Krishnakumar Vaidyanathan
Welcome to the Quarter 4 and the full year results presentation. We will structure the discussion in three parts, as usual: domestic formulations, international business, and the consolidated statements.
First with the domestic business results. In Quarter 4, our domestic business grew by 12% and EBITDA grew by 10% with a margin of 37%.
For the full year, our revenue growth was 11% and EBITDA growth of 12% with a 37% margin. EBITDA margin expanded from 36.5% in FY25 to 37% in FY26.
In terms of absolute numbers, Quarter 4 revenue was at ₹671 crore and the full year DBF revenue was at ₹2,778 crore. The Quarter 4 EBITDA was at ₹246 crore, 10% margin, slightly depressed because of the semaglutide pre-launch expenses.
Full year EBITDA for DBF was ₹1,026 crore, which is a 12% growth year-on-year. EBITDA margin expanded from 36.5% in FY25 to 37% in FY26.
Looking back at the key hits and misses during the year, the key misses were largely two. Number one, there was a revenue loss of around ₹55 to ₹60 crore because of significant new launches that were earlier planned, but then they had to be abandoned or delayed.
G-Saxenda, the weight loss SKU of liraglutide, we had to abandon that due to a delay in regulatory approval. Aspart and Ezaxerenone, which were two very important launches planned for FY26, got deferred to FY27 on account of regulatory delays.
On the insulin side, we again incurred a sale loss of around ₹50 crore in FY26 on the back of a similar number in FY25 because the insourcing of the products and the commercial manufacturing from Bhopal has been delayed by nearly a year, again on account of regulatory delays. While we continue to be dependent on third-party supplies in FY26, we had to take this revenue loss because the supplies were not commensurate with the demand.
Thirdly, our critical care business did not take off as expected. Looking at the things that worked very well: the insulin segment performance, the numbers speak for themselves.
Our market share in RHI cartridges increased from 13% to 24% during the course of the year. Our market share in the overall insulin segment, which is RHI plus glargine, increased from 12% to 16% during the year.
The growth in insulin for us outpaced the covered market growth by nearly fivefold. The CVM growth was 6.7% and the Eris growth was 32%.
The derma segment consistently outperformed its covered market in all four quarters. For the financial year, Eris growth was 14.2% versus the covered market growth of 8.6%, with EBITDA margin well above the DBF average of 37%.
Our semaglutide brand, Sunday, has taken off to a robust start. We launched the product in two presentations, vial and pen.
For the very first full month, that is April '26, as per the reflection in IQVIA, Eris is ranked number one in injectable semaglutide by sale volume, and Eris is ranked number two in the injectable semaglutide by sale value. We take this as a strong reflection of the present strength of the Eris injectable diabesity platform.
Moving over to the key numbers, as per IQVIA, the Eris market share in injectable sema by units started at 13% in March and stood at 22% in April. Eris market share by sale value started at 5% in March and stands at 13% in April.
By way of prescription share, Eris market share in injectable sema stands at 22% in May, having started at 8% in March and 18% in April. The other noteworthy point here is that we launched the vial in March, and we launched our pen in mid-April with just one SKU, which is 2 mg.
Despite that, we clocked a market share in the pen segment of 11% by volume and 6% by value. Recapping the salient features of our semaglutide launch: The market size and structure is evolving in line with our expectation.
The market size estimate in the first month was 1.5 to 2 lakh active users of generic semaglutide. Over 75% of the prescriptions are being driven by diabetes rather than obesity.
Vials, as a percentage of the overall injectable market, stood at 21% in April. This is by volume.
We expect this number to settle down at 25% to 30% on a steady-state basis. Our sema launch was in a phased manner post the loss of exclusivity.
We launched Sunday vial in March. Sunday pen 2 mg came in mid-April.
We launched the 4 mg Sunday pen in early May. We expect the obesity SKU to be launched in July.
Our products are priced lower than competition. We believe that these are more sustainable price points in the long term.
Our vials are priced at ₹1,290 per unit, and our pens are priced at ₹3,200 per unit for both the 2 mg and the 4 mg SKUs. Happy to note that our first month performance validates our ongoing thesis of being able to take a leading position in sema based on the strength of our insulin franchise.
Three aspects of this which we would like to recap: One is our patient care platform, which is focused on developing and nurturing long-term relationships with patients. Secondly, our credibility and market share with the key opinion leaders in the diabeto-endo space.
The long-standing experience and supply chain of handling cold chain products. We expect tailwinds for Sunday pens starting Quarter 2 of this year because, A, we would have insourced the manufacturing of Sunday pens with a phase one installed capacity of 5 million units per annum.
This will ease out any teething, supply issues alongside considerable margin improvement. Moving on to our DBF business guidance for the current financial year, '26-'27: The FY26 base revenue was ₹2,778 crore, and we guide to a growth of 30% over covered market growth for the current financial year.
We expect DBF EBITDA for the current year to come in at 37%, which is a similar level as the financial year '26, and we expect the H2 margin to be higher than H1. Moving on to the international business: As against a Q4 revenue plan of ₹115 crore, we ended the quarter at ₹86 crore.
We were able to not ship out almost ₹30 crore of finished goods due to supply chain disruptions, which resulted from a situation that we are well aware of. Versus a ₹375 crore targeted revenue for the year, we closed the year at ₹348 crore with a growth of 7%.
Q4 EBITDA came in at ₹28 crore with a margin of 32.4%, and FY26 EBITDA came in at ₹110 crore with a margin of 32%. We got the outcome of the EU GMP inspection last month, and we have a list of non-compliance observations which we need to remediate.
These are largely procedural in nature with minimal impact on the existing business, and remediation of these observations remains a priority for us. On the existing business, we are guiding to a revenue growth of 18% to 20% this year with EBITDA margin at similar levels as FY26.
The EU CDMO products will get commercialized post the reinspection and reapproval of the facilities. Moving on to the consolidated picture: Consol Q4 revenue growth came in at 7% and EBITDA growth at 8%.
For the full year, the revenue growth came in at 8% and EBITDA growth at 10%. Let's look at these numbers in detail.
Consol revenue for Q4 was ₹757 crore, and for the full year was ₹3,129 crore. Consol EBITDA for the full year was ₹1,120 crore.
I'd like to call out a couple of things in particular. If we look at the core business, which excludes trade generics, which we discontinued in FY26, and the low-margin DBF injectables, which we have spoken about before, FY26 revenue growth came in at 10% and FY26 EBITDA came in at ₹1,146 crore.
This is higher by ₹26 crore over our reported EBITDA of ₹1,120 crore. This represents a year-on-year EBITDA growth of 13%, which is reflective of what is happening in the core business.
The consolidated EBITDA margin also comes out to be 37.5%. Looking at the consolidated P&L for the year, I'll call out the highlights.
The profit after tax from continuing operations came in at ₹132 crore in Quarter 4, which is a 29% growth, and for the full year came in at ₹498 crore, which is a 34% year-on-year growth. This is the EPS acceleration which we spoke about earlier, where a 10% expansion in EBITDA gave us a 34% expansion in profit after tax.
The reported PAT came in at ₹279 crore for the quarter and ₹648 crore for the full year. This is because of a one-off upside of ₹150 crore from a deferred tax adjustment.
EPS from continuing operations came in at ₹36 in FY26. The effective book tax rate for the year was 22%, excluding the DTL impact.
It's down by 140 bps from last year. Finance cost for FY26 was down 17% from last year.
Capex for the financial year came close to ₹300 crore, largely on biologics and sterile injectables. The closing net debt for the year was ₹2,255 crore, which is at 2x of EBITDA and down two turns over the last two years.
OCF to EBITDA ratio came in at close to 50% for the financial year versus 105% for the last financial year. This brings us to the end of this presentation, and we can now open up for Q&A.
Operator
Thank you, sir. Ladies and gentlemen, we will now begin the question-and-answer session.
Participants who wish to ask questions may do so by clicking the raise hand icon at the bottom of your screen and wait for your turn to speak. When prompted, you can accept the prompt on your screen, unmute your audio, introduce the firm you represent, and ask your questions or give comments.
We'll wait for a moment while the question queue assembles. The first question comes from the line of Kunal Randeria.
Hi. Good afternoon and thanks for taking my question.
Sir, the DBF growth of 12% looks pretty solid, and in insulin also you've done pretty well. It also indicates that the ex-insulin business growth would have been maybe around 8% to 9% only.
Is my understanding correct, and this is how will the growth shape up in the next couple of years also?
Amit Bakshi
Kunal, can you say it again please? I just missed you.
Amit sir. Amit sir, I meant saying your domestic branded formulations did pretty well, 12% growth.
In insulin you seem to have been doing exceptionally well again. It kind of indicates that your ex-insulin business, other than insulin, that business would have grown only around 8% to 9%.
Is my understanding correct here, and is this how the growth will look in the next few years?
Amit Bakshi
No, Kunal. I don't think, when you see this data na, the biggest drag on this data is OAD.
The OAD growth has been a minimal, I think 2%, 3%, 4%. Now OAD we had a Vildasave MD banned last year, which was ₹30 crore for us, which internally is like 4%, 4.5%.
What will you see is that ban happened in the month of April last year, KK, somewhere there? April.
By May, what will you see that the base correction would happen. That is only one thing, but the way April, May is shaping up, we can tell you that, your logic might not be correct.
We are seeing a little bit of a rebound in OAD. Then we are launching a couple of more products, Ezaxerenone which I spoke about later.
I think ex-insulin double-digit growth is something which could be easily achieved.
Wow, that's good to hear. Good to hear, sir.
Second comment, maybe related to the first one, is on semaglutide. Interesting comment you have made that diabetes seems to be the driver in the market.
Can you tell us which current therapies or the line of treatment is it replacing? Do you think it can maybe pose a threat to the entire OAD space also?
Maybe let's instead of a DPP-4, doctors are now giving a GLP-1, will it hit your DPP-4 possibly in future?
Amit Bakshi
Kunal, what you're saying is technically right. It's basic science that what GLP gives you is 100 times of what DPP-4 gives you.
DP in the presence of GLP, DPP-4 doesn't really moves the needle. Look, DPP-4 is an everyday, it's a first-line treatment for everyday diabetes.
GLP we expect, I expect say a million and a, 1.5 million patients by the end of the year, stable patient. While what you're saying is correct, but out of the overall universe of diabetes patient, these 15, this 1, 1.5 million patient is too less to really move the needle.
Yes, there could be a slowdown in the growth rate. Please do not consider at this point of time that we will see any kind of a downturn in any OADs, not because of any technical reason, just because the denominator is going to be the denominator is very high, and the number of patient we expect on GLP is not going to be that high in the first year comparatively.
Right. Right.
Right, sir. Got it.
Just one more financial question if I can. Sir, receivables and inventory have gone up substantially, especially receivables, from ₹450 crore to somewhere around ₹680 crore.
Maybe care to shed some light on this?
Amit Bakshi
Yeah. I think inventory, large inventory has gone up because of our international business.
That is where because of, early on when we saw this disturbance, we piled up a lot of inventory in the international business. Because last quarter we could not ship it out, it's showing up.
We did a similar exercise for our domestic business also, wherein, some key APIs of ours were moving as much as 70%, 80%, higher. We created a large inventory there.
That is inventory. The second is the revenue days.
Now revenue days is something which we need to correct, right? I think the debtor days, I think a good number for debtor days, more like 60 days.
That is what we are aiming. I think within two quarter we should be up there.
I got that, sir, but why would it go up so much in one year from ₹458 crore to ₹680? There has to be some reason behind this, right?
Amit Bakshi
Reason is Kunal, taking over this, KK?
Krishnakumar Vaidyanathan
Yeah. Kunal, just to build on what Amit was saying, the strategic stock-up, A, and then we had finished goods which we could not ship out.
This is a significant magnitude. There is no point in calling out these numbers, but we have taken almost 9 months of inventory build-up as far as RM and PM are concerned.
This is a considerable amount, and this was a conscious call.
Amit Bakshi
Debtor days also, international business has really contributed.
Krishnakumar Vaidyanathan
Yes, because we didn't collect much in Quarter 4, again because of all these disturbances. Yeah.
Amit Bakshi
Kunal, what we hear is because the dollar is moving here and there, and it was deliverable at a time when it was here. There's a little bit of things which are going around, which are going.
My team tells me that the international piece will be fixed. Simple because
Krishnakumar Vaidyanathan
as of today, we are on 20th May, the international debtors are lower by 25% already. What you're seeing is a 31st March number, right?
I'm just talking about ongoing operations. We've already started collecting this quarter, which is why Amit made that comment that in a couple of quarters, we are confident that debtor days will come back to normal.
Sure, sir. As long as yeah, there is no risk of a bad debt, right?
That's the takeaway.
Krishnakumar Vaidyanathan
No. It doesn't look like.
No. Okay.
Perfect, sir. Thank you very much and all the best.
Operator
Thank you. The next question comes from the line of Kunal Dhamesha.
Kunal Dhamesha
Hey, hi, good evening. This is Kunal from Macquarie Capital.
Just one for Amit on the uptake of sema in diabetes. Amit, what kind of trend are you witnessing?
Is it used for the existing patients more, or let's say the new patients which are being started on semaglutide? If it is existing patient, then I believe that the risk to the existing therapies would be much lower, right, because existing therapies would continue for the same patient.
Some color would be helpful. The second aspect of this question is, in terms of dose titration, how it works?
How much time does it take for a patient to stabilize on a particular dose of semaglutide? That's my first question.
Amit Bakshi
Kunal. Look, I think the first month reflected generics reflected at around ₹40, ₹45 crore.
There had been some number crunching which is being done that 50,000 to 1 lakh patients have been added. I see a lot of enthusiasm, but it is a cautious enthusiasm, right?
I feel that many people many doctors are taking their own time. They would come on board in a while.
Now we are seeing, look, if you look at the usage, 70% of the patient on diabetes should require GLP as a from a guideline perspective. We have just started.
The first level of patients which we are seeing are the patients who have diabetes uncontrolled and have a visceral fat. Right now if I tell you my own numbers, we have been looking into because our people services the patient, we get an access.
We can tell you BMI less than 30, the prescription is only 10%.
Kunal Dhamesha
So
Amit Bakshi
90% of the prescription even in diabetes is BMI more than 30. That is where the starting point is.
The second thing we see that BMI more than 30 and liver fatty liver, right, again a sweet spot. That is where it has started.
It's been 1, 1.5 month, right? Patients start with 0.25, and 0.25 is generally a warm-up kind of a thing.
In the next month onwards, we will have patients coming back also. Kunal, this is going to be a good therapy.
It's going to be a big breakout therapy. People who are using are pretty happy.
Patient resistance is still there because, I think outside voice is, there's too much voice outside our ecosystem, which over a period of time will get a little toned down. This is one.
Now what will it replace? Kunal, look, again, I'm repeating, but we expect 1 to 1.5 million patient in the first year.
For our diabetes denominator, this is a very small number. I once again reiterate that we might not find any slowdown particular in any OADs, right, at least this year.
Now if this therapy goes to 20%, 30% of diabetes, which it should go over a period of time, then we will see some slowdown in other OADs.
Kunal Dhamesha
Sure. I am in the same camp that it would not slow down OADs, but yeah, let's see.
Yeah.
Amit Bakshi
It looks like that. It's a good start, Kunal.
Our brand has taken off well. Our we are number one in prescription also.
The good thing is we started with vials, and typically vials were a little, it's in today's time general thinking is that it's a little difficult sell. Once again, it is people who have been selling insulin has come, they have been the real, change for us.
Because they see doctors and patients need a lot of support here, lot of hand-holding they need. I think that is what is picking out.
It seems that our brand name is also liked, which is a nice thing to know.
Kunal Dhamesha
Sure. Second question on our FY27 domestic formulation business guidance growth guidance of around 1.3 times covered market rate, right?
What are your assumption regarding the growth for our covered market for FY27?
Amit Bakshi
It has always been double-digit, Kunal. I don't think anything changing there.
Whatever sema adds, adds. Sema is a different story.
I think the covered market has always been double-digit.
Kunal Dhamesha
Sure. Basically then at a consol level, we should expect around mid-teens plus kind of top-line growth, because export we are expecting a high-teens growth, right?
Amit Bakshi
Technically yes.
Kunal Dhamesha
Okay. For the EBITDA margin, I know we have been launching sema and there'll be launch expenses, etc.
Do you see any upside to the profitability in FY27 from what we have guided, any drivers that you see which you are currently reluctant given all the geopolitical headwinds, etc.? Any driver you can highlight?
Amit Bakshi
Kunal, look, we feel the H1 would be a little bit of a drag on the gross margins because of all that we know. Specially sema initially, we have been talking about that, would not be a very profitable thing.
In the H2, look, a lot of what we have missed is also because our Bhopal plant didn't start at time. Now that seems to be up close there.
What the vials SKUs are already started, the pen fill should start sooner. For us, what will save us in terms of gross margins, even if the price relatively remain high, is the second half of Bhopal manufacturing and the incoming of Sunday, which is semaglutide.
I have I would not say that we can increase the margins. I would like that to be the way it is put out.
You will see an H1 being softer than an H2. That is what we assume.
Kunal Dhamesha
Sure. I have more question, I'll join back the queue.
Thank you and all the best.
Operator
Thank you. Participants who wish to ask questions may do so by clicking the raise hand icon at the bottom of your screen and wait for your turn to speak.
When prompted, you can accept the prompt on your screen, unmute your audio, introduce the firm you represent, and ask your questions. Next question comes from the line of Harith Ahamed.
Please go ahead.
Harith Ahamed
Hi, this is Harith from Avendus. Amit sir, you touched on the Bhopal facility and the expectation around completion of the cartridge line there.
If I heard correctly, we're expecting that to come online by the second half of FY27. Post that, can we expect a further ramp-up in our market share for our RH-insulin cartridges from the current 24% level?
Amit Bakshi
Harith, we are in a good space as far as the insulins are concerned, whether it is the cartridges, vials, or glargine. You would you would see us us ramping ramping up all along, right?
Even when we look at the April data, insulin, GLP put together had a 35% growth, if I'm not wrong, in the IQVIA numbers. This is, we have just this the base was set last year, and now it will ramp up.
Insulins, we have been quite confident, and that is how it will show up. That's about the insulin.
Also remember last last week or around 15 days back, we took the first engineering batch of bio bio-sema in the Bhopal plant. We received the PCT, and we took the first batch, engineering batch, then we took a PV batch also.
This month end, we will be taking two more batches. One is degludec plain, and the other is degludec plus liraglutide.
What happens, you will see a ramp-up happening in insulins from the tailwind of the last year, and then by the time we enter the next year, we will have two more, big markets open for us. Strategically, our insulins and analogs and GLP piece is quite well settled, both from, how they are today and how they and what kind of addition will happen into that basket.
All put together, insulin has been, we are very happy with insulin, and we feel that we could be a, we could really ramp it up well.
Harith Ahamed
Got it, sir. Then specifically on insulin aspart, you touched on some regulatory delays there.
I'm just wondering what exactly is the cause for this delay, because this is a USFDA approved product for our partner, Biocon, and is this part of our expectation for FY27? Just
Amit Bakshi
to follow up
Harith Ahamed
on the analog insulin part, you touched on degludec. Degludec and lispro, I know these are for a bit later, but when can we expect these and is do we have a partner for these products?
Because as far as I understand, Biocon doesn't have these in their portfolio.
Amit Bakshi
Harith, damn, my friend, please understand, we have been doing the DS ourselves now. It's been 2 years we have been speaking to you that, we have our own DS set up, 11, which make the liraglutide, right, which is now also is doing romiplostim, which is in phase three already.
We have 50% of phase three patient also have already been done. All these products, the entire degludec family and the recombinant sema is coming from our own DS,
Harith Ahamed
and
Amit Bakshi
we are further investing and expanding the DS capacity. We have already, put ₹150, ₹180 crore this by this time.
Sachin?
Sachin Shah
Yeah.
Amit Bakshi
Right? We have already put some ₹150, ₹180 crore.
The capex which you see also goes up there. Now we have a DS and a DP both line internally.
Romiplostim I told you. Other than insulin, teriparatide is going into phase three.
We've already got the approval now for the phase three trial, we will start putting patients together. The biotech, once again, I'm reiterating, and I'm sorry we were not able to communicate this well, our Biocon platform, right from when we entered insulins, has been in works.
Today, if you look at our platform, we have four commercialized products and four products which are clear PCT are either in phase one or in phase three.
Harith Ahamed
Got it, sir. Just to confirm, aspart, both the, plain aspart as well as the premix, we can expect in FY27?
Amit Bakshi
Aspart is not Harith, aspart is not there with us. Aspart has to be taken from outside.
There were some concerns regarding aspart, not from the quality and regulatory, but there were some other concerns regarding aspart. That's why it gets delayed.
We are launching it in FY27.
Harith Ahamed
Got it, sir. Thanks for taking my question.
Thank you.
Amit Bakshi
Thank you.
Operator
Thank you. The next question comes from the line of Shashank Goyal.
Please go ahead. Mr.
Shashank Goyal, your line is unmuted. Please go ahead with your question.
Sir, there seems to be no response. We have the next question from Nilay Parekh.
Nilay Parekh
Nilay Parekh from Perpetuity Ventures. My question is regarding the EU GMP inspection.
Can you please deep-dive in more details about the strategy and the remediation timeline? Also, what will be the approx quantifiable impact in FY27 in the EU CDMO product segment?
Krishnakumar Vaidyanathan
Yeah. Answering the first question, we've already shared that most of the observations are procedural in nature.
They require remediation in terms of training and ensuring adherence to SOPs. Those initiatives are already underway in full swing.
In fact, we've already had an audit from an important customer last week, and they are pretty satisfied with what is going on. I would say that the remediation initiatives are well on way, and we should get there soon enough to a point where we can invite the agency for a second inspection.
In terms of impact of the CDMO products, we had outlined to you last quarter that, between the CDMO and the base business, we can look at a revenue of ₹550 to ₹600 crore. That's what we told you.
Now we are guiding you to a 18% to 20% growth rate, which is coming only from the existing business. The delta, which is, to the tune of ₹120 to ₹140 crore, that is the CDMO component, which is pretty much intact, but it will go commercial once the facility gets reapproved.
Nilay Parekh
Sir. Okay.
Thanks a lot.
Operator
Thank you. The next question comes from Rahul Agarwal.
Thanks for the opportunity. In terms of the sema pens, how has the market share trended in May in terms of prescriptions?
You indicated a 22% prescription market share. Is that for pens and vials combined, or would you have a broad-brush split there?
Amit Bakshi
Rahul,
Krishnakumar Vaidyanathan
22% market share in prescription
Amit Bakshi
is
Krishnakumar Vaidyanathan
pen and vials combined. Yes.
Amit Bakshi
Yes. It's a pen and vial combined, and till this point of time when we speak, that has actually gone up.
In May, our market share has gone up in prescriptions.
Got it. How is this split, Amit, between pens versus vials broadly?
Amit Bakshi
Pen, look, vials we launched early on by the time the LOE was instituted. Pen, it took some time for us to launch the pen.
Pen was launched mid-April, and then we have one SKU, there was a little bit of a drag there. Right now, in my prescription, I am reporting, let me just do a math, 104, 70 and 40.
Almost 60% coming from vials and 40% coming from pens. That's how the split is in prescription.
The units are a little more units we expect units to be more like 50-50 or 60-40 in that zone.
Got it. That's helpful.
On the EU CDMO bit, KK, just following up on the last participant's question, you mentioned that there was a customer audit last week and that kind of went well. Overall in the long term, you guys had indicated an ₹800 to ₹1,000 crore EU CDMO opportunity.
How do you see that being affected significantly because of these regulatory issues, and how have the discussions with the customers been? Is that just a postponement, or do you expect meaningful impact there?
Krishnakumar Vaidyanathan
Valid concern and happy to report that there is no impact on that book. All the key items that were part of the book still continue to be part of the book.
The timeline impact is only in respect of this one product, which had to go commercial in Quarter 1, which we are ready for, and which is what is making this revenue dent in the current financial year. Barring that, we don't see any long-term impact.
Got it. This facility that we had this impact for, I'm assuming is the old Swiss facility.
Would we also be triggering a separate approval for the Eris facility that we had put up capex for, or will this now all be part of the combined facility and has the same approval process?
Krishnakumar Vaidyanathan
The EU inspection was conducted for the two injectable units which are under Swiss Parenterals, right? The Eris unit is a oral solids and dermatology unit, so that unit did not get inspected in March.
The only two units that got inspected were the two units of Swiss, which have been carrying a EU approval since the year 2020.
Got it. By when do you expect to trigger the reinspection and remediation, KK, on this?
Krishnakumar Vaidyanathan
The trigger will be soon enough because we have to do the CAPA, which is the corrective action, preventive action plan, and submit it to the agency, which I see happening soon enough. What we are unable to tell you, though, is when we can expect the agencies to come back again, because that is subject matter for calendaring, scheduling, thanks.
Got it. Thank you so much and good luck.
Operator
Thank you. The next question comes from the line of Tushar Manudhane.
Mr. Tushar Manudhane, you can go ahead with your question.
Am I audible?
Operator
Yes, sir, you are.
Thanks for the opportunity. Sir, just on this EU reinspection and the growth guidance, just a clarification again here.
18% to 20% revenue growth guidance is considering CDMO EU facility clearance and then incremental business from that, or without that?
Krishnakumar Vaidyanathan
Without that.
How much was that impact of this EU CDMO business, which is sort of postponed because of the reinspection?
Krishnakumar Vaidyanathan
As explained earlier, we had penciled in about ₹120 to ₹140 crore of revenue coming in from EU CDMO, which is the piece that has been postponed.
Just as a clarification, has the customer utilized maybe as a two supplier in terms of this so that and which is why probably that business is lost or that business is postponed?
Krishnakumar Vaidyanathan
That business is postponed, Tushar. It is not lost because, fortunately for us, this product is in short supply in the target markets.
The customer is working alongside us to see how the remediation and how the reapproval can happen ASAP.
Is this the product which triggered this inspection, or some other product triggered the inspection?
Krishnakumar Vaidyanathan
This was not triggered, Tushar. This two facilities have been approved since 2020, as we've been telling you in the past.
EU comes for inspection every 2 years. The OSD facilities get a 3-year approval, and injectable facilities get a 2-year approval.
This was part of the normal 2-year inspection cycle.
Understood. Sir, if you could also break down the DBF growth therapy-wise, maybe for FY26 or for Q4 FY26?
Amit Bakshi
Break down
Krishnakumar Vaidyanathan
DBF growth therapy-wise.
Amit Bakshi
Tushar, you can find that in the data, but largely I tell you the whole drag is coming from the OAD, which I explained. OAD was a very small 2%, 3% growth, and that is where the whole drag is coming.
Other than that, insulin was right up front there. Cardiology, we have caught up, it's almost at the market now.
Travelled quite a distance in the last year. Dermatology, we had been ahead.
The drag which you see is largely coming from OADs.
Got it. Sir, if you could share sema let's you've already shared let's say the market share.
If you could, at least in the month of April, how much sales we made, that just to get an idea in terms of what the industry size is
Amit Bakshi
maybe for month of
April.
Amit Bakshi
Tushar, April our reflection was ₹4 crore, which is more or less which we are there. We started at ₹4 crore, and this is going to be a month-on-month build-up for the entire year.
That's how this new market will unveil.
The way this market has built up, is that in line with in terms of the industry size? For example, ₹30 crore a month approximately in April, effectively taking the market size, of course, it's scaling up, can't annualize it.
Do you think the industry scaling up in line with your expectation?
Amit Bakshi
Tushar, very early. Just 2, 3 more months.
We look, patient onboarding is not bad, right? These are all numbers which we divide, and, there's an assumption which we make.
A lot of stuff sits in the shelf also. I don't really believe that number of 1.5 lakhs, 2 lakhs.
What we can tell you in the HealthPlix data, which covers, a small part of the number, a decent part of the doctors, that reports around 25,000 to 27,000 patients, right, real data monthly. So 25,000 monthly from HealthPlix cohort is not a is a good start.
The large physician community is still not kind of, is not still not there. That happens every time there's a new drug, there's a new molecule which is launched.
This will be a good market, Tushar. We have are quite confident, and it's a very good drug also.
Sir, just this ₹4 crore in April has, by your judgment, what that number is in month of May?
Amit Bakshi
What's that?
Krishnakumar Vaidyanathan
₹4
Amit Bakshi
crore
Krishnakumar Vaidyanathan
was in April, how much will be in May?
Amit Bakshi
We expect around a 20% movement between April and May.
Almost to ₹5.
Amit Bakshi
₹4 to ₹5, yeah, on a secondary basis.
Got it, sir. Thanks a lot.
Amit Bakshi
Thank you.
Operator
Thank you. Participants who wish to ask questions may do so by clicking the raise hand icon at the bottom of your screen and wait for your turn to speak.
Next, we have a follow-up question from Kunal Dhamesha. Please go ahead.
Kunal Dhamesha
Hi, thanks for the opportunity again. Just on the sema generic market, is the competitive intensity which you are witnessing in line with what you had expected, or is it better?
Then what is the impact on potential pricing in that market, let's say, 1 year forward? Do we expect prices to start increasing from here, or do we still see that there will be continuous pressure on keeping our prices very affordable in this segment?
Amit Bakshi
Kunal, look, contrary to what everybody thought, the competition is not very fragmented here. We don't see, as we read in a lot of reports, media, 100 people, 50 people.
Because this is a little bit of a complex selling. I don't find this going to that level.
I think this is the brand where very initially you will see the top five, top six gaining 65%, 70%, 75% market share. I don't think that would change in the near future also because of the supply chain, because of the complexity, and all those things.
Contrary to what was written all over, I believe that this is going to be a five, six-player game. You will see a 13% to 15% market share person being there as number one.
This is what it looks like today. Now price, look, prices going up in India is something which I haven't kind of seen.
We only talk about prices going down, and then do we make a profitable, will it be a profitable stay? We actually priced our product 30% lower than most of the companies.
Generally, if you look at, largely everybody is ₹4,200 bucks for a 2 mg pen. We are at ₹3,200 bucks.
We already taken a little bit of a price cut because we feel that this might be a little more sustainable. Instead of price rise, I would I see some price correction happening over the next year, and then it gets stable.
Kunal Dhamesha
Sure. Let's say once our capacity kicks in for pens, etc., right, do you see that, once scaled up, this could be as good as a profit generator as our current business?
Amit Bakshi
Look, at an EBITDA level, there is a good possibility. At a gross margin level, no.
Will we ever see it getting to 80% gross margin? I don't think ever.
Can that be, because it will be not as competitive, blah, blah, blah, can it give us the same EBITDA? I am hopeful for that.
Kunal Dhamesha
Okay. Sure.
Then on the European, the entire plant issue, generally, I have not seen any company struggling with the EU GMP, right? What is it that they found out, even if those were procedural?
My view is that EU GMP is generally very they are very open to dialogue and understanding your perspective, right? What actually transpired in a way that we are basically left with the issue?
While we continue to say it's procedural, but it would be great if you could highlight a couple of key observations that they have highlighted and what's the corrective plan? Have we kind of employed any consultancy agency to carry out that plan?
Will it require some form of infrastructure changes in the plant, or maybe a shut down of particular lines to carry out remediation plan? Those details would be helpful.
Amit Bakshi
Kunal, look, when we told you it's all procedural, right, and KK will kind of enhance that. What I remember seeing that there is no QA, no QC, no data integrity issue.
Now what I remember reading is the flow of people movement, right, the SOPs followed, SOPs for the movement, specially around the microbial product, the antimicrobials. Largely in that zone.
We have discussed this, I can tell you that we do not expect any capex for remediation. It is more about procedural.
Agency hiring, training is already done. That is what I know, KK, if I'm missing on something, please.
Krishnakumar Vaidyanathan
That sums up the situation very well. Since you wanted a little more color, Kunal, A, I beg to differ when you said that, you started off saying EU usually doesn't disqualify facilities, because there is enough press out there in terms of larger companies who are also facing similar issues.
Be that as it may, in our situation, we are not looking at any capex. I'll be very clear about that.
We are not looking at shutting down any line. We don't have the liberty of shutting down any line.
All lines are operating in full swing, right? The situation that we are dealing with right now is the ability to ship product to the EU.
Our customers in the existing markets are still being serviced from those very lines, there is no question of any shutdowns being taken. The plant is in operation as usual.
Alongside, we are investing time and effort in, A, in some cases where, for example, this is not a classified area, but they wanted to be a reclassified area. That is one example of an observation.
80% of the observations are on, operator behavior, simple things like they're standing too close to each other, they're not behaving in a sterile area in the way they are supposed to behave. That has to be addressed through training.
In the couple of cases where we do have to install some hardware, we are talking of stuff like pass boxes, to be honest, for RM dispensing. That is the level at which the points are.
It is not something that is any cause for concern neither for us nor for you.
Kunal Dhamesha
Sure. Lastly, the way I understand for our EBITDA margin guidance for FY27 is more or less would be in the similar lines to FY26, is it the correct way to understand?
H1 being lower than H2, right?
Krishnakumar Vaidyanathan
Yes, Kunal. 37% DBF and 36% consolidated.
We are guiding for the same margins in '27.
Amit Bakshi
Even if there is no equity attached to that, still we maintain 36%, 37% margin.
Kunal Dhamesha
Okay. Perfect.
Thank you and all the best.
Operator
Thank you. The next question comes from the line of Bharat Shah.
Bharat Shah
Yeah. Hi.
This is Bharat Shah from ASK Capital Ideas Limited. My first question is about overall capital efficiency and the capital intensity of the business.
This is not for this quarter or this year, but when I see it over a period of time, let us say if I think about last 4 years, our turnover, which was 4 years back little less than ₹1,700 crore, about ₹1,685-odd crore, has now touched about little over ₹3,100 crore. The capital employed in terms of the net worth and only debt I'm including, I'm not including any other form of liability.
Net worth and the debt, which was ₹3,100 crore then, in the current year, I don't have the final figures of the net worth and all that, but on ballpark basis, the total of net worth and debt would be 5,600. Throughout this period, almost the capital behind capital deployed of net worth and debt is little less than two times the turnover.
Therefore, my question is about capital efficiency. While your margins are healthy at 36%, 37%, but those kind of margins cannot forever be assumed at least, even if it is maintained.
If I net of depreciation if I see, depreciation and amortization, about 28%-odd margins. That means if the capital takes two times the turn I mean two times the capital of the turnover, then I'm forever stuck in 14%, 15% return on capital employed bracket.
Is that a realistic way to describe the business, or this is current situation, but hopefully it will improve?
Krishnakumar Vaidyanathan
It is current situation. Our return on capital employed for the year was at 15%, and adjusted return on capital, which is excluding the impact of M&A-related amortization, is 20%.
That is where the FY26 numbers stand. As we have called out number of times, this is a transient phenomenon because in financial year '25, we took the impact of the highest-ever amortization.
Our asset base increased by 6x, as you've currently pointed out, in a very short span of time. The gains from this expansion have started coming in from FY26 onwards.
The EPS acceleration is the first thing that you see come through, where for a 10% growth in EBITDA, you saw a 35% growth in EPS, which will be sustained. In the next 3 years, over an FY26 to FY28 period, we expect the return on capital employed to go from 15% to somewhere in the 23% to 25% range, which is what we have called out and which is what we expect to happen.
Amit Bakshi
What he also talked about, capital expenditure?
Krishnakumar Vaidyanathan
The capital base.
Amit Bakshi
Bharat bhai, also there is something which we have been doing since the last 3, 4 years, because we decided to move up into a little bit of a complex manufacturing, little bit tech-based manufacturing. These things generally have a, have a time, gestation time, of between 3 to 4 years.
If you look at our investment thesis, and I'm not talking about acquisition and amortization, I'm talking about the capital which we are employing in hard assets. If you look at how we have been thinking through it, that we have been putting money in a very, in a very strategic manner from our side.
That is to develop a large biotech play. For that biotech play itself, we would have invested around ₹160, ₹180 crore on our DS and another Bhopal
Krishnakumar Vaidyanathan
₹250 crore. So ₹250 crore
Amit Bakshi
in Bhopal, which is a fill and finish site which has a very large capacity once it is approved and done. Now nothing has started coming out from both of these.
Bharat bhai, we feel that once our Bhopal is ready, it will be one of its kind from a scale perspective, and that will give us a very good kick-up in margins and will open up a lot of new markets for us, including new products. We also have made a mAb facility there, which we think is the future.
We have been delayed by almost a year or a year and a half by putting this together. Our expenditure has been very strategic in nature.
The second big expenditure which we have put is in a in another plant for Swiss Parenterals, which should be completed by this
Krishnakumar Vaidyanathan
Looking at commissioning in April.
Amit Bakshi
Commissioning in April, which will be 2x of what current capacities are. Then what happens, the parenterals capacities increases 2x, and the biotech capacities is like 80 million cart and, similar vials, and then lyophilized and the other thing.
Once this is commissioned, and Bharat bhai, we also see a lot of traction when it comes to insulin not only for India, but also, shipping them outside once the regulatory things are in place. That has been the direction of our, capital allocation.
Bharat Shah
No, I appreciate that. I definitely believe that the direction which we take and what we choose to buy into is quite strategic, that reflects in the kind of strong margins that you always earn.
Ultimately, margin is only one part of the capital efficiency. Ultimately, how much capital is turned over also has a very deep impact on the capital efficiency.
In your case, while hard assets behind biotech and all that maybe ₹170, ₹180 crore, but acquisition of the brand or the intangibles is the real large asset play that you have got into, because that's where the amortization comes by. While Krishnakumar mentioned that without amortization our return on capital employed is higher, but I would respectfully submit that we can't do that, because the amortization stems from intangible assets that we have acquired, and the benefit of that is reflected in the turnover and profits.
Therefore, amortization is very much like any other hard assets that is there. KK, just to be clear, that 15% ROCE after charging amortization is what you expect to climb to 23% to 25% in 3 years, right?
Krishnakumar Vaidyanathan
Yes, that is what I meant. I take your point that adjusted ROCE is one thing, the accounting ROCE is 15% as is the return on equity.
This is a number that we expect to get to 23% to 25% once everything starts firing the way we expect it to. Because
Bharat Shah
the point about accelerated EPS is well taken, but accelerated EPC EPS is a function of operating leverage and financial leverage. I'm not really going into that.
The core capital efficiency is critical to drive long-term sustainability capability to invest and grow the business. It was from that perspective I was saying, KK.
Krishnakumar Vaidyanathan
No, that point is very well taken.
Bharat Shah
Sure, thank you. Last question Just one last question, quick one.
What will be the ETR, KK, in the current year, '26-'27?
Kruti Raval
Sir, it is 21% for this year.
Krishnakumar Vaidyanathan
Effective tax rate.
Kruti Raval
Yes.
Bharat Shah
Okay, 21%. For the '26-'27 year, right?
Kruti Raval
FY26, it is 21%, 22%.
Krishnakumar Vaidyanathan
For FY26, the effective book tax rate was 22%. It's also part of the presentation,
Bharat Shah
and
Krishnakumar Vaidyanathan
we expect this to be 21% zone for financial year
Bharat Shah
'27. Perfect.
Thank you so much and all the very best.
Krishnakumar Vaidyanathan
Thank you, Bharat bhai.
Amit Bakshi
Thank you.
Operator
Thank you. The last question comes from Mr.
Mohammed Patel.
Mohammed Patel
Hi. I hope I'm audible.
Operator
Yes, sir, you are.
Mohammed Patel
This is Mohammed Patel from Edelweiss Public Alternatives. I have a few questions on international business.
I wanted
Operator
Mr. Mohammed, you're not audible.
I
Mohammed Patel
international business.
Kruti Raval
Mohammed, we can't hear you very clearly. I'll request you to take this offline with me.
Mohammed Patel
Am I audible now?
Krishnakumar Vaidyanathan
Yeah. You're audible.
Yes.
Mohammed Patel
I'm asking what's the geographical mix for the international business for FY26?
Krishnakumar Vaidyanathan
Sorry, what
Kruti Raval
mix?
Amit Bakshi
Geographical mix.
Krishnakumar Vaidyanathan
Our geographic mix has been quite stable in the last 2 years. We typically get about 30% from Africa, about 30% from Asia, about 25% from LATAM, and the rest of it is all dispersed.
This year, we expect the LATAM component to grow faster because there are a lot more new product approvals. Broadly, these three will continue to be our key geographies.
Mohammed Patel
Okay. You talked about supply chain disruption in Q4 for the international business.
Is it going to impact H1 also?
Krishnakumar Vaidyanathan
We don't expect it to be of a similar magnitude. I think we are all following the same press.
Unless we have any difference of information, Q4 was way worse than what it is looking like today. We are hoping that we'll be able to recoup at least some of that in Q1.
Mohammed Patel
April was okay.
Krishnakumar Vaidyanathan
It's better than, it's way better than what was in March, so.
Mohammed Patel
Okay. On the EU CDMO, should we expect some revenues in FY27, or we should expect major revenues in FY28 in base case?
Krishnakumar Vaidyanathan
Mohammed, in base case, your guess is as good as mine. We are not counting any revenue there, which is why we've given a guidance of 18% to 20% growth.
Anything that comes from EU CDMO, let's take it as an upside.
Mohammed Patel
Okay. One last question on the DBF business.
If I go therapy by therapy, do we expect to outperform majority of our therapy by therapy in FY27?
Krishnakumar Vaidyanathan
Today, Amit already spoke in detail about the four major therapies, which is insulin, cardiovascular, derma, and OAD. Insulins and derma are already outperforming, and that's expected to continue.
CVD, we have caught up on a quarter-on-quarter basis, by Quarter 4, we are almost on par with the covered market. With some good product launches like Ezaxerenone, we expect that should fire well.
That leaves the OAD piece where we'll need a little more of a bit of time to catch up.
Mohammed Patel
Thank you.
Operator
Thank you. Due to time constraints, that would be the last question for today.
I would now like to hand over the conference to Mr. V.
Krishnakumar for the closing comments. Over to you, sir.
No,
Amit Bakshi
nothing from our side. Thank you for being here.
If there's anything left out, because even if we're running out of time, Kruti and KK will take it offline. Thank you so much.
Operator
Thank you very much, sir, and thank you members of the management. Ladies and gentlemen, on behalf of Eris Lifesciences Limited, that concludes this conference.
Thank you for joining us, and you may now exit the meeting.
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