PCBL Chemical Limited

PCBL Chemical Limited

292.50
INR
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126.36BMarket Cap

Q1 FY2027 · Earnings Call TranscriptJuly 29, 2026

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, good day, and welcome to the PCBL Chemical Limited Q1 FY '27 earnings conference call hosted by ICICI Securities. As a reminder, all participant lines will be in the listen-only mode, and there will be an opportunity for you to ask questions after the presentation concludes.

Should you need assistance during the conference call, please signal an operator by pressing star, then zero on your touch-tone phone. Please note that this conference is being recorded.

I now hand over the conference to Mr. Sanjesh from ICICI Securities.

Thank you, and over to you, sir.

Sanjesh Jain

Thanks, Shweta. Good evening, everyone.

Thank you for joining on for PCBL Chemicals Limited Q1 FY '27 results conference call. We have PCBL Chemical management on call represented by Mr.

Nilesh Koul, Managing Director; Mr. Rohit Narang, CEO, Aquapharm Chemicals; Mr.

Raj Gupta, CFO; and Mr. Pankaj Kedia, Executive Director, Investor Relations.

I would like to invite Mr. Nilesh to initiate the call with his opening remarks, post which we will have a Q&A session.

Over to you, sir.

Nilesh Koul

Thanks so much. Good afternoon, everyone.

A warm welcome to PCBL Chemicals Q1 FY '27 earnings conference call. I'm pleased to report that there has been a strong quarter for us on almost every parameter.

Consolidated revenue grew 17% year-on-year, EBITDA grew 23%, and profit after tax grew 65%. What makes this performance particularly satisfying is the background against which it was delivered.

Cost continues to be volatile, with the West Asia situation persisting through the quarter. When we spoke to you last, at the end of FY '26, we had said that the recovery would consolidate progressively.

This quarter is evidence of exactly that, and of the resilience we have built into the business over the last few quarters. Let me offer some perspective on the composition of this performance.

Close to third of our volume are on the spot market, and our teams monetized this exposure very effectively, as crude ran up sharply through April and May, capturing strong realizations. On the formula-linked portion of our business, the pricing mechanism worked exactly as designed; input cost movements are passed on to our customers with a contractual lag, and we remain committed to maintaining this pricing discipline.

While a part of the spot-related gains is naturally linked to how crude behaved during the quarter and may moderate as crude effects correct, the more important point is that the underlying operating environment for our industry is improving structurally, and I'll spend a few minutes on that shortly. First up, on cost and margins.

Brent crude averaged US$97 barrels—per barrel during the quarter compared to $78 per barrel in Q4 FY '26, largely on account of the escalation of the West Asia conflict. CBFS costs moved in line with crude, and together with higher inward freight, this raised our raw material bill during the quarter.

Despite geopolitical disruptions impacting global trade routes, we ensured uninterrupted customer service and met every customer commitment. This took a lot of effort and a lot of agility, and I'm really proud of the team for having delivered this—a discipline that continues to strengthen our standing as a reliable global supplier.

Now, let me talk a little bit about the structural tailwinds I talked about: a global landscape turning in India's and PCBL's favor. Before I run to the operating segment, I want to step back and talk about three structural developments that we believe are shaping the global carbon black landscape in favor of India and Indian manufacturers and PCBL in particular.

First, India's trade architecture has strengthened remarkably over the past several quarters. The India-US trade deal discussion in February this year has brought tariffs on Indian exports down sharply from the peak levels seen last year, and subsequent negotiations have secured for India one of the most favorable tariff tiers among major exporting nations.

The India-EU FTA concluded in January 2026 is progressing through ratification and opens up duty-free access to European markets. It's also expected to eliminate 4.5% EU import duty on Indian tires, enhancing the competitiveness of the Indian tire manufacturers in an important export market and in turn supporting domestic carbon black demand.

Alongside this, the India-UK CETA and India-EFTA trade economic partnerships, which is already in force, and new agreements with Oman and New Zealand together position India as a preferred, trusted partner in global chemical supply chain. Very few carbon black producing geographies enjoy this breadth of preferential market access today.

Second, and specifically on the US market, Indian carbon black now attracts a lower tariff than materials from competing Asia and Middle East origins. With China facing significantly higher effective duties, US customers are actively looking to diversify their sourcing away from China and Russia, and India is the natural beneficiary.

We are seeing good traction from US customers, and even after accounting for elevated ocean freights, we are more competitive in the US market today than we were before the conflict. Our upcoming presence in Texas further strengthens our ability to serve this market.

Third, the global supply chain is tightening. Ukraine's sustained strikes on Russian energy infrastructure have now hit all of Russia's largest refineries, and Russian refining throughput has fallen to new lows, with a meaningful share of capacity offline.

This has two direct consequences for our industry: Russian exports of carbon black feedstock have shrunk, keeping global CBFS availability relatively tight, and Russia's own carbon black exports, historically a large, low-cost supply to Europe, Asia, and the Middle East, have contracted sharply on top of European sanctions already in place on Russian material. This combination of shrinking Russian supply and India's improving market access creates durable white space for PCBL in Europe, the Americas, and other premium markets—a structural, not just a cyclical opportunity.

Let me talk a little bit about domestic and export. Domestic sales were a bright spot this quarter, with steady demand across key segments driving strong growth.

Domestic volumes were also supported by an element of inventory building by our customers in the last quarter. On export, realizations were temporarily weighed down by elevated freight costs, and we responded with agility, strategically diverting a part of our volume to domestic spot market, where realizations were more attractive.

At the same time, we continued to service our key strategic export customers to protect long-term relationships. As freight normalizes and the tariff and FTA tailwinds I spoke about earlier take hold, we see significant headroom to scale our international business from here.

You should see those volume flows happening quarter 2, quarter 3, quarter 4 onwards. The tire outlook: globally, the tire industry continues to navigate cost headwinds, while demand in US replacement segments has stayed resilient.

Closer home, Indian tire sector is on a healthy growth path after a solid 7% to 8% this fiscal. Industry estimates put growth in a similar high single-digit range over '27 to '29, supported by a growing, aging vehicle fleet, premiumization, and rising EV penetration.

Leading tire makers are stepping up capacity; several are running close to 90% utilization and have lined up fresh capex for FY '27, which gives us good visibility on offtake for our carbon black volumes over the next few years. Exports are another factor behind the investment cycle.

India's tire exports grew 9% in FY '26 despite supply chain disruptions, elevated logistics costs, and trade uncertainty. The US remains the largest export destination, while Germany, Italy, Brazil, and France continue to be important markets.

With the trade agreements now in place or in ratification across US, EU, and UK, the runway for Indian tire exports, therefore for domestic carbon black demand, only gets stronger. A few words about our specialty black outlook.

In specialty carbon black, we continue to make good progress across multiple fronts. Volumes remain healthy during the quarter, supported by a rich product mix and increase in customer acceptance of our differentiated offerings.

We continue to develop new grades and expand our customer base, deepen relationship with existing customers, and strengthen our presence across new geographies. Globally, specialty demand continues to move up the value chain, with customers increasingly shifting towards higher grade, performance-differentiated products rather than commodity grades.

We see this as a validation of our own push to innovate towards higher grades, and we intend to keep building our position there. The 20,000 MTPA specialty black line in Mundra was commissioned in Q1 FY '27.

With this, our total installed carbon black capacity now stands at 900,000 metric tons per annum, a milestone that firmly establishes PCBL among world's leading carbon black producers. A word about our advanced battery materials business.

On battery materials, we continue to make strong progress in building a differentiated platform focused on two most attractive and fast-growing segments: silicon-based anode materials and high-performance conductive carbons. The global battery industry is transitioning rapidly towards silicon-enhanced anodes to deliver higher energy density and faster charging capabilities.

We view this as a significant long-term growth opportunity and have invested accordingly. Our NanoVace pilot plant in Palej is in progress, and we have received the consent to operate for R&D and customer sampling.

At the individual machine level, we have already started trials, and we are in readiness to start sampling in the coming weeks of August. We are of course also going beyond nano-silicon and evaluating broader portfolio of silicon-based materials to address evolving battery industry requirements and sustainability objectives.

At the same time, we are strengthening our position in high-performance conductive carbons, which play a critical role in improving battery conductivity, charging efficiency, and overall battery performance. To address growing demand from battery, semiconductors, and advanced polymer applications, we have set up a 1,000 metric ton per annum superconducting specialty black facility in Palej and have commenced market development activities across battery, conductive polymers, and electronic applications.

In addition, we continue to advance our entry into acetylene black, a high-performance conductive carbon gaining relevance in battery and energy storage applications. Engineering for the first phase of the modular manufacturing facility has been completed, and we have initiated product development activities with our technology collaborator.

This positions us in high-value, margin-accretive segments benefiting from the accelerating adoption of electrification, electronics, and renewable energy technologies. Together, our silicon and conductive carbon initiatives create a differentiated battery materials platform aligned with some of the fastest-growing and most attractive segments of the global energy storage value chain, offering significant potential for long-term growth and value creation.

A quick update on our cost optimization and efficiency program I talked about last time. The program continues to progress well, and we last updated you the initiatives would yield an improvement through enhancement and feedstock diversification.

We believe that the target we had identified earlier of ₹200 to ₹250 crores of savings over the next 4 to 6 quarters still holds, and we look forward to starting to deliver that in our results. Now, a quick view on the outlook.

Looking ahead, we are decidedly positive on the opportunities in front of us. The three structural shifts I described—India's expanding network of trade agreements, our tariff advantage in the US market, and contraction in Russian refining and carbon black exports—are all durable tailwinds that play directly to PCBL's strengths: scale, reliability, and a global supply chain and an expanding specialty platform.

In the very near term, the operating environment remains dynamic, and some customers have adopted a more cautious procurement approach that will probably have a temporary effect on volumes in Q2. We see this as a timing effect, not a demand effect, and therefore remain constructive on the second half of FY '27.

Our focus remains on capturing opportunity, driving volume growth in newly opened markets, sustaining cost efficiencies, and continuing to strengthen our specialty and battery chemicals portfolio. Now, addressing the financial and operational highlights.

Consolidated sales volume in carbon black business were steady at 153,513 metric tons. Consolidated revenue from operations grew 17% to ₹2,474 crores, and consolidated EBITDA grew 23% year-on-year to ₹400 crores.

Profit after tax grew 65% year-on-year to ₹155 crores. Of the total carbon black sales volume, domestic sales volume grew 15% year-on-year to 102,985 tons, while international volumes was 50,528 tons, reflecting a deliberate reallocation to domestic spot market that I spoke about earlier.

Moving to segmental performance: tires accounted for 91,379 tons, performance chemicals 42,386 tons, while specialty sales grew a strong 23% year-on-year to 19,748 tons. Power generation was 217 million units and external sales volume of 113 million units in Q1 '27 at improved realization.

Now, about Aquapharm. I'd like to take this moment to introduce Mr.

Rohit Narang as the new CEO of Aquapharm Chemicals, something I mentioned in the last call. Rohit brings over 25 years of global leadership experience across general management, strategy, and M&A.

His last stint was with Eastman Chemical, where he led global P&Ls across large-scale specialty portfolios and spearheaded multibillion-dollar M&A transactions. Aquapharm remains an important part of our specialty portfolio, and under his leadership, we look forward to shaping our future on growth, operational efficiency, and expanding our presence across key markets and segments.

His track record of delivering transformational and profitable growth aligns well with what we want to take Aquapharm over the next 5 years and scale it meaningfully. We're confident that with the new leadership in place, there will be a renewed push on growth and execution in the coming quarters.

Now, I'd like Rohit to share his perspective on the company's growth and walk us through the performance of Q1 FY '27 for Aquapharm. Rohit, over to you.

Rohit Narang

Thank you, Nilesh, and good afternoon, everyone. It's a pleasure to be speaking with you all for the first time since joining Aquapharm as the CEO.

Over the last few weeks, I've been on the ground visiting our plants, working with our people, and listening to our customers. What I've found leaves me extremely optimistic.

There is strong foundation here, and I see meaningful headroom for growth as we sharpen our focus on execution and scale over the next few years. I look forward—I look forward to partnering with my team to take Aquapharm to the next level, and I'll keep you all updated as we move forward.

Just a quick word on the markets. On the home care, the industry is seeing strong overall growth, with good tailwinds from Asia on phosphonates, though Europe is a bit of a headwind as the market there shifts towards green chelates, which conveniently is also part of our growth story.

In water treatment, demand remains strong across regions, specially with newer use cases like data centers coming up, and we are scaling our phosphonates and polymer portfolio to keep pace. Renewed geopolitical friction and economic uncertainty across the Americas have stalled near-term demand growth in oil and gas segment and created customer inventory overhangs.

This should pick up in subsequent quarters as we continue to innovate on product portfolio, target new accounts, and geographies. Let me now take you through this quarter's numbers.

Aquapharm reported sales volumes of 22,985 metric tons, revenue of ₹394 crores, and EBITDA of ₹47 crores in Q1 FY '27. During this quarter, home care and water solutions sales volume decreased marginally on year-over—year-over-year basis, whereas application-specific solutions posted a double-digit growth of 10%.

Oil and gas segment, while saw 35% year-over-year decrease, sequentially the segment reported a strong growth of 50%, which shows turnaround momentum. Q1 saw some challenges on the raw material availability, which affected production levels.

On the cost side, we saw higher costs across raw materials, logistics, and packaging. LPG availability added even more pressure.

We had a war surcharge in place through Q1 that helped us keep our spread constant, but we assume no surcharge for rest of the year. Going forward, demand for our existing portfolio is picking up.

With a strong new product pipeline and growth in distribution network, we are confident of delivering a better number in FY '27 led by volume growth. In Saudi Arabia and wider Gulf region, we are positioning ourselves for industry shift to seawater reverse osmosis.

We are speeding up our account approvals and expanding our reverse osmosis portfolio. The effort is already delivering good wins, including a new 3-year antiscalant contract and active qualification with more customers.

On procurement, we are actively working to de-risk our raw material supply chain, evaluating alternative vendors, and exploring backward integration for some key raw materials. On green chelates, order booking is running ahead of our current capacity, and we are now getting qualified with key accounts like P&G, Reckitt, and Henkel.

To build further on this shift towards green chelates, we are in discussion around a new facility. Alongside this, we continue to focus on cost reduction through a number of ongoing initiatives.

Over the next 1 to 3 years, our growth will be built around a few clear pillars: introducing new products across polymers, phosphonates, and adjacent categories; sharpening our focus on the US market; qualifying green chelates with our key accounts; expanding our oil and gas portfolio through biocides and paraffin inhibitors; and securing new customer qualification in desalination. We are also actively building our customer relationship and driving more targeted engagement.

We believe all these efforts will give Aquapharm a solid foundation to build on through the rest of FY '27 and beyond. With this, I'll conclude my remarks and open the floor for questions.

Operator

Thank you very much. We will now begin the question-and-answer session.

Anyone who wishes to ask a question may press star and one on their touch-tone telephone. If you wish to remove yourself from the question queue, you may press star and two.

Participants are requested to use handsets while asking a question. Ladies and gentlemen, we will wait for a moment while the question queue assembles.

The first question is from the line of Aditya from Smiths Institutional Equities. Please proceed.

Aditya Khetan

Thank you, sir, for the opportunity, and congrats on a good set of numbers. My first question, you mentioned in your opening remarks that because of the volatility in crude oil prices, the realizations were higher, and subsequently there were some inventory gains benefit also, which could reverse once crude oil price can go down.

Any thoughts on in this quarter how much quantum would be from the inventory gains? First.

Second, sir, when we look in your overall volume mix, the performance chemicals volume sales dipped on sequential basis. When I look at your specialty carbon black volume, that remains intact.

I believe, sir, the specialty carbon black is for the export market, some 90-95% is exported. Ideally a dip in exports should complement a dip in your specialty carbon black volumes also, but that is remaining intact, and performance chemicals is going down.

This means the exports going down is because of the performance chemicals. Also, if you can share how much mix of the performance chemicals only volume says from exports and domestic, and you see these volumes coming back going ahead?

That's it. First two questions.

Raj Gupta

Hey, Aditya, I will answer your question. On specialty, around 70% of our volumes are sold in international market.

Most of our customers are strategic customers, and like Nilesh mentioned in his speech, we ensured that none of our strategic customers suffered because of supply chain disruptions. We ensured delivery, and therefore there was no impact on the specialty volumes in the international market.

Performance chemicals and rubber-grade carbon black, that story is different. We had some low-cost oil at our end, and in international market, because of higher freight, our margins tended to be lower as compared to domestic market.

Therefore, we tried and pushed more material in domestic market, where margins were better. That was an deliberate act on our side to ensure that we have better blended margins.

That was the reason. On the first question that you asked regarding how much was the impact of low-cost inventory, we did about close to 70-odd crores, part of which, it is not going to go away completely in the next quarter.

Part of which, my estimation is about ₹40 to ₹50 crores, we might have to give away because of the change in the inventory position.

Aditya Khetan

Got it, sir. Sir, now coming to the tariffs part, we are seeing, sir, the US government is reversing the tariffs, and most companies from India have applied for the tariffs which they have paid.

Even we have also paid some of the tariffs to US. Have we also applied for the tariff reversal?

If yes, sir, how much number or quantum can we see from the top line or from the other income? How you see that number will flow, from top line or from other income, and what would be that quantum?

Raj Gupta

The accounting treatment, we'll have to discuss with our auditors. In terms of overall magnitude between Aquapharm and PCBL, the amount would be somewhere between 40 to 45-odd crores.

We have already made application, and we are tracking it very closely. My own sense is maybe in next 2 to 4 weeks' time, we should be receiving that refund.

Aditya Khetan

Got it. Sir, onto the Aquapharm numbers, when we look at this quarter's definitely, as you mentioned, inventory benefits also supported.

EBITDA per kg looks at around ₹20,000 per ton, or ₹20 per kg. That looks around onto the higher side when we look over the last seven, eight quarters.

What you see the sustainable run rate of Aquapharm? Can this run rate sustain even after inventory benefits going away, and because our fixed cost earlier was high, that is also coming down?

Some sort of quantitative numbers, how it will flow for FY '27? Secondly, similar onto carbon black side also, per kg numbers looks to be elevated.

What could be the sustainable numbers could be worked on for full fiscal '27?

Raj Gupta

The capacity utilization in Aquapharm still remains low, and therefore the number for the quarter, there is an upside to it. It can go up.

Now whether it will go up next quarter, maybe not, because inventory adjustment will happen here also, right? On a steady-state basis, if we compare the current quarter's number with the same quarter last year, the numbers were more or less similar.

Last year's same quarter also, we did about ₹19.5 thousand EBITDA, and this quarter we have done about ₹1,000 per ton more. The numbers are sustainable, but in the immediate next quarter, because of inventory adjustment, the numbers maybe a little lower.

On a full-year basis, I am confident that we should be able to be delivered something similar to this.

Nilesh Koul

Just a quick add-on. Rohit has just taken over, and he's of course developing an action plan for the turnaround of the situation.

I would like us to give him a quarter or so to get a hang of what the opportunities are, and maybe in the next conference call, we will give you a far more detailed response on what to expect in the coming quarters. Rohit, if you want to add something?

Rohit Narang

No, I think you guys covered everything. Thank you, Nilesh.

I agree with Raj ji's comment that we expect some hiccups in the next quarter, but on a full-year basis, we are looking at sustainably managing our EBITDA per kg.

Aditya Khetan

Sir, just one last question if you allow. Sir, onto the power side, when we look, power business numbers, this quarter on EBIT front, it is ₹110 crores, sir.

Last quarter, when we look, it is some ₹80 crore. There is a ₹30 crore jump, which has directly flown into our EBITDA.

What has led to this jump? Secondly, sir, what is the update on the NanoVace?

Have we started that pilot plant? Just a long-term question onto this.

Are you confident that whatever numbers we have shared, some ₹1,000 crore EBITDA from NanoVace business, can that be achieved over the longer term, and what could be the timelines for that?

Raj Gupta

I'll answer the first part of the question, and then I'll hand it over to Nilesh. Power EBIT jumped because of better realization.

Last quarter, our realization was ₹3.66, which has jumped to ₹5.39. It's almost 50% jump in power realization, and consequent the increase in the EBIT.

Yeah. On

Nilesh Koul

NanoVace, we remain extremely positive. The lab-scale testing and initial testing with some customers are very, very positive.

The pilot plant is up now. As I mentioned earlier as well, at an individual equipment level, the testing is progressing extremely well.

We now need to line balance it and ensure that the flows are managed well. That process is ongoing.

In the next few weeks, we are committed to sort of starting producing the first batch of products, which will go to customers with whom we have already been engaging for a while. In the long term, we are extremely bullish about the battery materials space.

NanoVace, we continue to hold that it will hit the targets that we had set ourselves. Along with the other investments which I mentioned, the superconductives and the acetylene black will form a significant portfolio of the future PCBL as we move forward.

We are very very bullish about it, and as a result, we're also committing a lot of resources both on the R&D side. Now, as I said last time, we have now R&D facilities in India, Australia, and Europe, which are working on this topic.

We have recruited specialists in key positions over the last 3 or 4 months, and we are very, very confident of making the numbers that we talked about.

Aditya Khetan

Got it, sir. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Rohit Sinha from Sunidhi Securities.

Please proceed.

Rohit Sinha

Thank you for taking my question, sir, and congratulations for a good set of numbers. My question is on the Aquapharm side.

In terms of looking at the scope, just wanted to understand how we would be expanding the volume there, whether it would be from the newer product with each segment, or how the customer engagement would be there, expanding the revenue size from the existing customer or acquiring new customers? In terms of new products, which segment, oil and gas, water treatment, where we will see more of the product launches going forward?

As we have seen some contraction in the oil and gas segment because of the raw issues, how that should be shaping up going forward if we get a sense on that?

Rohit Narang

You have a couple of questions there, I'll take them one by one. On the volume growth on Aquapharm India side on the phosphonates portfolio, we are actively launching commercial products right now.

They have been qualified, and we are looking towards selling them in next few quarters. That will bring revenue growth and margin growth both on the phosphonates side.

There is also penetration growth in the tier-1, tier-2 customers on the distribution side in Europe. That's driving some of the growth on the volume and the revenue side.

Oil and gas, I would say, given what is happening with the oil prices and the volatility, we are seeing a lot of erratic customer behavior. There was some demand surge in April, when everybody thought the war was over, but then as the oil prices gone down and gone up again, everybody is holding investments.

We do expect still a rocky and volatile set of evolution in next couple of quarters, but in the subsequent quarter, full-year basis, we are expecting the things will stabilize, and we'll be able to drive growth. There are two sources of growth there.

Right now in US and Latin America, we are focusing on regional growth near geographies where we are not present, and we are trying to drive growth there. Then later in the year, we are launching some new products.

That will also bring growth.

Rohit Sinha

Got it. New product launches would be in oil and gas segment as well as in water treatment also?

Rohit Narang

In FY '27, it's mostly the major impact is phosphonates and the commercialization of phosphonates. At the end of the year, we are working on some qualifications on oil and gas, which I think the major impact will be probably seen next year.

Rohit Sinha

Got it. Got it.

Secondly, sir, if you could help us on the carbon black side, you could help us what sort of in terms of our export numbers, what was the mix from the US side and the Europe side in this quarter? As we were quite positive on the Europe side, just wanted to understand how how how much improvement we have seen from the last quarter in in that region?

Nilesh Koul

Raj is going to give you the numbers, but overall in Q1, we were prioritizing regions, and because Indian demand was far more giving us more value per ton, we diverted as much volume as we could to the local customers and while retaining the volumes that we are supplying to the strategic customers both in Europe and US. Going forward, we expect a significant growth as new annual contracts are getting deliberated and negotiated as we move forward.

We are in a very good position to compete against the other countries in US, we should see a significant growth in US followed by EU as well. Raj, you want to give the breakup numbers?

Raj Gupta

Yeah. In Europe, we did around 16,000 tons of volume, and USA we did about close to 4,800 tons.

Rohit Sinha

Okay. Got it.

Sir, one last question on the logistic side as that has impacted our export to some extent. How we are now seeing the logistics issues shaping up for this quarter and maybe for the next quarter also?

Nilesh Koul

It continues to be erratic as in it's a reflection of how the Middle East crisis keeps ebbing and flowing. We are quite agile in looking for capacities as well as prices.

We just need to be agile and nimble on this one. We are still seeing high prices both for inbound as well as outbound logistics for this quarter.

Rohit Sinha

These costs are being adjusted with the customers, or how we are taking these cost impacts?

Nilesh Koul

Varies by customer to customer. In most cases, we have managed to get surcharges from our customers based on the fact that logistics costs have gone up.

Most of the time, we try to recover it, but are we able to recover 100% of it? The answer is no, because we have to be competitive at a delivered price level.

It's a bit of a mixed bag, where we take customer by customer our approach on how much we are able to pass on.

Rohit Sinha

Got it, sir. Thank you for answering my questions, sir.

That's it from my side.

Nilesh Koul

Thanks.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Sanjesh from ICICI Securities.

Please proceed.

Sanjesh Jain

Thanks for taking my questions. I've got two of this.

First on the volume, the demand scenario looks quite interesting. Can you explain why the volume has declined both on Q-o-Q basis and Y-o-Y basis?

Was it the availability of raw material which was constrained, and we have also commissioned the another line in Chennai? I thought that should have added to the volume growth, too.

Some color on the carbon black volume will be really helpful, and specialty continues to grow quite well, I think it's largely with the rubber where we have enough and more capacity now in Chennai to grow. That's number one.

Number two on the coal tar distillates, which we spoke earlier, that we are now looking to also foray into distilling the coal tar, which will make the raw material much easier for us, any progress on there, any plants, any capex we have outlined there, and how do we plan to ensure the raw material which is tied up with two of the buyers today? These are my two initial questions on the carbon black, and I'll get back for the Aquapharm.

Nilesh Koul

Let me take the second question first. We're progressing very well on the definition of the project for the coal tar distillation.

The business plan is being checked, and we are also in talks with the OEM suppliers of equipment, etc. By this quarter, we should be looking at getting an approval on all the capexes that are required as we refine the business model.

Tying up the raw material, we've evaluated that completely, and we are confident that for the capacities that we're putting in, we will be able to lock in and make that type of raw material available to us. Hold on for us to give a much sharper advice on the dates and targets and capex that we're putting in over the next 1 month or so.

As far as volumes is concerned, it was a bit of a choice that we were making also. As Raj was mentioning, we made some choices on, even though we had orders from international customers, not delivering some of those volumes, because the logistics cost was eating away a lot of the margins, it didn't make sense to do that.

Second, if you remember, our formula price hits with a lag. The low-cost inventory that we had, it makes better sense for us to market it in this quarter, where the new prices would have come in.

That was a tactical choice not to fully go for all out for volume, but ensure that we were focusing on the margins and value that we were getting out of the inventories that we had. Going forward, I think there is a little bit of destocking which is happening in this quarter, but overall we remain confident that the volumes will pick up significantly in Q3, Q4.

Sanjesh Jain

That's clear. One just follow-up on the carbon black.

I was seeing spreads that we have done gross profit in the range of ₹44-45, which looked unusually very high. I know you called out the inventory gains, but the amount of reversal appears far lower, because the run rate of gross profit per kg we were doing for this was around ₹31, I think.

It's a jump of around 14 to ₹14.5, and when I back-calculate the reversal, it appears that we are still expecting the ₹37-38 kind of a gross profit for kg. Is that structurally changing the market pressure we were seeing, where spreads were declining globally for us, and the competition, anything changing on the gross profit per kg?

Raj Gupta

Sanjesh, it is also for the reason that now we are trying to maintain some pricing discipline, and we are doing some bottom-slicing when it comes to low-margin volumes. And [unclear] plus some upward movement both in our EBITDA per ton as well as gross margin per ton.

Now whether that is going to be ₹37, ₹36, or ₹38, we'll see that, but that's what we are targeting.

Sanjesh Jain

That's the right number to work with for us, right, from a modeling perspective?

Raj Gupta

Sorry, I didn't get your question.

Sanjesh Jain

For us to work for the full year, say, 36, 37 numbers for the next 9 months will be a right number to work for?

Raj Gupta

That's kind of right, but again, it will be a trade-off between volumes and margins. We'll hold on to pricing discipline as long as we can see that our ability to push volumes in market is high, but it will also depend on demand and supply scenario, Sanjesh.

Sanjesh Jain

Got it. That's very clear.

One on the Aquapharm, this quarter we did 47, I think. There will be some inventory gain there as well.

I think the oil and gas industry has done phenomenally last two quarters in terms of their earnings. How does outlook for Aquapharm look like considering that we are getting into green chelating, phosphonate appears now more agile, probably the water problem everywhere driving the desalination.

We are hearing a lot of desalination plant in India, thanks to data center, I think. Desalination is becoming even more important.

Lastly, oil and gas, I think the companies have done killing in last two quarters. How does each of these three segment outlook comes?

We were looking at ₹75 crore for the exit basis, Rohit, earlier for Aquapharm at ₹75 crore. Sir,

Rohit Narang

Sanjesh ji, the line was very broken for me, I'm trying to understand the question. You were asking

Sanjesh Jain

[crosstalk] Let me put it in simple. We have three segments: green chelating, phosphonates, and oil and gas.

It appears that there is clearly tailwind for all the three segments. How does the outlook look like?

We have earlier guided an EBITDA exit run rate of ₹75 crore for this year in Aquapharm. Do you still stick with that?

Rohit Narang

Green chelating, I would say, we continue to have momentum in green chelating. As I said during my remarks, that we are overrunning our capacity, and we are discussing another facility on green chelating.

We have got significant qualification with both tier-1 and tier-2 customers, and we are in the process of commercializing the current capacity and discussing future capacity. Significant momentum there.

As some of that is coming at the cost of some of the European customers moving away from phosphonates, it's a give-and-take, but more on the positive side both from revenue and margin growth perspective. On the phosphonates side, we have good tailwind in the Asia region, still growth momentum there.

In Europe, there are customers who are moving away from phosphonates to green chelates, and green chelates is where we are, as I answered the question, we are gaining some momentum. That's the plus and the minus side.

On the oil and gas is a little bit more of a non-linear story, because there is momentum on the oil price side, but the volatility on the oil price side, all the service companies and the oil majors continue to not believe that this is sustainable and are holding back investments. That's resulting in pretty erratic behavior in the sense we saw some surge in demand in April, but that has not sustained, and now the customers are telling us that there is an inventory overhang in oil and gas.

I think we're still looking some rocky evolution in next few quarters, and then it'll stabilize. The last part on the ₹75 crore, what I would say at this point is early days for me, and I'm trying to understand deeply on what the stable run rate will look like.

I look forward to providing you a lot more details in the subsequent quarters as I come back with the answers. No,

Sanjesh Jain

that's fair enough. Just one follow-up question on oil and gas.

We were also looking to expand our footprint in European region. Any success, any early reward there or any early sign we have seen in the European region?

Rohit Narang

The way we are thinking about it is a sequential expansion. We have two immediate opportunities of expansion when it comes to geography on oil and gas.

One, there are some geographies in US that we are not participating: New Mexico, North Dakota. All of that needed registration and approvals.

We have obtained approvals to operate in New Mexico, Southern New Mexico. That is progressing in expanding geographies in US.

In Latin America, we are putting a lot of effort in countries like Venezuela, where there is a lot of rebuild happening, and trying to reestablish ourselves in Mexico, because of the politics and government change, a lot of things changed, especially for our customers in Mexico. Then Europe is in line, where we are putting the building blocks to be able to expand in future.

Sanjesh Jain

That's clear. Thanks all for answering those questions.

[unclear]

Rohit Narang

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Sanil Jain from Ambit Capital.

Please proceed.

Sanil Jain

Hi, sir. Congratulations on great set of numbers.

I just have two questions. Sir, can you provide us with the EBITDA per ton for the carbon black business for the second quarter as well as the guidance for the full year?

The second question would be, can you give us the capex outlook for the year?

Raj Gupta

For the quarter, we did about ₹22,900 a ton. On a full-year basis, if you refer to our last quarter's investor call, we had given a guidance of 14% to 15% improvement over our FY '26 average EBITDA, which will be somewhere around, say, ₹16.5-17 thousand per ton.

We stick to that.

Sanil Jain

Okay. Sir, capex outlook for the year?

Raj Gupta

Capex outlook this year, we are largely through with our brownfield expansion. Small capex here and there, which is more like maintenance capex plus some new developments for productivity enhancement, yield improvement, etc.

My sense is that it should be somewhere around ₹300 crore, maybe plus minus 50-odd crores.

Sanil Jain

Sir. Clear.

Thank you so much.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Harsh from SKP Securities.

Please proceed.

Harsh Motika

Hi. Good evening, sir.

Congratulations on a great set of numbers. A lot of my questions have already been answered.

Volumes in the quarter have been muted, and you've suggested that even the next quarter the demand is going to be slightly on the rocky side. Do you expect that during the full year, we'll be able to meet the high single-digit growth guidance that we had given earlier in the last year?

Nilesh Koul

That's correct. As I said in my opening remarks, we believe this is more a timing issue, because a lot of domestic customers of ours are trying to push volumes into the next quarter.

Overall for the year, we expect good growth to happen in volume as well.

Harsh Motika

Sir, on the capex side of things, can you provide a bit of an update or a color on how the greenfield expansion that we are doing is coming up? The

Nilesh Koul

greenfield expense this year will be limited, because the Andhra facility, while we're getting the licenses, etc., in place, the expense will actually happen more in the next year rather than this year. Most of the capex spent this year will be mostly efficiency capex.

As I mentioned earlier, we are looking at cost efficiency program, and to ensure that those get through, we are spending some money there. They'll be at best about ₹100 crores of strategic capex that we'll be able to spend this year.

Harsh Motika

Okay. Thank you, sir.

Thanks a lot.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Nilesh from HSPL.

Please proceed.

Nilesh Ghuge

Yeah. Thank you for the opportunity.

I have just one question. Can we expect growth from here on Q-on-Q basis?

If it is, then how much it would be? How do we see the growth for PCBL business in next 2 years since Aquapharm business still facing headwinds, and crude oil behavior is very dynamic?

Thank you. I think

Nilesh Koul

as I mentioned, structurally we should expect significant growth both in value and volume for PCBL over the next few years. Simply because the Indian demand is going up.

We are opening up more facilities outside of India, specifically US and Europe. We have got contracts with international customers at an advanced stage of negotiation.

On the carbon black side, we should see volume growth both on global as well as domestic levels. On the specialty carbon blacks, we have good traction with the new range of products that we're putting in as well as new products which are going to come into play over the next few quarters.

I would say it's a very positive outlook in the 1- to 2-year horizon. We should see strong growth both in volume as well as margins.

You will have the volatility over the next few quarters because of the geopolitical issues especially in our neighborhood, where part of the biggest impact will be on the logistics cost, and in some cases, we're losing some volume because some ports are getting out of action for limited periods of time. Overall, we remain very positive, and that's why we are investing in both volume as well as value growth as we move forward.

Nilesh Ghuge

Just a small follow-up question on this only. Will we maintain the margins which we have in this quarter?

Nilesh Koul

This quarter, we have some extraordinary benefit of low-cost inventory, which is unlikely to be repeated in subsequent quarters.

Nilesh Ghuge

Okay. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Aditya from Smiths Institutional Equities.

Please proceed.

Aditya Khetan

Thank you, sir, for the follow-up. Just a couple of questions.

Sir, is it possible to quantify the difference between CBFS and CBO prices? How much was CBFS in Q1, and how much was CBO?

Because I believe CBO prices shouldn't have gone up to the level CBFS have gone, because steel production, we have not seen anywhere globally taking ahead. Ideally, CBO prices should have been stable.

How was the difference in Q4 versus Q1 today, and how you see that going ahead?

Nilesh Koul

The difference continues to be close to 150-odd dollars, CBO being higher. That equation is still holding good.

We did see CBO prices also moving up. Once the CBFS prices moved up, CBO prices also did end up moving up.

We are trying to diversify both options. Of course, if we do the distillation ourselves of coal tar, then those margins are also an incremental part of the value chain for us, but that's still something that we are exploring, as I said earlier.

We should have a firm plan in the next couple of months on when we invest in that facility.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Kumar from Ambit Capital.

Please proceed.

Kumar Saumya

Hi, sir. Good evening.

Sir, just one question from my side. I was looking at the realizations.

The realizations have moved up about 20%. I was just trying to understand if the spot market is just 30% of the volumes and contract that takes a quarter lag to move out.

If you could help me understand that key realization have moved up 20%. How is that playing out?

Raj Gupta

Realization, Kumar, moved up roughly about, say, from quarter-on-quarter perspective, it moved up by about ₹27,000. Out of that, about 12,000 Out of that, about ₹12,000 was on account of ₹11,000-12,000 on account of margins, our ability to price it better in the spot market, and balance was the cost pass-through.

Kumar Saumya

Okay. Got it.

Thank you, sir.

Raj Gupta

Yeah.

Operator

Thank you. We take that as our last question.

Thank you, everyone. Thank you, management speakers.

On behalf of ICICI Securities, that concludes this conference. Thank you for joining us, and you may now disconnect your lines.

Nilesh Koul

Thank you.

Rohit Narang

Thank you.