Max Healthcare Institute Ltd

Max Healthcare Institute Ltd

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Q3 FY2026 · Earnings Call TranscriptFebruary 6, 2026

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, good day, and welcome to Max Healthcare Institute Limited earnings conference call. As a reminder, all participant lines will be in the listen-only mode, and there will be an opportunity for you to ask questions after the presentation concludes.

Should you need assistance during the conference call, please signal an operator by pressing star then zero on your touchtone phone. Please note that this conference is being recorded.

I now hand the conference over to Mr. Suraj from CDR India.

Thank you, and over to you, Mr. Suraj.

Suraj Digawalekar

Thank you. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us on Max Healthcare's Q3 and 9M FY26 earnings conference call.

We have with us Mr. Abhay Soi, Chairman and Managing Director; Mr.

Yogesh Sareen, Senior Director and Chief Financial Officer; and Mr. Keshav Gupta, Senior Director, Growth, M&A, and Business Planning.

We will begin the call with opening remarks from the management, following which we will have the forum open for an interactive Q&A session. Before we begin, I would like to point out that some statements made in today's discussion may be forward-looking in nature, and a disclaimer to this effect has been included in the earnings presentation shared with you earlier.

I would now like to invite Abhay to make his opening remarks. Thank you, and over to you, Abhay.

Abhay Soi

Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us on Max Healthcare earnings call for the third quarter and nine months ended December 2025. We are pleased to share that the network delivered its 21st consecutive quarter of year-on-year growth in quarter three, despite excessive, unanticipated seasonal softness due to lack of vector-borne diseases and transitionary external factors.

Revenue increased by 10% year-on-year, while operating EBITDA grew by 4%. Overall occupancies remained strong, and ramp-up of the new brownfield beds progressed in line with our expectations.

During the quarter, we commissioned 63 brownfield beds at Nanavati Max, of which 45 beds are currently occupied. At Max Mohali, 53 brownfield beds were commissioned in second quarter, of which 46 beds are currently occupied.

The remaining beds at both hospitals are expected to be commissioned during the fourth quarter of this current year, FY26. The incremental bed capacity at both these locations is already EBITDA and margin accretive.

At Max Smart, infrastructure for around 200 beds along with operation theaters and OPDs is ready for commissioning, and we are currently awaiting the occupancy certificate, which is expected by the end of February. We also took an important step to expand our geographic presence in Western India to develop a 450-bed hospital on a prime piece of land in Pune by this will be developed by 2030.

In addition, driven by the exceptional ramp-up in operations at Max Dwarka, the board has approved the addition of another 260 beds at the existing site, taking the hospital's total capacity to 560 beds. On a sequential basis, revenue and EBITDA were impacted primarily due to a temporary shift towards institutional patients following the disruption in cashless services with standalone health insurance insurers, which was fully restored towards the end of the quarter.

Performance was also affected by the discontinuation of select high-value, patented chemotherapy drugs in light of the revised CGHS pricing guidelines, and by the reduction in GST on drugs and consumables. Further, the results reflected pre-commissioning expenses related to brownfield bed additions and other non-recurring costs.

Looking ahead, with cashless services now fully restored, upward revision in CGHS tariffs expected to fully kick in by April 2026, and margin accretive incremental capacity coming on stream, we believe the network is well positioned to continue delivering sustained growth. Now coming to the third quarter performance highlights.

Average occupancy for the network stood at 74% compared to 75% in third quarter last year and 77% in the trailing quarter, despite an 8% year-on-year increase in operational bed capacity. Occupied bed per day occupied bed days were up by 7% year-on-year, but dipped by 4% quarter-on-quarter due to seasonality.

Average revenue per occupied bed, ARPOB, for the quarter was ₹77,900, registering a 3% growth year-on-year and 1% sequentially. Network gross revenue stood at ₹2,608 crores compared to ₹2,381 crores in the third quarter last year and ₹2,692 crores in the previous quarter.

This reflects an increase of 10% year-on-year. Digital revenue from online marketing activities, web-based appointments, and digital lead management was ₹803 crores, accounting for approximately 31% of overall revenue.

Website traffic crossed 71 lakhs sessions during the quarter, growing by 44% year-on-year. International patient revenue was ₹230 crores, registering a growth of 14% year-on-year and accounting for 9% of the revenue from hospitals.

Network operating EBITDA stood at ₹648 crores, reflecting a growth of 4% year-on-year. Network operating EBITDA margin was 26.1% for the quarter compared to 27.3% in the third quarter FY25 and 26.9% in the trailing quarter.

Margin was largely impacted by payer mix change, pre-commissioning expenses for brownfield beds, and GST rate changes. Annualized EBITDA per bed for the network stood at ₹71 lakhs versus ₹73 lakhs in both third quarter FY25 and the previous quarter.

Profit after tax for the network after exceptional items was ₹344 crores against ₹316 crores in the third quarter last year and ₹554 crores in the previous quarter. During the quarter, there were exceptional items aggregating to ₹55 crores relating to impact of the Code on Wages 2019 and provision for stamp duty on the merger of two of our subsidiaries.

The network generated free cash flows of ₹281 crores during the quarter. During the quarter, ₹408 crores was deployed towards ongoing capacity expansion projects and facility upgrades at newer units.

Net debt for the network stood at ₹2,166 crores compared to ₹2,067 crores at the end of September 2025, while the net debt to EBITDA ratios continued to be less than one. Continuing our efforts to support the local communities, we provided free treatment to approximately 40,000 patients from economically weaker sections of the society worth ₹61 crores at hospital tariff.

Both our strategic business units continue to deliver steady growth in revenue and profitability. First, Max@Home reported a revenue of ₹68 crores, reflecting a robust 23% year-on-year growth.

It offers 16 specialized service lines across 15 cities with over 56% repeat transactions. Max Lab reported a revenue of ₹47 crores, reflecting 13% year-on-year growth.

It provides services in over 60 cities and serves more than 5 lakh patients during the quarter. Now moving on to the status of our expansion projects coming on stream in the next two to three years.

Max Lucknow, the current capacity of the hospital stands at 413 beds, and we expect this to increase to around 500 beds by the end of this financial year. The radiation bunker and nuclear medicine services have now commenced at the hospital.

500 beds at Sector 56, Gurgaon, the pace of work at site has picked up post-GRAP related disruptions. We are now expected to commission the first phase by end of H1 FY27.

100 beds at Nagpur, we have received consent to establish, and civil work has started. We expect to complete this project within 24 months, as communicated earlier.

400 beds at Zirakpur, Mohali, project work continues to be on track, and we are scheduled to commission the hospital in FY28. 200 beds at Max Vaishali, we are awaiting environmental clearance and approval of building plans to commence the work on site.

We expect to complete the project in 24 months post receipt of these approvals. 397 beds at Patparganj, all approvals have been received, and barricading work is complete.

New design for D-wall has been firmed up, and the project is now expected to be completed by FY29. Finally, coming to the overview of the company performance for the nine months ended December 2025.

Network gross revenue stood at ₹7,874 crores, reflecting a strong growth of 19% year-on-year. Overall network operating EBITDA grew by 16% year-on-year to ₹1,956 crores, translating to a margin of 26% and EBITDA per bed of ₹71 lakhs.

In the nine months, we generated ₹960 crores of free cash flow from operations after interest, tax, working capital changes, and routine capex. Further, ₹1,299 crores was deployed towards ongoing expansion projects and facility upgrades at newer units, ₹131 crores towards land purchase at Vaishali, and ₹146 crores was distributed as dividend.

With this, we open the floor for any questions you may have.

Operator

Thank you. We will now begin the question-and-answer session.

Anyone who wishes to ask a question may press star and one on the touchtone telephone. If you wish to remove yourself from the question queue, you may press star and two.

Participants are requested to use handsets while asking a question. Ladies and gentlemen, we will wait for a moment while the question queue assembles.

The first question comes from the line of Damayanti Kerai with HSBC. Please go ahead.

Damayanti Kerai

Hi, thank you for the opportunity. My first question is on your oncology contribution.

During the quarter, obviously, we saw some softness which you attributed to discontinuation of patented chemo drugs for institutional patients. Do you think you can go back to the prior level of contribution from oncology, and what could drive it back?

Abhay Soi

When you say contribution, this is high-value drugs, the pricing was high in terms of the revenue, but the margins were not substantive compared to the rest of the business. Do you mean in terms of revenue, or do you mean in terms of margins?

Because like I said, it was...

Damayanti Kerai

In terms of revenue. When we look at the contribution from oncology, which is part of the presentation, it's around 24% or so compared to 26%, 27% last year.

I was referring from that context.

Abhay Soi

This impacts CGHS patients only, the institutional patients. This is the high-value drugs, okay, which were low-margin drugs which were being used for actually the institutional patients.

What they've done is actually now you have to sell them below your purchase cost, obviously everybody's discontinued it. Then the contribution to the revenue mix may increase, but it's a futuristic number, just like it was increasing in the past as well for the last four, five years as an outcome of what was happening in the society, right?

Directionally will the number increase? Should follow the same vector trajectory, but let's see.

Damayanti Kerai

We see this as one-time adjustment, and then going ahead, the growth will continue?

Yogesh Sareen

We continue to talk to CGHS, right? There's a lot of noise among the institutional patients, right?

For example, the CGHS has their own dispensary to supply these medicines. They said that they will like to supply these medicines to the patients, that means when this drug is required, then the doctor writes a prescription.

They pay to the dispensary, bring the medicine from the CGHS dispensary, right? Now, similar tariff has been applied to ECHS patients also, but ECHS doesn't have any dispensary, right?

Obviously there's a lot of noise out there. Then let's see how these things shape out.

We are in continuous discussion with the CGHS. Obviously they want to first supply it themselves.

Secondly, they are saying otherwise, we will give it to you at 70% of the MRP, right? Our margins are less than 20% in these drugs.

There's no question of our supplying these drugs, right? Because I can't be cash out of these drugs while supplying these drugs.

I think that's where the discussion is on. We are asking CGHS give us some top up in terms of cost plus basis, right?

If my cost is let's say ₹80, then I'm saying give me some margin, 10%. I'll be able to supply at ₹88 rather than supply at ₹70, right?

Because I'm buying at ₹80.

Abhay Soi

We believe it is an error on their part when they revise the CGHS rates. This is something which doesn't make sense because these are branded drugs, and if your margins are, let's say less than 20%, way less than 20%, and you have to supply them at 30% discount to MRP, then obviously nobody's going to supply, and you're going to have a problem.

We've been talking to them, but because it's the government, and everybody sort of agrees, but I guess have to go through the hoops.

Damayanti Kerai

Sure. In oncology again, I guess we heard about some doctor team departure, etc.

Has team fully back in strength, and what kind of further pickup we can see in the oncology space, leaving aside this CGHS issue, which will, I think, be cleared in some quarters to come?

Abhay Soi

See, typically what happens is that in organizations like ours, if there is a departure of a certain clinician of a particular this thing, there are almost immediate replacements from equivalent institutions. In this particular case, while you may have heard of the noise of departure, there's already been an addition, and there were big advertisements in the papers, as you may have seen it.

We had a very, very large team who's just joined us from our peer, who's sort of replaced that particular team, who's actually gone to that peer, it's been effectively a swap, effectively.

Damayanti Kerai

Yeah. My last question is on your resolution with the insurance partners.

Have you done renewing all the insurance contract for this cycle, and you have nothing pending on that part? As you mentioned, I think it's resolved, yeah.

Abhay Soi

Two things or three things. Of course, this was disruptive in some manner to us in this quarter.

It didn't happen in the previous quarter, but it was. You may have also read in the papers today that number of complaints of insurance companies actually moved up by 54% in this quarter.

Obviously there was a lot of noise because of this sort of disruption. All of it has been restored.

We have got an increment, and there's also a mechanism which has been put in place that there will be annual increments rather than sort of now having sunset periods. Typically, your insurance contracts expire, and those negotiations take time.

Now a process has been put in place where, at least with these insurance companies, there's automatic renewal on pre-agreed sort of increments.

Damayanti Kerai

These annual increments, it's already pre-agreed, or how this mechanism will work out?

Abhay Soi

That's right.

Damayanti Kerai

It's an annual revision for all the contracts now instead of say two to three years cycle earlier?

Yogesh Sareen

Not all. These are all the SAHI companies.

Ones where we have the issues, right? The whole issue started from the tariff revision.

We were asking for price increase; they were asking for price reduction. That's where this whole stalemate started.

Eventually, we got a price increase, and also, while we got the price increase this time, we also sorted it out for the next year. There's a mechanism in place now.

Hopefully, they'll live up to it, and so we should not have the same kind of stalemate coming up there. Okay.

This is only with the companies that we had problem with, right? Four companies, basically.

Damayanti Kerai

How many companies? Sorry, four four companies?

Four companies.

Abhay Soi

Four insurance companies. Four SAHI insurance companies.

Damayanti Kerai

Four insurance companies. Thank you.

Abhay Soi

Now with those four, there's not only this thing, but, like Yogesh has said, this was an issue at the end of a cycle. Now a mechanism is put in place that you have automatic renewal on that, we shouldn't have these issues coming into the next cycle or anything like that now.

Damayanti Kerai

Got it. Thank you, Abhay.

Thank you. Mhm.

Operator

Thank you. Next question comes from the line of Shaleen with UBS.

Please go ahead.

Shaleen Kumar

Am I audible?

Abhay Soi

Hi, Shaleen.

Shaleen Kumar

Hi, sir. Continuing from some of the question asked by the previous participant, possible to get the quantum of increment, or at least can we compare what kind of increment we will be getting compared to the past years for insurance company?

Yogesh Sareen

Shaleen, tough to really give it on the call like this, right? We got an increment, right, that's for sure.

It's a moderate one, but then, I won't give you a number.

Shaleen Kumar

Okay. Is it in the ballpark of the kind of increment...

It is

Yogesh Sareen

in the ballpark of what Yeah, yeah, it's not it's not adverse. Yeah.

Shaleen Kumar

It's not adverse, right.

Yogesh Sareen

It is in the ballpark of what we receive. It's a upward revision, and it's in that same ballpark, yeah.

Yeah.

Shaleen Kumar

Got it. Sir, one concern, this happened with these four companies.

Can this happen with others as well? First, do you think that can happen?

Second, do you think that this kind of mechanism can smooth an out? Are you trying to do this?

Abhay Soi

I think clearly they're learnings when something like this happens, right? I think it is also led to a lot of noise both ways and inconvenience to patients, not only our patients, but also to insurance patients.

You would have read there's a big article in ET today about the number of complaints which have sort of increased, and hopefully everybody's sort of kind of learned from it. By the end of the day, and I keep saying this, I say look, medical inflation is in very low single digits.

If your ARPOB is only 8% or 9% historically has been growing, that is included growth in oncology by 25-odd percent, growth in robotics by 40-odd percent, growth in international patients, etc. If you actually back it all off, what is the real growth in apples-to-apples medical costs?

Then you apply it to 70% because 30% is at MRP in any case, which are drugs, right? No, I don't think there is much sort of play there.

You hear of anecdotally these issues, those issues, and so on and so forth, but the fact of the matter is the apples-to-apples inflation has only been this much, right?

Shaleen Kumar

Sure. Fair enough.

Moving on, I heard partly of your initial commentary. Maybe I missed something.

I heard that you talked about EBITDA contribution from Nanavati, and new facility from Nanavati and Saket is already accretive. Is it possible to understand that obviously when you started these things, there will be some incremental cost which would have hit you in the quarter?

Is it possible to quantify that kind of a cost... No,

Abhay Soi

I think what happens is that see, and this is something we've guided to in the past where people are sort of had concerns over capacity expansions, etc., we've always said that essentially what you're doing is you're moving cash from your balance sheet, and you're creating an asset, right? Because of the operating leverage, you don't have suppression of margins.

In fact, the breakeven is almost immediate, and is accretive also very, very quickly. Okay.

This is what we've seen in the past, and I think this is what we've demonstrated by both of these. Whatever little cost there is also, for every incremental bed which gets commissioned now, okay, your margins will only expand.

We've had a 39% and 30% respectively, I think, margins from both these units, okay, where we only started about 50-odd, 70-odd beds, right? As you are going to be adding beds, and all of those beds are coming through now, as we speak, and will be all through by before end of March, you should continue on this accretive journey.

Now the question is what is the sort of this thing. Now, if we've had GRAP four delays and etc.

in this thing, and yes, of course, we I think built close to 2.5 million square feet over the last three, 3.5 years, Keshav? Okay.

The fact of the matter is there has been a delay of three to four months, I think collectively if you look at it, and nothing has actually moved out more than six months from a timelines standpoint. At one point of time, yeah, this is what we had guided in terms of time, etc.

On the other standpoint, you look at it, okay, three years projects have taken another four to five months, but it's perhaps faster than what most developers deliver from that standpoint. We of course continue to ask more of ourselves, and there's been a lot of learnings in this.

The fact of the matter is that pre-commissioning, okay, those costs have been sitting in your this thing, but it's not as if they're sitting and not contributing. If you bring doctors along, they perhaps don't contribute as much, but they do contribute to the previous facility.

It's a little difficult to dissect the cost from that standpoint because there's no management cost like already explained. Okay.

Largely the clinician cost is the same. Now you want to bring housekeeping people, you're going to bring nurses, you training them up, the front end staff, and so on and so forth, okay, but they're also training in the current facilities.

You're overstaffed in the current facility, and then you're going to start to move them into the new one, it's a little difficult to thread that cost out, because it's not like a typical greenfield.

Shaleen Kumar

Sure, sure. We have a number See, basically, a lot of things have happened in the third quarter and that has kind of hurt our profitability.

We understand that there is going to be a step jump from the third quarter to fourth quarter in terms of the profitability, because a lot of things have been corrected, and even these facilities have come. It's just it would help us to understand what kind of a step jump, because one your operating leverage...

Abhay Soi

Yeah. I think these are the smaller factors which have affected the profitability.

If you ask me the two big factors perhaps which have affected it would be in my mind first and foremost is the seasonality. Right?

Last year, right up till Diwali, we had a very, very strong vector-borne season, okay, and large occupancies because of dengue and, on and so forth, which has happened historically as well. This year, okay, this rainy period continued straight into winter, and there was no really stagnation of water from that standpoint.

Normally, what happens is your rainy season gets over, there's a humid sort of this thing, and then winter starts. In this period is when you have the vector-borne diseases.

This year, the rains continued right into the foot of winter, and then winter started. There was no humid period.

We've had very bad seasonality. You've seen results of other sort of companies as well, particularly north-based companies, and you'll see this effect.

The second was, of course, disruption. Now when the disruption happened of the SAHI companies, we've replaced all of that to institutional because that's the easier part to replace it with.

You see institutional businesses move up. Right?

Your occupancy didn't get impacted, but your quality of revenues got impacted, and therefore your profitability.

Shaleen Kumar

Got it, sir. Got it.

Abhay, any sense on this quarter, fourth quarter since we are almost end of February, right?

Abhay Soi

Look, I'm not going to give you a guidance. I've never given a guidance on forward-looking numbers, but we typically only give it in terms of the new capacities which can come in and what the current sort of run rate of that is, like in the past.

I will continue on.

Shaleen Kumar

Sure. A last question from my side if I can.

This is more on the industry-level question. See, a lot of debate again in this sector is too much capacity is coming, too many hospitals are coming, and in certain micro markets like NCR, Gurgaon, right?

Hospital is it's not just local market, it's also the intercity market. I also come from North, right?

I know that. What's your take on it, right?

Do you think that a lot of hospitals coming in Gurgaon can impact Saket, or customer sets are different? Or do you think there will be enough demand, because there is enough intercity travel happening, just want to hear your thoughts.

Yogesh Sareen

Look, I think there are two or three things over here. I think if you look at it on a holistic level, okay, I think over the next four to five years, there are about 22,000 beds which are coming up across the country.

Right? It doesn't really move things over.

Over five years, it's a capacity increment of let's say a CAGR of about, I think, 5% per year. Let's look at specifically Gurgaon.

Now if a couple of hospitals are coming out of Gurgaon, and we happen to be actually one of them, right? I think I'm less likely to sort of take a hit at Saket or anywhere else because if any of my doctors want to move to Gurgaon, then they will choose my hospital, right?

It's just sort of easier if that location advantage is valuable to somebody.

Shaleen Kumar

Having

Yogesh Sareen

said that, what this does, okay, in some manner is, okay, when new hospitals come in, what happens after these two hospitals or three hospitals which have come up? There isn't a visibility of another hospital coming up in the next five years, because if that was coming up, that some plans would have already getting passed, and something would have been built, which is not the situation, right?

Now when that happens, okay, there may be some temporary disruption of costs. Right?

Your clinician cost at that point of time may go up because, A, you're attracting in that new place in your hospital, let's say when we put up Gurgaon, when we are going to be approaching doctors to bring them, you're paying them more than what they're perhaps earning in the peers. If somebody's trying to take your doctors again, they're going to offer something more.

Temporarily for some time, the cost goes up. That's also temporary factor, right?

Eventually, okay, if there's any cost inflation, okay, it does get passed off to the customer, and that's what you've seen historically. It's not the first time that you're seeing all of this capacity come up.

If you look at the numbers, now we are building another 400 beds are coming up in Saket, which is the center of the city. Now it's very different from Gurgaon.

Gurgaon typically doesn't affect South Delhi, but Gurgaon will affect other hospitals in Gurgaon. Normally it would have affected my small hospital in Gurgaon, but I'm coming up with a big hospital in Gurgaon.

Right? If there were hospitals coming up in Mumbai, they'll affect the hospital.

A brownfield will always be derisked. Directionally

Abhay Soi

what you were asking earlier, our plan is to our each sites, right? Capacity that we created in Mohali occupied, Nanavati occupied.

Gurgaon also converges entire Haryana, Rajasthan directionally comes here. There's significantly very, very large pool of demand if it's a part of Gurgaon.

Hello? Hello?

Operator

We have lost the line of the participant. We'll take the next.

That is from the line of Karan Vora with Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.

Karan Vora

Thank you for taking my question. Hi, the first question is with respect to insurance.

Just wanted to get a sense what would be the rough share of say top five insurers for us as a percentage of hospital's revenue? When we set up a new hospital, two ways, one is a greenfield and the other one is when we do a new tower in the existing setup, how easy or difficult is the empanelment?

Do we get the same rates as our other hospital in the same city, or we have to negotiate from scratch? How does that work?

That's my first question.

Abhay Soi

On a brownfield, you don't need to negotiate because the same hospital license just sort of continues into the new. In case of brownfield, there's no rediscussion or re-empanelment.

What is happening continues. In case of a new hospital, that means a new hospital license, right, if you don't have the empanelment terms already agreed, then you need to empanel.

That means you will make those application for hospital. That's for a new hospital.

Karan Vora

Got it. Go ahead.

Yogesh Sareen

Basically most of the insurance companies, we have agreed a category of the hospital. It's Cat 1, Cat 2, Cat 3, Cat 4, right?

Whenever a new hospital comes up, the discussion is always which category will it fall in, right? For example, Dwarka now is in Cat 2.

Saket is Cat 1, right? It's basically that discussion, then the rates automatically apply.

It's not that we have to get into a negotiation for each hospital separately, right? You have a set of rates, and obviously we agree let's say for Cat 1, we know Cat 1 to Cat 2 difference is so much, Cat 2 to Cat 3 is different so much, so that's how the tariff that drives the insurance companies.

Typically, it's not that we have to get into a discussion for each hospital. The discussion is which Cat will it fall in.

The top four, five insurance companies would contribute about 24%, 25% of the group revenue. Of the insurance.

Karan Vora

Got it. Got it.

Just one clarification here. When you say we have categories determined, when say, for example, Gurgaon, whenever it comes online in the next one or two quarters, what is the expectation of the full empanelment across insurers?

Does it take three months, six months, 12 months? Any rough sense there?

Abhay Soi

I would say within six months.

Karan Vora

Got it, got it. My second question is with respect to

Abhay Soi

Because typically you require NABH, right?

Karan Vora

Yeah.

Abhay Soi

You require NABH, and to get NABH, you typically require six months of data.

Karan Vora

Okay.

Abhay Soi

Even your institutional patients, okay, take about six months to onboard. You have different rates for NABH and non-NABH.

I think the first gating item for a new hospital would be to get NABH. Also, concurrently, various licenses in a greenfield you need such as transplant licenses, this, that, etc., etc.

It's not as if, on a brownfield, all existing licenses continue. In a greenfield, you need to apply for each one of those: blood bank license, this license, that license.

You can't just start doing liver transplant or kidney transplant or whatever else it is. Your full range of services doesn't start.

Karan Vora

Got it. Basically, broadly six to nine months is where we can get the NABH accreditation as well as the insurance empanelment.

That's the rough sense we should have.

Abhay Soi

That's right, but depends now hospital to hospital. Now, of course, this was the same in Dwarka as well for us.

As you're aware, we started Dwarka last July, right? By now, you're already fully occupied on the 300 beds.

Way before now you were fully occupied on the 300 beds. You're already planning a brownfield on another 200, and we had a breakeven within six months over there.

Karan Vora

Sure.

Abhay Soi

Right. Although of course it was cash patients, etc.

It's about how you also sequence it, right? I think the very important art over here is how do you preserve cash flows and how do you sequence your event.

Now I could have started all 300 beds or 250 beds over there, and so on and so forth. You have to forecast the number of beds, you have to plan accordingly, and you have to staff accordingly.

If you're going to staff all the beds, all the this thing, etc., then you're going to lose money. Now be it with a brownfield or a greenfield or whatever.

I think that is somewhere you need to be a little more tactful about it.

Karan Vora

Got it. Got it.

Abhay Soi

Our total loss for Dwarka in three in six months till breakeven was what,

Yogesh Sareen

₹30 crores?

Abhay Soi

₹30 crores. Up to breakeven, the total loss was ₹30 crores.

In a brand new market, in a greenfield, in a micro market where we don't have presence.

Karan Vora

Got it. My second question is I think, Abhay, you mentioned in the opening commentary that we should be back with respect to growth from Q4 onwards.

Just wanted to get a sense. Do we foresee a stepped or phased manner of recovery in growth that Q4 you might be partially back, and Q1 you should be fully back, or from Q4, it's a complete clean quarter, and there should be no one-offs or no deterrents from Q4 itself?

Abhay Soi

I think the big deterrent on our growth has been capacity. Essentially if I go beyond the seasonality of it, and whatever one-time disruptions, which are back to normal, and so on.

Everything that we've acquired over the last this thing or the new capacity that we set up have been ramping up very well. Not ramping, there's been great growth over there.

Two years back, the issue was where is growth going to come from, because the fact is you're operating at very high capacity, and the growth was going to be coming in essentially from your capacity addition.

Karan Vora

Got it.

Abhay Soi

There has been that delay, right, of a quarter or two or whatever.

Karan Vora

Yeah. Yeah.

Abhay Soi

Now that it's online, then you should be back to trajectory.

Karan Vora

Yeah. The last question is with respect to Gurgaon.

Sorry if I missed in the opening remarks. Do we expect it to commission by Q4 end or Q1?

What would be the impact maybe a quarter or two's impact of losses from Gurgaon, since it's a large greenfield? Any color there will be helpful.

Thank you.

Abhay Soi

I think we'll be this thing H1. I think towards the end of H1 is when you should be able to sort of commission that, the first phase over there.

I'm not going to give you a guidance on the losses, but you have our history in front of you, you've seen what the this thing has been, the recent history, and so on and so forth. Because and I'll tell you why I'm not doing that, right?

Because it is a function of the clinicians you're able to get and what sort of this thing you're able to start. I'm happy to make a bigger loss over a shorter period of time, and to have a deeper trough.

What that essentially means that I've been able to get the clinicians also day one in a greenfield.

Karan Vora

Got it. Thanks.

That's helpful.

Operator

Thank you. Next question comes from the line of Vivek Agarwal with Citi Group.

Please go ahead.

Vivek Agarwal

Thanks for the opportunity. One question on CGHS, ECHS rates revision.

You earlier talked about approximately ₹200 crore kind of a positive impact on revenues, but that is including the impact of discontinuation of some patented drugs, etc., right? Is it possible for you to split it, what is absolute impact of rate revision, and how much of that is likely to be netted off from the discontinuation of patented drugs, etc., right?

Thank you.

Yogesh Sareen

Vivek, we already said that net net is ₹200 crores, right? Obviously there is a it's netted of the onco impacts, because onco is part of that MOU when the price got revised.

I would say it'll be probably 280 minus 80 type, right? I must also mention to you that, this whole of price increase hasn't happened in quarter in quarter three.

ECHS has revised their prices only in December. Some of the PSUs are asking for, new budgets, etc., to to increase their prices to the CGHS level.

Also, the superspecialty rates within that territory will be available from 1st April, right? To my mind, the full impact of this will start to come from quarter one of next year, but I think a large part will start to flow from quarter four.

Abhay Soi

GST. I

Yogesh Sareen

also must mention that there is a negative impact of GST both on the revenue side and the margin side, right? I think if I net that out, then you have to net out another ₹60 crores out of that 200 number, it'll be a 140 number on a sustained positive impact piece is in the margin.

Vivek Agarwal

Understood. Actually, is it right to understand, right, the discontinuation impact of the discontinuation of patented drugs, etc., as well as including this GST, etc., so that is largely in this particular quarter, basically, the GST plus discontinuation of patented drugs is in the quarter, and that the positive impact, let's say around ₹280 crore only on the rate revision that is likely to come from Q4

Yogesh Sareen

or 1st April? No, no, the ₹200 crores is a sustained impact of the CGHS prices.

The onco impact will continue, because under their MOU, they are saying you'll have to give discounts on the chemotherapy drug by 30%, right? We only discontinue some of the drugs where the margin was less than 30%.

Where the margin was more than 30%, we still continue to supply, but still at a lower revenue, right? There are two twin impact of the CGHS price increase of the oncology drugs.

One is that we discontinued some drugs, some we are giving 30% discount. Both impact will be, as I said, ₹80 crores.

So 280 minus 80, this 80 is sustained impact, right? That means net is 200, and then you have to reduce out of that the GST impact, 140 is the net impact if you ask me on then basis.

It's not one-time. I'm saying sustained impact.

That means you will have both going forward.

Vivek Agarwal

Understood. Thanks.

This is helpful. Just one more question again on insurance, right?

It looks like that it has been targeted towards Max, while we haven't seen this kind of impact of some of your other peers, etc., in Delhi NCR. Any specific reason for this basically why it has been targeted towards Max?

Definitely what kind of the safeguards that you have that the other insurance companies, let's say, does not do it again in future?

Abhay Soi

I think hopefully everybody's learned from it. Because I don't think the disruption is only for Max.

I think the disruption would also be for other insurance companies, and there's a reason that other insurance companies did not join in. I think it just sort of made some more media and this time.

It's been disruptive to patients, right? Patients are also customers of insurance companies, and therefore you've seen higher amount of complaints and all the issues and everybody else stepping in.

Vivek Agarwal

Understood. Last question on institutional patient share, right?

It has gone up quite a bit, 32%, 36%, right? It's again part of this disruption.

Any color how to look at this number, let's say, one year down the line or two year down the line?

Abhay Soi

I think the important thing is that once you're coming up with capacity, okay, the more capacity you come up with, you will have institutional. Now exactly to what extent is another matter, but the fact of the matter is still EBITDA per bed is higher even with the lower rates, right, for these capacity additions that it brings.

That is what you're kind of demonstrating right now.

Vivek Agarwal

Understood, sir. Thanks, that's from my side.

Operator

Thank you. Next question comes from the line of Bansi Desai with JPMorgan.

Please go ahead.

Bansi Desai

Thanks for taking my question. My first question is on the growth of our existing hospital beds.

Traditionally if we see, barring any seasonality impact, we still manage to see good low teens kind of growth for our existing beds, despite the fact that they've been operating at 75% plus occupancy levels. Partially it could be because of higher onco share, or robotics, etc., which you mentioned.

As we go forward, do you think theoretically this has to normalize at some point in time? For us, therefore, what could be the levers which can keep the growth momentum high over the next two, three years?

Abhay Soi

Look, I think seasonality if you look at the past 10 years has been a reality, right? The big difference is last year, okay, you had big seasonality, and this year, you've had actually no seasonality, it's a little bit of a double whammy.

If you look at the numbers last year, I think you had some 30%, 35% growth as a group year-on-year basis, right, in quarter three. It was a very high sort of this thing.

A lot of it was also due to a little higher part on the seasonality, and whereas this time, it's lower. Now having said that, the big jump in the current year was going to be coming through capacity addition, right?

Clearly there has been a quarter to two delay as far as that is concerned, so that is something which should have contributed to increase in revenue, and I think as and when you sort of start getting that on stream, you're going to have that.

Bansi Desai

Abhay, actually, I was just trying to say that if I actually look at this quarter, and if I map it over a two-year CAGR, this number still suggests a 20% CAGR over two years, if I remove that seasonality impact, and this is despite the fact that we have not added as many beds. What I was trying to understand is that it does mean that our existing beds are still growing well in that low teens rate.

We've seen that with peers that most mature beds, beyond a point once you've reached your optimal occupancy levels, will probably come down to high single-digit kind of growth rate, etc. I was just trying to understand that from our side, if seasonality were to remain favorable, then do we continue to see the kind of growth that we've seen?

Abhay Soi

I think, look, two aspects to it, okay. One is I'm not looking at peaks and troughs as far as seasonality is concerned.

I'm just looking at, okay, on a static basis if you were to put a straight line through it, what the mean is, right? I'm not looking at extensive seasonality or it happening or not happening.

That's one. I think secondly, in terms of existing beds are concerned, we've always sort of guided that there are levers, right?

Some of those levers get obfuscated because we are opening new beds, but the fact of the matter is there is higher institutional business, okay, which kind of gets or will be getting distilled through it. As it gets obfuscated by the fact that you're opening new beds, so that again.

There are levers even in the current capacity. It's not as if they aren't.

Depends how you look at it, how you bifurcate this. I don't know if I'm relating to what you're saying.

Also as management, our job is to make sure that even the existing hospitals grow, right? They can grow one on the ARPOB side through the case mix, etc., and the other is also adding more beds in these hospitals, right?

That's what we're doing. We're trying to do brownfield expansion where in the same campus when you add more beds, the existing hospital also grows, right?

There's no existing bed versus then it's a one hospital that we're trying to grow, right? For example, wherever we have higher occupancies, we try to get brownfield beds there, for example.

Dwarka is an existing hospital, right? We're adding 260 beds there, so that will make the existing hospital grow.

It doesn't mean that in Dwarka, okay, while they putting the additional beds over there, okay, your current mix, okay, is more sort of tuned to because you almost got 50% institutional patients over there. In the first year, you're going to ramp up capacity, you're going to take all sorts of business, and as you go along, okay, you're going to see that distilling.

Bansi Desai

My second question is more clarificatory in nature. We mentioned that the GST rate has also had a bearing on our margin.

Just wanted to understand this would have not impacted our absolute EBITDA, right? It was just impacted our margins because your realization would go down?

Abhay Soi

No, no, it impacted absolute EBITDA because when you bill to the patients, bill is at MRP, and you don't pay the GST on the margin, because these goods are used for delivery of medical services, right? There's an impact on that.

That's how Yogesh led to ₹200 crores net of this thing, and then minus another ₹60 crores for this thing. You're coming to about ₹140 crores as a result of this entire CGHS revision as well as the GST.

Bansi Desai

Because I would assume that GST realization or EBITDA would have been net of that tax amount, right?

Yogesh Sareen

No, I think probably we will have to get online separately. I'll make you see why this impacting margins.

Bansi Desai

Okay. Got it.

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Next question comes from the line of Tushar Manudhane with Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited.

Please go ahead.

Tushar Manudhane

Thanks for the opportunity. Sir, first clarification, the top four, five insurance companies forms for 25% of the insurance business, right?

Abhay Soi

Yes. Okay.

Tushar Manudhane

Secondly, sir, we've been doing roughly ₹400 crore, ₹420 crore plus minus sort of a capex per quarter, but FY26 I guess the target is up to ₹1,900, are we on track to do that kind of capex?

Abhay Soi

Yeah.

Tushar Manudhane

Okay.

Abhay Soi

What typically happens a lot of the capex is back-ended. Don't necessarily relate work done to capex.

I don't think it works in tandem necessarily.

Yogesh Sareen

Also when you will do a cash flow projection, you will always do a conservative projection, right? That's how we plan for it, because you don't want the project to suffer because of financial closure, etc.

You will always find that we'll be spending less than what we're projecting, because of the fact that we project a conservative number.

Tushar Manudhane

Okay. Even if I take roughly ₹400, ₹450 crore per quarter sort of a capex, subsequently for FY27 also it will be higher capex, right?

I'm not referring to bed addition and not even connecting that to bed addition. I'm just referring to the amount that would be spent for the new hospitals effectively.

Yogesh Sareen

I think you have the number already in the slide. We will revisit the number at the end of March in any case, and then probably will float the new numbers, but as of now, it's fairly conservative.

Abhay Soi

They are fairly conservative numbers, you certainly not be doing more than that.

Tushar Manudhane

Given the current sort of cash flow, which is roughly ₹300 crore plus minus cash flow from operations, I'm referring to, does it mean that we'll still have some more debt coming on balance sheet?

Yogesh Sareen

No, I think now the incremental beds that we're getting on stream now, they will start to give us give us, operating margins, and then we mentioned that all these beds are EBITDA as well as margin accretive. You obviously expect, better cash flow from these operations now that the new beds that are that that operationalized.

Tushar Manudhane

Which means effectively ₹2,100 crore net debt is that the number right in FY27 as well? Is that the safe assumption?

Yogesh Sareen

No, I think last time also this question was asked. I think it will go up by around ₹500, ₹600 crore in terms of net debt, but it'll be still less than one, unless we do any M&A, etc.

Tushar Manudhane

Got it, sir. Just lastly, Smart, there has been almost five, six months delay, and still the regulatory approval is to come through.

February '26 is that sort of now largely certain or that might get pushed further?

Yogesh Sareen

As far as Max Smart is concerned, the original time given was FY28. This project has taken us about 24 to 25 months in its entirety.

We expect approvals by end of Feb. It's just got ready now, and we've just applied for approvals, there's been no delay in approvals.

I want to put that also in place. It's not as if the project has been lying ready, and sort of approvals is what is delaying.

I think the project has been delivered now, and approvals have been sort of this thing. We're expecting it by end of Feb.

In fact, whatever attendant approvals are, they've been coming through very, very quickly and very smoothly.

Tushar Manudhane

Got it, sir. Thanks.

Thanks for that explanation.

Yogesh Sareen

Actually in this one, we've been sort of, like I said, ahead of schedule. This one and Zirakpur we seem to be ahead of schedule.

Operator

Thank you. The last question comes from the line of Nitin Agarwal with DAM Capital.

Please go ahead.

Nitin Agarwal

Hi, sir. Thanks for taking my question.

Abhay, you've talked a couple of times about the Dwarka hospital, and the fact that we've seen encouraging progress on it to go in for expansion. If you can just give us some more color on what's been the financial progress for the hospital in terms of where it's reached right now, which prompted you to go for expansion at this early stage?

Abhay Soi

I think we're already operating at close to 80% capacity. 75%.

75% capacity, although almost half of the business continues to be institutional. Like I said, the life cycle of a sort of hospital, you'd first ramp up occupancy, okay, and you'd ramp up occupancy with all sorts of business, then you start distilling it.

We're already doing 20-plus percent, 20%, 22% margins over there.

Nitin Agarwal

20%.

Abhay Soi

20%? 20% margins at Dwarka, okay, while 50% of the business is institutional.

When we put up capacity now going forward, it'll take us at least two years to put up that capacity. That means in the better part of two years, I would not have beds.

Easy to surmise from 75% we'll probably go to 85%. I will be distilling it, my beds.

That means we already see month on month there's more and more cash and insurance patients coming through, and the institutional patients are reducing, and therefore you'll see the margins move up, right? That's the encouraging part.

Right,

Nitin Agarwal

got it. Secondly, on the Jaypee Hospital, if you can give us any update on the progress on that?

Abhay Soi

Jaypee Hospital is doing well now. I think the occupancy has improved over the period in the hospital.

Are you looking for some specific number for that?

Nitin Agarwal

I'm just curious in terms of from where you acquired to where it's come to, what's the distance we've covered in terms of performance improvement in the business?

Yogesh Sareen

Nitin, if I take YoY, it'll be more than 30% growth, right? We took this in same quarter last year, and so the revenue is up by 30%, 35% range.

EBITDA is also up accordingly. Obviously, I'm not giving you the specific numbers in terms of revenue, etc., but I think that's the state it is.

When I say 30% increase in revenue, that obviously means that the revenue has come down first, because when we acquired the hospital, we stopped all the referrals, etc. The revenue dent a bit, and then we brought it back.

This 30% growth YoY same quarter is basically after that dip which happened in the first quarter after acquisition, and then we build it up. The real growth would actually be around 40%.

Nitin Agarwal

In terms of profitability, is it now closer to your network profitability? How far is it from there?

Abhay Soi

No, it is not. It's less.

Nitin, the first endeavor was to stabilize the operations. We had a lot of complaints in that hospital, right?

We were working on that. I think margin is probably 3%, 4% lower than the overall margin that we have in the network.

Nitin Agarwal

Secondly, when we look at our business for the next couple of years, the EBITDA per bed for us has been a pretty dramatic journey which we've had over the years. Around ₹75 to 7.5 to ₹8 million is where we are at.

Does the network EBITDA stabilize around that, or do you see opportunities for us to significantly increment it from these levels? How should we think about EBITDA per bed from say take a two, three-year view from here?

Abhay Soi

We don't We're not chasing EBITDA per bed also as a base, right? Our trajectory is to deploy capital efficiently to have yields on the capital.

That may be an outcome

Yogesh Sareen

Some place we have a lower EBITDA per bed, you have to focus on ROCE over there, right? We're not focusing on making EBITDA per bed or ARPOB accretive or whatever.

We are focusing on ROCE.

Nitin Agarwal

Fair enough. If I take the last one on that back, over the next two years, from where do we see our operational beds sort of hitting out?

We are about 4,800 operational beds right now. Where do we end up in the next two years?

Abhay Soi

I think you're higher than 4,800.

Yogesh Sareen

4,800. 4,800.

I think now you're adding another what, close to 1,000 beds now and another 1,500 including Gurgaon, so that's 6,500, and by '28 you should be hitting what,

Abhay Soi

8,000,

Yogesh Sareen

8,500. Roughly.

I think you just add it up, it's in the presentation.

Nitin Agarwal

About 8,500 is where it should looking like by

Yogesh Sareen

I think if you look at the presentation, you'll have the exact this thing, huh? By '28, '27, '26, '29, sab hai usme.

Presentation may I think it's on the

Nitin Agarwal

Sure. Thank you.

Thank you so much.

Abhay Soi

Location-wise it's there, no? Location-wise how many beds, how many are brownfield, how many are greenfield.

Nitin Agarwal

With respect to the delays and all that you foresee, see, by the time you finish FY28, you're still more or less in the same ballpark that we had in the presentation, is what I meant.

Abhay Soi

That's right. We've given it out in the presentation updated numbers.

That this current quarter's this thing will be updated for any delays.

Nitin Agarwal

Perfect. Thank you so much.

Mhm.

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, we have reached the end of question-and-answer session.

I would now like to hand the conference over to the management for closing comments.

Abhay Soi

Thank you, everyone, for joining us today. We appreciate all your time and look forward to interacting with you again next quarter.

Thank you very much.

Operator

Thank you. On behalf of Max Healthcare Institute Limited, that concludes this conference.

Thank you for joining us. You may now disconnect your lines.