.

More importantly, recent trials demonstrate that even though there are other GLP alternatives in the market, sema delivers significant benefits in respect of cardiovascular outcomes, and this is extremely encouraging for the Indian market given our CVD burden. In terms of go-to-market readiness, the partnership is already in place, the decks are cleared for the final approval.

We have also made significant progress in internalizing the semaglutide manufacturing at our Ahmedabad site. Process validation batches have been taken.

They are on stability. We have created adequate manufacturing facility capacity, and we have the ability to double this with minimal investment.

Speaking a bit about Esaxerenone, which we believe will be a game changer in hypertension management, this is a disease-modifying drug in its true sense of the term. Whether it is the 2.5 mg product or the 5 mg product, there's very good clinical data in terms of not only reduction in hypertension, but also in terms of benefits on the kidney side.

This was a product developed by our own R&D team. This is a Japanese molecule.

They were the first company to develop this and put it through a clinical trial and get it approved by the drug controller. We're very excited about the launch of this product.

That was a summary on branded formulations domestic. Now moving to the international business.

We clocked our highest-ever quarter in the international business revenue of 111 crores, which represents a 45% growth with a corresponding 46% growth in EBITDA. For the nine-month period, international revenue stands at 259 crores, which represents an 11% year-on-year growth with an EBITDA of 81 crores.

Q3 EBITDA margin was at 30% and nine-month at 31%. You will notice a margin compression relative to FY '25.

'25 margin was 33%. This compression is due to significant investment ahead of revenue in people and EU CDMO capabilities, and the full impact of these will be realized starting next year.

Visibility for this year is in the zone of 370 to 375 crores with an EBITDA of 115-odd crores. We have called this out in the previous quarter that FY '26 '27 looks like a breakout year, and we have been able to quantify it for you now.

We have strong visibility of FY '27 revenue of 550 to 600 crores with an EBITDA of 180 to 200 crores. Just to remind, FY '24, which is when we acquired this business, the revenue was sub-300 crores with an EBITDA of 80 crores.

This represents a substantial growth in both revenue and profits over a three-year period. Key drivers: a, EU CDMO, consistently the book is building up.

We're standing at more than 1,000 crores of book at the end of quarter three. We have some tailwinds in the base business in terms of our corticosteroids and Latin American acceleration, and we have new business opportunities which have not necessarily been quantified.

We have a third injectable unit set to be commissioned starting '28. About a year ago, we had articulated an aspiration that we would like an international business to achieve 1,000 crores in revenue by 2029-2030.

From whatever is happening, we are confident that we are well on course for that with a significant part of this 1,000 crore coming from CDMO and regulated markets. On the consolidated front, we recorded, again, our highest-ever quarterly revenue.

Revenue for the quarter was at 807 crores, which represents an 11% growth, and revenue for the nine-month period was 2,373. We have been winding down the trade generics business this year.

Excluding trade generics, quarterly revenue was the same, 807 crores, but represents a year-on-year growth of 13%, and YTD revenue was 2,369 crores with a year-on-year growth of 10%. Operating profits for the quarter was 282 crores, which is a 13% growth, and excluding the impact of trade generics, quarterly profit was 286 crores, which is a year-on-year growth of 14%.

YTD EBITDA, 847 crores, and excluding the impact of trade generics, 861 crores, which is a year-on-year growth of 12%. In terms of the visibility for the year, we're looking at a 3,200-crore revenue, which would be a 12% growth excluding trade generics, EBITDA of around 1,150, which would be a 15% growth including trade generics, and EBITDA margin moving up from 35% last year to 36% this year.

Consolidated profit after tax from continuing operations came in close to 120 crores, which is nearly a 40% growth. Key drivers were a 15% year-on-year reduction in interest cost and more than a 200 bps reduction in tax rate.

We took a one-time adjustment of 17 crores as an exceptional item in conjunction with the new labor code. On debt reduction, we reiterate our guidance.

Net debt at the end of the quarter stood at 2,270 crores, and our capex guidance for the next three years remains what it was. We expect to get to a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.5x by the end of this calendar year.

On the consolidated front, the key highlights, we've spoken about before. Q3 capex was close to 80 crores, again largely towards the projects we've called out before.

Nine-month capex, close to 200 crores. We'll be in that range of 200 to 250 crores per annum capex on the insulin, GLP-1, and injectables side.

OCF came in at 50% this quarter versus 120% in the same quarter last year. Quarter three EPS came in at ₹9 and nine-month EPS at ₹28, in tandem with the growth reported in profit after tax.

This brings us to the end of this presentation, and we can now open up for Q&A. Before we get started with the Q&A, I am very happy to report that today has been a very lucky day for us because we just got to know that our partner, Natco, has received the approval for the generic semaglutide.

The stage is set for a launch, and we're very excited about it, and we look forward to it.

Operator

Thank you, sir. Ladies and gentlemen, we will now begin the question and answer session.

Participants who wish to ask questions may do so by clicking the raise hand icon at the bottom of your screen and wait for your turn to speak. When prompted, you can accept the prompt on your screen, unmute your audio, and ask your questions.

Please introduce yourself by providing your name and your organization name and limit yourself to a maximum of two questions so we can accommodate as many participants as possible. Ladies and gentlemen, we'll wait for a moment while the question queue assembles.

Participants who wish to ask questions may do so by clicking the raise hand icon at the bottom of your screen and wait for your turn to speak. We have the first question from the line of Nitin Gosar.

I would request you to accept the prompt on your screen, unmute your audio, introduce the firm you represent, and ask your question.

Nitin Gosar

Hey, hi. Good evening.

Nithin from Bank of India Mutual Fund. I just witnessed some change in the debt repayment schedule on the slide number 19.

Could you just run through past, is there any change? Because I believe capex programs are not changing.

Then what could be the reason for outstanding debt to see a year delay in terms of reaching at 1,800 crore? That's the question.

V. Krishnakumar

Yeah.

Nitin Gosar

Yeah.

V. Krishnakumar

Let me respond to that. This slide is pretty much consistent with what we showed you last quarter.

There is no change. We have shared in the previous quarter that because of the attractiveness of certain strategic opportunities that have presented themselves on the injectable, insulin, and GLP side, we have decided to prepone or frontload the capital investments.

The capex guidance for the three-year period from '26 to '28 was outlined as around 750 crores. There is no change in the total number, except that it is being frontloaded.

That is what causes the delay in the debt repayment. There is no change whatsoever.

Nitin Gosar

Got it. My bad.

I missed it last time. Second question is with regard to the hypertension product, Esaxerenone.

Could you broadly highlight what is the target audience we're looking at or what is the potential market size we're talking about, what kind of line of treatment we are going to have here? Is it going to be the first line of treatment?

Broadly outlining how the product should be seen going forward.

Amit Bakshi

Nitin. This drug is called Esaxerenone, which is basically an MRA, and we call it a non-steroidal MRA.

The approval which we have got in India is hypertension, resistant hypertension. This drug comes under a new category of drug which basically are called disease-modifying drugs.

What it does, Nitin, very interesting, that it not only reduces hypertension, it reduces proteinuria. Proteinuria basically, patients who started on CKD, early CKD we call it.

It reduces hypertension as good as other MRAs, but has a very profound effect on kidney protection and can be used at a very, very low GFR also. This I'm repeating, this is a disease-modifying drug.

We find a lot of hypertension patients moving on to this drug, especially patients who are on resistant hypertension, which needs three drug to control hypertension, which is almost 30% of the universe. Then because it has an added advantage, a big advantage to reverse microalbuminuria, it will be used a lot in patient with diabetes who also have early CKD.

This is a very well kind of known phenomenon. This we have bought in Japan.

Japan, it has become number one in its category. I don't remember the sale, but it's number one.

It basically is managing hypertension. It will be difficult for me to put a market size, but if you want to ask me the market size of MRA, they are close to 800, 1,000 crores.

MRA plus non-steroidal MRA in India are close to 800, 1,000 crores. It goes beyond that.

It also goes into the realm of ARB combination. It's pretty large opportunity.

Nitin Gosar

Got it. Perfect.

Thanks for this explanation. Thank you.

Amit Bakshi

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Participants who wish to ask questions may do so by clicking the raise hand icon at the bottom of your screen and wait for your turn to speak.

When prompted, you can accept the prompt on your screen, unmute your audio, and ask your questions. The next question comes from the line of Pragati Lunawat.

I would request you to accept the prompt on your screen, unmute your audio, introduce the firm you represent, and ask your question.

Pragati Lunawat

Hello, am I audible?

Kruti Raval

Yes, Pragati.

Pragati Lunawat

Okay. My question is why cash flow conversion has been low for quarter three?

Quarter three is 50% compared to last year quarter three was 120%. How do we expect the same going forward?

Amit Bakshi

Pragati, we understand that we have gone down as far as OCF is concerned. We are looking at where we are today.

We feel that by the end of quarter one and quarter two, we will be able to reduce this by at least 10 to 14 days going ahead. Why it changes a bit from what it used to be, now we have a lot of injectables, insulins, hospital supplies, and all those things because last couple of our acquisitions were on that side.

It will not get to what it used to be at some point of time, which was close to 40, 42. I expect this to be lower around 10 to 15 days in the next one or two quarter.

Pragati Lunawat

Okay. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Participants who wish to ask questions may do so by clicking the raise hand icon at the bottom of your screen and wait for your turn to speak.

Participants, if you wish to ask a question, you may do so by clicking the raise hand icon at the bottom of your screen and wait for your turn to speak. The next question comes from the line of Gaurav T.

I would request you to accept the prompt on your screen, unmute your audio, introduce the firm you represent, and ask your question.

Gaurav Mehta

Hi. Thank you and good evening.

Gaurav from Ambit Capital. Just initially on the gross margins this quarter, I believe there was some softness.

Any particular reason for that?

Amit Bakshi

I think it's more of a product mix, man. Nothing else.

Gaurav Mehta

Got it. Okay.

Semaglutide, congratulations on your partner's approval. I believe since this will be a partnered product, initial days this will be a relatively lower gross margin product for us versus the other portfolio.

In terms of gross margin guidance for the India business, can we expect some softness in the initial years till this comes in in-house? Would that be a fair assumption?

Amit Bakshi

Gaurav, that would be a fair assumption. It is not because of the partnership, because there, we have invested in equal quantity.

It is all about the first couple of batches to get the approvals right. Therefore, in my view, this will be a phenomenon across.

That is my view. You are right, initial days the gross margins would be lower.

As soon as we shift to a better, which is our own site, then it will have a significant impact.

Gaurav Mehta

Got it. Just

Amit Bakshi

Gaurav, the other part is will it make a difference on the overall number? Look, overall, no, man, because now our denominator is close to 3,000 crores of DBF.

Will that make a significant material difference? The answer is no.

Gaurav Mehta

Fair. No, thank you for that.

Just a follow-on to our partnership with Natco. Did I hear you right, you shared the expenditure spent?

Is it fair to assume that you will have a exclusive relationship with Natco for the product supply?

Amit Bakshi

These relationships are exclusive at some level, yeah.

Gaurav Mehta

Got it. Coming to the marketing part now for Sema, your employee spend has stayed here.

Do we envisage a field force expansion in this quarter and a higher increase in MR strength going forward for this product?

Amit Bakshi

Gaurav, because we already had around seven to eight teams doing diabetes and metabolics, right? Because we already had this as a largest part of our portfolio.

In the last couple of years, we have added two teams for insulin. We are actually putting our best people for the GLP launch.

For us, what is happening, Gaurav, there's one side GLP and the other side is the entire insulin which has kind of come back. Insulin is also as exciting for us as a company as other opportunities like GLP.

Going forward, we would need a team, but I can't see it in the first two quarters at least.

Gaurav Mehta

Got it. Because initially when a new team comes on and we see a launch, there can be lower productivity and some margin.

Given our synergies with the insulin franchise, I think that doesn't seem to be the case for us.

Amit Bakshi

Gaurav. Gaurav over than that, we wanted to take the people who has been with the company for a longer period of time.

Because it's not only about resources, it's about alignment also. New people alignment with the company, with the product, with the culture takes time.

We didn't wanted to get through that. That's why we have got our best people doing this.

Gaurav Mehta

Fair, fair. Sorry, going back to our relationship with Natco, they just had an earnings call yesterday, and we now understand they're doing a trial for the obesity indication as well.

Amit Bakshi

Would

Gaurav Mehta

that be an extension of our relationship, or is it fair to assume?

Amit Bakshi

Yes, yes, that would be. That would be, Gaurav.

Please understand, Gaurav, the kind of strengths we already have, it is my opinion that these strengths put together will have a more than 80% market share in India. India as a country is not morbidly obese, and whatever data we have seen till this point of time, it will be very difficult for our population to take up more than 1.7 mg.

That will happen very far and very few. While that is more of filling the portfolio and having it, but that is more ornamental than the real stuff.

Gaurav Mehta

No, that's a very interesting insight for me. Thank you so much for that.

Just one last question, since you're now getting into the innovator launches as well in India, can you call out the R&D spend that we have currently in FY '26 versus FY '25, and how do you see that going forward?

Amit Bakshi

Gaurav, we'll report it from the next year. This year we're not reporting it, but it's quite a big.

Gaurav, look, expenses have been all around. Today you see us at 37% EBITDA.

Look, the kind of money which has gone into opex, especially in these new plans, technologies, and the R&D, has been very significant. Till this point of time, we haven't had any revenues from all these projects.

All these projects as of now seems to be firing up in the coming year. Once that start, we will see a lot of cooling off of the opex also.

They will be countered by the revenue. You are right, we are planning that next year we will call out the R&D expenses separately.

This year we haven't done it.

Gaurav Mehta

No, fair. Thank you for your responses.

Wish you all the best. That's all from my side.

Thank you.

Amit Bakshi

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Participants who wish to ask questions may do so by clicking the raise hand icon at the bottom of your screen and wait for your turn to speak.

Wait for a moment while the question queue assembles. The next question comes from the line of Kunal Dhamesha.

I would request you to accept the prompt on your screen, unmute your audio, introduce the firm you represent, and ask your question. Kunal Dhamesha, your line is unmuted.

Please go ahead with your question.

Kunal Dhamesha

Can you hear me?

Kruti Raval

Yes, Kunal.

Kunal Dhamesha

Yeah. Hey, hi.

This is Kunal here from Macquarie. Amit, can you explain the details we saw in presentation about discontinuing some of the brands, thought process, some of the threshold levels, the KPIs for those brands that you would have looked at, and how often do you do this exercise, and why now?

Oh, man.

Amit Bakshi

Too many questions together, Kunal. How many times we have done this, I don't remember too many times when we have done this.

Look, Kunal, there have been two reason. One is that we've been acquisitive, and when we buy something, we also buy a tail.

We are very easy to call this off because this is our simple business philosophy that we don't want to continue businesses which do not either have EBITDA today or is not on the line of getting a higher EBITDA and is not worth of kind of realigning our supply chain. For example, the same problem in insulin is not a problem because it is strategic and we are going ahead.

Generally it's, if I give you a parallel, you remember we discontinued trade generics this year. Again, we had the same problem.

All these products have similar issues. Number one, they are low EBITDA, and we don't find scaling up will add EBITDA either from any which ways.

Or number two, they are too outside our strength area. It's a combination of that.

Some put together it is more like 60, 70 crores. I think that should be taken away.

Do I see anything more than that? Now we are two years, three years with all our acquisitions.

Are we seeing nothing else which could fit this bill in the foreseeable future.

Kunal Dhamesha

Are we also taking out some of the infrastructure like the divisions which would be supporting this brand, or optimizing those divisions, the cost would also come out at the same time as the revenue?

Amit Bakshi

Kunal, that is naturally, if you do the product, then we have to realign people. A short answer to that is that we will be shifting some people on the metabolic side.

Wherever there is excess of people, we'll shift it to more productive and more strategic side.

Kunal Dhamesha

Sure. One on the GLP-1 opportunity, some of your peers have already started the base work in terms of building additional divisions, are we also doing similar things?

If yes, how many MRs are we kind of dedicating to that or how are we looking at this opportunity which will open up next month, and what's our preparation level?

Amit Bakshi

Kunal, we are very excited about this, and we have been excited about this from a long time. We have put our best people together.

We already have around seven, eight teams working in the metabolics, we didn't find a need of putting another team at this point of time. Because we didn't wanted to start new relationships, new understanding, culture setting in the last two, three months.

We find that as a not a very good idea. That's number one.

Number two, our take on this has been, from the day one, our take has been very simple. We find this diabesity, and we are very clinical about this.

There's a lot of work which is going on. Of course, I can't share on the call.

We are readying ourselves for the most exciting launch which we have ever done in terms of how we are going about it. Let's see how it shapes up.

Kunal Dhamesha

Sure. Lastly, to an earlier question you alluded that some of our manufacturing initiatives are currently not generating revenue, but there is an operational cost.

Can you quantify that drag on the EBITDA currently for us?

Amit Bakshi

Look, it will be in the range of 60 to 90 crores, yeah.

Kunal Dhamesha

And

Amit Bakshi

At a yearly level, it would be around 60 to 90 crores.

Kunal Dhamesha

Annually. When do you see this breaking even?

Next year

Amit Bakshi

Look, as soon as my Bhopal has started up with the vials, which is a good news. This year that number comes down.

Then if the ATL starts doing something more than India business, which we expect it to start doing, say, by April, May, June in that quarter. These two areas kind of get up.

Bhopal, we are very sure, we are just waiting, it's a matter of time. ATL, it's still work in progress, I can't tell you anything solid which we have, but that's how it is.

Got it.

Kunal Dhamesha

Thank you and all the best.

Amit Bakshi

Thank you, Kunal.

Operator

Thank you. We have the next question from Pritesh Chheda.

I would request you to accept the prompt on your screen, unmute your audio, introduce the firm you represent, and ask your question.

Pritesh Chheda

Can you hear me?

Kruti Raval

Yes, we can.

Pritesh Chheda

I think I need to log back again. I'll call back again, sir.

Maybe you want to take some other question, I'll call back again.

Operator

Thank you. Participants who wish to ask questions may do so by clicking the raise hand icon at the bottom of your screen and wait for your turn to speak.

Wait for a moment while the question queue assembles. The next question comes from the line of Madhav Marda.

I would request you to accept the prompt on your screen, unmute your audio, introduce the firm you represent, and ask your question.

Madhav Marda

Hi, my name is Madhav. I'm from Fidelity.

My question was firstly on the gross margin. Not sure if it's already been addressed, but if I'm understanding right, the gross margin went down by about 300, 350 basis points.

Any reason for the contraction year-over-year?

Amit Bakshi

Madhav, it's a product mix thing. Some of it in Swiss, some of it in domestic.

I'd really look at it on a nine-month basis. Nothing to fall out per se in Q3.

Madhav Marda

Okay. Okay.

Even if I look at it on a year-to-date basis, it's down about 100 basis points. That's just the product mix impact, is it, year-over-year?

Amit Bakshi

Yes, Madhav. Madhav.

Largely product base and largely the insulin piece, so as soon as we shift it, it will reverse.

Madhav Marda

Okay. Understood.

Then if we think about FY '27 for the branded business, domestic branded business, how do we see growth for the company, especially it's a very interesting year with the semaglutide generics coming in? Any sort of outlook in terms of the diabetes franchise and then the other businesses as well?

Then also, how do you see margins trending next year given this major product which gets launched for us? Yeah.

Thank you.

Amit Bakshi

Madhav, your second question is easier to answer at this point of time. The first question we'll get to you when we close the year.

That's in the next couple of months. Look, margins initially for GLP will be contracted, but at a company level, I don't think it will make a difference because the bottom line in the DBF would be upward of 3,000 crores.

It doesn't really moves the needle there. The second thing is, once the insulin Bhopal kind of catches up, then that is one area where we get a significant amount of reduction.

I'm not worried about the gross margins for the next year.

Madhav Marda

At the EBITDA level, sir, I think on a year-to-date basis, you're probably at closer to 36% EBITDA margin. If you had to think about FY '27, you're saying semaglutide initially could be margin dilutive.

Then anything else, when does the Bhopal start ramping up for us, the unit which could help margins?

Amit Bakshi

Madhav, look, we have already started doing the vials. The vials is already coming in, which will give us a good cushion in the first quarter.

In the next quarter, we are hopeful that the cartridges also start coming in. Once the cart also comes in, then we will be almost 100% through.

Then we see a good, very significant jump from where we are. That would be enough to make for any small things which we'll lose here and there.

Madhav Marda

We think margins can be stable or could be lower or higher next year given how we see the business shifting?

Amit Bakshi

I would say it would be stable. I don't think any movement in the margins.

Madhav Marda

Okay. Okay.

Just last question from my side. On every concall, you've been kind enough to give us your view on how you see the semaglutide first year market shaping up.

Any updated thoughts in terms of how it's evolving and how the year one opportunity could be? I know it's a bit of a guesswork, but just how are you looking at it?

Amit Bakshi

Yeah. Madhav, nothing changes.

I will be more repetitive because my belief from the earlier time was that this is a metabolic drug which is made to look like an obesity drug. While it will reduce weight, but it does far more than reducing weight if you look at the metabolic thing.

In India, people who wanted to lose weight and could afford are more or less done with it. Now the real game will start where we'll talk about a large population of diabetes.

If you look at the indication, Madhav, they're just growing by the day. As we speak, couple of months back, we got the cardiovascular data, which is very interesting because tirzepatide doesn't seems to have any cardiovascular benefits, and the treatment of diabetes is to prevent cardiovascular events.

That is something which has happened very good for semaglutide as a market. It seems that the GIP piece somewhere is coming in between and not giving the cardiovascular benefits, which is the mainstay for a diabetes treatment in today's world.

We find that it will be more for the metabolic thing. Now if you look at the approvals or the data between the two, now we are covering the whole gamut of metabolic issues, whether it is obstructive sleep apnea or fatty liver has also come in.

Madhav, this is going to be very big, extremely big. We just need to see how harsh it is on the GI and how does our population kinds of cope with the GI side effects.

That's the only thing which we need to see. Otherwise, from an indication point of view, obesity without a metabolic disorder is just like the tip of the iceberg.

The real game is diabetes, fatty liver, PCOD, sleep apnea, which is a huge population, of course with some overweight. Remember, we call ourselves as a thin-fat India.

Very, very large population of ours will be at the target in between 10% to 12% of weight loss. We are not the morbid obesity which US is 44% people there have that obesity where the I think cut-off is more than 30 BMI.

In India it is a metabolic drug first and a weight loss drug to get the metabolism right. That is where our focus would be.

Madhav Marda

Okay. All right.

Great. Thanks so much.

Thank you.

Amit Bakshi

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. The next question comes from the line of Rahul Agrawal.

I would request you to accept the prompt on your screen, unmute your audio, introduce the firm you represent, and ask your question.

Rahul Agrawal

Thanks for the opportunity. This is Rahul Agrawal from Everflow Capital Partners.

On the RHI cartridge market, you mentioned that you have reached a 25% market share in December. What is the market share of the innovator in December, and what sort of incremental market share do you expect over the next few quarters here?

By when do you expect to get a 25% in the overall RHI plus glargine segment, which you have set out as your target?

Amit Bakshi

Yeah. Good question.

Overall 25% in glargine and human insulin over the next three years. We have now got to 25%, 26% market share.

What we see in the data, we don't know how much stock is lying in the retailer, but whatever we see in the data, it seems Mixtard is now only 15%, 20% of what it was, and we feel that this is also going to taper off either in this month or in the next month. We expect that we move from 25% to either 27% or 28%, and that is where the windfall will stop, and then it will start gaining market share as usual.

Important to note, my friend, that you will see insulin markets de-growing because our price is 40% less than the lead brand.

Rahul Agrawal

Mm.

Amit Bakshi

That is why our volume share would be much higher than the value share. Then because we are so low-priced, and this has been historically done, we see that there is a good price increment chance also almost every year for the next four, five years.

It's a similar drug. Correct?

We run a campaign called 40nil where we are 40% lesser in price, and there is no difference in quality. It's the same quality which the innovator happens.

We are interchangeability. If you look at the prescription data, basically in our industry, we say prescription precedes sales.

Our prescription data, prescription share, and prescription growth has been highest in the category. We believe that the tailwinds would continue for the next one year.

Rahul Agrawal

Got it. How much market share have the other competitors gained as the innovator exited?

How has been our relative growth versus them?

Amit Bakshi

Our relative growth has been higher because we have been on a lower market share. Largely when we settle down, I think it will be more like two players, right?

Huminsulin and us. We would be sharing a market share of around 60-27, 65-27, that kind of a number.

Rahul Agrawal

Got it. Got it.

Thank you. Shifting to the export opportunity that you have called out, you have said that the EU CDMO order book is now 1,000 crore annualized at the end of Q3.

If I add that to your current base in Swiss, which is around 350-odd crore, you're looking at a much higher number on exports than was in your original plan. Am I reading it right, or is this 1,000 crore including the current base?

V. Krishnakumar

Rahul, you're right, 1,000 crores is the annualized size of the book. What we are trying to explain is we had set an aspiration of 1,000 crores by the turn of the decade last year, we are well on our way.

If things go as per plan, then it could be even higher. That's what we're trying to clarify.

Rahul Agrawal

Got it. As of now, the 1,000 crore is on top of the existing base of Swiss, which is very little in EU as of now, right?

V. Krishnakumar

In the EU CDMO book, yes. In the 1,000 crore aspiration that we outlined for 2029-2030, we include the base business as well.

Rahul Agrawal

Got it. You also mentioned that you may look at the Sema CMO opportunity and that may be on top.

My guess is that would depend on once the approvals come in and then you may evaluate that for both domestic and export, or do you only want to do that for a particular market?

Amit Bakshi

Rahul, look, we are not sure at this point of time, it is a very potential opportunity, but we have not been able to pencil it down because we don't know how many people are there, what are the preparation. From an opportunity point of view, it's very interesting.

Rahul Agrawal

Got it. That's something that you'll take a call on as you go along depending on how

Amit Bakshi

Absolutely. The good thing is that our validation has been done.

We presume that it's a matter of time we will be in the market.

Rahul Agrawal

Got it. Thank you so much.

Amit Bakshi

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Participants, if you wish to ask your question, you may do so by clicking the raise hand icon at the bottom of your screen and wait for your turn to speak.

Participants, if you wish to ask a question, you may do so by clicking the raise hand icon at the bottom of your screen and wait for your turn to speak.

Kruti Raval

Given if there are no more participants or no more questions, I think it's okay to close the call.

Operator

Ma'am, we have a question, ma'am. Can I take that?

Kruti Raval

All right. We'll take that one last question.

Operator

Okay. The next question comes from Sudarshan Agarwal.

I would request you to accept the prompt on your screen, unmute your audio, introduce the firm you represent, and ask your question.

Sudarshan Agarwal

Hey, hi. This is Sudarshan from Axis.

Am I audible?

Kruti Raval

Yes, Sudarshan. Go ahead.

Sudarshan Agarwal

Yeah. Coming back to the CDMO question that the last participant asked, the 1,000 crore order book that you have as of Q3, you expect this to kind of continue growing?

The execution, this is expected to be kind of executed in one year, two years? What is the visibility that we have in terms of the timelines of this order book getting executed?

V. Krishnakumar

Sudarshan, two questions there. One is, what is the rate at which the order book will grow?

I think only time will tell because this is lumpy business addition. We'll see how it comes.

Regarding the commercialization, very straightforward because these are products you develop, take stability, file a dossier, and then you know the timeline for EU approval. We've called out a definite amount of CDMO revenue, which is 125 to 160 crores that we expect to come in next year.

The full commercialization of the 1,000 crores is more like a three-year job.

Sudarshan Agarwal

Got it. In terms of the plant capacities, etc., I think you are using the Swiss and Ahmedabad facility for this.

We have more and enough capacity for any future expansion over here, right, for the CDMO piece?

V. Krishnakumar

Swiss is currently operating two facilities which will do as well for FY '27. Then a Unit 3 which we're building at Swiss, that is something we are commissioning in FY '28.

With that coming on stream, we'll be more than sorted because the new facility is much larger than the first two put together.

Sudarshan Agarwal

Got it. That's it from my side.

Thanks for this.

Operator

Thank you. As there are no further questions, I would now like to hand the conference over to Mr.

V. Krishnakumar for the closing comments.

Over to you, sir.

V. Krishnakumar

Thank you all for your participation today. In closing, our DBF business delivered a 10% revenue growth this quarter, and we have clear visibility of 12% growth for this year with a 37% margin.

In line with the expectation articulated, we've started seeing an acceleration in RHI cartridges from December, and we achieved a 25% market share, which has been growing since. The stage is set for our GLP launch with our partner, Natco, receiving approval today.

On a consolidated basis, Q3 was our highest quarter yet with a revenue of 807 crores and an 11% growth. Excluding the impact of trade generics, Q3 revenue stood at the same 807 crores, but with a 13% year-on-year growth.

Consolidated margin has expanded 80 bps to 36% YTD. PAT growth from operations stood at close to 39% in Q3.

Interest expense was down 15% year-on-year, and book tax rate was down by over 200 bps year-on-year. Our international business delivered a Q3 revenue of 111 crores with a 45% growth.

We have strong visibility on FY '27 shaping up as a breakout year with total revenues of 550 to 600 crores and a significant contribution from our CDMO pipeline and regulated markets. Our capital investments in injectables, insulins, mAbs, and GLP-1s continue in line with our guidance, and so does the leverage ratio.

Thank you all and wish you a good evening.

Operator

Thank you very much, sir, and thank you, members of the management. Ladies and gentlemen, on behalf of Eris Lifesciences Limited, that concludes this conference.

Thank you for joining us, and you may now exit the meeting.