Saudi National Bank

Saudi National Bank

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Feb 03Next Earn

Q1 FY2026 · Earnings Call TranscriptApril 29, 2026

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, it's my pleasure to introduce your co-host, Mr. Iyad Ghulam.

Mr. Ghulam, please go ahead.

Iyad Ghulam

Good afternoon. On behalf of SNB Capital, I would like to welcome you to this conference call with SNB management regarding the bank's Q1 2026 results.

Today's call is being recorded. Please note that this call is for analysts, investors, and shareholders.

Media personnel are requested to disconnect at this point. Today's speakers are Mr.

Tareq Al-Sadhan, Group CEO; Mr. Hussein Al-Ghamdi, Group CFO; Mr.

Raja Shatila Khan, Group Chief Economist; and Mr. Abdulbadie Alyafi, Head of Investor Relations.

I will start by handing over to the SNB Head of Investor Relations. Abdulbadie, please go ahead.

Abdulbadie Alyafi

Hello everyone, good afternoon. We'd like to thank SNB Capital for hosting today's call.

The presentation and other investor disclosures for the current and prior periods are accessible from our website. As usual, please take note of the scoop in our earnings presentation, which provides important information regarding today's disclosures and discussions, including the use of forward-looking statements.

With that, I'll hand over to our Group CEO, Mr. Tareq Al-Sadhan.

Please go ahead.

Tareq Al-Sadhan

Thanks, Abdulbadie. Warm welcome, everyone, and thank you for joining our call.

Taking a high-level view of our quarter, we delivered a balanced and carefully managed set of results for the group, and as always, we are guided by our comprehensive strategy focused on maximizing shareholders' value while taking a long-term view. We remain optimistic about the future while also being vigilant and taking a purposeful approach.

Looking at the growth potential of SNB, we must start with the Saudi operating environment, which remains supportive, driven by strong macro fundamentals, a business-forward ecosystem, and favorable demographics. Throughout this period, the Saudi economy has continued to demonstrate resilience, with sustained economic growth and proactive leadership of authorities who are pressing ahead with prioritized long-term investment plans while at the same time adjusting with agility in order to navigate a dynamic environment.

Despite the current circumstances, we have been blessed in Saudi Arabia to be able to go about our daily lives, run our business as usual, and serve our customers without any interruption. SNB as Saudi Arabia's first diversified banking group, we are capturing many Vision 2030-driven opportunities across wholesale, retail, capital market, and beyond.

We are leveraging opportunities across the Kingdom, including large projects and our partnership with public entities, which are creating attractive opportunities in wholesale. Our large retail business, which is well positioned to meet the needs of our young, energized, and ambitious population, and at the same time, we are leveraging our franchise in MSME, affluent, wealth management, and capturing the value-driven growth.

As an example, in Q1 2026, we launched two MSME flagship centers to support this key segment, one center in the Eastern Province and the other one is in Jeddah, with plans for the third flagship center to be opened in Riyadh in the next quarter, inshallah. These dedicated flagship centers offer the comprehensive and differentiated customer service model for banking and beyond banking services, which creates convenience for our clients and holds great promise for our growth prospects.

With regards to our strategic competitive advantage, we will continue to foster these and build upon them to compound their benefits. We are focusing on leveraging our scale and the breadth of our relationships while investing in our advanced digital ecosystem, enhancing the client experience, and improving efficiency to drive growth, broaden our market position, and develop new revenue streams.

This applies not only to our wholesale and retail franchise, but also SNB Capital, who is a leader in supporting its large and diversified client base, leading the Kingdom's AUMs, as well as offering differentiated advisory and market solutions. As a result, we consistently deliver attractive return with consistent revenue streams across retail, corporate, treasury, and capital markets, reducing seasonal volatility, enhancing revenue resilience, and solidifying our ability to capture growth across cycles.

This translates into consistent returns for our shareholders, where we have continued to post high-teens ROTE. This is backed up by our world-class efficiency ratio, where we maintain a domestic cost-to-income ratio of 24.4%.

Our capital allocation, we remain disciplined and conservative, and our strong diversification supports balance sheet resilience and growth. We maintain robust capital adequacy and strong liquidity, comfortably within the requirements.

This places us in a unique position with ample headroom to drive towards our growth aspirations. In combination, these key elements of our business, which place us in the center of the large opportunities in the Kingdom, continue to give us optimism and energize us through as we pursue our strategy to deliver sustainable profitable growth aligned with Vision 2030 and sustainable returns to our shareholders.

Moving next to give you an update on our strategy, first of all, you will recall that last quarter, in light of the prevailing market dynamics at the time, we updated some of the strategy metrics. Those updates are preserved in the targets presented today.

Rather than running through all of the figures, I'll highlight a few elements worth noting. Financing growth remains healthy, and we continue to see attractive prospects in our pipeline, as our CFO will cover in more details today.

You will see that we continue to be selective in acquiring businesses in line with the key target markets and our push for value. Financing market share is mostly stable quarter-over-quarter, standing at 23% versus 23.2% at the end of 2025.

This reflects our balanced approach to growth while pursuing value and focusing on our local markets. On the funding side, we are seeing good momentum in CASA acquisition and will continue to leverage SNB's leading business and network to deepen and expand our relationships.

Moving to banking fees, as one would expect, the market is contending with healthy competition and revised sector fees. At SNB, we continue to focus on enhancing efforts through upgrading our cards proposition, accelerating transaction banking and other fee-generating businesses such as bancassurance.

Next, on the operational excellence front and its implication for the cost-to-income ratio, we continue to invest in efficiency initiatives across our major opex streams, as well as our ongoing investment in innovation. The cost-to-income ratio remains within healthy levels, and as I always highlighted, we will not shy away from investing in the key levers of growth, which hold high promise to deliver sustainable long-term value.

Speaking of future and shareholders' value, I'm pleased to highlight that ROTE is tracking within our 2026 guidance and will continue to be among our key strategic KPIs as we navigate the evolving conditions which the entire global economy is contending with these days. Moving to the non-financial KPIs, I also shed light on a few key points.

We are accelerating our digital adoption by enhancing our processes and adding digital functionalities while improving the user experience. To highlight this, retail digital financing sales reached 52% already, ahead of our target.

Also, SNB Neo continues to scale, where the number of customers reached 1.4 million. We have a pipeline of additional services and functionalities planned.

We will be sure to keep you updated on our ongoing progress. Also, we have received the initial approval from SAMA to launch our Neo Financing subsidiary that would complement our retail offering, and we anticipate commencing the operations before the end of the year 2026.

As for AI and data intelligence, investing is ongoing, and we have been increasing the number of use cases from 3 to 19, with a clear roadmap to exceed 30 in 2027. I'm very pleased to share that we are going ahead with the launch of our dedicated SMEs app, I believe we talked about it earlier, which we recently received SAMA approval to go ahead with it.

The app will bring together best-of-breed digital financial services, customized support, and scale up our reach to this key segment. This is in line with our strategy to be the biggest enabler for SMEs in the Kingdom.

Next, on our people front, we continue to invest in our people to embody our thesis of being the talent magnet. We are empowering our staff with specialized training and capabilities building to enhance SNB's performance-driven culture.

SNB Capital, which is the Saudi leading capital market business, continues to lead a sector in dynamic markets while it's competitive. The capital market space is also enjoying expanding opportunities in line with the vision and Financial Sector Development Program objectives to develop the equity and debt capital markets.

To support this, SNB Capital recently conducted the Equity Connect and the Sukuk Connect event, bringing together key KSA players across ECM and DCM. On the customer-centricity front, as mentioned last quarter, we are embedding a customer experience-driven culture, targeting best-in-class CX in the Kingdom and guided by a detailed CX maturity assessment exercise.

Enhancement initiatives related to this theme are in the works, and we look forward to updating you in the due course. In conclusion, we will continue to take a disciplined approach to execution against our strategy while maintaining a healthy cadence of our initiatives and leveraging SNB's many strengths on broad scale.

In combination with the Kingdom's supportive environment, each day our efforts are compounding and getting us closer to our desired outcome, where serving our customers and delivering value to our shareholders will remain the center objectives. With that, I'll hand over to Hussein for more details on the financial performance.

Hussein Eid

Thank you, Abu Khaled, and greetings to everyone. I will begin with a macro outlook on page 8.

Given the prevailing uncertainties, we have revised our full-year real GDP growth from 4.3% to 3.7%. On the non-oil side, domestic consumption demand is typically resilient, but supply side constraints and disruptions have led us to slightly lower our full-year non-oil GDP forecast from 3.2% previously to 2.9%.

It is worth highlighting that the Saudi non-oil PMI index expanded to 51.5 points in April versus contraction in March, when the figure dipped to 48.8 points. The recovery was supported by improved domestic demand and pick up in new business, but price pressures accelerated sharply as supply chain disruptions continued to weigh on the non-oil sector.

Overall, underlying economic momentum remains, and we are confident of Saudi Arabia's economic resilience in 2026. Moving to the financial targets, of course there is a degree of uncertainty caused by the current geopolitical situation that calls for a cautious approach to guidance.

In case of a prolonged conflict or more stressed situation, we would consider guidance revision depending on the situation. Nevertheless, we continue to stride ahead on delivering on our plans and initiatives, and we'll keep you updated at our quarterly dash points.

A few key points to highlight in the financial targets: On financing, we continue to enjoy a healthy pipeline in wholesale, where we are balancing the opportunities with our focus on value. The retail market continues to be a focus, but on a value.

As we mentioned previously, we anticipate that more of the 2026 growth will be coming from the wholesale. As mentioned previously, we are projecting mid-single-digit expansion of net special commission income.

As a soft guidance on margins, we are focused on preserving the NIM at similar levels. Cost efficiency initiatives are ongoing, while at the same time, we take a long-term view to invest for the future and driving value creation.

Gross cost came down sequentially and recovered in Q1. At the same time, we are expecting normalization going to be within the remainder of the year.

We expect digitalization to continue to yield. Finally, as always, sustainable tangible equity and sustainable shareholders' value creation remain core to our strategy.

Next, I will jump to page 10 and briefly cover the highlights of the financial performance. Overall, looking at the financial performance for the quarter, there are a few key elements to highlight.

We took a balanced approach to asset growth. We focused on local market, and we supported this with healthy growth in customer deposits.

As a result, we preserved stable operating income at 9.7 billion riyals, growing 1.5% year-on-year, with a boost coming from international. Our net income expanded 7% year-on-year, while maintaining the return on tangible equity at 16.7% within the guidance, and we achieved this while maintaining solid operating efficiency, robust capitalization, and healthy liquidity.

On the coming pages, we will review these elements in more details. I will now turn to the balance sheet on page 11.

We expanded the balance sheet footing, with total assets up 2% for the quarter, exceeding 1.2 trillion riyals. SNB continues to represent around one-fourth of the total banking assets in the Kingdom.

On the liability side, strong customer deposits growth, especially CASA, allowed us to replace interbank funding in order to support a more efficient funding structure, as a part of our drive to optimize cost of funds. Also worth noting, in January, we successfully issued a $1 billion AT1 US dollar Sukuk, which was almost 3 times oversubscribed, demonstrating continued,ifty demand for SNB issuances and resilient strength of our reach into capital markets.

Moving to the next page, financing was broadly stable for the quarter, up half a percent sequentially, reflecting our measured approach and focus on value. Breaking this down: On retail, financing remained healthy overall, expanding 2%.

The pace of mortgage activity held up pretty well, although we have seen across the market average ticket size have been moderating along with improvements in the supply and attraction of reforms, which should be supportive of the segment. Q1 also saw good traction in personal finance and auto lease, driving other retail up 2% year-to-date and in line with our focus in these segments.

Wholesale financing was broadly stable, declining 0.6% year-to-date, where the contractions in FI and corporate portfolio were more than offset by the growth in the MSME financing. MSME financing expanded 9% year-to-date, or more than 7 billion riyals, with a strong traction driven by our focus on the attractive segment.

Even though corporate faced some seasonal impacts, as well as our focus on value, we continue to see a healthy pipeline in this key segment. Financial institutions remained an integral part of our strategy to enhance returns.

However, due to its turbulent nature and our focus on local market, we witnessed a relative reduction of around 30% year-to-date. Overall, we are focusing on managing the portfolio for quality and value.

Going forward, we see a healthy pipeline of potential business, and as discussed, we are maintaining our financing growth expectation to be at high-single-digit level for the year. On the next page, the investment portfolio increased by 1% in Q1, reaching 323 billion riyals.

The portfolio remains well diversified across various types of instruments and well positioned to balance yield, liquidity, and quality. That said, there have been no significant changes in allocation or concentration, reflecting a stable and disciplined investment approach.

Moving to the next page, customer deposits increased 5% year-to-date to reach 665 billion riyals, further strengthening our funding profile and supporting our improved liquidity, funding cost, and liquidity ratios. CASA balances increased 2%, supported by strong client relationship and growth in targeted segments.

Time deposits increased 15%, reflecting our ability to capture market liquidity. As a result, the CASA ratio for the period came in at a comfortable 71.5%.

Moving next to the P&L on page 15, net income increased by 7% year-on-year, supported by higher coverage and release of indirect provisions, plus growth in net special commission income across core business lines. These were partly offset by lower non-funded revenues, mainly due to market volatility during March.

Looking at the group overall, it is worth noting that our strategy in Turkey has been yielding positive results, and despite the challenging operational environment, the international segment has continued to contribute positively to our performance. Return on tangible equity is currently at the upper end of our guidance range, standing at 16.7%.

Worth noting that in mid-April, SNB shareholders approved the board's proposal to pay a cash dividend of 4 riyals and 15 halalas per share for the second half of 2025, amounting to a total of 6.2 billion riyals. On the next page, the net special commission income increased 3% year-on-year, reaching 6.8 billion riyals, with traction across wholesale, retail, investments, and international.

As expected, margins remained stable at 2.85% on a sequential basis. As for margin sensitivity, it has remained broadly stable, with an expected improvement of around 2 basis points for every 25 basis point rate cut, typically materializing over 2 to 3 quarters.

As always, this is a theoretical simulation assuming a static balance sheet. Looking ahead, we expect margins to remain broadly stable and sequential improvement in net special commission income during the year, supported by financing growth, repricing initiatives, further funding optimization, and proactive balance sheet management with a focus on optimizing the earning asset mix.

Moving to the next page, fees and other income declined 9% year-on-year, coming in at about 2.1 billion riyals for the quarter. Year-over-year growth in fee income from financing impact, cash management, international, and FX was offset by certain factors as follows: 31% lower investment-related income, mainly driven by market condition and volatility, as well we experienced weaker trade finance activity that affected the trade fees income momentum, which came in lower by 27% year-on-year.

Investment management income was 16% lower due to softened market activity. Despite this, SNB Capital managed to expand AUMs.

Also, 18% weaker brokerage income was mainly due to lower market trading volumes, declining around 30% year-on-year, and competitive pressure from local alliances for international investment banks. Despite this, in Q1, SNB Capital ranked number one in terms of value traded market share.

Moving to the next page, operating expenses were up 2.7% year-on-year, largely in line with inflation, driven mainly by annual salary increments and hiring of specialized talent particularly in the front office, IT, and data analytics. Looking ahead, we have multiple efficiency programs in place, including workforce efficiency, vendor and procurement optimization, digitalization, automation, as well as physical network and premises optimization.

We will continue to focus on our ongoing cost efficiency mission, with benefits expected to materialize over the coming periods while at the same time continuing to invest for growth. Overall, we will be managing our cost base relative to expected expansion in the revenue, keeping in mind there can be a time lag between the two.

All in all, we will continue to focus our efforts to drive towards our full-year guidance in order to deliver a group cost-to-income ratio below 25% and domestic cost-to-income ratio below 22.5%. Moving to the next page, cost of risk came at minus 32 basis points for the quarter.

This was driven by variation of reversal of indirect provisions in wholesale portfolio, mainly related to indirect facilities, and continued successful recovery efforts in both retail and wholesale. It is worth noting that normalized cost of risk, excluding this impact, would have been closer to the lower end of our guidance.

Going forward, we will continue to apply our prudent provisioning approach. As mentioned, we are maintaining our cost-of-risk guidance at 15 to 25 basis points for the year.

On the next page, credit quality remains healthy, with NPL ratio improving sequentially to 0.67%, while stage-wise coverage remained robust. Moving to the next page, capital adequacy remains strong and comfortably within all regulatory ratios.

In summary, the bank has delivered a balanced set of results, with measured growth against an evolving backdrop. We remain focused on actively managing the balance sheet with a view to optimize profitability and maintain disciplined capital allocation.

With that, let's move to the questions and answers.

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, we will now start the Q&A session.

If you'd like to ask a question, please raise your hand through the webcast so that we can unmute your line. Thank you for not exceeding one to two questions per caller.

Please stand by until we have our first question. Our first question today comes from Mohammed Al-Rasheed of Hassana.

Mohammed, your line is open. Please unmute yourself locally and proceed with your question.

Mohammed Al-Rasheed

Salam alaikum. Am I audible?

Operator

You are, yes.

Mohammed Al-Rasheed

Yeah. Thank you, gentlemen, for the call.

Two questions from my end. The first question is regarding the yield on your corporate book.

We have witnessed a decline on your corporate yield spread over SAIBOR by around 38 basis points on a quarter-over-quarter basis. I'm wondering what drove such a decline in your spread for your corporate book and how would that be impacted going forward with the repricing initiatives.

My second question is regarding cost of risk. There was a sizable recovery of around 1.3 billion Saudi riyals in the first quarter.

What was the reason behind such a recovery? Was it a single large exposure or was it more of a broad-based recoveries across your corporate book?

Thank you.

Hussein Eid

For the first question regarding the corporate yield, we are experiencing a decline mainly because of the benchmark impact coming from the rate cuts that happened over the past years. All in all, we are working hard on repricing our corporate book.

Again, the improvement of this repricing will be seen over the time. The main impact today is really coming from the rate cuts that happened over the past years.

Mohammed Al-Rasheed

Just to clarify, I'm comparing the yield to the benchmark. The spread over the benchmark has dropped by 38 basis points in the first quarter compared to the fourth quarter.

I'm isolating for the benchmark impact.

Hussein Eid

Honestly, we don't see that decline in the yield in the segment honestly, specifically when it comes to the wholesale. You are referring to which slide, exactly?

We can review it and come back to you, to be honest.

Mohammed Al-Rasheed

Okay. Regarding the recoveries?

Hussein Eid

Regarding the recovery, we have a strong recovery coming from the wholesale and retail. In this quarter, we have also a major reversal of indirect provisions, which is not part of the ECL stock, it's part of the provisions kept in the other liability related to indirect facilities.

This is business as usual. We always work hard in the recovery to improve our daily cost of risk.

Mohammed Al-Rasheed

Okay. Perfect.

[Foreign language]. Thank you.

Operator

Our next question comes from Shabbir Malik of Morgan Stanley. Shabbir, your line is open.

Please unmute yourself locally.

Shabbir Malik

Hi, can you hear me now?

Operator

We can, yes.

Shabbir Malik

Yes, hi. Thank you very much for the presentation.

My first question is around your financing growth outlook. I think the first quarter, we saw growth was very muted.

If my memory serves me right, typically first quarter is usually a strong quarter for the bank. I just want to get your sense on how comfortable you are with your full-year guidance, which is high single digit, and this implies that 7% to 8% growth for the rest of the year.

How comfortable you are in terms of achieving that target with a relatively slow start in the first quarter? My second question is around margins.

Your comments were very encouraging around margins, but I was a bit surprised that you're still eyeing relatively stable NIM for the rest of the year. Liquidity in the first quarter has improved, and you've grown in the SMEs space, and you've grown CASA.

Just want to hear your thoughts on why you're still expecting NIM to be relatively stable for the remainder of the year. Maybe a clarification regarding the previous question.

You said the recoveries were non-credit related? Just a clarification on that, please.

Thank you.

Tareq Al-Sadhan

Thank you, Shabbir. I'll take this question, and Hussein, if you can add.

Absolutely, you're right. I think that the whole banking sector witnessed a slow growth in the first quarter from a lending perspective, and that was anticipated from the guidance of all banks, driven by the country reprioritization, driven by the reform that took place in the real estate sector, driven by the conservative approach SAMA is going forward.

All that was a driver for an expectation for a slower growth on the 2026. Adding to that Ramadan in the first quarter, adding to that the war, I think the level of growth is expected.

To answer you, do we have a strong pipeline? Yes, we do.

Do we confirm the single high digits? I think it's premature to change that now.

We would be in a better position by the end of the second quarter to evaluate the conversion of the pipeline and see the appetite for corporate and retail on that growth. Adding to that as well, the value generation, we are very keen to grow in the smaller segment, which doesn't give you the volume, but it gives you the value.

Growing 100 contracts in micro-businesses or small businesses equals potentially one transaction in large, but you will get a lot of value of this smaller contract. We are very keen to grow, as we said in our guidance and our strategy, that we want to move to more of a profitable business.

That's definitely the way forward. On the margins, the fact that there was a slow growth on the lending activities, that naturally impacts the repricing activities.

When there's a competition, your ability to reprice is higher. When the competition is slower, then the repricing activities get impacted.

We are continuing with our repricing activities, both retail and corporate, but again, the liquidity increase and slow activity on the lending makes it harder to reprice compared to our aspiration, but hopefully we will get there. I think on the question of the reversal of the cost of risk or the provisioning, I think Hussein mentioned that it is indirect lending, which is—

Hussein Eid

Exactly. Cancellation of a bank guarantee, and this is business as usual.

It can happen at any time. It's not really impacting the overall stock of provisions related to the credit portfolio.

Tareq Al-Sadhan

I think we're benefiting from the conservative approach that the bank is taking by being proactive in providing when in doubt, and these things I anticipate that we see also positive outcome in the coming quarters and years as well, because when we are in doubt in the client, we just go and provide. We take always the conservative approach when it comes to our provisioning activities.

That's why we get a lot of reversal. We have witnessed that actually in the last 3 years.

Our cost of risk was always lower than our guidance, and we always get a very healthy and decent recoveries.

Shabbir Malik

Thank you. That's very helpful.

Tareq Al-Sadhan

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Abdullah Buraidi of Emirates NBD.

Abdullah, your line is open. Please go ahead.

[Audio silence]. Abdullah, we are not receiving any audio from your line.

Abdullah Al Buraidi

Hello, can you hear me?

Operator

We can.

Abdullah Al Buraidi

This is Abdullah Buraidi from Emirates NBD. I have maybe a follow-up question regarding the NIM and the benchmark and the asset yield.

We notice that the NIM has been stable, but when we calculate the asset yield and compare it to the benchmark, mainly the corporate book, we notice that there is a decline in that corporate book, and it might be driven by the way that we calculate things by taking the average at the beginning of the period and the end of period. When we look at the component of the loan book, we notice that there is quite a decline in the corporate book that was offset by an increase in the MSME book.

Could you clarify how the evolution during the quarter took place? Is it distorting the asset yield calculation for us and the cost of funding calculation, and how does it look like?

The second thing on the other G&A, in the fourth quarter call, the last call, you've indicated that the cost-to-income is unusual and it has some one-off, and that the normalized level should be looked at at third quarter level. We are back to square one, and the same amount of expenses on an absolute basis as the first quarter.

If you can clarify on what is the cost efficiencies to be expected, and what is the normal run rate on this? I will ask a third question later after the Q.

Thank you.

Hussein Eid

Hi, Abdullah. Regarding the asset yield, there is a lot of activity being here.

Either from both retail and wholesale, a really big push in the reprice. However, that is also an impact coming from the benchmark rates cut happened during the last year.

75 basis points already offset almost 70% of that in the first quarter. Actually our repricing activities helped to mitigate that negative impact of decline.

At the same time, our efforts in optimizing our funding profile, obtaining cheaper customer deposits, bringing around 11 billion of CASA, majority of them really coming from NIBs, that helped also to reduce the cost of funds. I think we are the lowest in the market when it comes to the cost of deposits, and that really muted the negative impact coming from declining asset yield.

That's why the NIM is really stable Q-over-Q, and we expect this to continue or to improve going forward.

Tareq Al-Sadhan

The question on the—

Hussein Eid

Another question on the cost.

Abdullah Al Buraidi

The other G&A.

Hussein Eid

The other G&A. That's normally always first quarter, you always have each HR action for the benefit increase for the adjustments, and that's the main reason for having higher G&A expenses.

On the other hand, we have a lot of initiatives that we should expect and see the results of them in the coming periods. We are working on productivity efficiency, digitalization, automation, network optimization, premises optimization, and there are a lot of activities really to generate additional cost savings.

I think Q1 is not an indicator. You are going to see better results, and it's a combination of the growth of the revenue going forward plus the initiatives and the cost optimization that we are working on.

Sorry,

Tareq Al-Sadhan

as I mentioned, I think we are investing, because when we focus on the SMEs, that requires a lot of investment in human capital and in technology and other costs as well, that we would like to see the benefit out of this impacting our cost-to-income. It has a significant impact on the top line, while the impact on the cost side is contained.

There will be an investment, but to Abu Diya's point, the first quarter is always not a good reflection to see the other G&A activity.

Hussein Eid

Yes, and at the same time, the key here is at year-end, we're still committed to achieve our targeted cost-to-income ratio. Looking at the cost alone, I think the cost-to-income ratio gives a good indicator, and we didn't change our guidance, and we believe that we are achieving this guidance as we mentioned in our previous calls.

Abdullah Al Buraidi

Okay. Thank you very much, quite informative.

[Foreign language].

Tareq Al-Sadhan

You have another third question?

Abdullah Al Buraidi

[Laughter]. Regarding the third question, the cost of risk.

As we're having a very great cost of risk this quarter coming from the reversal, not changing the guidance does imply that it will be backloaded, and I understand it is just a technicality, but would you confirm that nothing has changed because of recovery and the cost of risk is still as decent as it used to be before accounting for that?

Tareq Al-Sadhan

I think, Abdullah, I alluded in the previous answer to that. I think the bank is enjoying the conservative approach, which we have been witnessing always the whole improvement of the judicial system, which most of these provisions that we took in the past, now we are concluding these cases, and we are collecting our money.

I anticipate this to be the business as usual, at least for this year, potentially next year as well. I recall also in the previous calls, we kept saying this.

It was exceptional, 1 billion, if the next quarter comes and we have a good collection. I'm pushing the team inside the bank to say that this isn't unusual now.

We expect more collections coming every quarter, pushing our legal and collection team, both retail and corporate, to continuously bring these recoveries to have the best cost of risk in the bank, while continuing being very conservative and booking provisions when we see doubt. Alhamdulillah, doing business in Saudi has improved significantly, and in the last few years, the need for this provisioning has reduced and the recovery and the collection has also improved.

Hussein Eid

Just to add to that, Abu Khaled, the NPL coverage ratio has increased from 148% to 149%. If we look at the stage-wise coverage, Stage 3 coverage has also improved from 76% to 78.6%.

Stage 2 coverage improved from 5.1% to 6.5%. All in all, despite the strong recoveries released with some indirect provisions, still the coverage ratio is very solid.

The guidance remain as is, and we think we will hit the lower end of the guidance for the year-end.

Abdullah Al Buraidi

Okay. [Foreign language].

[Foreign language]. Thank you.

Operator

We will now move on to our next questioner. Our next question comes from Olga Veselova of Bank of America.

Olga, your line is open. Please unmute yourself locally.

For question,

Olga Veselova

thank you for hosting presentation and for taking my questions. I have several.

One is on your CASA ratio. It remains at a very solid level.

However, it has been trending down in the past two quarters. This is despite sluggish CASA in the banking sector and even improving CASA in government-related entity segment, according to SAMA data.

What is happening in your CASA mix? Where do you think your CASA ratio will be trending from here in the next several quarters?

That's question number one. Question number two is on non-funded income.

I understand there were several reasons for weakness in the first quarter, well understood. Which segments do you think can drive the recovery in the rest of 2026 and maybe 2027?

I'm wondering why solid MSME expansion is not feeding into better fees. Usually, this is a very fee-generated segment.

I will stop on these two questions. Thank you.

Hussein Eid

When it comes to CASA, that's a main focus for us, and usually it's normal to fluctuate. We expect CASA to be within the 70s range more or less.

We were successful in increasing our CASA by 11 billion during this quarter, but at the same time, if you notice that we have let go a lot of interbank and moved to time deposits, which is more sticky, more cost-efficient, cheaper, and it's a core for us when it comes to our funding profile. That's why you see CASA percentage declined a little bit, despite the growth in it, because also shifting from interbank funding into time deposits, which is more sticky, domestic, and helped our liquidity ratio and all regulatory ratios as well.

It will support our growth when it comes to LDR. Loan-to-deposit ratio give us ample room really to grow our financing book.

On the second question on the non-funding revenue, I think the first quarter has witnessed a slowdown on that, definitely. The trade finance fee has been impacted significantly.

The other fee also on the retail sector has also been impacted. We are very confident that we will catch up in the rest of the year.

We see the momentum improving, and the plans to recovery on the fee coming from the retail businesses, SMEs businesses, is on track, and we have the plan to recover what we missed on the first quarter and ensure that we catch up on that. Absolutely, you're right.

The SME doesn't only come with the fee element, it comes with everything positive: CASA, FX, fee, higher margin. We are pushing for that, and we are also becoming more sophisticated in how to collect fee from this segment.

Point of sale business is very critical, and we have a big transformation related to that so we can be the most competitive provider of these services in the market. It took longer time than what we planned, and we are back on track, inshallah, to catch up on what we missed on the first quarter.

Olga Veselova

Thank you. If I can squeeze in here clarification: You received approval for SME app and also Neo Financing.

Do you think these can be instruments to improve fees, or these are more about easier client reach and convenient products?

Hussein Eid

Definitely, the SME app is a value proposition to our SME business, it will help us scale the reach to our SME, and naturally, SMEs comes with, as I said, the fee, the CASA, and the current account. Yes, we hope that our plan is to grow the acquisition of our small and medium customers and business banking through the application.

Also the microfinancing company it will focus on the micro-lending and smaller and complement the retail businesses. That would also help the business.

Both are I would say longer term. If your question, do we expect something impactful to come this year, it would be too early to see the full momentum coming this year, but it is the long-term initiatives that we will see 2027, 2028, and beyond, inshallah.

Olga Veselova

Thank you.

Hussein Eid

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Jon Peace of UBS.

John, please unmute yourself locally and proceed with your questions.

Jon Peace

Thank you. Am I audible?

My first question, please, is just a clarification on the cost guidance. You reiterated your cost-to-income ratio, but just wanted to understand, are the cost initiatives you mentioned, do they mean that the absolute level of costs comes down from the 2.6 billion base, and that's what helps you to achieve the cost-to-income guidance?

Or is it rather the cost initiatives mean that the costs grow very slowly from here, and the revenues grow more quickly, and that's what delivers the target? Then my second question, please, is just on your 2027 target slide.

Just comparing it with the end of the year, I notice the dividend payout of 50% to 60% wasn't on the slide. Does that guidance still hold as well?

Thank you.

Tareq Al-Sadhan

For the costs, usually, we need to invest in order to grow our businesses and support our ambition for integration, digitalization, AI, and to support the growth in the segments financially. The aim here to maintain and continue to optimize cost, while we still invest in future development and improvements to contain the costs within the same level or a little bit less, and improve revenue at the same time.

That's a combination that will deliver basically the cost-to-income ratio. You cannot look at the costs as an absolute term.

You have to consider the revenues as well, because there has to be some investments to support our business growth. On the dividend side, that's always been the guidance and the attempt from us to continue paying dividends on that range.

We will keep monitoring the growth, the opportunity, what makes more value to our shareholders, and we'll make the right decision accordingly. Today, we have the buffers to grow and the capital to grow.

If we see an acceleration of that growth, that might impact our policy or guidance on dividends, then we'll take the guidance also from the board and communicate that to our shareholders and investors. Got it.

Jon Peace

Thank you.

Tareq Al-Sadhan

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you very much. Our next question comes from Mehmet Sevim of JPMorgan.

Mehmet, your line is open. Please unmute yourself locally.

Mehmet Sevim

Good afternoon. Thanks very much for your time today.

I have two questions from my side. One, the irrevocable commitments to extend credit seems like they grew quite notably this quarter and to 70 billion riyals.

I was just wondering if this is business as usual or are you seeing any potential pipeline build in certain sectors that would be worth highlighting? On the provisions, if I may, one follow-up: You mention in the financial statements that you ran a simulation assigning higher weight to the downside macro scenario, but at the same time, the impact was immaterial.

I was wondering if you could please quantify this higher weight, and also wondering why would this result in basically no additional provisions? What's the driver behind that?

Is there an offsetting factor like higher oil price or anything else that you'd like to highlight? Thank you.

Hussein Eid

For the first question regarding the irrevocable commitments, that's business as usual. As we continue really focusing, as we said before, in the wholesale, corporate, and the MSME segment specifically.

As we said always, we have a healthy pipeline that will materialize in the coming quarters. It's normal to have these commitments being increasing.

This is basically to allow for the growth for the coming period. I will defer the second question regarding the macroeconomics changes.

Tareq Al-Sadhan

Raja, do you want to take the second question? I don't know if you captured it or not.

Raja Asad Khan

Yeah. If you could just repeat I think it was reference to ECL model and higher price kind of mitigating sort of adjustments around that.

Exactly?

Mehmet Sevim

Yes, indeed. It says you ran a simulation assigning higher weight to the downturn macro scenario, but at the same time, there's no resulting impact on the ECL.

I'm wondering why that would be the case.

Raja Asad Khan

Look, at this moment in time, the numbers are only coming out now. When we're looking to do these exercises, we're doing them frequently.

When we've done these exercises, the availability of data at the moment, as you've seen, March and April is feeding through, it's kind of limits the degree of exercise that we can kind of deploy and implement. We are frequently updating that and looking at our ECL model.

I'm sure some of the impact of the oil price does kind of negate the downside to extent. We are continuing monitoring this model and redeploying kind of re-assessing this model frequently as the data is released.

Mehmet Sevim

Super. That's very clear.

Thanks very much.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Naresh Bilandani of Jefferies.

Naresh, your line is open. Please unmute yourself locally.

Naresh Bilandani

Hi, thank you very much. It's Naresh Bilandani from Jefferies.

Two questions, please. One, it's quite clear that in this quarter, I think the bottom line performance was helped by the positive impairment charge.

I'm just keen to understand qualitatively, did this afford you any leeway in front-loading the opex charges that we're seeing in the first quarter? I know this question has been asked in some sense previously, but I'm just keen to understand if this is the high point of the cost base for the year from a quarterly perspective, and can we see the cost trajectory improve in an absolute term in the future quarters?

That's the first question. Second is, could you please quantify what's contributed to the strong 40% year-on-year increase in the exchange income in the first quarter?

The run rate was just shy of 600 million in each quarter for the past three quarters. Now we're looking at 750 million.

Just keen to understand what contributed to this trend, and will this be the new run rate from which we should model? Also equally within the non-interest revenues, can you please throw some light on the other operating expenses, which at 543 million, again, are looking higher as compared to the run rate that you've seen in the previous quarters?

Some of these clarifications would be super useful. Thank you.

Hussein Eid

For the first question about the opex, no, we are not front-loading. As I said earlier, it's normal for the first quarter to have a hike because mainly of the staff adjustments and all of these things.

In absolute terms, yes, we are working hard to have lower absolute amounts when it comes to absolute value of each quarter. At the same time, we have to link this to the growth in the revenues.

Second question is regarding the exchange income. Since last year, we are doing great in exchange income.

TFKB, this year, they benefited big time from exchange income, and a lot of that increase of 40% is coming from TFKB. Also, within our SNB Capital, they benefit from other currency exchange income in some of their transactions.

The bank as well, they are always growing quarter-over-quarter. It's a good business for us, doing great, but the 40%, it cannot be used as a run rate going forward.

Naresh Bilandani

Understood. Also, please, on the other operating expenses of 543 million?

The

Hussein Eid

other operating expenses mainly, we had increase in the cost of the life insurance for our retail portfolio, and that's basically all the insurance costs being higher due to inflation and other factors. Now in our pricing strategy that we are working on and implementing, we're trying to absorb that impact through higher special commission income.

Naresh Bilandani

Understood. Thank you.

As

Hussein Eid

you can see, the NIM, for example, expanded because we are really increasing the prices to cover for these costs and also enhanced profitability as well.

Naresh Bilandani

Sure. Thank you very much.

Hussein Eid

Thank you, Naresh. Last question.

Operator

Of course, our last question of today comes from the line of Kunpeng Ma of China Securities. Kunpeng, your line is open.

Please proceed with your questions.

Kunpeng Ma

Hi, good afternoon. Thank you for taking my time.

This is Kunpeng from China Securities. I have two questions.

The first is a follow-up on lending. This is covered during previous questions, but I still want to look at if we look at a bit longer term, because there are a lot of things happened since this year.

Tareq Al-Sadhan

Sorry, could you speak, because the line wasn't clear. Could you repeat the question?

Kunpeng Ma

Oh, sure. Is that better now?

Tareq Al-Sadhan

Yes, and you could slow down.

Kunpeng Ma

Oh, sure. Sorry.

The first is on the financing demand. There are a lot of things happened during this quarter, right?

The conflict, the OPEC change, and also maybe some longer-term impact on oil price. If we look at some a bit longer term, will all these things affect our financing growth, the speed and also the structure of the loan demand, if there are any impact in the longer term?

Maybe it's a bit too early to see the real effect, but some color will be quite helpful. Yeah.

My second question is on international business. We continue to see Turkey business as a drag of our net profit due to the inflation there.

International business is also very important for SNB. If you can share with us some of your general view on the international business.

Especially as there are a lot of foreign companies moving into Saudi to do business there, are there any synergies between the Saudi offices and your overseas offices to work together to support those foreign companies? Yeah.

Thank you.

Tareq Al-Sadhan

Thank you very much. I'll take first part of the first question, then my colleague Raja can comment from an economical point of view.

I think the Saudi government made a strong commitment back in 2016 when they announced Vision 2030. That commitment is we want to diversify from being reliant on oil, and we will keep investing to make that diversification.

That announcement came when the oil prices was in a very, very low stage. Since then, 10 years now, we came through cyclical times, and the government continued spending and used the debt and other sources of funding to ensure that the continuous spending.

Today, the 2026 budget announced by the government, it has 1.3 trillion of committed spending. Yesterday, the announcement of the first quarter spending came to be very strong.

I think the government is continuously spending. Oil prices increase will definitely help avail more liquidity to the government.

We know that we have major events happening in Saudi, and in the reprioritization exercise on the PIF strategy that was announced, clearly there is a direction focus on spending on these projects that's coming, and also coming with a good return on investment. Definitely we witnessed a slowdown in the first quarter.

We might see also slowdown in the second quarter. We are very confident that spending is coming, and the going back to business as usual from a demand perspective will come up.

Raja, please feel free to add if you want.

Raja Asad Khan

Look, the general comment is, as we've highlighted, non-oil growth is still at robust levels, resilient levels for this year, 2.9%. There are various projects still under execution that will drive the kind of momentum, certainly on the industry level.

Of course, there is still the kind of story regarding homeownership and on the mortgage side on an industry level. I think the positives are still there to kind of push a kind of sector-wide growth forward.

Certainly at this point in time, we still remain confident that any short-lived disruptions should not deter the kind of trajectory, the macro trajectory for at least certainly pick up in the second half of this year. We're still confident in that respect, and that kind of is how we see the progress.

Tareq Al-Sadhan

On the second comment, I think SNB have a long-standing presence in mainland China through representative office in Shanghai. We have a branch in Singapore and Korea, and we see the Far East as a strong partner, and we benefited a lot in the relationship that we had from diversifying our funding mix.

In fact, our board strategy exercise last year happened in Singapore, and we thought of going to China. We see the value of strengthening the relationship and see how can we cooperate more to benefit the SNB businesses in Saudi and on the offices we have in Asia.

Kunpeng Ma

Thank you. Thank you so much.

Tareq Al-Sadhan

Thank you. Thank you very much.

I think before we close, just for Mohammed Al-Rasheed, Mohammed, we looked at your comment, and we couldn't, saraha, identify where you're coming of that decline, but Hussein, Abu Diya, will take this offline with you to understand your comments and we clarify it, inshallah.

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, we have come to the end of today's call.

Please note that for any remaining questions, kindly reach out to SNB's IR team. With that, I'll hand back to SNB Capital for any closing or final comments.

Iyad Ghulam

SNB Capital would like to thank SNB management for taking the time to conduct this call. We would like also to thank all participants for attending.

Wish you a pleasant day. Thank you.