Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

977.00
INR
-8.00
(-0.81%)
45.60EPS
20.55P/E
572.82BMarket Cap
Oct 29Next Earn

Q1 FY2027 · Earnings Call TranscriptJuly 24, 2026

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, good day and welcome to the Motilal Oswal Financial Services Q1 FY '27 earnings conference call. As a reminder, all participant lines will be in the listen-only mode and there will be an opportunity for you to ask questions after the presentation concludes.

Should you need assistance during this conference call, please signal an operator by pressing star then zero on your touch-tone phone. Please note that this conference is being recorded.

I now hand the conference over to Mr. Manish Kayal for the opening remarks.

Thank you, and over to you, sir.

Manish Kayal

Thank you, [Alvick?] .

Good afternoon, everyone. I welcome all participants on behalf of Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited to take time out to attend our Q1 FY '27 earnings conference call.

We hope that you had an opportunity to go through our investor deck and press release offloaded on stock exchanges and on our website yesterday. We have also uploaded our Excel data book on our website that has all the operational and financial numbers.

Please note that today's discussion may include some forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are based on our macro assessment and can vary.

To represent the group, we have the senior leadership members on this call. We will start this call with an opening remark by Navin, who's our Group MD, and then we will have a Q&A session.

Over to you, Navin.

Navin Agarwal

Thank you, Manish. Good afternoon, everyone, and a warm welcome once again to all of you to the earnings call for the quarter ended June 2026.

I will first start by a context of how we ended the last year. Last year, our operating PAT reported was up by 16%.

On that base, our operating profit after tax grew by 14% on a YoY basis in this quarter to ₹609 crore, led by asset and private wealth business, which grew by 44% year-on-year. These businesses, the asset and private wealth businesses, now contribute 55% of the total operating profit of the group versus 50% in FY '26 in the full year and versus 42% in the year before that.

We have guided that the share of asset and private wealth businesses will continue to rise because of the annuity nature of the business and the low market share that we have in these businesses allowing a lot of headroom for us to grow these businesses. The AUM of the asset management business, including MO Alternates, crossed ₹2 lakh crore milestone.

This has witnessed a CAGR, a compounded growth of 34% since March 2020, with strong market share gains. We have invested a lot in past couple of years on all the fronts in the group, be it people, be it brand, or be it technology.

We expect these to bear fruits in the coming years in terms of market share gains and profitability growth. Motilal Oswal is the largest integrated capital market player, with rising share of annuity revenues and each business offering a strong growth runway, leveraging the opportunities available in financialization of Indian savings.

Annuity businesses now contribute over 66% of the group revenues. Please note I had highlighted that the asset and private wealth businesses contribute 55% of the operating PAT during this quarter, but annuity businesses, including in the wealth management business, which has annuity revenues, now contribute collectively 66% of the group revenues and will continue to rise as we transition from a transaction-led to an annuity-led business model, strengthening the quality of our earnings.

Our operating businesses have delivered a decadal, a 10-year compounded operating profit growth of 33% and an average return on equity of 23%. This growth is supported by our investment book, which grew by 41% compounded since inception, led by strong IRRs and reinvestments of our operating profits after consistent dividend distributions and three buybacks since our listing.

Also want to highlight that ever since our listing back in 2007, we have never diluted equity while consistently paying out dividends and buybacks. This has only been possible due to our unique twin-engine business model where we have a strong backbone of our operating businesses and a large investment book that has continued to compound at nearly 20% per annum.

This strategy has resulted in our rank in profit after tax for the last year improving to 160th rank among all listed companies in India, and we are now among the top 200 companies in India by market cap. We see the next decade offering equally exciting prospects, which should drive further improvement in these rankings.

Turning now to the segmental performance, our asset and private wealth businesses comprise of the listed equities asset management business, the unlisted MO Alternates business, and the private wealth management business. Asset management and private wealth businesses continued its momentum during the quarter with robust net flows of ₹10,325 crore.

AUM at ₹4.5 lakh crore as on June '26 is up by 34% year-on-year. We continue to invest in talent, in distribution reach, and in marketing.

The operating leverage from rising AUM should be a strong driver to our profit growth going forward. Now specifically talking about the asset management business, comprising of mutual funds, PMS, and AIF, our AMC AUM grew by 34% compounded since March 2000 till June 2006 and is very close to another major milestone of ₹2 lakh crore today, led by our strong performance and differentiated product offering to our investors.

Our unique PAN catered by our AMC is more than 1 crore as on June '26 versus 85 lakhs in June '25, which shows strong confidence by retail investors in our franchise. This is around 16% share of all clients in the Indian mutual fund industry.

The revival in Q1 has propelled our average AUM to grow from ₹1.67 lakh crore in 4Q FY '26 to ₹1.81 lakh crore in 1Q FY '27, reflecting the continued momentum in the business. Today, we are closer to another milestone of ₹2 lakh crore in this business.

Our product bouquet is pretty young as significant flows comes only once products have crossed the 3-year track record. We launched one new active mutual fund in the first quarter, increasing our presence now to represent 87% of the industry AUM.

Importantly, only six of our funds have a vintage of over three years, and these categories contribute a mere 44% of the industry AUM. We expect an additional three funds, eight funds, sorry, to cross 3-year vintage by March '27 and a further 16 funds to cross the 3-year vintage by March '28.

This will improve our vintage fund participation, which is over 3-years vintage fund participation, to 75% of the industry AUM from 44% now. Most of these are best-performing funds since inception in the mainstream categories, which should help in strong flows as well as diversification of the AUM over the next two years.

This will also continue our trend of net mutual fund flows market share improvement, which stands now at 4.2% compared to 3.7% in the previous quarter. Our flow market share continues to be well above our AUM market share, which is 2.9%.

In 1Q, our SIP flows were strong at ₹4,064 crore, up by 16% year-on-year, with a market share of 4.3%, resulting in an SIP AUM of ₹38,643 crore. We believe our AUM growth will be supported by the following factors: an annualized SIP run rate of around ₹16,000 crore, collections from proposed NFOs besides discretionary flows, more products crossing the 3-year vintage, current AUM of nearly ₹1.9 lakh crore is over 15% higher than the FY '26 average AUM of ₹1.57 lakh crore, potential mark-to-market gains after two muted years, and finally, entry into multiple funds through the GIFT City route, targeting both inbound as well as outbound flows.

We believe that the strong growth of AMC, led by the above six factors, will be a key growth and ARR driver for the overall group. Turning now to MO Alternates, we have a strong franchise in growth capital and residential real estate and are confident to deliver industry-leading IRRs to our clients in all the products that we offer.

We are in the process of executing our final close of our maiden private credit fund of ₹3,000 crore, where we have raised nearly ₹2,500 crore in the second close. We will launch commercial real estate in second half of this financial year and continue to offer a comprehensive suite of product offerings in alternates, which is seeing increasing allocation both among family offices as well as institutions.

Alternate asset management business too will be a key growth driver and an ARR driver of the Motilal Oswal Group on the back of larger fund size that we have raised in every subsequent series, entry into newer categories, and more funds entering the carry income recognition threshold, which will boost our carry income run rate. The asset management business now contributes to 40% of the group's operating profit after tax in 1Q versus 26% in first quarter of last year and is expected to increase based on all the pointers that I've highlighted.

Turning to the private wealth business, the first quarter ARR revenue for the private wealth business grew by 42% YoY to ₹157 crore. However, overall revenues were flattish on lower TBR revenues.

We have highlighted the quarter-on-quarter volatility in TBR revenues, while ARR revenues continue to steadily rise. Net flows grew by a strong 37% to nearly ₹4,000 crore, leading to AUM growth of 37% on a YoY basis to ₹2.4 lakh crore.

Our 441 RMs will also witness productivity improvement as 32% of them have a vintage of over three years. We continue to make sizable investments in senior leadership as well as relationship managers and will continue to do so in a calibrated manner going forward as well.

Focus is now on growing ARR AUM, which is currently at around ₹52,000 crore, through various initiatives, including advisory solutions, strengthening leverage solutions as a value-add for family offices, and exclusive co-investment leveraging group synergies. All this will help in revenue growth along with cost-to-income improvement, driving profitability.

As we scale our ARR-led revenue mix in private wealth, the relative TBR revenue contribution will be volatile quarter-on-quarter, I repeat, while our overall earnings quality and predictability will continue to improve structurally. Turning now to the wealth management business, comprising distribution, retail broking, and retail lending NII income, we continue to have a sharp focus on growing our ARR revenues, which includes distribution income and NII.

This has led to the share of these businesses in wealth management segment revenue increasing from 33% in the year ending March '21 to 57% in the quarter ending June '27. The ARR revenues grew by 26% on a YoY basis this quarter to ₹304 crore.

Distribution book grew by nearly 30% to over ₹45,000 crore. We are confident that our distribution book will grow meaningfully as we continue to harness the cross-sell potential of our client base of our franchise, which stand at only 18% versus multiple times this number globally.

Our loan book in this segment rose 33% year-on-year to over ₹7,000 crore. Our MTF market share is close to 6.5% and is expected to improve going forward.

Our broking business continues to retain its leadership position as a full-service broker amongst non-bank players. We are the largest broker in the cash segment on revenue market share in non-bank segment.

Our overall retail broking market share, including commodities, stood at 7.6% in the first quarter, led by market share gains in F&O premium segment from 7% last quarter to 7.6% in the current quarter. Our cash market share has been stable during this period.

We expect our ADTO market share to improve as the global uncertainty subsides, as we have witnessed historically. The distribution and lending book will continue to drive growth and increase its share in the overall group's ARR revenue pie.

Turning now to the capital markets business, comprising of institutional equities and investment banking, despite challenging market conditions, our investment banking business has successfully completed 11 deals during the quarter, raising over ₹10,000 crore, and our fee income delivered a strong 48% revenue growth quarter-on-quarter to ₹68 crore. We're now ranked number two in the capital markets league table for IPO and QIPs.

With a $5 trillion market cap of India and growing, there is a base level of IB activity that the markets will see every year, and our IB has built a strong franchise to benefit from this. In institutional equities business, we are continuously increasing the coverage.

We released 20 initiations during the quarter, taking our coverage to 384 stocks. Our stated intent is to take this up to 500 numbers.

We believe that our capital markets franchise is strong and diversified, with products including QIPs, IPOs, advisory business, and we have a few more legs to cover there. Our size per deal is materially higher than in the past, and with a strong pipeline, we are poised to benefit from any market revival.

Turning to the housing finance business, our disbursements grew by 64% year-on-year to ₹646 crore. AUM grew by 23% to ₹6,164 crore.

We expect housing finance business to continue to witness strong growth in the next 2 to 3 years. Business has a strong capital adequacy ratio, very low leverage, giving us enough growth levers without any need for further capital infusion.

Turning to our treasury book, it grew by 22% year-on-year to ₹10,482 crore. The longer-term compounded growth of this book has been 41%, led by strong IRRs and reinvestment of operating profits after paying dividends.

To conclude, the rise in wealth to over 100 trillion combined with financialization of savings and powerful tailwinds in the rising weight of capital markets sector within the Indian market cap, this is an important tailwind for the group. In this space, MOFSL's decadal track record of 33% operating profit growth and average ROE of 23%, delivered entirely through internal accruals, no dilution, rising market share in multiple businesses, entering promising adjacencies in each of our businesses, rising share of annuity revenues to 66%, and importantly, improving quality and predictability of our overall profits driven by asset management and private wealth business, all augur well for us.

With regulatory headwinds in the base, particularly for the wealth management business given the regulatory changes, continued resilience shown by Indian investors, we believe, makes the future outlook promising. With this, I'll conclude my opening remarks and open the floor for Q&A.

Operator

Thank you. We will now begin with the question-and-answer session.

Anyone who wishes to ask a question may press star and one on their touch-tone telephone. If you wish to remove yourself from the question queue, you may press star and two.

Participants are requested to use handsets while asking a question. Ladies and gentlemen, we will wait for a moment while the question queue assembles.

The first question comes from the line of Sagar Jethwani with PhillipCapital PMS. Please go ahead.

Sagar Jethwani

Thanks for the opportunity and congratulations on a good show given the current environment. Your first question on the wealth management segment, your distribution assets and broking assets have increased by 13 and 7% respectively.

On the other hand, distribution revenues have fallen by 50% YoY. What went wrong here, could you please explain?

Navin Agarwal

As we've discussed in the wealth management business, we had a high base of TBR last year, in the first quarter particularly. We've highlighted that we have quarter-on-quarter volatility in this number.

The subsequent three quarters will be far more muted as far as TBR is concerned there, and so you will see the distribution income tracking back to growth in line with the distribution assets. Higher share of TBR led by unlisted revenues is what caused this decline.

Part of the private wealth business decline in 1Q in TBR is also led by exactly the same factor, much as in both the businesses, the wealth management business and the private wealth business, we have had rather strong growth in the ARR revenues, which I shared in my opening remarks.

Sagar Jethwani

Yeah. In HFC business, the credit costs have seen a sharp increase on a quarter-on-quarter basis from 10 bps to 1% now.

What led to that?

Shalibhadra Shah

See, credit cost overall for the year last year was 0.5% and if you look at overall our GNPA, NNPA YoY they are down, but sequentially in Q1, generally, 1+, 30+, 90+ numbers are marginally up and that is the reason you will see Q1 numbers always the credit cost will be higher, but it course corrects during the course of the entire financial year. Asset quality has been at the supreme because if you see quarter one last year, GNPA was 1.4 and this year is at 1.1%.

The delta is only because of the relative increase from quarter four to quarter one of this financial year.

Sagar Jethwani

What sort of cost of borrowing reduction can we expect from the rating upgrade?

Shalibhadra Shah

Overall if you see, there are two forms of borrowings. One is from the capital markets that we borrow and one is on the bank side that we borrow.

On the capital markets side, our spreads have come down relative to the AAA and they were earlier at 75 bps. Now relative to the AAA, we are at about 30, 35 bps spreads.

Even our bank borrowings cost has come down if you look at last 12 months of our journey. With the overall recent upgrade from CRISIL, we further expect cost to rationalize by 15 to 20 basis points over the course of next 12 to 18 months given our AA+ rating.

Sagar Jethwani

Yeah. Thanks for that.

In the July month, the volatility has again increased. Could you comment on how the treasury book performance is as we speak?

Navin Agarwal

Actually, this month is still not over and a lot can change between this 24th of July today and the 30th of September. I think I would like to reiterate that the long-term compounded growth of 40%, led 20% by IRR and the balance led by reinvestments of our operating PAT, this has been going on since March 2014 all the way till June 2026.

You can slice and dice smaller time periods of 5 years, 3 years, etc., and you still get similar outcomes. That is what I'd like to guide you for.

However, on a month-to-month basis or a week-to-week basis, these things could be quite volatile.

Sagar Jethwani

Absolutely. We have the strong IPO pipeline going ahead.

How do we see the capital market segment performing? Some thoughts on that for the rest of the year.

Navin Agarwal

The pipeline is very, very strong. In fact, but also this whole West Asian scenario keeps changing and is quite volatile.

Are the signed mandates very substantial to show a strong growth on a year-on-year basis? The answer is yes.

Also, the business is now reconciled to not having a one clean runway of the whole year, but having pockets of 2 months or 3 months multiple times in a year, maybe two times, maybe three times in a year to be able to execute this signed mandate pipeline. Again, I'd like to guide you that pipeline is very strong.

If there's a good window open in any quarter, then you will see a lot of execution and hence a very strong growth. We saw a decent growth in 1Q also.

However, if there's a quarter where there's no such window, then this business for us and for the whole industry would be quite volatile for that quarter. If you ask me FY '27 as a year as a whole, we'll see a growth, but on a quarter-on-quarter basis really depends on whether executions happen on the back of the window which is open or not.

Sagar Jethwani

Lastly, the AMC and PWM PAT is up by 45% put together. Could you please give a split of both these segments?

How much was AMC PAT higher and PWM as well?

Navin Agarwal

PWM is up by two is flattish. It's up by 2% on the back of the lower TBR, as we've highlighted, and so all of the growth is led by the asset management businesses, which comprise of both the listed equities and the unlisted equities.

I'd just like to double-click on this. As our average AUM last year was ₹1.57 lakh crore.

We are tracking at nearly ₹2 lakh crore now. That is a base that is driving very strong growth coupled with operating leverage, correct?

I also highlighted that multiple funds are crossing the 3-year vintage and they're best performing in their category, so that's a tailwind that is available to us. The SIP book will continue to build up, so that's a tailwind.

Importantly, as you may have seen from the third quarter of last year, the alternates business unlisted has also graduated now to having a lot of mature funds, and so the accrued carry income has started to build up. That is showing up in the numerator, but not in the denominator because the income started kicking in only from the October, November, December 2025, which is a 3Q FY '26, correct?

That income will be higher, this year's quarters and quarter-on-quarter it will be stable. I think even the alternates business AUM has grown strongly and accrued carry income has started kicking in.

You have basically four or five factors which are all contributing to this abnormally high growth, which at least for the current year, we are hoping will continue.

Sagar Jethwani

Thanks for answering all my questions. I'll fall back in the queue if there are any further questions.

Thank you.

Navin Agarwal

Thank you.

Operator

The next question comes from the line of Nidesh with Investec. Please go ahead.

Thanks for the opportunity, sir. First question is on the wealth management business.

There has been a regulatory change on prop trading from 1st of July. How are we seeing the impact of that change on our wealth management revenue and trading volumes?

Prateek Agrawal

As of now, there is not much impact because of the prop changes because that is mainly impacting the prop brokers. From a liquidity perspective, it's very early time to say that is it impacting liquidity in a big way because of the volatility in the markets.

As such, there is no impact for us on the overall business model, except for there is some change on the intraday funding part from the banks, which will have its minor impact. Otherwise, it's too early.

What would be the share of prop traders in our wealth management business?

Prateek Agrawal

No, no.

We mean to say that prop traders have that larger impact because of the 1st July change from RBI. It's not the impact for us, that's what Nidesh,

Navin Agarwal

our entire treasury book is invested largely in our own funds and very small part in direct equities. Okay?

We don't engage in the prop trading of the one which is impacted due to the regulatory changes. We have zero impact.

Within our broking business, obviously we have no revenues coming in from that, and so this is an impact for the overall market volumes and hence for the exchanges, but not for broking players like Motilal Oswal. Sure,

sure. Helpful.

Secondly, in the alternate business, there has been a soft net flows for this quarter. What is the reason for that?

Any fund closure that have happened this quarter, which has led to outflows? What is driving that and how should we build net flows in alternates business for the full year?

Prateek Agrawal

Hi, Prateek here. No, alternates business itself had a tough quarter given the overall geopolitical scenario which existed in this quarter.

If we just put ourselves in the shoes of a ultra HNI and think about what is going on in the head, it has been a soft quarter, ex of I think one player who continued to do well on the trot. I think everybody else consolidated.

Ours gross inflows were amongst the highest in the street, but because of the AUM that has been collected, we are tracking 35,000-plus on the alternate side, assume some amount of normal redemptions. The net has been negative for the quarter.

As we speak, from this month, actually we are tracking net positive.

Navin Agarwal

Nidesh, if I can add two more points to what Prateek highlighted, first is that the performance of the products are exceptionally good, so that is not an issue at all. From a market perspective, as you may have also observed, there's a whole plethora of structured debt, private credit, real assets, special opportunities type of funds, and that has taken up a lot of the alternates allocation by private banks, by family offices, by HNI clients.

I think that is what has also happened in this quarter, because of which, as Prateek highlighted, barring one player, no other player has seen any significant inflows, and in terms of the gross sales, we continue to be among the top players in the alternate space.

Sure. Are there any funds launch plan through the year on alternate business?

Navin Agarwal

On alternate side, on the listed equities, we don't really believe in launch proliferation of products. I think the headroom in our existing products itself is very large according to us.

As far as the overall market is concerned, I highlighted to you that a whole variety of products on the credit side are coming up. You are aware that this quarter also, if you look at the alternates business overall, we had a net ₹800 crore flow on account of our private credit fund, Nidesh, and that credit fund will continue to see the residual flows in this second quarter.

We already got the regulatory approval for our commercial real estate fund launch, and that should happen in the second half, as I guided. Basically, in market, there is flows in credit products.

We are seeing strong flows in our own credit product in 1Q. That, we think, will continue in the residual 9 months.

We are also hopeful of the equity side, listed equity side alternates seeing flows in the coming quarters. Sure,

sure. Have you booked any carry income in AMC this quarter and what is the expected quantum that we will likely to book through the year in terms of carry income in AMC?

Navin Agarwal

We have not

booked any

Navin Agarwal

carry income which is meaningful. There might be some very rounding off error.

We have carry income on our products. I think in 2Q or 3Q, you may see us report some number there.

It's not something that I'd like to call out because it's all a function of the markets also. Yeah.

Sure, sir.

Sure. Last question is on private wealth.

There also ARR net flows have been a bit soft this quarter. I think on a quarter-on-quarter basis there is a meaningful decline.

YoY I think net flows are okay, but on a quarter-on-quarter basis there is a bit of a decline in the private wealth business.

Navin Agarwal

If you look at the net flows over a period of time, they've been quite strong. We've doubled the net flows over the last three years, from ₹10,000 crore to ₹20,000 crore.

Quarter-on-quarter, the flows tend to be a bit more volatile because the preferences of clients in terms of allocation changes. What we've seen is we've seen more flows into direct fixed income kind of assets this quarter, but these things tend to even out over the year.

Because if you see YoY, Q1 versus Q1, we've seen strong growth in net flows, but however, the allocations have gone more in fixed income in this quarter and hence you will see the ARR flows being weak. These things tend to even out over the course of the year.

Nidesh, to clarify once again on the carry income question, my carry income question that I answered was on listed equities. On unlisted equities, if that was your question, the number is ₹66 crore accrued carry income for this quarter, and this number will continue to recur at a similar level for the next three quarters and for the next year also and going forward from here also because there's a whole pipeline of products which will keep advancing in and coming closer to maturity.

Sure,

sure. Just one last question on private wealth again.

There actually your TBR has been a bit volatile. What we have seen some of the peers have build a TBR which is slightly more stable now, more granular.

How are we planning to build a much less volatile TBR? If you can give some color on TBR, what is the composition of TBR in terms of unlisted shares, listed shares, structured debt deal, et cetera?

Navin Agarwal

TBR is led by transaction flows and again, like I mentioned, the preferences also keep changing in terms of asset class. Last year, we had very strong sourcing in unlisted equity.

However, what we are seeing this year is we are seeing very, very strong flows into fixed income as an asset class. Over the course of the year, you will see this even out, and we see volumes also compensating for the high base that we had last year.

Sure, sure, sir. Thank you, sir.

That's it from my side.

Navin Agarwal

Nidesh, apart from equities-led TBR, you will see fixed income and equities balancing out and that should lend more stability to this, but as you know that last few years have seen a very strong trend in unlisted paper, both credit and equity, and so that is what is there in the base of the first quarter last year. Also, a strong growth in ARR revenues gives us the air cover whilst we build up the transaction flows.

If you see the growth in ARR, it's almost 42% YoY, and 46% in the net interest income as well.

Yeah. Thank you, sir.

That's it from my side.

Operator

The next question comes from the line of Umang Shah with Kotak Mutual Fund. Please go ahead.

Umang Shah

Good afternoon, and thanks for taking my question. I have a couple of them.

Yeah. Am I audible?

Hello?

Operator

Hello? Sir, can you hear us?

Umang, you are audible. One moment, please.

Umang Shah

Yeah.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, the line for the management has dropped. Please stay connected while I get them reconnected.

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for your patience.

The management line has been reconnected. Umang, you may go ahead with your question.

Umang Shah

Hi. Thanks for taking my question and congrats on a good quarter.

My question is somewhat related to what Nidesh was asking on the alternates business. In terms of the carry income booking, I can see that there are a few funds, both on private equity and real estate side, which are likely to get exited in FY '27.

Are our carry income assumptions contingent upon the fact that exits get completed in FY '27 or if at all, let's say, there is any delay because of market conditions, then there could be a spillover in FY '28?

Navin Agarwal

These assumptions, Umang, have been made on a conservative basis, factoring in delays. The run rate that I articulated, we booked ₹66 crore this quarter, we will likely have similar numbers for all of the quarters of this year and also for the next year.

Umang Shah

Also,

Shalibhadra Shah

Umang, only 70% of the fair value has been recognized. Already we are more conservative.

Rest 30% is recognized only on realization. Yeah.

Umang Shah

Oh, okay. Okay.

Understood. From a growth perspective as well, obviously there are a few exits and there are a few funds in the pipeline as well.

On a net basis, we should not see any lumpiness in terms of AUM, right? We should be able to still deliver reasonable net sales numbers for the year, or there is a likelihood that there could be some lumpiness for FY '27, '28?

Navin Agarwal

Are you talking about the alternate unlisted net sales?

Umang Shah

Overall, because I can see there are a couple of real estate funds which are also likely to exit this year.

Navin Agarwal

Because of a series of new products that we will launch, Umang, the overall income, ARR income of the unlisted alternates business on a year-on-year basis will continue to rise. Right?

Whatever number you've seen last year, this year's number would be higher and the next year's. Because as you're aware, the private credit fund will see the final closure in the 2Q.

The commercial real estate fund will be launched after that. Then we have a series of products to be launched even after that.

The AUMs keep rising, point number one. Point number two, for the same product, the subsequent series is always a higher AUM.

If there's an outgoing AUM of the previous fund, there'll be an incoming AUM which is larger of the next fund. Unlike in listed alternates, Umang, in unlisted alternates, you book fees or you report fees on the amount raised, not on mark-to-market.

Umang Shah

Hmm. Right?

Navin Agarwal

We would like to guide that there should be a steady rise in both the fee income as well as the accrued carry income for this business.

Umang Shah

Understood. This is quite helpful.

For the mutual fund business as well, last few years, we have seen fair amount of additions in the team as well as on the product side. How does the product pipeline look over next 12 to 18 months in terms of new scheme launches?

Also, are there any more additions to the team required or we are pretty much done with people hiring?

Prateek Agrawal

Okay. In terms of mutual fund side, you should expect to see on the passive side, we would continue to populate our offerings.

On the active side, there would be fewer, but still over the next 12 months, one should expect four to five new offers from our side. The big thing to focus on the AMC is that over the December to Jan quarter, we have two large funds, two large positions, the small and the large-cap funds, which will complete three years.

As we know, it comes into the tracking of more distributors, more wealth platforms after three years, which we believe should help flows. After that, in three months, a multicap category, which is again a mainline category, will come into the focus.

Lots to look forward to from existing funds only over the next period starting December, while we will continue to populate the active side also, but fewer. Like it was told in the initial comments, the coverage that we have today is 87% of the active fund this thing, the positions left are few.

Navin Agarwal

Umang, just to summarize, NFOs will be a far smaller contributor, but the vintage products which are performing well we have a bigger hope of a large growth there. In terms of team addition, yes, we keep adding as we are launching more funds, we will need more hands.

There is no vacancy to fill, but opportunistically as well as from a longer term perspective, we are looking to strengthen both the fund manager base as well as the research team on the active side as well as the passive side. Understood.

Umang Shah

Understood. My last question is on the SIP flows.

Now, I do see that there has been fair amount of improvement in the net sales numbers. However, for SIP, our market shares have remained range-bound this quarter.

In fact, not just for yourself, but for most of your peers as well, we have seen a little sort of a mixed performance on the SIP front. Just wanted to understand, how has been your experience when it comes to investors?

Is it some sort of a fatigue which is catching up or going forward, will it be more driven by returns? Specifically for Motilal Oswal, is there a scope for market share improvement, especially on the SIP side?

Prateek Agrawal

We saw very strong market share improvement in SIPs. We tracked over ₹1450 crore at our peak.

Today, we are ₹1360-plus crore a month. Our market share on SIPs is significantly higher than our AUM market share.

It has been led by primarily one and a half fund, I keep saying this, midcap fund and to some extent, ELSS. Of course, passives also.

Now as our other categories, specially small-cap, completes three years, we expect SIPs flows to pick up in that category also, taking up our overall market share.

Umang Shah

Understood. Understood.

Navin Agarwal

As far as the fatigue in the industry is concerned, see, there are times when you see a spell of 6 to 12 months when there's strong growth, particularly when trailing 12-month returns look very exciting. Times like this, where the trailing 12-month returns don't look that exciting, you do have stagnation.

I would say is there a long-term fatigue in this? The answer is no.

There are spells when you have strong growth and spells when you have flattish numbers. Good news is that we're not seeing any meaningful contraction as an industry in this number.

Umang Shah

Right. Right.

Perfect. I think this is helpful.

Thank you. Thank you so much and wish you all the best.

Prateek Agrawal

Thank you.

Navin Agarwal

Thanks, Umang.

Operator

The next question comes from the line of Neeraj Toshniwal with UBS. Please go ahead.

Neeraj Toshniwal

Yeah. Hi, team.

Congrats on a good set. My question first on the wealth management.

I think distribution assets you've done a good job here, steadily increasing the distribution book. How should one think about the yields have also gone up, and the lending is obviously increasing across the board for the industry and as well for you guys.

How should one think about the distribution piece going forward, and how the mix is changing and whether the yields also improving?

Prateek Agrawal

The focus on distribution has been there for the last three, four years and we have got a dedicated team now in place. At the same time, if you look at the overall penetration, it's still very low compared to the overall transaction-related client base which we have got.

We have got a dedicated team across the channels who are working on the distribution across all our client network. We see that this will keep on building up from here across the ARR products where you'll have the consistent trail revenue and there will be some amount of products on the other upfront side also.

Shalibhadra Shah

As far as the yields are concerned, on the trail yields, the yields are stable at around 70 basis points.

Neeraj Toshniwal

Okay. This is helpful.

Second question is on capital markets. I think employee costs have been fairly low from last two quarters.

Is this the stable run rate or we can assume that with the activity picking up, there could be some increase here because it has been fairly low?

Shalibhadra Shah

Because as you know that is linked to the revenues, quarter four, quarter one of this year, if you look at the overall revenues pie has been fairly a bit volatile. The people cost, the variable component actually goes down because the fixed cost remains constant.

That is one of the reason you will see a bit of volatility in the people cost on account of the absolute cost is down because of the lower variable cost which is there.

Prateek Agrawal

Neeraj, you would have understood the variable component in the employee cost in that business is higher and so if you look at the cost-to-income ratio, that'll probably be more stable, but if you look at the absolute number, it'll vary depending on how much top line is coming through.

Neeraj Toshniwal

Got it. That is helpful.

Then the other bit was, I think already that's been debated in the call, on the flow side. Just wanted some more color on the private wealth and also on the AMC.

I think AMC, we have kind of stabilized within the MF side. As you're mentioning that there's couple of closing of three years of timelines are there for some schemes, we might see some improvement here.

How should one think about flow trajectory, any guidance in terms of flows, in terms of opening AUM across the board within AMC and within private wealth?

Prateek Agrawal

That's a tough one, but period by period, we have been tracking higher than our AUM market share in terms of net flows. As our large new positions complete three years, that should increase is what we think.

Now the second manner of thinking is if the net flows in the industry are lower than SIP flows, then it constrains a younger AMC like us. We have noticed if the net flows in the industry are more than SIP flows and of course if the performance looks competitive, the impact on net flows on us is more positive.

It is quite a few variables which are there which need to interact for the net number to happen. Now lastly, our digital flows continue to track stronger.

There we continue to maintain or increase market share. Now digital itself is increasing market share amongst all channels in the industry.

In some sense, we believe chances of us sustaining a better than industry growth rate, better than our AUM market share on net flows is a very good possibility.

Neeraj Toshniwal

To quantify, do we have digital market share as of now and maybe a year back?

Prateek Agrawal

We can

Neeraj Toshniwal

take that offline also.

Prateek Agrawal

We would have increased by 60 bps. The year before was very strong for us because that was our peak year.

In our peak, we were getting double-digit market share. From there, we are today just about 4%.

Our net flow market share versus our peak has declined, but versus our AUM market share has continued to be higher all through. In terms of what we do on a month, we are between ₹700 and ₹1,200 crore net on active equities.

Neeraj Toshniwal

Got it. This is helpful and wishing the team all the best.

Prateek Agrawal

Thank you. Thank you.

Operator

The next question comes from the line of Neha with Abakkus Investment Managers. Please go ahead.

Hi. Thank you.

Most of my questions have been answered. Just one question on the expenses side.

If you could please explain why the employee expenses have increased substantially this quarter. Quarter-on-quarter, there's an increase of 16%.

Is there any one-off that is coming?

Shalibhadra Shah

See, quarter-on-quarter increase relates to the annual performance appraisal cycle which has been closed and the increment which is actually effective from 1st of April of this financial year. Most of the portion of the increase is on account of the cost increment on the people side.

Navin Agarwal

On a year-on-year basis, it's head count led. Okay.

Sir, specifically for the AMC business also, the number has increased almost 2x. Is that because of the same reason?

Shalibhadra Shah

In AMC in quarter four, there was a reversal of an ESOP line item, and that is one of the reason because the cost of about ₹24 crore absolute amount was reversed. To that extent, if you compare the current quarter is a normalized cost versus last quarter reversal, so that is why sequentially, to that extent also, it will look higher.

Okay.

The number that we have seen in Q1 will be the normalized number going forward.

Shalibhadra Shah

That's right.

Navin Agarwal

Not just for AMC, but also for the group.

Got it, sir. Okay.

Sir, just lastly on the PBT margins. If you can just share some view on where do we see that going forward?

I think last year it was about 52.5%. Where do we see that and if the incremental increase will come, which would be the segments that will drive the expansion going forward?

Shalibhadra Shah

If you look at historically, our last few years of our margins have been around the range of 50% to 52% margins, and quarter one of this year is also around 52%. We expect historically the margins that are there to sustain over the course of the current financial year.

Even bulk of our costs are variable. To just give an example, in our wealth management business, almost 70% of the costs are variable.

To that extent, the ability to control our margins because of the variable costs is also strong.

Understood, sir. Okay.

That's it from my side, sir. Thank you.

Shalibhadra Shah

Thank you.

Operator

The next question comes from the line of Dipanjan Ghosh with Citi Group. Please go ahead.

Dipanjan Ghosh

Hi, good morning, everyone. First two questions on the wealth management side or rather the overall wealth piece.

I think in your presentation you mentioned that the cross-sell ratio is around 18%. Now there are two subparts to this question.

One is I wanted to understand, do you include, let's say, if a customer is doing broking and let's say MTF, utilizing MTF also, do you would you include that as a cross-sell or is it like when the customer, kind of purchase any distributed products or mutual funds or PMS, then you kind of consider it as cross-sell? I just wanted to understand the definition.

Second, in terms of this 18%, let's say, going to 20%, 30%, the other way to look at it is probably trying to understand the share of broking revenues from, let's say, the top 20% customers or top 30% customers. If you can give some color on that so that we can understand how much this 18% can increase to.

The second question is on the on on the MTF book. I think similar to the industry, you have also witnessed strong increase in that book.

Just in terms of adoption rates or hit rates amongst your existing customer base, can you give some color and how much, this can further grow in terms of adoption amongst the existing customer base? Those were two questions on the wealth side.

Now on the I have one question on the capital markets business. If you can give the IB pipeline for the next 12 months...

Navin Agarwal

Dipanjan, if you can hold on to your questions, let us answer so many. We'll forget.

There's too many questions. Let us first answer these.

Dipanjan Ghosh

Sure.

Shalibhadra Shah

On the first part, whether MTF is considered as part of the distribution, no, it's not considered. The 18% is without considering MTF.

We only consider asset products which are being sold as part of the distribution network.

Prateek Agrawal

Right? Your second question was regarding the MTF book growth, right?

That, as you understand, it's in the industry standards, we are growing. The potential to grow for us is much higher because as you always know, we have been always into this advisory and HNI business and high quality clients and our ARPU has always been higher.

To that extent, the penetration, we see that there's a good scope to penetrate further in the MTF book at a overall level. We see that this can be a good growth potential going forward.

Dipanjan Ghosh

Just one small follow-up. Any quantification on the current hit rate amongst your existing cash customer base from MTF perspective?

Prateek Agrawal

Hit rate meaning the rate of penetration?

Dipanjan Ghosh

Yes. Let's say, how much of your cash customers would be utilizing MTF as a product?

Prateek Agrawal

I will not have this number readily hand, but we can share it. I think it will be around in the range of 15%.

Dipanjan Ghosh

Got it. Also,

Shalibhadra Shah

on the MTF side, we have very healthy yields and spreads, because look at even our cost of fine trajectory and our overall low leverage, that also gives us more delta in the P&L. While book has grown 54% YoY, and the average book has also started catching up, which would result in delta on the growth, absolute growth, as well as on the improvement in the spreads in the book.

Dipanjan Ghosh

Got it. Fair enough.

On the capital markets business, any color on the pipeline from IB revenues over the next 12 months, now that primary markets are kind of improving a little bit?

Navin Agarwal

I answered that earlier, but I'll repeat. Basically, the signed mandated pipeline is quite strong.

This quarter, we reported a strong growth as well. Markets have been quite volatile because of the West Asian scenario.

If we get a few windows of deals happening, then I think our signed mandated pipeline is quite substantial for us to be clocking revenues. I would guess that there's a high probability that we should show a reasonable growth in this business on a year-on-year basis.

Probably if things go one way down, these are not happening, then it's all contingent on execution. It's not contingent on pipeline.

Pipeline is there.

Dipanjan Ghosh

Fair enough. Just two small questions on the private wealth business.

One is, if I look at your recurring assets on the private wealth business, it looks like the closing AUM is meaningfully higher than the average AUM compared to even the industry numbers for AUMs of mutual fund industry or something like that as a proxy. Is it like the flows were more back-ended or is it a function of the asset mix in that particular distribution and recurring basket?

Some color on that would be useful, the divergence between closing AUM and average AUM on the recurring side. Second, in your private wealth also, loan book is growing quite fast.

We don't get color on the book whether it's MTF, LAS, ESOP financing. Yes, some color on that would also be helpful.

Navin Agarwal

The private wealth business, as you can see, is a breakup of custody assets, ARR, as well as TBR assets. The ARR assets have been going up quite steadily.

What happens is sometimes, when we get a transfer in our DP or some promoter assets, the overall AUM tends to get bumped up. The ARR AUMs are more steady in nature.

If you see sequentially, they've been going up gradually.

Shalibhadra Shah

Even on the question around the closing AUM to average, closing AUM on the ARR side is up 40% and average AUM is up 36%. It's largely in line.

There's not much of back-ended trend.

Navin Agarwal

The absolute number itself is strong because the base is small still. We've added a lot of RMs.

They are getting productive. We would like to see this number continuing to grow strongly at similar rates in the future also, Dipanjan.

Sure.

Dipanjan Ghosh

The loan book mix in the private wealth business?

Navin Agarwal

This would be all related to MTF meaningfully. The non-MTF part, LAS book, would be also included in that number.

Again, very underindexed if you compare ourselves with the other private wealth players. It's a very, very tiny book as of now, the headroom to grow there and hence NII forming a part of the recurring revenue base to be greater is a lot.

I think that is something that you should see happening over the next 2 to 3 years' time, including March '27 and March '28.

Dipanjan Ghosh

Got it. Thank you, everyone, and all the best.

Navin Agarwal

Thank you.

Operator

The next question comes from the line of Mohit Mangal with Centrum. Please go ahead.

Mohit Mangal

Good afternoon, and thanks for the opportunity. My first question is specifically towards the private wealth management.

I think we have seen steady growth in net flows. Two questions over there, that first is basically have we seen any increase in the wallet size of existing clients?

Second is if you can throw some color on basically the net flows of existing versus new clients, that would be helpful.

Navin Agarwal

If you see, even the wallet size per customer is steadily moved up. We're now closer to ₹25 crore, and even the AUM per banker is now closer to ₹550 crore.

That number is steadily moved up. Your second question was on...

Prateek Agrawal

Sorry,

Navin Agarwal

could you repeat your second question?

Operator

Mohit, can you hear us?

Navin Agarwal

Yeah. Typically, the flows from newer customers in any year would be around 20%, and 80% is basically deepening from existing customers.

Operator

Does that answer your question, Mohit?

Mohit Mangal

Yeah. Am I audible?

Operator

Yes, you are now. Yeah.

Mohit Mangal

My second question is towards the RM count. We have seen about 25% increase in the overall RM to 441.

As you also said that the productivity has also improved for RMs, are we going to go that aggressive on hiring RMs or are we going to slow down on that?

Navin Agarwal

No, last year obviously there was a meaningful step up. This year, the composition of RM additions will be fewer in numbers, but much higher in cost, targeted at the family offices.

The cost increase will continue to be there, but head count increase will be lesser in FY '27 compared to FY '26.

Mohit Mangal

Understood. My last question is basically on the break-even.

I just wanted to know, basically, a typical RM, how much time does it take to break even and do you also face any attrition issues in that aspect?

Navin Agarwal

Typically, bankers at an aggregate level break even around two to three years. However, what we are seeing, which is quite encouraging, is some of the senior bankers that we are hiring are breaking even much faster.

I guess that's also the function of the kind of platform that we have, because the platform enables the bankers to break even much faster than what normally happens.

Mohit Mangal

Okay. Understood.

That's all from my side. Thanks, and wish you all the best.

Shalibhadra Shah

Thank you.

Operator

The next question comes from the line of Saket Mehrotra with Tusk Investments. Please go ahead.

Saket Mehrotra

Hi. Thanks for the opportunity.

I have a question on your data book. See, for private wealth, this quarter we are reporting ₹157 crore as ARR and the distribution is 110.

Last year ARR was 111 and distribution was 166. I'm just trying to understand what is the bridge between the two?

Would be very helpful to understand.

Shalibhadra Shah

The bridge between the two is actually the net interest income on our lending book is at ₹4,200 crore, and NII earned on that is the bridge because NII is also part of the ARR.

Saket Mehrotra

Okay. Your net interest income this quarter was 91?

You're saying some part of that is ARR and some part is transactional? No,

Shalibhadra Shah

the entire NII is ARR. There is no transactional in NII.

Saket Mehrotra

Okay. Within distribution there is some element of transactional?

Shalibhadra Shah

That's right. Yeah.

Saket Mehrotra

Okay. The second question I have is in your AMC reporting, there's a line on variable additional returns.

How does one read into it? Is this the carried interest of your AIF investments or I'm not aware of how this number should be read.

Could you just help me understand that?

Navin Agarwal

This is not pertaining to the listed equities AIF. This is pertaining to the private equity, unlisted equities, resi credit, going forward will be private credit.

This is a globally accepted practice followed by Blackstone to everybody else, and as funds mature, this starts kicking in. It started kicking in for us from 3Q of FY '26 and it will gradually rise, as Shali explained earlier, that we consider only 50% of the fair value 70% of the fair value while reporting this number.

There's a buffer. We've reported ₹66 crore this quarter.

We expect similar numbers for the next three quarters and a higher number for the next year. This is

Saket Mehrotra

fairly

Navin Agarwal

consistent and stable that you will see.

Saket Mehrotra

This is a part of your ARR?

Shalibhadra Shah

Yes, that's a part of ARR.

Saket Mehrotra

Okay. Thank you so much.

Navin Agarwal

Thank you.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, that was the last question for today. I would now like to hand the conference over to Mr.

Shalibhadra Shah for the closing remarks.

Shalibhadra Shah

On behalf of Motilal Oswal Financial Services, I would like to thank every participant for attending the Q1 FY '27 conference call. In case if there are any further questions, please do get in touch with our investor relations desk.

Thank you, and have a good day.

Operator

Thank you, sir. Ladies and gentlemen, on behalf of Motilal Oswal Financial Services, that concludes this conference call.

Thank you for joining us and you may now disconnect your lines.